季节冻土区压实黄土湿陷特性研究进展与展望

随着国家西部大开发的深入发展,国家重点基础工程向西部季节冻土区和湿陷性黄土地区推进,工程面临的黄土湿陷性问题和冻融灾害问题已成为研究和设计人员关注的焦点. 基于前期的研究基础,分析和总结了压实黄土湿陷机理、本构模型和强度理论、工程特性、干湿和冻融循环以及盐分对压实黄土工程特性的影响等方面的研究现状,提出季节冻土区黄土工程面临的问题和研究展望,为完善黄土地基湿陷机理解释和深化黄土力学与工程等研究提供新思路和新方法.     

基于均匀设计的带桩帽钢管减沉桩承载性能试验研究

采用均匀设计法对桩长、桩距、垫层、桩帽对减沉桩承载性能的影响进行室内模型试验研究。通过6组3×4群桩试验,对不同沉管隧道荷载作用下的土压力、桩身轴力及沉管隧道沉降进行测定。由于采用均匀设计,运用数理统计理论工具对试验数据进行相关性分析和回归分析,从而区别于传统的单因素优选法,使得同时考察多因素、多水平作用下对沉管隧道沉降的综合影响成为可能。分析结果表明,桩长、桩距、桩帽对沉管隧道沉降的影响随着外荷载的增加而改变;垫层厚度和桩帽存在交互作用,两者共同对沉管沉降产生影响。最后,利用拟合结果进行反演分析,在总样本为432种减沉桩组合中找出符合沉降控制要求的最优化组合。反演结果在后续模型试验中得到较好的验证。     

基于地理空间大数据的应急指挥辅助决策平台研究

现代社会已经进入了产生和使用地理空间大数据的时代。大数据作为当前已经在许多领域得到成熟应用并强劲发展的方法和技术,为指挥员充分利用海量战场地理空间环境信息进行高效决策提供了有益参考。本文在对应急指挥决策与空间大数据主要特征进行梳理的基础上,结合应急指挥辅助决策的空间信息需求,分析了建设地理空间大数据支撑下的智能应急指挥辅助决策平台需要考虑的关键问题,设计了辅助决策平台的技术架构,为建立新的基于地理空间大数据应急辅助指挥平台提供了思路。     

基于多源数据的皇甫川淤地坝信息提取

淤地坝是黄土高原水土流失防治的主要工程措施之一,明确淤地坝重要参数信息对流域水土保持研究具有重要意义。利用皇甫川流域不同数据来源资料包括地形图（1976年）、TM影像（1990年、2007年）、Google Earth影像（2010年）对其进行预处理获取矢量数据,利用遥感及GIS软件实现淤地坝数目、淤地坝位置、水面面积、控制面积等主要信息的提取并分析其动态变化,采用相关系数、NDAI和DAI进行提取误差评定。结果表明：皇甫川流域淤地坝数目随年代递增而增加,水面面积和控制面积也随之增大,流域西部淤地坝数目明显少于东部。TM数据上提取的淤地坝水面面积与通过Google Earth数据提取的结果相关系数为0.98,实测淤地坝控制面积与TM影像上提取结果相关系数为0.96,NDAI和DAI值平均误差绝对值均<5%。由此得出,基于多源数据淤地坝信息提取技术具有很好的可行性及较高的准确性,本文为淤地坝减水减沙效益及黄河粗泥沙来源研究提供必要的决策支持。     

Anomalous Diffuse CO2 Emissions at the Masaya Volcano (Nicaragua) Related to Seismic-Volcanic Unrest

Anomalous changes in the diffuse emission of carbon dioxide within the Masaya caldera have been observed before two seismic events that occurred at 10 and 30 km from the observation site. Their epicenters are located, respectively, south of Managua in Las Colinas (4.3 magnitude) and the Xiloa caldera (3.6 magnitude), in 2002 and 2003, recorded by the geochemical station located at El Comalito, Masaya volcano (Nicaragua). Anomalous increases were observed, which occurred around 50 and 8 days before the main seismic event that took place in Las Colinas, and 4 days before the seismic swarm at the Xiloa caldera, with a maximum CO₂ efflux of 9.3 and 10.7 kg m^?2 day^?1, respectively. The anomalous CO₂ efflux increases remained after filtering with multiple regression analysis was applied to the CO₂ efflux time series, which indicated that atmospheric variables, during the first 4 months, explained 23 % CO₂ variability, whereas, during the rest of the time series, CO₂ efflux values are poorly controlled with only 6 %. The observed anomalies of the diffuse CO₂ emission rate might be related to pressure changes within the volcanic–hydrothermal system and/or to geostructural changes in the crust due to stress/strain changes caused before and during the earthquakes’ formation, and seem not to be related to the activity of the main crater of Masaya volcano.     

