秦巴山区近30年暴雨和短时强降水时空特征分析

利用秦巴山区44个国家级自动观测站的数据,统计分析1992—2021年秦巴山区暴雨和短时强降水时空特征。结果表明：秦巴山区年平均暴雨日为214 d,近30 a暴雨日呈增加趋势,巴山地区的暴雨日远多于秦岭山区;暴雨集中在6—9月,占全年暴雨日的879%,上半年的暴雨以局地暴雨为主,下半年区域性暴雨比例则明显增加,7月局地暴雨和区域性暴雨均为全年最多。秦巴山区暴雨日与年平均降水量自北向南有增加趋势,而暴雨贡献率自北向南则有减小趋势;年平均降水量南多北少,暴雨平均降水量西多东少。秦巴山区年平均短时强降水频次为58 h,自北向南有增加趋势,其中秦岭山区自西向东短时强降水的强度呈增加趋势,尤其在秦岭东北部多站的雨强大于70 mm/h。秦巴山区短时强降水呈明显的“夜雨”特征,午后为次高峰。     

1960-2015年中国绿洲胡杨生长季对全球变暖的时空响应及原因（英文）

Daily average temperature data from 48 meteorological stations in Chinese oases that are within the distribution area of Populus euphratica were analyzed to determine the spatiotemporal responses of this tree to climate change. Specifically, the start and end date as well as the number of days that comprised the growing season were analyzed with a multi-year trend line and using the Mann-Kendall mutation test, inverse distance weighted interpolation(IDW) in the software Arc GIS, a Morlet wavelet power spectrum, and correlation analysis. The results of this study show that, over the last 56 years, the start date of the P. euphratica growing season has advanced, while the end date has been postponed, and the number of days that comprise the growing season have gradually increased. The changing trend rates recovered in this analysis for these three time slices are –1.34 d/10 a, 1.33 d/10 a, and 2.66 d/10 a(α≥ 0.001), respectively. Data show that while spatial disparity is extremely significant, it is nevertheless the case that along a southwest-to-northeast transect of Chinese oases, the later the start date of the P. euphratica season, the sooner the end data and the shorter the growing season. Mutations points in start and end date, as well as for the growing season overall were observed in 2001, 1989, and 1996, respectively, and the data presented in this paper show that, in particular, the date of this end of this period is most sensitive to climate warming. Growing season cycles for P. euphratica are between 3.56 years and 7.14 years, consistent with the periodicity of El Ni?o events, while a start date cycle between 3.56 years and 4.28 years is consistent with atmospheric circulation cyclicity. The causal analysis presented in this paper shows that the Asian polar vortex area index(APVAI), the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau index(TPI), the westerly circulation index(WCI), and carbon dioxide emissions(CDE) are the main factors influencing spatiotemporal changes in the growth of P. euphratica, the effect of latitude during the growing season is more significant than altitude, and the start date of the growing season is more significantly influenced by these factors than end date. In addition, data show that the start date, end date, and length of the growing season are all significantly correlated with their average corresponding monthly temperature(corre-lation coefficients are –0.875, 0.770, and 0.897; α≥0.001). Thus, if the average temperature in March increases by 1℃, the start date of the growing season will advance by 2.21 days, while if the average temperature in October increases by the same margin then the seasonal end date will be delayed by 2.76 days. Similarly, if the average temperature between March and October increases by 1℃, the growing season will be extended by 7.78 days. The results of this study corroborate the fact that changes in the P. euphratica growing are sensitive to regional warming and are thus of considerable theoretical significance to our understanding of the responses of Chinese vegetation to climate change as well as to ecological restoration.     

结合3DS Max和MultiGen Creator进行三维城市建模的研究

研究了3DS Max和MultiGen Creator结合建模的新方法,通过项目实践,证明了此方法建立的三维模型在动态漫游中取得了很好的效果,既保证了模型的精度,又符合实时渲染的数据要求。     

