基于GPS掩星技术反演大气参数模型的优化

准确掌握地球大气中的水气分布，了解水气变化趋势对天气现象、全球气候变化、数值预报具有理论研究及实用价值。以无线电掩星技术为基础，利用掩星数据反演大气参数剖面。对原反演模型的不足进行了论证，并给出了反演个例。详细地论述了通过引入MM5先验温度T再通过线性迭代的方法反演对流层下部水汽廓线原理，给出了优化后模型反演个例。并对模型优化后反演廓线中存在的问题进行了分析，提出了下一步优化方向。     

南宁生活指数预报系统

介绍了环境气象生活指数的概念,指出环境气象生活指数的开发主要是运用气象学、天气学、统计学、经济学等理论和业务技术方法,采用现场观测、实验研究、理论分析等手段,依赖基本气象业务系统,探讨气象条件对人们的生活、国民经济各个部门的作用和影响机理。建立南宁生活指数预报系统的主要技术方法,包括引用他人已经建立的预报模型、参照中国气象局文件建立预报模型、统计分析建立预报模型、经验预报模型也在文中进行了详细介绍。文章指出南宁生活指数预报系统要求的最低环境为586/133,16M内存,120M硬件空间;建立在W indow s 9X/NT/2K/XP操作系统上,开发工具为V isua l B as ic60;系统主要包括三个模块为数据录入模块、预报结论修改模块、参数设置模块;系统的预报流程和使用步骤也进行了介绍。文章还通过对部分指数的预报准确率分析评估了系统预报效果,评估表明系统预报总体效果良好。最后文章讨论了进一步完善系统的设想。     

AHP及模糊综合评判法在路基长期稳定性评价中的应用

根据对一低液限粉土路基的现场工程地质调查及检测,确定了影响该路基长期稳定性的主要影响因素,并结合AHP法,应用两级模糊综合评判的方法对该路基的长期稳定性进行了评价。     

土地利用现状和规划数据建库容差浅析

通过对第二次全国土地调查(以下简称"二调")和土地利用总体规划数据建库过程中误差的产生和传播分析,通过误差理论和容差设置实际研究。提出现行数据建库容许误差(以下简称容差)设置不合理,设置过高引起大量无用的数据处理工作。建议合理设置容差参数,提高数据库建设和更新效率。     

利用父母本微卫星标记估计大菱鲆(Scophthalmus maximus L.)幼鱼生长性状的遗传参数

The estimation of genetic parameters has played an important role in animal selective breeding for growth traits.Recently studies show that molecular markers can be incorporated into genetic evaluations. In order to improve the performance of an incomplete pedigree(i.e, only parents are known) in the genetic evaluations, 12 microsatellite markers have been applied in the estimation of the genetic parameters for body weight in a farmed population(n=1 890) of juvenile turbot(Scophthalmus maximus L.). A new relatedness called parental molecular relatedness(PMR) is estimated based on results of genotyping of 48 parents(31 males, 17 females) with microsatellites markers. The feasibility of PMR in estimation of genetic parameters is verified by comparison with pedigree related(PR) which is obtained from a complete pedigree. The results demonstrate that a high correlation(0.872) between them is found. Heritabilities are estimated using the PMR(0.52±0.13) and PR(0.55±0.22) with the same animal model. A cross-validation shows that the predictive abilities of models using the PMR and the PR are identical(0.81). From that, a conclusion can be made that PMR and PR predicted genetic values equally well in a population of juvenile turbot. Therefore PMR can be applied as an alternative of the PR when only parents are known. However, for a better performance, more markers and more families should be included in a further study.     