Initialisation of Land Surface Variables for Numerical Weather Prediction

Land surface processes and their initialisation are of crucial importance for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). Current land data assimilation systems used to initialise NWP models include snow depth analysis, soil moisture analysis, soil temperature and snow temperature analysis. This paper gives a review of different approaches used in NWP to initialise land surface variables. It discusses the observation availability and quality, and it addresses the combined use of conventional observations and satellite data. Based on results from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), results from different soil moisture and snow depth data assimilation schemes are shown. Both surface fields and low-level atmospheric variables are highly sensitive to the soil moisture and snow initialisation methods. Recent developments of ECMWF in soil moisture and snow data assimilation improved surface and atmospheric forecast performance.     

Using OSL to assess hypotheses related to the impacts of land use change with the early nineteenth century arrival of Europeans in south‐eastern Australia: an exploratory case study from Grabben Gullen Creek,New South Wales

A common explanation for intense soil erosion and gullying in SE Australia is the introduction by Europeans of new land use practices following their arrival in Australia in the late 18th century. Eucalyptus woodlands were cleared to introduce farming, and valley bottoms, characterized by chains of ponds with organic‐rich swampy meadow (SM) soils, were subsequently buried by thick deposits of ‘post‐settlement alluvium’ (PSA) generated by erosion in the catchment. In this study, optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) is used to evaluate the source(s) of the PSA in Grabben Gullen Creek (GGC), Australia. We use a portable OSL reader to measure total photon counts on bulk polymineral and polygrain‐size samples from nine profiles along the Creek. We use these luminescence signals as geotracers of sediment source(s) and transport pathways. We obtained higher luminescence signals in the PSA than in the SM sediments, suggesting different sources and fluvial transport conditions for these two widespread sedimentary units. Portable OSL reader data from soils in the GGC catchment that are potential sources for the SM sediments and PSA show that the high luminescence signals recorded in the PSA are similar to those from subsoil samples in granite soils, suggesting that the PSA was derived by gullying of granite subsoils. In the SM sediments, luminescence signals decrease upwards from the base of the profile, as expected in well‐reset fluvial deposits, but with one or more changes in gradient in the profile of photon counts with depth, most likely indicating changes in sediment deposition rates. To calculate deposition rates in the SM sediments, several samples were dated using OSL. The OSL ages produced low scatter in the equivalent doses, confirming the well‐reset nature of the grains composing the SM and indicating a process of sediment transport in dilute flows, as is interpreted from the portable OSL signals. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The starburst-AGN connection: the role of stellar clusters in AGNs

Nuclear stellar clusters are a common phenomenon in spirals and in starburst galaxies, and they may be a natural consequence of the star formation processes in the central regions of galaxies. HST UV imaging of a few Seyfert 2 galaxies have resolved nuclear starbursts in Seyfert 2 revealing stellar clusters as the main components of the extended emission. However, we do not know whether stellar clusters are always associated with all types of nuclear activity. We present HST NUV and optical images to study the role that stellar clusters play in different types of AGNs. Also with these images, we study the circumnuclear dust morphology as a probe of the circumnuclear environment of AGNs.     

Cyclical Behavior of Coronal Mass Ejections

With the use of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed by the Large Angle and Spectrometric Coronagraph (LASCO) onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) from January 1996 through December 2005, it is found that, for the cyclical activity of CMEs, there is surprisingly no equatorward drift at low latitudes (thus, no “butterfly diagram”) and no poleward drift at high latitudes, and no antiphase relationship between CME activity at low and high latitudes. The cyclical behaviors of CMEs differ in a significant way from that of the small-scale solar photospherical and chromospherical phenomena. Thus, our analysis leads to results that are inconsistent with a close, physical relationship with small-scale aspects of solar activity, and it is suggested that there is possibly a single so-called large-scale activity cycle in CMEs.     

南京地区初夏一次阵风锋过程的分析与识别

阵风锋过程一般伴随中尺度强对流系统发生, 在近地层形成很大的阵风及风切变, 容易造成风灾, 特别是对航空部门有很大的影响。本文对2006年6月29日发生在南京的一次由强中尺度对流系统引发的阵风锋过程进行分析, 通过多普勒天气雷达资料以及地面中尺度观测网观测到的实况, 可以清楚地看出这个阵风锋系统的结构。当阵风锋经过时, 地面测站观测到明显的风向变化、 风速增大、 气压增强、 温度下降, 而后出现强降水等特点, 这些都符合阵风锋的结构特征。利用地面测站实时观测到的气压、 相对湿度、 温度等计算得到折射指数, 它在阵风锋刚经过时迅速增大, 而后随阵风锋外移逐渐减小, 但是因为阵风锋后对流系统的影响, 折射指数还要维持很长时间的高值。从雷达观测的反射率强度上能看到阵风锋位置的回波强度、 高度都比两侧要大, 与后方强对流系统之间的距离有5～10 km。对雷达观测到的径向速度进行反演, 可看到上层的速度大于近地层速度, 并且强速度中心靠前, 在近地层形成向后的气流(回流)。阵风锋在多普勒速度场中表现出明显的线状组合切变, 利用阵风锋的这个特点设计自动识别算法, 能够有效地对阵风锋进行识别, 组合切变也能有效地对阵风锋的发展以及移动作预报。