人工增雨防雹火箭弹道跟踪系统的研制及初步试验

由于受到高空风场的影响,人工增雨防雹火箭真实的弹道轨迹和射程与理论弹道值具有不一致性。为增强实施增雨防雹作业的科学性、精准性及其作业效果评估准确性,研制了一套人工增雨防雹火箭播撒作业跟踪系统。该系统分为火箭定位系统和数据传输系统两部分,利用卫星定位模块加上数据传输电台模式将火箭飞行轨迹实时传输至地面。并开展了一次人工增雨防雹火箭弹道跟踪实弹发射试验,发射两发人工增雨防雹测试火箭,除初始阶段4～5 s卫星定位失锁而没有数据外,其余时间所有数据均接收完整。结合高空风场数据对人工增雨防雹测试火箭进行风偏修正后的实际弹道更接近于理论弹道,风偏修正意义明显,有利于增雨防雹火箭精准作业。     

安徽省酷热天气分析及预报指标

基于安徽省1961-2017年逐日地面最高气温资料,采用Mann-Kendall法对安徽省高温天气事件进行突变分析,发现安徽省2000年后高温事件明显增加。为分析安徽省酷热天气特征和产生机理,文中挑选了35~37℃高温天气个例对比分析。结果发现:1)500 hPa西太平洋副高位置和850 hPa气温对酷热天气预报的指示性最好。2)受西太平洋副热带高压不同位置控制,安徽省增温机制不同:当为高压中心控制时,太阳辐射在增温过程中起决定性作用,安徽省易出现酷热天气;当高压中心位于海上,脊线位于安徽省附近时,安徽省高温强度较弱。通过酷热天气个例研究和合成平均分析,文中总结了安徽省酷热天气预报指标。     

Profiling Planctomycetales diversity with reference to anammox‐related bacteria in a South China Sea,deep‐sea sediment

A systematic assessment of Planctomycetales diversity in a South China Sea, deep‐sea sediment (1657 m) was conducted using the 16S rRNA gene analysis approach. PCR amplification of the samples from seven sediment layers (0.1, 1, 3, 5, 7, 9 and 11 m below the surface sediment) using the primer set Pla‐46‐F/1392‐R showed that the Planctomycetales existed within a limited range of sediment depths (≤ 5 m), and had a decreasing trend in diversity with increasing depth. The majority of the retrieved Pla‐46‐F/1392‐R sequences belonged to Pirellula‐related Planctomycetales, and two sequences retrieved from the 0.1‐m layer (GenBank accession numbers: DQ996944 and DQ996945 ) shared the same anammox‐related signature oligonucleotides and were closely related to commonly recognized anammox organisms. To identify new anammox‐related biomarkers, three primer sets were designed for amplifying the fragments of hydroxylamine oxidoreductase and S‐adenosylmethionine radical enzyme genes, but no related sequences were found. Our multiple 16S rRNA gene primer sets (Journal of Rapid Methods and Automation in Microbiology, 2008, in press) revealed even an higher diversity of Planctomycetales in the 0.1‐m layer of the sediment, especially at genus level. Our data profiled the distribution pattern of Planctomycetales diversity along sediment depths, and provided molecular evidence for the existence of anammox‐related bacteria in a new location, which broadens our understanding of Planctomycetales diversity in deep sea sediments.     

Hydrological character and sea-current structure in the front of Amery Ice Shelf

Hydrological character and Sea-current profiles structure are studied andanalyzed in sea-area of the front of Amery Ice Shelf,Prydz Bay with LADCP,CTDdata.These LADCP,CTD data were acquired during the 19th Chinese Antarctic Sci-entific Expedition.Results of this study agree with that,there exist four differentkinds of water masses in the area of the front of Amery Ice Shelf in the summer of Ant-arctica.Current distribution presents a semi-circumfluence which flows in at the eastand flows out in the west.Moreover,clockwise and anti-clockwise vortices werefound in upper layer and mid-layer in the Prydz Bay.Western areas of these anti-clockwise vortices are positions of inflows from Prydz Bay to Amery Ice Shelf.Thesource of these inflows is the coastal westward current originated in the east of PrydzBay.All these characteristics come down to the pattern of circumfluence,ice meltrate under Ice Shelf,scale of Ice Shelf water production and form of water exchangesbetween area of Ice Shelf and area of Prydz Bay.     