基于微卫星(SSR)分子标记的中国对虾渤海湾增殖亲虾群体及回捕群体的遗传多样性分析

Eight microsatellite markers were used to analyze genetic diversity, level of inbreeding, and effective population size of spawner and recaptured populations of Chinese shrimp(Fenneropenaeus chinensis) during stock enhancement in the Bohai Bay in 2013. A total of 254 and 238 alleles were identified in the spawner and recaptured populations, respectively, and the numbers of alleles(N_a) were 8–63 and 6–60, respectively. The numbers of effective alleles(N_e) were 2.52–21.60 and 2.67–20.72, respectively. The polymorphism information content ranged from 0.529 to 0.952. The observed heterozygosity(H_o) values(0.638–0.910 and 0.712–0.927) were lower than the expected heterozygosity(H_e) values(0.603–0.954 and 0.625–0.952), which indicated that the two populations possessed a rich genetic diversity. In 16 tests(2 populations×8 loci), 13 tests deviated from the HardyWeinberg equilibrium. F_(is) values were positive at seven loci and the inbreeding coefficients(F) of the two populations estimated by trio ML were 13.234% and 11.603%, suggesting that there was a relatively high degree of inbreeding. A certain level of inbreeding depression had occurred in the Chinese shrimp population. F_(st) values ranged from 0 to 0.059, with a mean of 0.028, displaying a low level of genetic differentiation in the two populations. Effective population sizes(3 060.2 and 3 842.8) were higher than the minimum number suggested for retaining the evolutionary potential to adapt to new environmental conditions. For enhancement activity in 2014,the ideal number of captured shrimp spawners should have ranged from 7 686 to 19 214 to maintain genetic diversity and effective population size. Further strategies to adjust the balance of economic cost, fishing effort and ideal number of shrimp spawners to maintain a satisfactory effective population size for ensuring the sustainability of Chinese shrimp are proposed.     

50年来北海市滨海湿地景观格局变化及其驱动机制

以1955~2004年遥感影像为数据源,结合野外调查,运用景观生态学原理,研究50 a间北海市滨海湿地的景观格局及其动态变化。结果表明,50 a间北海市滨海湿地呈整体退化趋势,潮间砂质海滩、潮间淤泥质海滩、红树林滩、小型岛屿湿地减少;景观格局指数显示1977年、1998年是北海市滨海湿地较明显变化的拐点。1977年人类活动影响增加,滨海湿地稍有退化,湿地景观多样性指数减小,优势度指数增加,均匀度指数减小、景观总面积指数降至最低值。1988年湿地保护力度加大,湿地略为好转,景观多样性指数、优势度指数、均匀度指数则呈相反规律。1998年湿地受到的极端气候灾害、人类干扰程度加大,平均斑块分形维数下降,斑块密度指数、景观斑块数破碎化指数呈最高值。湿地景观格局指数的变化,反映了围垦改造、互花米草的生物入侵、城市污染、极端气候灾害等对景观格局的影响,人类活动是北海市滨海湿地景观格局变化的主要驱动因子。     

大地电磁测深（MT）与土壤氡气测量在涡阳地区地热勘查中的应用

为了研究涡阳地区深部构造和热源条件,在高炉镇附近进行了大地电磁测深(MT)测量和土壤氡气测量工作。通过对大地电磁测深结果和土壤氡气浓度异常分布范围分析和解释,指导区内地热勘查工作。通过资料解释,基本查明区内构造的走向及其垂向延展特征,查明基底起伏变化情况并了解深断裂的控制性,预测地热成矿区有利地段。研究证明,利用MT与土壤氡气测量对隐伏断裂位置和地热异常具有较好的指示意义。     

陕西洛南绿松石的锶同位素特征及其产地意义——兼论二里头出土绿松石的产源

陕西洛南县河口绿松石采矿遗址距今约4 000年,为中国目前最早的一处绿松石采矿遗址。为判定该古矿出产绿松石的流向和中国古代绿松石矿料的来源,尝试利用固体热电离高精度质谱计检测秦岭东段5处绿松石矿样品的Sr同位素比值,进而对不同产地绿松石开展产源判别研究,期望为绿松石产源示踪提供帮助。结果发现:Sr同位素比值可以以0.710 5和0.716 5为界划分为3个聚集区。随之建立Sr含量和Sr同位素二元散点图,发现Sr的地球化学特征能够在一定程度上实现对不同产地绿松石的产源区分。运用该区分成果,发现二里头出土的绿松石废料与洛南古矿有着较为密切的关系。该研究为寻找河口古矿的绿松石流向提供帮助,也为开展绿松石文物产源研究提供技术支持。