Geodynamics of the deep sedimentary basin of the Caspian Sea region: paragenetic correlation of seismicity and mud volcanism

In this paper we analyze seismic regime and earthquake depth distribution and correlation of seismicity and mud volcanism in the Azerbaijan and the Caspian Sea region. For the present region we have calculated accurate source locations, seismic activity, earthquake repetition and released earthquake energy parameters. It is shown that the active tectonic processes in the region are concentrated within the thick sedimentary cover that we consider as a general source of contemporary stress and a main structural element responsible for the origin of regional earthquakes. The correlation of seismicity and mud volcanism is of paragenetic character.     

Interannual and decadal variability in zooplankton communities of the southeast Bering Sea shelf

The southeastern Bering Sea shelf ecosystem is an important fishing ground for fin- and shellfish, and is the summer foraging grounds for many planktivorous seabirds and marine mammals. In 1997 and 1998, Northern Hemisphere climate anomalies affected the physical and biological environment of the southeastern Bering Sea shelf. The resulting anomalous conditions provided a valuable opportunity to examine how longer-term climate change might affect this productive ecosystem. We compared historical and recent zooplankton biomass and species composition data for the southeastern Bering Sea shelf to examine whether or not there was a response to the atmosphere–ocean–ice anomalies of 1997 and 1998. Summer zooplankton biomass (1954–1994) over the southeastern shelf did not exhibit a decline as previously reported for oceanic stations. In addition, zooplankton biomass in 1997 and 1998 was not appreciably different from other years in the time series. Spring concentrations of numerically abundant copepods (Acartia spp., Calanus marshallae, and Pseudocalanus spp.), however, were significantly higher during 1994–1998 than 1980–1981; spring concentrations of Metridia pacifica and Neocalanus spp. were not consistently different between the two time periods. Neocalanus spp. was the only taxon to have consistent differences in stage composition between the two time periods—CV copepodites were much more prevalent in May of the 1990s than early 1980s. Since relatively high zooplankton concentrations were observed prior to 1997, we do not attribute the high concentrations observed in the summers of 1997 and 1998 directly to the acute climate anomalies. With the present data it is not possible to distinguish between increased production (control from below) and decreased predation (control from above) to explain the recent increase in concentrations of the species examined.     

Spectral analyses of solar photospheric fluctuations

Successful subtraction of instrumental background variations has permitted spectral analyses of two-dimensional measurement arrays of granulation brightness fluctuations at the center of the disk, arrays obtained from Stratoscope I, 1959B-flight, high-resolution frames B1551 and B3241.

1. RMS's, uncorrected for instrumental blurring, are 0.0850 of mean intensity for B1551 and 0.0736 for B3241, somewhat higher than other determinations. These between-frame and between-investigation differences probably result from a combination of calibration errors, frame resolution differences, and, most likely, granulation pattern differences.
2. Significant variations over each array of mean intensities and RMS's, determined for sub-arrays with dimensions in the 2500–10000 km range, indicate spatial brightness and RMS variations larger than the ‘scale’ of the granulation pattern, supporting a turbulent interpretation of photospheric convection.
3. One-dimensional power-spectra shapes provide objective and discriminating criteria for determining granulation pattern differences and, possibly, frame resolution.
4. Two-dimensional power spectra show small, essentially random deviations from axial symmetry which lie almost entirely within the 50% confidence limits.
5. Spectral densities and fluctuation power spectra, computed from the two-dimensional power spectra and corrected for instrumental blurring, noise, and blemishes, have a useable radial wavenumber range nearly double that of earlier Stratoscope I analyses.
6. Corrected RMS's obtained from the corrected fluctuation power spectra, 0.145 ± 0.046 for B1551 and 0.136 ± 0.048 for B3241, depend critically on the accuracy of the correction.
7. The spectra's wavenumber range includes the granulation-fluctuation-producing domain but not the Kolmogoroff domain of turbulence spectra.

