山东及邻区地震的重新定位及其与活动构造的关系

对山东及其邻区1975～2010年发生的地震经震相到时数据校正后,用双差定位(Hypodd)和Hypoinverse 2000定位法对其进行重新定位,分析结果表明:重新定位的地震在空间分布上与区域构造结合更为紧密,震源深度的分布与人工地震勘探所推测的断裂相吻合;研究区地震多发生在5 ～25km深度范围内,分别在10km和16km左右存在两个明显的优势分布层,推断为这两个优势分布层分别位于上地壳底面和中地壳;地震活动图像表明中强震易发生在上下地壳交界的脆-韧转换带内,是区域应力作用下深部构造动力与浅层断裂运动变形的结果.     

山西数字地震台网仿真前后震级偏差对比分析

选取山西数字地震台网2010年不同震级,不同地点的地震事件,按照中国地震局的编目要求对波形进行WA仿真处理,对比仿真前后的震级大小,找出其中存在的偏差,为地震资料的衔接提供参考.     

风光发电系统在无人值守地震台站的设计

风光互补发电技术在边防、通信、公路等已得到广泛应用,能否将这一绿色、清洁、可再生能源应用于地震无人值守台站,山东省在龙口地震台已做先期试点,通过一年试运行,风光互补发电系统能够满足地震无人值守台站的工作要求。     

基于虚拟技术的地震应急指挥技术系统应用

地震应急指挥技术系统的特殊性要求整个系统必须具有高可靠性及稳定性.基于虚拟技术的地震应急指挥技术系统可实现整个系统的容灾备份,并通过虚拟机特性将原来在多台服务器上部署的系统在一台高性能服务器上实现,节约资源的同时,使异地移植更加灵活.基于虚拟技术的地震应急指挥技术系统,可提升整个系统的稳定性、灵活性、可靠性.     

山东区域地电场观测质量分析

对7个台的观测数据质量进行评价和分析,结果表明:郯城、菏泽、大山和陵阳地震台数据质量较好,精度较高,可为地震研究提供可靠的数据资料.     

海洋地磁参量实时测量野值的在线辨识与改正

地磁参量实时测量野值的在线辨识与改正是影响地磁导航算法定位概率和精度的重要因素.地磁导航定位的研究目前主要集中于匹配定位算法,地磁参量实时测量数据处理的研究较少.本文将多层递阶非平稳时间序列预测模型引入海洋地磁参量实时测量野值在线辨识与改正,利用多层递阶模型对实时测量值进行一步预测,根据迪克松准则进行野值辨识,利用中值滤波和一步预测值对野值进行改正.仿真数据和实测数据的实验室仿真结果表明,本文提出的野值在线辨识与改正算法不仅可以检测全部孤立型野值而且对多数斑点型野值也有较好的辨识效果,对产生野值处信号的复原误差小于5%.     

The effects of dam construction and precipitation variability on hydrologic alteration in the Lancang River Basin of southwest China

This paper presents an evaluation of the spatio-temporal patterns of hydrologic alteration induced by dam construction and precipitation variability in the Lancang River Basin of southwest China from 1957 to 2000. Analyses were conducted using the linear regression method, the Mann–Kendall test, and the Range of Variability Approach. The results indicate that there was considerable variation in the average monthly precipitation between the pre- and post-dam periods in the Lancang River Basin. Second, the magnitude of monthly runoff was strongly related to precipitation, which showed an up-down annual variation, and was significantly altered by dam construction and precipitation variability. In the modified series (hydrologic series with the precipitation impacts removed), runoff deviations between the pre- and post-dam periods became larger. Third, the extreme runoff cycles were influenced by dam construction and precipitation variability downstream from the dam, and the monthly maximum runoff increased from the pre-dam to post-dam period at all hydrologic stations. Fourth, the degree of hydrologic alteration (DHA) indicates that the precipitation variability not only affected the hydrologic regime of unregulated river reach but also modified the negative impacts of dam construction, which could provide a modest mitigation of the hydrologic alterations induced by dam construction, possibly decreasing the level of DHA. Last, the overall degree of hydrologic alteration in the observed series reached 25.2, 25.3, and 29.1 % for the upstream, midstream, and downstream areas, respectively. These results show that the hydrologic regimes of the Lancang River during the 1957–2000 period were affected by damming and precipitation variability, but the hydrologic alteration was relatively low in the upstream areas of the river without a dam.     

