秦岭—大别勉略结合带蛇绿岩及其大地构造意义

秦岭—大别勉略结合带乃是秦岭—大别造山带的组成部分和中国大陆最后拼合的主要具体结合带之一,该带是一个复杂的、包括不同成因岩块的蛇绿构造混杂带。带内蛇绿岩主要出露在南秦岭略阳—勉县—五里坝一带以及大别山南缘随县—京山一带。带内超基性岩类主要为方辉橄榄岩和纯橄榄岩,稀土特征为轻稀土亏损,铕富集型;辉绿岩均为轻稀土富集型。变质火山岩可区分为3种类型：一为轻稀土亏损的洋脊拉斑玄武岩,Ti/V、Th/Ta、Th/Yb、Ta/Yb值表明其为MORB型玄武岩,代表本区消失了的洋壳岩石;第二类为初始洋壳型变质玄武岩,以黑沟峡和大别南缘周家湾岩片为代表;第三类为岛弧火山岩组合。这表明勉略洋盆在晚古生代—早中生代曾经历过一个较     

张北地震近场观测资料的初步解释

本文对１９９８年１月１０日张北６．２级强震的余震观测资料进行了初步处理。测定了２０５个ＭＬ≥０．５的地震的震源位置,发现其余震多集中在一个长１０余公里,宽５￣８ｋｍ的北东向条带内;计算了较大余震的震源机制解,推测引起主震的断裂带为北东向断裂;另外,对Ｐ波记录作了频谱分析,得到其拐角频率为１０Ｈｚ左右。     

提高非开挖穿孔锤适应能力的研究

通过对穿孔锤工艺工作原理的分析,指出在过硬土层采用高压水射流,在软弱土层（含水量大土层）中使用粉喷技术的措施来提高穿孔锤的适应能力。     

Platinum and palladium abundances in floodplain sediments and their geochemical provinces

Results obtained from the wide-spaced floodplain sediments indicate that the abundances of Pt and Pd in floodplain sediments are 0.46ng/g and 0.40ng/g,respectively.Three geochemical provinces.Yunnan-Guizhou,Xinjiang-Gansu and Tibet of Pt and Pd with a content of 0.8ng/g,were delineated.     

基于四维变分同化法的巢湖流域南淝河水质模拟

针对河流模拟中未知不确定性源对模拟精度的影响,以巢湖流域南淝河为研究对象,建立了基于四维变分同化方法的南淝河干流水质模型,研究了含未知污染源的南淝河水质过程模拟.模型以未知污染负荷的动态变化过程为控制变量,通过同化沿河不同断面的逐日水质监测数据,识别不同河段的逐日入河污染负荷过程来实现水质过程的模拟,改变了常规模型模拟需提前预知并输入污染负荷的应用前提.模拟结果表明,采用四维变分同化方法的水质模拟结果有明显改进,重点河段水质模拟的纳什效率系数从小于0提高到0.5以上.识别的入河污染过程与降雨过程波动总体一致,证实南淝河的入河污染与降雨过程密切;同时,模型也可识别异常的入河负荷,提高模型对水环境问题的诊断分析能力.该方法可推广应用于复杂河流系统,为巢湖等流域污染来源定量解析、水质预测预警及污染管控提供支持.     

Development of a real-time forecasting model for turbidity current arrival time to improve reservoir desilting operation

ABSTRACT

Among various strategies for sediment reduction, venting turbidity currents through dam outlets can be an efficient way to reduce suspended sediment deposition. The accuracy of turbidity current arrival time forecasts is crucial for the operation of reservoir desiltation. A turbidity current arrival time (TCAT) model is proposed. A multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA), a support vector machine (SVM) and a two-stage forecasting technique are integrated to obtain more effective long lead-time forecasts of inflow discharge and inflow sediment concentration. The multi-objective genetic algorithm (MOGA) is applied for determining the optimal inputs of the forecasting model, support vector machine (SVM). The two-stage forecasting technique is implemented by adding the forecasted values to candidate inputs for improving the long lead-time forecasting. Then, the turbidity current arrival time from the inflow boundary to the reservoir outlet is calculated. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the TCAT model, it is applied to Shihmen Reservoir in northern Taiwan. The results confirm that the TCAT model forecasts are in good agreement with the observed data. The proposed TCAT model can provide useful information for reservoir sedimentation management during desilting operations.     

