Multi-Year Simulations and Experimental Seasonal Predictions for Rainy Seasons in China by Using a Nested Regional Climate Model （RegCM_NCC） Part Ⅱ： The Experimental Seasonal Prediction

A nested regional climate model has been experimentally used in the seasonal prediction at the China National Climate Center (NCC) since 2001. The NCC/IAP (Institute of Atmospheric Physics) T63 coupled GCM (CGCM) provides the boundary and initial conditions for driving the regional climate model (RegCM NCC). The latter has a 60-km horizontal resolution and improved physical parameterization schemes including the mass flux cumulus parameterization scheme, the turbulent kinetic energy closure scheme (TKE) and an improved land process model (LPM). The large-scale terrain features such as the Tibetan Plateau are included in the larger domain to produce the topographic forcing on the rain-producing systems. A sensitivity study of the East Asian climate with regard to the above physical processes has been presented in the first part of the present paper. This is the second part, as a continuation of Part I. In order to verify the performance of the nested regional climate model, a ten-year simulation driven by NCEP reanalysis datasets has been made to explore the performance of the East Asian climate simulation and to identify the model’s systematic errors. At the same time, comparative simulation experiments for 5 years between the RegCM2 and RegCM NCC have been done to further understand their differences in simulation performance. Also, a ten-year hindcast (1991–2000) for summer (June–August), the rainy season in China, has been undertaken. The preliminary results have shown that the RegCM NCC is capable of predicting the major seasonal rain belts. The best predicted regions with high anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) are located in the eastern part of West China, in Northeast China and in North China, where the CGCM has maximum prediction skill as well. This fact may reflect the importance of the largescale forcing. One significant improvement of the prediction derived from RegCM NCC is the increase of ACC in the Yangtze River valley where the CGCM has a very low, even a negative, ACC. The reason behind this improvement is likely to be related to the more realistic representation of the large-scale terrain features of the Tibetan Plateau. Presumably, many rain-producing systems may be generated over or near the Tibetan Plateau and may then move eastward along the Yangtze River basin steered by upper-level westerly airflow, thus leading to enhancement of rainfalls in the mid and lower basins of the Yangtze River. The real-time experimental predictions for summer in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004 by using this nested RegCM NCC were made. The results are basically reasonable compared with the observations.     

液化不可怕

预想不久的将来，关东南部或东海地方有大地震发生，并对其灾害进行了预估。尽管预计届时由地基液化造成的结构物灾害会很大，但对液化引起的死亡数却预估为零。这是什么原因呢？     

西宁市两种辐射观测仪器资料的对比分析

本文通过对西宁站2002年、2003年两种不同型号的自动辐射观测资料中的总辐射、净辐射各时月平均值、日总量值、日最大值的对比分析,初步分析了两种仪器误差产生的原因。结果表明两种仪器受温度的影响较大,仪器的密封是造成两种仪器误差的主要原因,两种仪器安装装置的不同是造成两者净辐射差异的主要原因之一。     

LT&E-R型自动雨量站数据采集系统硬件的设计与实现

该文概述了湖北省布点的LT&E-R型自动雨量站数据采集系统硬件的结构、功能,主要介绍了采集器主板电路和电源电路的设计原理与电路实现方法,侧重分析了比较有特点的电路部分.     

Implementation of a Surface Runoff Model with Horton and Dunne Mechanisms into the Regional Climate Model RegCM_NCC

A surface runoff parameterization scheme that dynamically represents both Horton and Dunne runoff generation mechanisms within a model grid cell together with a consideration of the subgrid-scaie soil heterogeneity, is implemented into the National Climate Center regional climate model （RegCM_NCC）. The effects of the modified surface runoff scheme on RegCMANCC performance are tested with an abnormal heavy rainfall process which occurred in summer 1998. Simulated results show that the model with the original surface runoff scheme （noted as CTL） basically captures the spatial pattern of precipitation, circulation and land surface variables, but generally overestimates rainfall compared to observations. The model with the new surface runoff scheme （noted as NRM） reasonably reproduces the distribution pattern of various variables and effectively diminishes the excessive precipitation in the CTL. The processes involved in the improvement of NRM-simulated rainfall may be as follows： with the new surface runoff scheme, simulated surface runoff is larger, soil moisture and evaporation （latent heat flux） are decreased, the available water into the atmosphere is decreased; correspondingly, the atmosphere is drier and rainfall is decreased through various processes. Therefore, the implementation of the new runoff scheme into the RegCMANCC has a significant effect on results at not only the land surface, but also the overlying atmosphere.     

海沟型地震、内陆型地震和板内地震

1日本周边的板块围绕日本列岛的板块状况如图1所示。在日本东北的东部近海,有厚度为70～100km的太平洋板块,以每年约8cm的速度向西北西方向运动。另外在日本西南的南方近海,有厚度为30～40km的菲律宾海板块,以每年约4cm的速度向西北方向运动。另一方面,陆地一侧的日本列岛,从来     

北京市朝阳区沙子营垃圾污染物在潜水含水层中迁移规律的现场模拟实验

选择北京平原区水文地质、环境地质等方面都比较典型的沙子营垃圾堆放场,建立了其水文地质模型。在充分收集资料、分析得出部分计算所需参数后,采用现场弥散实验、勘查取样测试等方法,求得了该含水层的弥散系数等参数;用二维非稳定流溶质运移方程对污染物在此含水层中的迁移扩散规律、速度和污染范围等进行了模拟计算;采用现场钻探、取样测试分析等方法,评价了该含水层的实际污染状况。实验模拟计算和现场调查结果表明:污染物在潜水含水层中的运移规律遵循二维非稳定流场中的溶质运移方程,污染物在潜水含水层中的运移速度约为86.25m/a,迁移扩散主要发生在地下水流向上,侧向扩散宽度极小,是地下水流向上的1/17。     

