美国加州帕克菲尔德附近的土耳基平地场地效应试验区的弱运动观测和模拟

为了测定弱运动场地响应的稳定性和试验土工技术测量预测场地响应的能力,在穿过加州帕克菲尔德附近的土耳基平地(Turkey Flat)场地效应试验区的一些场地,对经验转换函数和理论场地放大作用函数进行了比较。用傅里叶振幅频谱比方法,对给定场地测定了相对于基岩参考场地的观测场地响应。进行了两种单独的研究:剖面研究和特定场地研究。相隔2km的两个横跨谷地岩石的台站之间的表面基岩场地响应差异不超过30％。在剖面研究中,在距试验区的谷地上间隔100m的一些场地使用的探测器间隔为10和20m。跨过10m的探测器间隔,表面硬土场地响应可重复测得,差异不超过30％。在硬土场地响应中,对于20m的探测器间隔,存在偶尔出现的显著变化,在10～20Hz频带内可差2至3倍。在硬土场地响应中,对于探测器间隔为100m时存在系统的变化,在5～20Hz频带内相对于土层厚度的变化可差3至10倍。在土耳基平地发现了特定场地弱运动平均频谱比和其标准偏差,可用作硬土条件强运动转换函数的经验预测值。使用由计算机程序SHAKE得到的相对放大作用函数模拟了观测的转换函数。使用接近原地测量的阻尼值,比使用实验室实验测定的阻尼值获得了共振峰值振幅更好的拟合。土耳基平地标准土工技术模型的不精确性(Real,1988),导致了计算的弱运动转换函数与观测的弱运动转换函数相比的不精确性。观测转换函数的模拟表明,模型拟合对5％的S波速度变化敏感。土耳基平地现场测量S波速度有10％～20％的误差。这一情况表明,仅仅根据现场土工技术的测量,对弱运动的精确和一致的预测是不可能的。     

A SIMPLIFIED APPROACH TO MODELING 3D SEDIMENT-LADEN TURBULENT FLOWS

ＡＳＩＭＰＬＩＦＩＥＤＡＰＰＲＯＡＣＨＴＯＭＯＤＥＬＩＮＧ３ＤＳＥＤＩＭＥＮＴ－ＬＡＤＥＮＴＵＲＢＵＬＥＮＴＦＬＯＷＳＤｏｎｇｈｕｏＺＨＯＵａｎｄＳａｍＳ．Ｙ．ＷＡＮＧＡｂｓｔｒａｃｔ：Ａ３－ｄｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｍｏｄｅｌｆｏｒｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｎｇｓ...     

A NEW QUANTITATIVE WAY FOR DETERMINING LEAF AREA INDEXAND NET PRIMARY PRODUCTIVITY IN REGIONAL SCALE

IntroductionThemaJorpurposeforremotesensingistoobtuinqUantitativevaluabledrirmationonvanousaPplicahons.PanicularlybiophysicalparametersinwionalandglobalscaleareofintereSttoanumberofdomams.ForinStancem,croPyteldestiInatinleafareaindex,chiorophyllcontentandheightofcroparecruaalindex.EvaPotranSirationinroponalscalenedstogctdistnbtaloninformationofcrophdghttoinferrowiessOfsuffoceandsoon.AsthoopthenormaldifferenceVegetaonindex(NDVI)hasbecameaverypoPularmethodtoeinmateLAI,therelationshipbet…     

白垩纪红层冰筏沉积的古气候及古地理意义

冰筏沉积是负载沉积物的冰块进入海洋或湖泊中，冰块融化沉积物附落所形成的，它们可形成于高海拔具有明显气候垂直分带的低纬度地区或者是高纬度地区。我们在研究松辽盆地白垩纪古气候时，首次在泉头组层中发现冰筏沉积。根据泉头组孢粉组合的研究透明，它们除了具有热带－亚热植物的孢粉以外，还有少量喜冷分子混生现象。     

The structure of low frequency phenomena in the tropics and its interaction with the extratropics