丝绸之路明长城遗址的病害性态研究

明长城遗址是与丝绸之路沿线赋存环境相统一的开放系统,遗址的病害表观、时空演化受环境因素影响显著。调查丝绸之路遗址区的气候特征和地质地貌、地震活动等环境特征并选取具有差异性环境特征的典型遗址,通过史料查阅、野外考察和室内分析测试,结合遗址区环境特征和建筑形制、土体性质研究各类病害在不同因素影响下其表观特征及空间分布规律,验证各类病害形成与发展的存在性,进一步揭示病害演化机制,为防治和监测病害的形成和发展提供参考,提出在遗址加固保护中应基于各类病害的表征及机理有的放矢地设计全面的保护方案,这对土遗址的长期保存有着重要意义。     

Hazard-dependent soil factors for site-specific elastic acceleration response spectra of Italian and European seismic building codes

To define the seismic input in non-liquefiable soils, current seismic standards give the possibility to treat local site effects using a simplified approach. This method is generally based on the introduction of an appropriate number of soil categories with associated soil factors that allow modifying the shape of the elastic acceleration response spectrum computed at rocky (i.e. stiff) sites. Although this approach is highly debated among researchers, it is extensively used in practice due to its easiness. As a matter of fact, for standard projects, this method represents the driving approach for the definition of the seismic input. Nevertheless, recent empirical and numerical studies have risen doubts about the reliability and safety of the simplified approach in view of the tendency of the current soil factors of Italian and European building codes to underestimate the acceleration at the free surface of the soil deposit. On the other hand, for certain soil classes, the current soil factors seem to overestimate ground amplification. Furthermore, the occurrence of soil nonlinearity, whose magnitude is linked to both soil type and level of seismic intensity, highlights the fallacy of using constant soil factors for sites with a different seismic hazard. The objective of this article is to propose a methodology for the definition of hazard-dependent soil factors and simultaneously quantify the reliability of the coefficients specified in the current versions of Eurocode 8 (CEN 2005) and Italian Building Code (NTC8 2008 and revision NTC18 2018). One of the most important outcome of this study is the quantification of the relevance of soil nonlinearity through the definition of empirical relationships between soil factors and peak ground acceleration at outcropping rock sites with flat topological surface (reference condition).     

永安井数字化水位观测资料干扰

永安冷冻厂深井是东南沿海最深的地震地下水动态观测井,井深1 000.44 m,本文介绍了永安井的地质构造及正常动态变化规律,通过对永安井数字化水位观测资料的分析,总结日常观测过程中可能遇到的多种干扰因素,从自然因素、外界环境因素、人为干扰因素、仪器自身因素等典型表现,提高对非地震前兆干扰因素的识别,以便更好地排除干扰,提高仪器观测资料质量。     

Evaluation and hydrologic validation of TMPA satellite precipitation product downstream of the Pearl River Basin,China

With high spatio‐temporal resolution and wide coverage, satellite‐based precipitation products can potentially fill the deficiencies of traditional in situ gauge precipitation observations and provide an alternative data source for ungauged areas. However, due to the relatively poor accuracy and high uncertainty of satellite‐based precipitation products, it remains necessary to assess the quality and applicability of the products for each investigated area. This study evaluated the accuracy and error of the latest Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multi‐satellites Precipitation Analysis 3B42‐V7 satellite‐based precipitation product and validated the applicability of the product for the Beijiang and Dongjiang River Basins, downstream of the Pearl River Basin in China. The study first evaluated the accuracy, error, and bias of the 3B42‐V7 product during 1998–2006 at daily and monthly scale via comparison with in situ observations. The study further validated the applicability of the product via hydrologic simulation using the variable infiltration capacity hydrological model for three hydrological stations in the Beijiang River Basin, considering two scenarios: a streamflow simulation with gauge‐calibrated parameters (Scenario I) and a simulation after recalibration with the 3B42‐V7 product (Scenario II). The results revealed that (a) the 3B42‐V7 product produced acceptable accuracy both at the daily scale and high accuracy at the monthly scale while generally tending to overestimate precipitation; (b) the product clearly overestimated the frequency of no rainfall events at the grid cell scale and light rainfall (<1 mm/day) events at the region scale and also overestimated the amount of heavy rain (25–50 mm/day) and hard rain (≥50 mm/day) events; (c) under Scenario I, the 3B42‐V7 product performed poorly at three stations with gauge‐calibrated parameters; under Scenario II, the recalibrated model provided significantly improved performance of streamflow simulation with the 3B42‐V7 product; (d) the variable infiltration capacity model has the ability to reveal the hydrological characteristics of the karst landform in the Beijiang Basin when using the 3B42‐V7 product.