The IDC Seismic,Hydroacoustic and Infrasound Global Low and High Noise Models

The International Data Centre (IDC) in Vienna, Austria, is determining, as part of automatic processing, sensor noise levels for all seismic, hydroacoustic, and infrasound (SHI) stations in the International Monitoring System (IMS) operated by the Provisional Technical Secretariat of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO). Sensor noise is being determined several times per day as a power spectral density (PSD) using the Welch overlapping method. Based on accumulated PSD statistics a probability density function (PDF) is also determined, from which low and high noise curves for each sensor are extracted. Global low and high noise curves as a function of frequency for each of the SHI technologies are determined as the minimum and maximum of the individual station low and high noise curves, respectively, taken over the entire network of contributing stations. An attempt is made to ensure that only correctly calibrated station data contributes to the global noise models by additionally considering various automatic detection statistics. In this paper global low and high noise curves for 2010 are presented for each of the SHI monitoring technologies. Except for a very slight deviation at the microseism peak, the seismic global low noise model returns identically the Peterson (1993) NLNM low noise curve. The global infrasonic low noise model is found to agree with that of Bowman et al. (2005, 2007) but disagrees with the revised results presented in Bowman et al. (2009) by a factor of 2 in the calculation of the PSD. The global hydroacoustic low and high noise curves are found to be in quantitative agreement with Urick’s oceanic ambient noise curves for light to heavy shipping. Whale noise is found to be a feature of the hydroacoustic high noise curves at around 15 and 25 Hz.     

Analysis of Radionuclide Releases from the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant Accident Part II

The present part of the publication (Part II) deals with long range dispersion of radionuclides emitted into the atmosphere during the Fukushima Dai-ichi accident that occurred after the March 11, 2011 tsunami. The first part (Part I) is dedicated to the accident features relying on radionuclide detections performed by monitoring stations of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization network. In this study, the emissions of the three fission products Cs-137, I-131 and Xe-133 are investigated. Regarding Xe-133, the total release is estimated to be of the order of 6 × 10¹⁸ Bq emitted during the explosions of units 1, 2 and 3. The total source term estimated gives a fraction of core inventory of about 8 × 10¹⁸ Bq at the time of reactors shutdown. This result suggests that at least 80 % of the core inventory has been released into the atmosphere and indicates a broad meltdown of reactor cores. Total atmospheric releases of Cs-137 and I-131 aerosols are estimated to be 10¹⁶ and 10¹⁷ Bq, respectively. By neglecting gas/particulate conversion phenomena, the total release of I-131 (gas + aerosol) could be estimated to be 4 × 10¹⁷ Bq. Atmospheric transport simulations suggest that the main air emissions have occurred during the events of March 14, 2011 (UTC) and that no major release occurred after March 23. The radioactivity emitted into the atmosphere could represent 10 % of the Chernobyl accident releases for I-131 and Cs-137.     

一种新的基于卡尔曼滤波的地震记录同相轴跟踪方法及性能分析

在地震勘探领域中,卡尔曼滤波常用于地震信号的反褶积以提高地震勘探资料的分辨率和信噪比. 不同于此,本文建立一个新的卡尔曼滤波系统模型并利用卡尔曼滤波跟踪地震记录同相轴. 同相轴信息在对地下介质性质、界面的深度、界面的产状以及油气定性判别等方面具有极其重要的作用. 目前多数拾取地震同相轴的方法与地震波的运动规律结合较少.本文依据地震反射波运动规律构建了用于跟踪地震反射同相轴的卡尔曼滤波系统的状态方程和量测方程,并将炮检距、地震子波到达时和层速度等重要物理量融入所建方程,给出滤波模型和初始化方法,分析不同因素对该系统滤波性能的影响. 仿真实验表明,所提出的跟踪滤波系统能较好地拾取地震反射同相轴信息,为拾取地震同相轴提供了一条新途径.     

