稳健总体最小二乘Helmert方差分量估计

对于总体最小二乘而言,经常需要处理不同精度或者不同类型的观测数据,根据先验方差来定权往往不准确,同时观测数据中可能含有粗差。针对这两个问题,提出稳健总体最小二乘Helmert方差分量估计,将稳健估计和Helmert方差分量估计同时应用于总体最小二乘中。最后通过两个实验的计算结果表明,该方法是可行的、有效的。     

Sources of uncertainty in exploring rangeland phenology: A case study in an alpine meadow on the central Tibetan Plateau

Global climate change has been found to substantially influence the phenology of rangeland, especially on the Tibetan Plateau. However, there is considerable controversy about the trends and causes of rangeland phenology owing to different phenological exploration methods and lack of ground validation. Little is known about the uncertainty in the exploration accuracy of vegetation phenology. Therefore, in this study, we selected a typical alpine rangeland near Damxung national meteorological station as a case study on central Tibetan Plateau, and identified several important sources influencing phenology to better understand their effects on phenological exploration. We found man-made land use was not easily distinguished from natural rangelands, and therefore this may confound phenological response to climate change in the rangeland. Change trends of phenology explored by four methods were similar, but ratio threshold method (RTM) was more suitable for exploring vegetation phenology in terms of the beginning of growing season (BGS) and end of growing season (EGS). However, some adjustments are needed when RTM is used in extreme drought years. MODIS NDVI/EVI dataset was most suitable for exploring vegetation phenology of BGS and EGS. The discrimination capacities of vegetation phenology declined with decreasing resolution of remote sensing images from MODIS to GIMMS AVHRR datasets. Additionally, distinct trends of phenological change rates were indicated in different terrain conditions, with advance of growing season in high altitudes but delay of season in lower altitudes. Therefore, it was necessary to eliminate interference of complex terrain and man-made land use to ensure the representativeness of natural vegetation. Moreover, selecting the appropriate method to explore rangelands and fully considering the impact of topography are important to accurately analyze the effects of climate change on vegetation phenology.     

Influence of white spot syndrome virus infection on hepatopancreas gene expression of ‘Huanghai No. 2’ shrimp (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Fenneropenaeus chinensis</Emphasis>)

To elucidate the molecular response of shrimp hepatopancreas to white spot syndrome virus (WSSV) infection, microarray was applied to investigate the differentially expressed genes in the hepatopancreas of ‘Huanghai No. 2’ (Fenneropenaeus chinensis). A total of 59137 unigenes were designed onto a custom-made 60K Agilent chip. After infection, the gene expression profiles in the hepatopancreas of the shrimp with a lower viral load at early (48–96 h), peak (168–192 h) and late (264–288 h) infection phases were analyzed. Of 18704 differentially expressed genes, 6412 were annotated. In total, 5453 differentially expressed genes (1916 annotated) expressed at all three phases, and most of the annotated were either up- or down-regulated continuously. These genes function diversely in, for example, immune response, cytoskeletal system, signal transduction, stress resistance, protein synthesis and processing, metabolism among others. Some of the immune-related genes, including antilipopolysaccharide factor, Kazal-type proteinase inhibitor, C-type lectin and serine protease encoding genes, were up-regulated after WSSV infection. These genes have been reported to be involved in the anti-WSSV responses. The expression of genes related to the cytoskeletal system, including β-actin and myosin but without tubulin genes, were down-regulated after WSSV infection. Astakine was found for the first time in the WSSV-infected F. chinensis. To further confirm the expression of differentially expressed genes, quantitative real-time PCR was performed to test the expression of eight randomly selected genes and verified the reliability and accuracy of the microarray expression analysis. The data will provide valuable information to understanding the immune mechanism of shrimp’s response to WSSV.     

GRACE卫星观测到的与汶川Ms8.0地震有关的重力变化

利用GRACE卫星重力资料,计算了中国大陆及周边的卫星重力时变场和地表密度变化分布,获取了具有代表性的点位区域的每月重力变化时间序列.同时获得了WUSH、LHAS、KUNM、LUZH站相对于区域参考框架的GPS位移时间序列.卫星重力观测结果显示喜马拉雅弧形带的重力在2004年苏门答腊M_w9.3地震后快速下降, 2006~2008年尤为明显,西域地块西北边界带上震后重力下降也较为显著;而沿青藏高原北至东边界2007年出现明显的重力上升沿构造边界的弧形分布,且2008年南北地震带中南段重力上升变化显著.这些苏门答腊地震后的重力变化趋势到汶川地震发生后才开始改变.GPS位移结果显示四个台站均记录到苏门答腊大地震的同震信号,震后WUSH、LHAS、KUNM站水平位移向量出现明显的运动趋势改变,且一直持续到2008年汶川M_s8.0地震的发生.GRACE卫星揭示的青藏高原及周边地表质量的变化为解释汶川地震的动力机制提供了新的观测途径和资料.本文结合区域构造运动的特点和GPS位移,对GRACE观测的时变重力场特征及汶川地震的动力机制进行了初步解释和讨论.     