中国云南哀牢山含海蓝宝石伟晶岩的起源和成岩模拟实验研究

The Ailaoshan aquamarine-bearing pegmatites are associated with Proterozoic metamorphic rocks in the southern portion of the Ailaoshan fault-folded complex.The gem-bearing pegmatite mineralization zones of the region occur in areas generally consistent with the regional tectonic trend.The pegmatites are found in metamorphic rocks,migmatites and in the inner/outer contact zones of gneissoid granites. The Rb-Sr isochron drawn for the pegmatites is 26～31 Ma,(i.e.in Himalayan).The homogenization temperatures of melt and liquid inclusions in minerals vary from 185 to 920℃,which are comparable to the inclusions observed in banded migmatites and ptygmatic quartz veins in the surrounding metamorphic rocks. The mineralization fluids of the pegmatite were rich in HCO_3 and CO_2,and their compositional assemblages are comparable to metamorphic fluids.Results of H,O,C,Si etc.isotopic analyses and REE,and Be analyses indicates that the sources of mineralization components that formed the pegmatites are closely associated with metamorphic fluids and the enclosing metamorphic rocks. A pegmatite structure simulation experiment was conducted at high temperature and pressure(840℃and 1,500×105Pa.),with various metamorphic rock samples in a water-rich and volatile-rich environment.When the liquidus was reached,the temperature was gradually decreased at the rate of 5～10℃/day over a time period of three months.SEM energy-dispersive spectrum analyses were performed on the experimental products.A series of pegmatoid textures were observed including zonal texture,megacryst texture,drusy cavities,crystal druses,and vesicular texture along with more than ten types of minerals including plagioclase,microcline,quartz and biotite.Different metamorphic rock melts generated different mineral assemblages.Experiment results revealed that the partial melting of metamorphic rocks could form melts similar to pegmatite magmas. Based upon the geological characteristics,geochemistry,and pegmatite texture simulation experimental results,it is concluded that the mineralization components of Ailaoshan aquamarine-bearing pegmatites came from metamorphic rocks.The petrogenetic model for the origin of pegmatites is related to ultrametamorphism and metamorphic anatexis.     

曲线拟合在核探测器信号幅度提取中的应用

研究数字化核探测器输出脉冲信号的幅度提取问题。根据闪烁探测器的电路特性，推导了其脉冲信号理想曲线方程。综合利用三和值法、最小二乘法、试探法等方法，设计了该理想曲线拟合算法。由脉冲信号采样点数据，通过曲线拟合，计算出曲线的极大值，该值即为闪烁探测器输出脉冲信号的幅度。正反演数据结果对比表明，采用曲线拟合算法提取闪烁探测器输出脉冲信号幅度，其方案可行，计算结果更准确。相较于数字滤波和数字脉冲成形方法提取核探测器输出脉冲幅度，该算法更简单，对仪器的硬件处理速度要求更低。该方法开辟了核探测器脉冲幅度提取的新途径。     

拉萨地块西部狮泉河地区典中组火山岩年代学、地球化学特征及其构造意义

广泛分布于拉萨地块南部的林子宗群火山岩被认为是新特提斯洋北向俯冲消减到陆陆碰撞构造背景转化过程中的岩浆作用产物，记录了从新特提斯洋俯冲到印度-欧亚板块碰撞、后碰撞的丰富信息.对狮泉河地区的林子宗群典中组火山岩样品进行了详细的年代学、元素及同位素地球化学研究.结果显示典中组火山岩样品LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb年龄集中在67.1±1.7 Ma至70.8±1.1 Ma，表明其形成于白垩纪晚期.火山岩岩性主要包括玄武安山岩、安山岩、流纹岩等，其中，中基性火山岩为一套低钾拉斑-钙碱性系列岩石，具有低TiO₂（平均值< 1%），高Al₂O₃（平均值>15%），均富集K、Rb、Th、U等大离子亲石元素（LILE），亏损Nb、Ta、Zr、Ti等高场强元素（HFSE），具有弧岩浆岩的地球化学特征.两件中基性岩样品（87Sr/86Sr）_i比值分别为0.707 437、0.707 672，ε_Nd（t）值分别为-5.06和-4.31.酸性火山岩为一套高钾钙碱性岩石，具有高的SiO₂（76.01%~76.77%）、高K₂O（4.93%~4.98%）、高K₂O/Na₂O（1.41%~1.45%）以及相对高的Mg#（平均值为45.38），富集K、Rb、Th、U等大离子亲石元素（LILE），亏损Nb、Ta、Zr、Ti等高场强元素（HFSE），具有明显的Eu和Sr负异常.以上特征暗示典中组中基性火山岩可能是新特提斯洋北向俯冲消减过程中板片流体引起上覆地幔楔部分熔融的产物，且在上升过程中受到地壳混染的影响，酸性岩则可能来源于上覆地壳的部分熔融，且受到少量幔源物质的影响.此外，年代学及地球化学特征均表明本研究样品不属于前人认为的则弄群火山岩，而应重新厘定为林子宗群典中组火山岩.