Pyroclastic flow erosion and bulking processes: comparing field-based vs. modeling results at Tungurahua volcano,Ecuador

Pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) are high-temperature and high-velocity mixtures that threaten populations in the vicinity of many active volcanoes. Deciphering the cause of their remarkable mobility is essential for volcanic hazard analysis, but remains difficult because of the complex processes occurring within the flows. Here, we investigate the effect of bulking on dense PDC mobility by means of a double approach. First, we estimate the amount of material incorporated into scoria flows emplaced during the August 2006 eruption of Tungurahua volcano, Ecuador. For this, we carry out a detailed analysis of 3D-corrected digital images of well-exposed scoria flow deposits. Componentry analysis indicates that PDC bulking occurs principally on the steep (>25°) upper slope of the volcano, and the deposits typically comprise 40–50 wt% of non-juvenile (i.e., accessory and accidental) material. Secondly, we develop a simple stress-related grain-by-grain equation of erosion combined with two simple depth-averaged geophysical mass-flow models that compare the bulking mechanism to a non-fluidized and a fluidized flow. Two behaviors based on Coulomb and plastic rheologies are used to reproduce, on a first order basis, the 2006 Tungurahua PDCs. Cross-check comparisons between these modeled cases and the erosion pattern inferred from field-based data allow us to evaluate the accuracy of our modeling assumptions. Regardless of the rheological regime, the PDC-induced erosion pattern of the 2006 Tungurahua eruption can only be reproduced by fluctuations of the flow’s basal shear stress during emplacement. Such variations are controlled by flow thinning-thickening processes, notably through the formation of a thick non-erosive flow body that pushes a thin frictional erosive front during PDC emplacement. The input volume of juvenile material, as well as the thickness of the erodible layer available prior to the eruption, are additional key parameters. Our work highlights complexities in PDC erosion and bulking processes that deserve further study. In terms of hazard assessment, our findings reveal that incorporation and bulking translate into increased flow mobility, i.e., the augmented flow mass enhances both flow velocity and runout distance (up to 20 %). These outcomes should be considered closely for hazard analysis at many other andesitic volcanoes worldwide where similar PDC events are common.     

全球大洋季节内尺度上海-气相互作用特征分析

判定局地海-气相互作用的特征对海-气耦合模式中应用哪种形式的“强迫模拟”具有重要指导作用。本文根据海表热通量异常与海表温度异常及海表温度变率之间的相关关系,对全球大洋季节内尺度上的海-气相互作用特征进行了综合分析。结果表明:(1)南、北半球亚热带地区海-气相互作用的特征主要表现为大气对海洋的强迫,且在夏季(北半球为6—8月,南半球为12—翌年2月)强迫作用的范围最大,冬季强迫作用的范围最小;(2)赤道中、东太平洋及赤道大西洋地区海-气相互作用的特征全年表现为海洋对大气的强迫,印度洋索马里沿岸、阿拉伯海以及孟加拉湾地区仅在6—8月表现出海洋强迫大气的现象,而孟加拉湾则在9—11月表现为大气强迫海洋;(3)45°N(S)以上的高纬度地区海表温度的异常和变率无法用局地热通量的交换来解释,这是因为该区域海表温度的变化主要由平流等海洋内部动力过程决定,因此海-气之间在季节内尺度上的相互作用不明显。在某些海区,季节内尺度上的海-气相互作用关系与季节以上时间尺度的这种关系可能会有明显不同。     

2009年7月7日南京短时暴雨的中尺度特征分析

利用FY-2C卫星红外辐射亮度温度(T_BB)资料、多普勒天气雷达资料、加密自动站资料、NECP再分析资料、常规观测资料对2009年7月7日发生在南京地区的一次短时大暴雨过程的中尺度特征进行分析,结果表明:在有利的天气尺度背景形势下,多个中尺度对流系统在南京地区合并,合并后的中尺度对流系统强度强,移速慢,造成了南京地区的强降水。这次短时暴雨的中尺度特征在云图T_BB资料上表现为对流云团合并后强度和范围显著增强,移速缓慢,T_BB梯度大值区在南京地区停留;在地面风场上体现为南移的中尺度辐合线与南京地区局地生成的中尺度辐合中心合并,使得地面风场辐合显著增强;在雷达回波上表现为,南京地区上空不断有对流单体并入形成大面积高效率降水回波,镶嵌其中的γ尺度对流单体沿着相同方向依次通过南京地区。分析中还发现,低空急流、低空切变线是这次短时暴雨天气过程的重要影响系统,利用多普勒雷达资料可以识别和分析它们的发展、变化特征,为短时暴雨的临近预报提供依据。     

In-situ Trace Element Analysis Characteristics of Pyrite in Sanshandao Gold Deposit in Jiaodong Peninsula: Implications for Ore Genesis

