近55 a来安阳日照时数变化趋势及未来变化趋势分析

依据安阳市近55 a(1954-2008年)逐年和逐月日照观测数据,运用线性倾向估计法和Mann-Kendall法,分析了安阳市日照时数的年际和季节变化趋势.在此基础上,运用Hurst指数对该市未来日照时数变化趋势进行了预测.结果表明:安阳市年日照时数总体呈减少趋势;日照时数季节差异较为明显,四季减少趋势强度为:冬季>夏季>秋季>春季;在未来一段时期内,安阳年日照时数仍保持与过去55 a相同的变化趋势,呈减少趋势.     

基于LDM的实时气象资料分发服务系统

为了提高各级用户对实时气象资料的使用效率,改变以往用户从省气象信息中心调取资料的传统方式,由主动调取变为自动获取,省气象信息中心采用LDM作为底层通信传输和管理系统,根据需求将实时资料以省气象信息中心为中心向各地市级用户进行推送,实现了实时资料的主动分发服务。本文论述了LDM软件的功能和特点及基于LDM软件的实时气象资料分发服务系统的设计与实现。     

台湾海峡及其邻近海域潮汐数值计算

建立二维潮波模式，模拟了台湾海峡及其邻近海域（18～30°N，110～130°E）八个主要分潮（M2、S2、K1、O1、P1、Q1、K2、N2），并利用中国大陆及环台湾岛20多个潮位站的实洲资料进行验证，计算结果与实测值吻合良好。此外，给出了八个主要分潮的同潮图，并逐个讨论了潮汐特征。结果艟示：（1）台湾海峡中的潮波运动是北部蜕化了的旋转潮波系统和南部的前进潮波系统共同作用的结果。（2）半日分潮南、北两支潮波在台湾海峡中部汇合，而今日分潮则在台湾海峡南部海域汇合后继续朝西南方向传播。（3）半日分潮振幅最高值发生在福建省湄洲湾－兴化湾一带，全日分湖最高值则出现在雷州半岛以东一带近岸海域。（4）N2、K2和O1、P1、Q1分湖的振幅、迟角分布分别同M2与K1分潮的整体分布趋势相似。     

碳酸氢钠对高温下珍珠鸡生产性能及血液pH值的影响

用１８０只５６日龄肉用仔珍珠鸡，测定了高温环境（２５～３４℃）条件下，在日粮中添加不同量的ＮａＨＣＯ３ （质量分数分别为０％ ，０．５％ ，１．０％ ，１．５％ ，２．０％ ，２．５％ ）对珍珠鸡肥育期（５６～８４日龄）生产性能及血液ｐＨ 值的影响，基础日粮含 ＭＥ １３．３７ ＭＪ／ｋｇ，ＣＰ１８％ 。结果表明：体增重、采食量、屠宰率、血液ｐＨ 值不受日粮中ＮａＨＣＯ３的显著影响（Ｐ＞ ０．０５），但体增重、采食量、饲料利用率受性别的显著影响（Ｐ＜ ０．０５），母鸡比公鸡的体增重大１８．８％ ，采食量高８．０２％ ，饲料利用率高９．７０％ ，公母鸡间的这种差异在１．５％ ＮａＨＣＯ３ 添加组表现最明显     

酸碱软硬度在成矿理论研究中的应用

以Ｌｅｗｉｓ酸碱理论为基础发展起来的酸碱软硬度的理论广泛地应用于解释各类化学现象，包括类质同象置换，共生，应用于评价和预测化学反应极为简便和实用。然而，软硬酸碱度原理的理论基础尚在不断地充实之中。本文简要讨论了硫化物矿物的酸碱势标度，用酸碱软硬度理论解释了矿物的类质同象现象，是应用酸碱软硬度理论揭示和完善矿物成矿理论的一种偿试。     

全站仪测距常数检定新方法

现行的光电测距仪检定规程JJG 703-2003所规定的比较法要求野外测量工作量较大.在保证检定结果精度提高的前提下,说明了全站仪与因瓦尺比对法及简单解析法两种测定加常数的操作方法和计算公式,提出了使用加常数修正野外基线测量距离后单独计算测距乘常数的思想,分析了各种方法的测量精度,利用多台全站仪的实测数据进行了计算.结果说明,加乘常数分离检定法与目前普遍实行的联合检定法比较,具有可靠性更好、精度相当、外业工作量少50%等特点.     

Water quality assessment for Ulansuhai Lake using fuzzy clustering and pattern recognition

Water quality assessment of lakes is important to determine functional zones of water use. Considering the fuzziness during the partitioning process for lake water quality in an arid area, a multiplex model of fuzzy clustering with pattern recognition was developed by integrating transitive closure method, ISODATA algorithm in fuzzy clustering and fuzzy pattern recognition. The model was applied to partition the Ulansuhai Lake, a typical shallow lake in arid climate zone in the west part of Inner Mongolia, China and grade the condition of water quality divisions. The results showed that the partition well matched the real conditions of the lake, and the method has been proved accurate in the application.     

东北地区经济结构失衡水平评价及其对经济增长的影响研究 ——基于空间计量模型分析

构建包括产业结构、投资消费结构、金融结构、区域经济结构和国际收支结构在内的经济结构失衡测度指标体系,运用因子分析法和ArcGIS 空间分析法对2003~2015年东北地区经济结构失衡水平、空间格局及集聚模式进行探究,并构建空间计量模型考察其对经济增长的影响。结果表明：① 东北地区经济结构普遍处于失衡状态,但失衡水平在不断降低。② 经济结构失衡水平高值区被低值区包围,在空间上形成典型中心-外围分布模式。③ SDM模型估计结果表明,经济结构失衡对经济增长的影响具有阶段性,2003~2008年,对经济增长产生抑制作用,并表现出负空间溢出效应,而2009~2015年对经济增长产生促进作用,出现“失衡并增长”。     

The MJO in an AGCM with three different cumulus parameterization schemes

The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is simulated using an AGCM with three different cumulus parameterization schemes: a moist convective adjustment (MCA) scheme, the Zhang–McFarlane (ZM) mass-flux scheme, and the Tiedtke scheme. Results show that the simulated MJO is highly dependent on the cumulus parameterization used. Among the three cumulus parameterizations, only the MCA scheme produces MJO features similar to observations, including the reasonable spatial distribution, intraseasonal time scales and eastward propagation. Meanwhile, the amplitude is too large and the eastward propagation speed too fast than observations and the relationship between precipitation and low-level wind anomaly is unrealistic with enhanced convection occurring within easterly anomalies instead of westerly anomalies as in observations. The over-dependence of precipitation on boundary convergence produced by the MCA scheme is presumably responsible for this unrealistic phase relation in the simulation. The other two schemes produce very poor simulations of the MJO: spectral power of westward propagation is larger than that of eastward propagation in zonal wind and precipitation, indicating a westward propagation of the intraseasonal variability.The mean state and vertical profile of diabatic heating are perhaps responsible for the differences in these simulations. The MCA scheme produces relatively realistic climate background. When either ZM or Tiedtke scheme is used, the observed extension of westerly winds from the western Pacific to the dateline is missing and precipitation over the equatorial region and SPCZ is dramatically underestimated. In addition, diabatic heating produced by both ZM and Tiedtke schemes are very weak and nearly uniform with height. The heating profile produced by the MCA scheme has a middle-heavy structure with much larger magnitude than those produced by the other two schemes. In addition, a very unrealistic boundary layer heating maximum produced by the MCA scheme induces too strong surface convergence, which perhaps contributes to the too strong intraseasonal variability in the simulation.