The secular variation of inner zone high energy proton environment in the SAA

The main portion of the inner radiation belt en-countered by spacecraft in low-Earth orbits (LEOs) is concentrated over the South Atlantic Anomaly (SAA) where satellites observed the highest particle flux. The anomaly arises from the Earth’s magnetic field being less intense in the region centered near the east of the Atlantic coast of South America. The trapped radiation belt particles therefore have their lowest mirroring altitudes over the center region of the SAA. Drift shells in t…     

Preliminary assessment of the impacts of deep foundations and land reclamation on groundwater flow in a coastal area in Hong Kong, China

Many coastal areas have been intensively urbanized because people living and working on or near coastlines are increasing. Land reclamation from the sea and high-rise buildings are common approaches to satisfying the growing needs for more housing and other land use. Coastal areas are usually the ultimate discharge zones of groundwater systems. Using a coastal area in Hong Kong as a case study, this paper discusses the change in a groundwater system due to land reclamation and construction of building foundations in a coastal area. The upper part of the study area is in a nearly natural state, whereas the lower part is probably one of the most extensively developed areas in the world. It is evident that the groundwater flow system in this area has been changed over the last century. The piezometers in the transitional zone between the natural slopes and the urbanized areas indicate significant response to rainfall and obvious upward groundwater flow. To understand these piezometric responses to rainfall, a cross section is selected for detailed study using a two-dimensional multilayered numerical model. The parameters and structure of the aquifer system are calibrated by comparing the simulated and observed water levels. To reproduce the observed behavior of the groundwater system, the model has to include two important characteristics: a highly permeable zone at the rockhead and a reduction in hydraulic conductivity of 14–20 times in the urbanized area. The simulation demonstrates that both land reclamation along the coastline and deep foundations have contributed to the modification of the flow system, but the deep foundations have the most profound impact, especially when a high conductivity zone is present at the rockhead.

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Resumen Muchas áreas costeras han sido urbanizadas de manera intensiva, debido a la presión creciente de la gente que quiere vivir y trabajar en estos sitios. Los terrenos arrebatados al mar y los edificios de gran altura, son las respuestas comunes para satisfacer las necesidades de mas vivienda y usos nuevos para el suelo. Las áreas costeras son comúnmente las zonas de descarga final de los sistemas de agua subterránea. A través de un área costera en Hong Kong, tomada como estudio de caso, este artículo discute el cambio causado en un sistema de agua subterránea, debido a la recuperación de terrenos anteriormente cubiertos por el mar y a la construcción de cimientos de edificios en la zona costera. La parte más alta de la área de estudio está casi en su estado natural, mientras que la parte baja es probablemente una de las áreas más extensas en su tipo y más desarrolladas en el mundo. Es evidente que el sistema de flujo del agua subterránea en esta área ha sido cambiado a lo largo del último siglo. Los piezómetros en la zona transicional, entre los taludes naturales y las áreas urbanizadas, muestran una respuesta notable a la lluvia y un flujo evidente hacia arriba del agua subterránea. Para entender estas respuestas piezométricas a la lluvia, se seleccionó una sección vertical para estudio detallado, utilizando un modelo numérico bidimensional multicapa. Los parámetros y estructura del sistema acuífero son calibrados mediante la comparación de los niveles de agua observados y simulados. Para reproducir el comportamiento observado del sistema de agua subterránea, el modelo ha incluido dos características importantes: Una zona altamente permeable en la parte más elevada y una reducción de 14 a 20 veces en la conductividad hidráulica, dentro de la zona urbanizada. La simulación demuestra que tanto los terrenos recuperados del mar, como las cimentaciones profundas a lo largo de la línea de costa, han contribuido a la modificación del sistema de flujo, pero las cimentaciones profundas han causado el mayor impacto, especialmente cuando se presenta una zona de alta conductividad en la parte más elevada del área.