The structure of planetary scale low frequency phenomena in the tropics is studied, and an attempt is made to de-termine its influence and interactions with phenomena at higher latitudes.In the tropics, it is found that the majority of the variance in the zonal wind structure is made up in wave num-bers 1 and 2. During warm events in the Pacific Ocean, when the Southern Oscillation Index is negative, almost all of the variance resides in the gravest mode which undergoes a 40o eastward phase shift. Meanwhile, the second logitudinal mode almost disappears. On the other hand, the meridional wind field possesses maximum amplitude at higher wave numbers. However, near the equator, the amplitude is small with extreme values occurring in the subtropics. The difference in scale and the location of extrema of the meridional and zonal wind components indicate that the tropical atmosphere is responding to two different driving mechanisms,Correlation analyses between variations of the zonal wind at reference points along the equator with variations of component elsewhere show that there are strong logitudinal connections. The strongest correlations between the tropics and higher latitudes exist in the region of the equatorial westerlies. In fact, stronger correlations occur between variations in U anywhere along the equator and the middle latitudes to the north and south of the equatorial wester-lies than to the latitudes immediately to the north and south of the reference points. We interpret this “remote” corre-lation pattern as indicating a two-stage teleconnection process which emphasizes the importance of the equatorial tropical westerlies of the Pacific Ocean as a “corridor” of communication between the low and high latitudes. The regionality of the correlations confirms, to some extent, recent theoretical development regarding trapped equatorial modes. Finally, time lagged correlations from plus and minus six months between variations of U and OLR indicate that the interactions between the extratropics and low latitudes possess an organized sequence. The extratropical in-fluence appears to propagate into the tropics followed by an eastward propagation along the equator. Finally, a propagation from the tropics to the extratropics in the upper troposphere occurs in the eastern Pacific Ocean. The time-lagged correlation sequence does not appear to be symmetric about the equator.     

Some experiments with multivariate objective analysis scheme of heights and winds using optimum interpolation

A two-dimensional, multitvariate objective analysis scheme for simultaneous analysis of geopotential height and wind fields has been developed over Indian and adjoining region for use in numerical weather prediction. The height-height correlations calculated using daily data of four July months (1976-1979), are used to derive the other autocorrelations and cross-correlations assuming geostropic relationship. A Gaussian function is used to model the autocorrelation function. Since the scheme is multivariate the regression coefficients (weights) are matrix.Near the equator, the geostrophic approximation relating mass and wind is decoupled in a way similar to Bergman (1979). The objective analyses were made over Indian and adjoining region for 850, 700, 500, 300 and 200 hPa levels for the period from 4 July to 8 July 1979, 12 GMT. The analyses obtained using multivariate optimum in-terpolation scheme depict the synoptic situations satisfactorily. The analyses were also compared with the FGGE ana-lyses (from ECMWF) and also with the station observations by computing the root mean square (RMS) errors and the RMS errors are comparable with those obtained in other similar studies.     

气候变化影响的研究

由于大气中温室气体的增加,导致世界气候变暖,可能影响到生态环境和社会经济。这是政府间一批专家关于全球气候变暖的影响所作的重要工作。来自24个国家和地区的150多名学者和专家参加会议并准备了     

Numerical study on dry deposition processes in canopy layer

A coupling model between the canopy layer (CL) and atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) for the study of dry deposition velocity is developed. The model consists of six parts: chemical species conservation equation including absorptive factor; the species uptake action including detailed vertical variation of absorptive element in CL; momen-tum exchange in CL which is represented by a first-order closure momentum equation with an additional larger-scale diffusive term; momentum exchange in ABL which is described by a complete set of the ABL turbulent statistic parameters; absorptivity (or solubility or reflection) at the surface including effects of the physical and chemi-cal characters of the species, land type, seasonal and diurnal variations of the meteorological variables; and deposition velocity derived by distributions of the species with height in CL. Variational rules of the concentration and deposi-tion velocity with both height and time are simulated with the model for both corn and forest canopies. Results pre-dicted with the bulk deposition velocity derived in the paper consist well with experimental data.     

Longitudinal heating gradient: Another possible factor influencing the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation

The Largest longitudinal heating gradients in the tropics exist between the African desert and Asian convective regions during summer once the South Asian monsoon is established. The heating gradients are anchored by the la-tent heat release and net radiative flux convergence over the monsoon region, and by the dominant net radiative flux divergence over the desert.An apparent relationship is found between the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation and the longitudinal healing gradients mentioned, in addition to the latitudinal heating gradients cross the monsoon region. The monsoon circulation measured in terms of the zonal wind component is stronger when the longitudinal heating gradients are large, and vice versa. Thus, we claim that the longitudinal heating gradient may be another important factor which influences the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation. There is little evidence that the interannual variability of the longitudinal heating gradients between Africa and Asia and, thus, the intensity of the Asian summer monsoon circulation, is a strong function of the El Nino / Southern Oscillation cycle.     

数值天气预报的进展和展望

本文系统地回顾了近10-15年来中期数值天气预报在数值模拟、资料同化、业务预报技巧、模式系统误差方面的研究进展.着重介绍了欧洲中心ECMWF业务预报模式和资料同化系统的主要变化.最后,对数值天气预报的未来前景作一展望.