中国二氧化碳地区间排放差异分析及减排政策建议

利用统计数据,参照政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）的方法,对2008年我国各省区CO₂的排放情况进行了计算分析,并对东西部地区进行对比得出：东部发达地区在人均排放量和排放密度等方面均高于西部欠发达地区,但东部地区的排放强度却明显低于西部地区。国家经济战略,东、西部地区技术、经济社会发展水平差异是造成这一趋势的主要原因。提出了我国实现温室气体减排目标、分解减排任务的建议。     

利用重力多尺度分解资料反演青藏高原东北缘地壳厚度

通过重力异常分解模型,选用小波基函数“bior3.7”,分解得出青藏高原东北缘布格重力异常资料的小波4阶近似成分,利用其主要由莫霍面产生的布格重力异常,以6条人工地震剖面信息做初始控制条件,反演得出青藏高原东北缘的地壳厚度。     

Single Nucleotide Polymorphism of FSHβ Gene Associated with Reproductive Traits in Japanese Flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus)

Follicle stimulating hormone β (FSHβ) of Japanese flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus) plays a key role in the regulation of gonadal development.This study aimed to investigate molecular genetic characteristics of the FSHβ gene and elucidate the effects of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of FSHβ on reproductive traits in Japanese flounder.We used polymerase chain reaction single-strand conformation polymorphism (PCR-SSCP) and sequencing of the FSHβ gene in 60 individuals.We identified only an SNP (T/C) in the coding region of exon3 of FSHβ.The SNP (T/C) did not lead to amino acid changes at the position 340 bp of FSHβ gene.Statistical analysis showed that the SNP was significantly associated with testosterone (T) level and gonadosomatic index (GSI) (P0.05).Individuals with genotype TC of the SNP had significantly higher serum T levels and GSI (P0.05) than that of genotype CC.Therefore, FSHβ gene could be a useful molecular marker in selection for prominent reproductive trait in Japanese Flounder.     

Soil erosion changes over the past five decades in the red soil region of Southern China

This paper reports the dynamic changes of soil and water loss in the red soil region of Southern China since the 1950s. The red soil region covers eight provinces: Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Fujian, Anhui, Hubei, Hunan, Guangdong and Hainan. From the 1950s to 1986, the annual rate of soil erosion increased by 3.4%. From 1986 to 1996 and from 1996 to 2000, the annual rates of soil erosion decreased by 2.0% and 0.32%, respectively. Field surveys showed that from 2000 to 2005, the area of soil and water loss decreased annually by 1.2%. This decrease was a result of large-scale erosion control activities across China. Although the eroded soil has been restored, the restoration process is very slow and full restoration will take a long time. Our report suggests that controlling soil and water loss is a challenging task, and additional measures must be taken to effectively control the soil erosion in the red soil region.     

敦化盆地晚全新世泥炭沉积中植硅体古气候记录的时频分析

沉积地层中古气候参数的多层次性以及解释过程中的人为性使古气候重建结果带有一定的误差。采用Morlet一维连续小波变换对敦化盆地吉祥和榆树剖面中植硅体记录的古气候参数进行时频分析,探讨植硅体反演的古气候变化过程。结果表明,吉祥剖面在频率域尺度a≥30时的小波变换系数波谱及能量变化与榆树剖面在a≥20时存在相似性,且均具有6个不同能量聚集区域,因此把敦化盆地晚全新世以来的古气候变迁分为6个阶段:公元前730年以前为温暖降温期;公元前730—公元前205年为温和湿润并逐渐变凉时期;公元前205—公元255年为温暖时期;公元255—525年为降温变冷时期;公元525—1220年为温暖湿润时期;公元1220年以来进入气候波动比较频繁时期。Morlet一维连续小波变换可以有效处理古气候信息的叠加,减小人为性分析带来的误差,在古气候分析中具有很大应用潜力。     

Variation and abrupt change of climate in Ili River Basin, Xinjiang

In this paper, the monthly precipitation and temperature data collected at 7 stations in the Ili River Basin from 1961 to 2007 were analyzed by means of simple regression analysis, running mean, db6 wavelet function and Mann-Kendall test. This study revealed the characteristics of climate change and abrupt change points of precipitation and temperature during different time scales in the Ili River Basin within the past 50 years. The results showed that the precipitation increased from the mid-1980s until 2000 and has continued to increase at a smaller magnitude since 2000. Over the studied period, the precipitation increased significantly during the summer and winter months. The temperature increased greatly in the late 1980s, and has continued to show an increasing trend from the year 2000 to present. The temperature increases were most significant during the summer, autumn and winter months. In terms of different geographies, the temperature increase was significant during the winter in the plains and hilly regions; the increase was also significant during autumn in the intermontane basins. The climate change trends in the Ili River Basin were consistent with the changing trends of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the plateau monsoon.