The photoelectron spectra of some Tl-Sb sulphosalts

The results of X-ray induced photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) experiments on several phases of the ternary system Tl-Sb-S are reported. The binding energies of the inner S, Sb and Tl electrons increase with increasing quantities of Sb and decreasing amounts of Tl in these compounds. This is explained by the influences of the proportions of the bonded metals on the effective electron affinity of S. The higher proportions of the more electronegative element bonded to S cause the increase of its effective electron affinity. The results for Tl₂S (carlinite), Tl₃SbS₃, TlSbS₂ (weissbergite), TlAsS₂ (lorandite) and Sb₂S₃ (antimonite) can be interpreted in this way. The results for Tl₄S₃ suggest a predominantly covalent character of bonding for both Tl(III) and Tl(I), which are present in this sulfide. From comparison with Tl₃SbS₄ it could be supposed that Tl(III)-S bond has a more covalent character than Sb(V)-S bond. The results for Tl₃SbS₄ are in agreement with crystal structure data and the results of Moessbauer spectroscopy. For AsS (realgar) the binding energies of the inner electrons of As and S significantly increase, showing that the electrons in molecular orbitals are less strongly bonded to individual atoms, as compared to pure elements. The results for the amorphous TlSb₅S₈ (corresponding in composition to parapierrotite) suggest that in amorphous compound the Tl-S bonding is stronger and the coordination of Tl more regular than in a crystalline one.     

Numerical modelling of time-harmonic seismic wave fields in simple structures by the Gaussian beam method. Part II

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Eddy energy dissipation rate and puff diffusion during calms

The paper considers a puff diffusion in its inertial stage when particle separation obeys the laws of the inertial subrange and depends only on eddy energy dissipation rate . The can be determined in the surface layer by the turbulent kinetic energy equation. Similarity equations connect with diffusion measure .A simple analytical model has been deduced to estimate pollutants diffusion during calms.     

Numerical Modeling of the Ston-Slano (Croatia) Aftershock Sequence

The rate of aftershock occurrence after the M6 Ston-Slano (Croatia) earthquake is modeled as the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS). Increase of the modeled cumulative number of aftershocks with time was fitted to observations by the least-squares criterion using the combined grid-search and Monte-Carlo approach. This enabled not only the estimation of the most probable ETAS parameters, but also the determination of their confidence limits, as well as the estimation of the bias between them. It has been found that the bias is significant for some of the parameter pairs, regardless of the threshold magnitude assumed. Residual analyses revealed that all strong aftershocks (M _L 4.5) occurred during the periods of normal to high aftershock activity. There were two periods of quiescence in the sequence, both of which were followed by a strong aftershock.     

N–PLS regression as empirical downscaling tool in climate change studies

Summary An N–PLS regression technique was tested as an empirical downscaling method. Average monthly near-ground air temperature (t), specific humidity (q), and sea-level pressure (p) fields across Central and Western Europe were used as predictors for average monthly air temperature (T), dew temperature (D), and precipitation amount (P) at 4 locations in Slovenia. The empirical downscaling models (EM) were developed by means of available predictand data from the ARSO archive and predictor data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis project, for the period 1951–2002, separately for single months. Using the combination of t and p as predictors, the EM for T explained from 73% to 95% of predictand variability, for D from 74% to 97% of predictand variability, and for P from 31% to 76% of predictand variability. The use of q as an additional predictor did not improve the quality of the EM considerably. Developed EM using p and t as predictors were applied to the results of 5 general circulation models (GCM): CSIRO/Mk2, CCC/CGCM2, UKMO/HadCM3, DOE-NCAR/PCM, and MPI-DMI/ECHAM4-OPYC3. Only the simulations based on SRES A2 and B2 emission scenarios were considered in our calculations. Available mean monthly values of predictors for the period 1951–2100 were used. All the projections of GCM results indicate an increase in T and D and decrease in P in the 21^st century at all 4 locations. The expected range of changes in T, D, and P is wide due to the different response of GCM to identical changes in the atmospheric composition, and represents a source of uncertainty in empirical downscaling results. Another important source of uncertainty in empirical downscaling studies, especially when temperature dependent predictors are used, is the problem of extrapolation. By using the proper mathematical approach for EM development we only reduce a part of the uncertainty related to the quality of empirical models that also strongly depend on the quality of input data and predictor selection. The N–PLS regression seems to be a suitable choice of mathematical method, as the feature selection from a large number of predictor time series is not predictand independent. Finally, any climate change and impact studies for the future are affected by many other uncertainties that we have to be fully aware of, while interpreting their results.     

Simulating meander evolution of the Geul River (the Netherlands) using a topographic steering model

Active meandering rivers are capable of reworking and removing large quantities of valuable land. Therefore, understanding the characteristics of meandering rivers and predicting future meander behaviour can be of great value for local authorities. In this study, we apply a topographic steering meander model to the Geul River (southern Netherlands), using field data to calibrate the model. The present channel characteristics of the Geul River were mapped in the field. Cut‐banks were classified as erosive, unstable or stable. The model outcomes were compared with these field data. Several model runs were carried out, using different sets of parameter values. After studying the results and using the field data, we introduced the concept of a variable channel width in the simulation model. In reality, the river has different channel widths varying from 8 to more than 15 m. These widths are a linear function of local curvature. The model runs using a variable channel width show that the model is capable of predicting locations of lateral migration in conformity with observed active lateral migration and erosive banks. With both models, the sediment reworking time of the floodplain can be calculated. Floodplain reworking times of 200–300 years were calculated. In combination with the lateral migration rate, this reworking time is an important element in catchment sediment budget calculations. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Prediction of the median IDA curve by employing a limited number of ground motion records

A methodology has been proposed which can be used to reduce the number of ground motion records needed for the reliable prediction of the median seismic response of structures by means of incremental dynamic analysis (IDA). This methodology is presently limited to predictions of the median IDA curve only. The reduction in the number of ground motion records needed to predict the median IDA curve is achieved by introducing a precedence list of ground motion records. The determination of such a list is an optimization problem, which is solved in the paper by means of (1) a genetic algorithm and (2) a proposed simple procedure. The seismic response of a simple, computationally non‐demanding structural model has been used as input data for the optimization problem. The presented example is a three‐storey‐reinforced concrete building, subjected to two sets of ground motion records, one a free‐field set and the other a near‐field set. It is shown that the median IDA curves can be predicted with acceptable accuracy by employing only four ground motion records instead of the 24 or 30 records, which are the total number of ground motion records for the free‐field and near‐field sets, respectively. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

遗传算法在边坡抗震稳定性分析中的应用

根据遗传算法的思想和拟静力瑞典法基于圆弧滑动面的假定，提出一种用遗传算法搜索最危险滑动面及其对应的最小安全系数的方法。该方法模拟了生物遗传进化过程，克服了传统方法容易陷和局部极小值的缺点，是一种全局优化算法。并通过一个工程实例对其进行了验证。