Open and coastal seas interactions south of Japan represented by an ensemble Kalman filter

We investigated the feasibility of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) to reproduce oceanic conditions south of Japan. We have adopted the local ensemble transformation Kalman filter algorithm based on 20 members’ ensemble simulations of the parallelized Princeton Ocean Model (the Stony Brook Parallel Ocean Model) with horizontal resolution of 1/36°. By assimilating satellite sea surface height anomaly, satellite sea surface temperature, and in situ temperature and salinity profiles, we reproduced the Kuroshio variation south of Japan for the period from 8 to 28 February 2010. EnKF successfully reproduced the Kuroshio path positions and the water mass property of the Kuroshio waters as observed. It also detected the variation of the steep thermohaline front in the Kii Channel due to the intrusion of the Kuroshio water based on the observation, suggesting efficiency of EnKF for detection of open and coastal seas interactions with highly complicated spatiotemporal variability.     

气候变暖与海平面上升

本文通过大量实际资料分析认为,现代全球变暖与海平面上升,源于200多年前小冰期冷峰出现后的气候返暖、海平面回升过程演变的结果。近30年的世界海平面上升的速率,有着上世纪80、90年代和本世纪前10年世界平均气温每10年以0．2F°（0．11℃）为梯度的连续抬升为背景。在此以CO。含量为气候指标,划分出了公元200年以来的八个暖段（暖期）。若按冷暖极值距200年或250年计算,则由目前正在发展的暖期,将在公元2050年或2100年前后结束,而后开始降温。作者依据最近30年同一时段国内外验潮资料计算获得的绝对海平面升降速率为＋1．52±0．27mm／a及相对海平面升降速率为＋1．39±0．26mm/a。按照2010年坎昆气候大会决议要求,在对前人有关研究成果进行考量时,对将来的2050和2100年世界海平面预测及我国地面沉降较明显的沿海城市如天津、上海、厦门、海口等相对海平面升降值,进行了测算与评估。     

Ecological effects of co-culturing sea cucumber Apostichopus japonicus (Selenka) with scallop Chlamys farreri in earthen ponds

Monthly changes in sedimentation and sediment properties were studied for three different culture treatments: sea cucumber monoculture (Mc), sea cucumber and scallop polyculture (Ps-c) and scallop monoculture (Ms). Results indicated that the survival rate of sea cucumber was significantly higher in Ps-c cultures than in Mc cultures. Sea cucumber yield was 69.6% higher in Ps-c culture than in Mc culture. No significant differences in body weight and scallop shell length were found between Ps-c and Ms cultures. The mean sedimentation rate of total particulate matter (TPM) was 72.2 g/(m2 d) in Ps-c cultures, with a maximum of 119.7 g/(m2 d), which was markedly higher than that of Mc (mean value). Sedimentation rates of organic matter (OM), total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) in Ps-c cultures were also significantly higher than those in Mc cultures. TOC and TN contents of sediment increased rapidly in the first 5 months in Ms cultures and remained at a high level. TOC and TN contents in Mc and Ps-c cultures decreased during sea cucumber feeding seasons and increased during sea cucumber dormancy periods (summer and winter). The study demonstrates that co-culture of sea cucumber and scallop in earthen ponds is an alternative way to alleviate nutrient loads and improve water quality in coastal aquaculture systems. Moreover, it provides the additional benefit of an increased sea cucumber yield.