     

Solar irradiance modulation by active regions during 1980

The solar irradiance modulation due to active regions during 1980 has been investigated in detail. Specifically, we estimate the uncertainties caused by ground-based data used as input in the modeling effort, and by our currently incomplete knowledge of the proper parameters that describe the angular variation of sunspot and facular contrasts. We conclude that the most significant uncertainties are due to errors in area measurements and, possibly, varying spot and facular brightness. A standard model for later use is derived by a best-fit technique of the currently available ACRIM irradiance data and the predictions of our models with appropriately varied parameters. Finally, we compute the expected irradiance for the entire year of 1980.NRC Senior Research Associate on leave from the Joint Institute for Laboratory Astrophysics and the Astro-Geophysics Department, University of Colorado at Boulder, Colo., U.S.A.     

Mountain hazards

The review examines mountain land risks, especially those that involve sudden, more or less localized bouts of damage and disasters. Geographers' studies to date have mainly dealt with natural hazards, emphasizing those like avalanches, large landslides or natural dams that are uniquely associated with mountain environments. Such work is briefly reviewed. Earthquake risks are then singled out to help define and discuss problems faced by this work. They are shown to depend strongly upon aspects of mountain environments other than seismicity. Human vulnerability appears to be mainly dependent upon socioeconomic and habitat conditions which, although they determine seismic impacts, may and usually do develop independent of it. Moreover, these ingredients of risk are most closely associated with, or definitive of, the mountain people and areas. They are most strongly influenced by human agency, both in deciding who and what are exposed to risk, and in actually increasing or decreasing unfavorable responses to earthquakes. Recent earthquake disasters in the mountains also record how rapid changes in these social and habitat conditions, rather than seismicity, are increasing the scale and altering the forms of damage. These changes in turn, however, are largely dependent upon developments, initiatives and penetration from outside the mountains, and responses of mountain people more or less enforced by them. The importance of so-called highland-lowland interactions, is even more obvious in the most destructive of human hazards discussed, those of war and other armed violence. Mountain lands and peoples are shown to have been subject to recurrent warring, and a disproportionate share of the deployment of state violence in this century. Most of the casualties are resident civilians. They have been usually threatened by other uses of armed violence, including insurgency and counter-insurgency warfare and genocidal actions by state forces. Refugees and expellees from war zones have included great numbers of mountain folk. Another fast growing hazard of the late twentieth century, not unrelated to war and militarism, the international trafficking in and addiction plagues of hard drugs, has a unique relation to mountains. The South American growers of the coca leaf, and Southwest and Southeast Asian growers of the opium poppy are mountain farmers. Their participation is bringing a range of severe risks to their high valleys, as well as benefits. Finally the paper addresses the conceptual problems brought about by the compounding of determinist assumptions in both mountain land and hazards research. These include not only environmental determinist notions, or related Neo-Malthusian and Social Darwinist ideas, but the various historicist ones of assumed technological, economic and political stages of development. It is argued that such social constructions of the problem of hazards and disaster are dubious, and have become a major impediment to understanding and risk mitigation. Alternative frameworks require more attention to the regional, state, and global patterns of influence shaping risk in mountain lands, but also to the human ecology of mountain societies taking account of matters to which the expediences of technocratic expertise have made us blind.     

A time evolution study of limb spicule spectra

Time sequences of simultaneous spectra of limb spicules, obtained using the Sacramento Peak Observatory's tower telescope and echelle spectrograph are analyzed. Intensity determinations of H and K, H, 8498 and 8542 of calcium are tabulated for three observing heights. Electron densities averaged over the entire visible lifetimes of spicules are -6 × 10¹⁰ cm^–3 at observing heights of 6000km, while maximum and minimum values were -1.1 × 10¹¹ cm^–3 at 6000km and - 2 × 10¹⁰ cm^–3 at 10000km. Electron temperatures range between 12 000 K and 16 000 K. Profile halfwidths indicate turbulent velocities of 12 to 22 km s^–1, and spectral tilts are interpreted as caused by differential velocity fields of -3 km s^–1 per 1000 km. No large scale spicule expansions or contractions are observed, although possible expulsions or accretions of material are observed. Spicules may be wider in the calcium K and H lines than in H.Now at School of Science and Engineering, The University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, Alabama.