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991.
气象影视设备集约化技术初探 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
目前有些地市局拥有两套非编设备,但是两套设备之间不能联网,达不到随时备份和提高设备利用率的目的。本文通过将两套非编设备并同虚拟机连成局域网,两套非编设备平时各自工作,一套录制,另一套可实时获取录制的素材并进行配音编辑,提高了设备的利用率;同时两套非编设备互为备份,在一套出现故障时,另一套非编能独立承担工作,不需要更改线路。通过气象影视设备的集约化改造,在保障节目质量的前提下,提高了工作效率,两个小时内录制七至八套节目成为现实,同时设备的互为备份,也保障了系统的可靠性。 相似文献
992.
993.
利用能源经济领域具有权威性的英国石油公司(BP)世界能源统计资料和联合国人口统计资料,通过一些简单的数值计算,初步估算了人为热释放的全球气候强迫。结果表明:当前(2008年)全球年平均人为热释放的气候强迫还不是很大,约为0.031W/m2;但随着人口及能源消费总量的增加,未来人为热释放产生的全球年平均气候强迫将有可能达0.30W/m2。 相似文献
994.
Some variational data assimilation (VDA) problems of time- and space-discrete models with
on/off parameterizations can be regarded as non-smooth optimization problems. Same as the sub-gradient
type method, intelligent optimization algorithms, which are widely used in engineering optimization,
can also be adopted in VDA in virtue of their no requirement of cost functions gradient (or sub-gradient)
and their capability of global convergence. Two typical intelligent optimization algorithms, genetic
algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), are introduced to VDA of modified Lorenz equations
with on-off parameterizations, then two VDA schemes are proposed, that is, GA based VDA (GA-VDA) and PSO
based VDA (PSO-VDA). After revealing the advantage of GA and PSO over conventional adjoint methods in the
ability of global searching at the existence of cost functions discontinuity induced by on-off switches,
sensitivities of GA-VDA and PSO-VDA to population size, observational noise, model error and observational
density are detailedly analyzed.
Its shown that, in the context of modified Lorenz equations, with proper population size, GA-VDA and PSO-VDA
can effectively estimate the global optimal solution, while PSO-VDA consumes much less computational time than
GA-VDA with the same population size, and requires a much lower population size with nearly the same results,
both methods are not very sensitive to observation noise and model error, while PSO-VDA shows a better
performance with observational noise than GA-VDA. It is encouraging that both methods are not sensitive to
observational density, especially PSO-VDA, using which almost the same perfect assimilation results can be
obtained with comparatively sparse observations. 相似文献
995.
In almost all frozen soil models used currently, three variables of temperature, ice content and
moisture content are used as prognostic variables and the rate term, accounting for the contribution of the
phase change between water and ice, is shown explicitly in both the energy and mass balance equations. The
models must be solved by a numerical method with an iterative process, and the rate term of the phase change
needs to be pre-estimated at the beginning in each iteration step. Since the rate term of the phase change
in the energy equation is closely related to the release or absorption of the great amount of fusion heat, a
small error in the rate term estimation will introduce greater error in the energy balance, which will amplify
the error in the temperature calculation and in turn, cause problems for the numerical solution convergence. In
this work, in order to first reduce the trouble, the methodology of the variable transformation is applied to a
simplified frozen soil model used currently, which leads to new frozen soil scheme used in this work. In the new
scheme, the enthalpy and the total water equivalent are used as predictive variables in the governing equations to
replace temperature, volumetric soil moisture and ice content used in many current models. By doing so, the rate
terms of the phase change are not shown explicitly in both the mass and energy equations and its pre-estimation is
avoided. Secondly, in order to solve this new scheme more functionally, the development of the numerical scheme to
the new scheme is described and a numerical algorithm appropriate to the numerical scheme is developed. In order
to evaluate the new scheme of the frozen soil model and its relevant algorithm, a series of model evaluations are
conducted by comparing numerical results from the new model scheme with three observational data sets. The
comparisons show that the results from the model are in good agreement with these data sets in both the change trend
of variables and their magnitude values, and the new scheme, together with the algorithm, is more efficient and saves
more computer time. 相似文献
996.
Spatial dependence of diurnal temperature range trends on precipitation from 1950 to 2004 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Liming Zhou Aiguo Dai Yongjiu Dai Russell S. Vose Cheng-Zhi Zou Yuhong Tian Haishan Chen 《Climate Dynamics》2009,32(2-3):429-440
This paper analyzes the spatial dependence of annual diurnal temperature range (DTR) trends from 1950–2004 on the annual climatology of three variables: precipitation, cloud cover, and leaf area index (LAI), by classifying the global land into various climatic regions based on the climatological annual precipitation. The regional average trends for annual minimum temperature (T min) and DTR exhibit significant spatial correlations with the climatological values of these three variables, while such correlation for annual maximum temperature (T max) is very weak. In general, the magnitude of the downward trend of DTR and the warming trend of T min decreases with increasing precipitation amount, cloud cover, and LAI, i.e., with stronger DTR decreasing trends over drier regions. Such spatial dependence of T min and DTR trends on the climatological precipitation possibly reflects large-scale effects of increased global greenhouse gases and aerosols (and associated changes in cloudiness, soil moisture, and water vapor) during the later half of the twentieth century. 相似文献
997.
近45年来河北省极端降水事件的变化研究 总被引:7,自引:1,他引:6
利用河北省1961-2005年逐日降水资料,采用通用的极端气候指数,分析了近45年河北省极端降水事件频率变化的时空特征.结果表明,全省平均年最大日降水量呈下降趋势,1980年为由多向少的转折点;强降水日数和暴雨日数变化不大,但南部平原地区一般减少,北部山地区域多有增加,暴雨日数和强度在1990年代中后期显著增加;降水日数有较明显减少,南部和东南部平原减少更显著;降水日数的减少主要是中、小雨(雪)日数减少造成的.这些结果说明,河北省强降水日数和暴雨日数在降水日数中的比重有增大趋势,强降水量和暴雨降水量在总降水量中的比重可能增加了.这种相对增加趋势主要发生在1990年代中期以后. 相似文献
998.
基于历史样本投影的四维变分陆面数据同化方法及其初步应用 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
法面临着计算量上的挑战。本研究将一种历史样本投影的四维变分同化方法(Historical-Sample-Projection4DVar,简写为HSP-4DVar)应用于陆面数据同化,建立起CoLM陆面模型的HSP-4DVar系统。相比其他四维变分同化方法,HSP-4DVar的分析值是显式求解,不需要编写和使用伴随模式,从而大大节省了计算量,是一种易于实现的同化方案。通过同化56个月的土壤湿度观测数据表明,新的陆面同化系统不仅省时,而且能够有效吸取观测信息,使得同化后的均方根误差显著降低,各层土壤湿度模拟都有所改善,陆表1000mm层的改善最为明显。 相似文献
999.
1000.