There are controversies about the genesis of the lode gold deposits in Jiaodong area. The Sanshandao gold deposit is the largest one in Jiaodong area. To better understand the genesis of the gold deposit, it is necessary to know the evolution of ore-forming fluid and the source of ore-forming material for the Sanshandao gold deposit. In this paper, the trace element composition of pyrite at different metallogenic stages in the Sanshandao gold deposit was analyzed by using LA-ICP-MS. Based on geological characteristics and petrography observation and SEM analysis, pyrite can be divided into three stages and six classes, including porous Py1-a and smooth Py1-b in pyrite-sericite-quartz alteration (Py1), many mineral inclusions in the Py2-a and smooth Py2-b associated with carbonate in the quartz-pyrite ± siderite veins (Py2), a lot of polymetallic sulfide inclusions hosted Py3-a and Py3-b with smooth and oscillation band in the quartz-polymetallic sulfide vein (Py3). The experimental results show that the gold content is very low in the lattice of pyrite, most of which is less than 1×10^-6, and gold mainly occurs in the form of visible gold. The contents of Au, Ag, Cu, Pb and Sb of pyrite gradually increase from early stage to late stage. The high content of Co+Ni in the earliest stage (up to 9268×10^-6) reflects that pyrite in the early stage is likely derived from magma, and the Co/Ni ratio gradually decreases, suggesting the decrease of ore forming fluid temperature. Combined with the geological observations and trace elements component of pyrite, the study shows that the genesis of the Sanshandao gold deposit is related to the evolution of magmatic hydrothermal reservoir. The ore-forming fluid is transported several times along the fault by seismic pumping.     

Dating Methods of Cold-water Corals and Their Application in Reconstructing Carbon-reservoir Ages of Intermediate and Deep Oceans

Establishing a precise chorology is a critical issue when employing cold-water coral as paleoenvironmental archives. Currently, U-Th, ¹⁴C and ²¹⁰Pb dating techniques are the most frequently used methods. The high-magnesium calcite skeleton of bamboo coral has clear growth bands, which is appropriate for ¹⁴C and ²¹⁰Pb dating methods and holds a great potential to be high-resolution archives of mid-to-deep ocean evolution. Aragonitic stony coral is appropriate for both U-Th and ¹⁴C dating methods, which is valuable in paleoceanographic research. Because the U-Th method can provide the absolute chronology of coral samples, it can further be used to calculate the ¹⁴C age of ocean carbon reservoirs. Therefore, U-Th and ¹⁴C dating results of stony coral are currently the most reliable data for exploring the evolution of ocean carbon reservoirs through the Last Glacial Maximum to the present. It has been found that the ¹⁴C ventilation ages of intermediate water masses of the equatorial Atlantic and Southern Ocean significantly decreased at the end of the Heinrich Stadial 1. This suggests a massive carbon transfer from deep oceans to the atmosphere, or the Atlantic intermediate depths were ventilated by the southern- and the northern-sourced water masses, respectively, before and after the Heinrich Stadial 1.     

柴达木盆地德令哈坳陷石炭系烃源岩成熟度演化史

德令哈坳陷是柴达木盆地石炭系具有勘探前景的地区。综合区域调查、平衡剖面反演、镜质体反射率等分析,获取了柴达木盆地主要构造运动期次,并结合盆地模拟技术,重建了石炭系埋藏史;结合石炭系烃源岩油气地化指标,研究了德令哈坳陷石炭系烃源岩热演化史。研究表明,德令哈坳陷内石炭系烃源岩广泛发育,有机质丰度较高,埋深较大,但未发生变质,处于成熟-高成熟阶段。德令哈坳陷石炭系埋藏史主要表现为晚石炭世、中侏罗世早期-晚白垩世、渐新世晚期-中新世为快速埋藏期,早二叠世-晚三叠世、早白垩世-始新世为稳定期,晚三叠世末-晚侏罗世、始新世末-中新世、中新世末以来为强烈抬升剥蚀期,沉降史与抬升剥蚀史新生代以来存在着差异;石炭系烃源岩热演化史主要表现为"二次生烃、晚期生烃为主"的特点,主要受控于区域构造运动。晚古生代以来柴达木盆地热演化总体表现为缓慢降低的特征,主要受控于柴达木盆地岩浆热事件与构造活动特征。