基于时空热点分析的城市交通违法行为特征识别方法

交通违法行为是引发交通事故的重要原因,然而现有研究主要关注交通违法行为的整体特征,缺少面向交通违法治理需求的分析框架。本文基于时空热点分析方法,提出从热点区域时间分布特征和典型时段热点区域空间分布特征两个角度识别交通违法行为特征的分析框架,分别用于支撑局部交通违法热点以及全局违法模式的原因分析和精准治理。基于该方法对福州市的机动车和非机动车（含行人）违法行为特征进行了识别分析,结果表明：机动车和非机动车违法行为在时间维度均呈现出9:00和16:00一日双峰特征,在空间维度呈现出“一片区、多热点”的聚集分布特征。二者也存在明显差异,具体表现为：① 在时间维度,非机动车违法行为呈现出更大的变化幅度,高峰时段与中午低谷时段、工作日与周末的违法行为数量差异均明显高于机动车;② 在空间维度,机动车违法行为在商业中心、医院等重要场所和交通枢纽呈现出聚集特征,分布范围更广,而非机动车违法行为则主要在人流量大且人车混行严重的城市中心路口区域呈现聚集特征;③ 不同违法热点地区产生的原因存在差异,需要有针对性制定治理措施。上述发现表明了本文方法能够全面快速识别交通违法行为特征,可以帮助指导城市交通违法行为动态监测分析系统建设,为持续优化城市交通现场执法警力动态分配以及交通违法行为精准治理提供决策支持。     

中国中、新生代含油气盆地构造和动力学背景

中国有大约26个含油气盆地。盆地主要有两种类型:(1)伸展盆地;(2)前陆(或挠曲)盆地。第一种伸展盆地主要位于东部,第二种前陆盆地主要位于中部和西北地区。本文讨论了伸展和前陆盆地的以下特征:(1)沉降史;(2)热史;(3)构造样式和运动学。结合深部地球物理和火山岩资料,确定了盆地的地球动力学背景,并且推测盆地形成与西太平洋板俯冲作用和特提斯洋闭合有关。     

东北地区前中生代构造演化及其与晚中生代盆地发育的关系

摘　 要　 东北地区前中生代构造演化可大致分为如下阶段：（1） 中、新元古代阶段;（2） 早古 生代加里东阶段;（3） 泥盆纪—早石炭世早华力西阶段;（4） 晚石炭世—三叠纪晚华力西—印 支阶段。多旋回构造演化使该区形成由多期褶皱带和多中间或边缘地块组成的 “镶嵌构造 区”‚并为晚中生代大型含油气盆地的发育奠定了基础。     

张河湾水库地区断层的ESR年龄测定

本文叙述了电子自旋共振(简称ESR)法所测定的河北省张河湾水库F₁、F₇断层的年龄,将ESR年龄和以往测试的TL年龄进行对比,两种方法测试结果基本吻合,证明ESR测定第四纪断层的可能性,F₁、F₇断层的年龄值均大于定义的活动断层年龄值下限(1.1×104a)。因此,它们不属活动断层,这个结论也被其它地质观测手段所证实。      

依法搞好县级行政区域界线勘界测绘

1 勘界工作情况概述 党中央国务院决定用5年的时间在我国陆地全面开展省、县两级行政区域界线的勘定工作。全面勘界这在我国历史上是第一次。这项工作时间之紧,规模之大,涉及面之广,技术要求之高,政策性之强是当今世界上很多国家想办而办不到的事。要完成好这一艰巨的任务,第一,要认真学习国务院《关于开展勘定省、县两级行政区域界线工作的有关问题的通知》即国发[1996]32号文件。坚持以邓小平同志建设有中国特色的社会主义理论为指针,从国家和人民的根本利益出发,坚持实事求是、顾全大局、互谅互让的原则,依法“核定法定线,勘定习惯线,解决争议线”,促进全国各族人民的大团结和社会的长治久安。第二,要求各级地方人民政府成立勘界工作领导小组和办公室,     

近40年湖南洪涝灾害的演变趋势及其成因

利用湖南５２个代表站１９５８￣１９９８年４￣９月的降水资料,确定了洪涝年,分析了近４０年湖南洪涝的特征和演变趋势。在此基础上,探讨了近期洪涝灾害日益严重的原因。它们是：气候背景因素,大气环流异常,厄尔尼诺的影响,洞庭湖的水文特性和面积锐减,社会因素。     

廊道高精度垂直钻孔施工技术

根据南水北调工程的需要,丹江大坝必须加高１４．６ｍ。为确保大坝安全有效地运行,必须准确有效地监测坝体及坝基的位移变形状况。为此,我们鄂西北地矿所承担了大坝廊道内高精度垂直钻孔（简称倒垂孔）的施工任务。１工程要求在高２．９５ｍ,宽２．４５ｍ的廊道内距廊...