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Résumé La plupart des zones côtières ont été intensivement urbanisé due à la croissance de la population qui travaille et vive sur les zones littorales. La récupération des terrains sur la mer ainsi que la construction des grandes immeubles sont les moyens usuels utilisés pour satisfaire les demandes accrues de logement. Dhabitude les zones côtières représentent lexutoire final des aquifères. En utilisant la zones côtière de Hong Kong comme un étude de cas cet article analyse les changements dans les systèmes aquifères produits par la récupération des terrains et par les fondations des grandes immeubles. Tendis que la partie supérieure de la zone étudiée se trouve presque à létat naturel, la partie inférieure représente une des zones les plus développée du monde. Il est donc évident que la circulation des eaux souterraines a été modifiée pendant le dernière siècle. Les piézomètres remplacés entre les versants et la zone urbanisée montrent une réponse significative aux précipitations ainsi quune hausse générale des niveaux. Pour mieux comprendre la réponse des niveaux aux plues on a modélisé lécoulement dans une coupe vericale en utilisant un modèle numérique multicouches. Les paramètres et la strucure du système aquifère ont été calés en comparant les niveaux calculés et mesurés. Affin de reproduire les niveaux mesurés le modèle doit considérer deux caratéristiques importantes: une zone périglaciaire à grande perméabilité et une diminution jusqu à vingt fois de la perméabilité dans les zone urbanisées. La simulation a mis en évidence que les récupération des terrains au long du littoral aussi bien que les fondations profondes ont modifié lécoulement mais que les dernières ont limpact le plus important surtout lorsquil sagit de la zone périglaciaire à grande perméabilité.

     

北极海冰快速减少期间加拿大海盆上层海洋夏季淡水含量变化

北极海冰近年来快速减少,北冰洋淡水含量也出现了急剧变化。加拿大海盆作为北冰洋淡水的主要存储区域,研究其淡水含量变化对于认识北冰洋淡水收支有重要意义。本文根据2003年、2008年中国北极考察以及2004年至2007年的加拿大考察数据进行计算,发现除2006年以外,夏季加拿大海盆淡水含量在此期间每年增加1m以上厚度。增加主要发生在冬季白令海水以上的上层海水中,而在此之下,淡水含量维持在3m左右,没有显著年际差异。在2006年,加拿大海盆西部上层淡水含量略微减少,但东部和北部海域淡水含量仍略有增加。与2003年相比,2008年加拿大海盆中心海区淡水含量增加量最高可达7m。分析表明,近年来的海冰减退对加拿大海盆上层淡水含量的增加起着重要作用,北极涛动(AO)正负相位变化也是控制其淡水含量变化的一个重要因素。而降水、径流以及白令海峡入流水的变化对加拿大海盆淡水含量变化影响较小。     

无限长土坡滑移变形模拟

从建立土体应力平衡微分方程入手,在平面应变的假定下求解均质无限长土坡的应力平衡方程。通过拟定坡土的滑移速度和粘塑性应变率的关系式,以剑桥模型为依托,得出滑移变形速率的显式表达式,由此推出土坡滑动位移的计算式。因为模型计算值与实测值无论变形趋势还是大小都有不少误差,所以经修正粘滞性参数来改进模型的模拟精度。最后通过一个算例,将现场实测滑移数据和模型计算值进行比较,分析表明二者较为一致。     

Adaptation models of mountain glacier tourism to climate change: a case study of Mt. Yulong Snow scenic area

Mountain glaciers have an obvious location advantage and tourist market condition over polar and high latitude glaciers. Due to the enormous economic benefit and heritage value, some mountain glaciers will always receive higher attention from commercial media, government departments and mountain tourists in China and abroad. At present, more than 100 glaciers have been developed successfully as famous tourist destinations all over the world. However, global climate change seriously affects mountain glaciers and its surrounding environment. According to the current accelerated retreat trend, natural and cultural landscapes of some glaciers will be weakened, even disappear in the future. Climate change will also inevitably affect mountain ecosystems, and tourism routes under ice and glacier experience activities in these ecosystems. Simultaneously, the disappearance of mountain glaciers will also lead to a clear reduction of tourism and local economic benefits. Based on these reasons, this paper took Mt. Yulong Snow scenic area as an example and analyzed the retreat trend of a typical glacier. We then put forward some scientific and rational response mechanisms and adaptation models based on climate change in order to help future sustainable development of mountain glacier tourism.