北极冰下声传播特性实验研究

通过2017年8月6日在北极海域开展的一次声传播实验，开展了冰下声传播特性实验研究。结合Burke-Twersky （BT）散射模型与射线模型，分析了冰下声传播的多途到达结构，研究了接收声强变化规律，解释了接收声强在30 min内衰减20 dB的现象，分析了接收信号的时间相关性，探讨了接收信号相关性较低的原因。实验结果表明，表面接收信号主要由小角度多次反转反射声线、一次海底反射声线和二次海底反射声线依次构成，表面声道到达信号显著强于海底反射信号。试验冰站在试验期间的运动导致了声传播信号强度和相关性的迅速衰减，并通过仿真得到了验证。     

近20年京津唐主体城区地表热场空间特征变化分析

基于Landsat遥感影像获取京津唐主体城区1995~2015年地表温度(Land Surface Temperature, LST)和不透水地表盖度(Impervious Surface Percentage, ISP)数据。采用热点聚集和阈值分割法,依据地表的温度和不透水盖度属性将京津唐主体城区划分成9种地表热场类型,分析并探讨地表热场的发展规律、年际变化状况和区域贡献作用。研究发现,京津唐主体城区地表温度与不透水地表盖度间存在显著的正向相关关系,两者分别呈现“阶梯降”和“两端高、中间低”的变化特征。京津唐主体城区地表热场的发展主轴保持在西北-东南方向,且随时间推移沿主轴呈聚集态势。 京津唐主体城区地表热场的影响范围在空间上持续扩张,对于不同的主体城区,其在整体区域的热场贡献中有差异化表现。     

2000-2015年柴达木盆地植被覆盖度时空变化及其与环境因子的关系

基于MODIS-NDVI、DEM和气象数据，分析柴达木盆地2000—2015年植被覆盖度（FVC）时空变化特征，并与降水、温度、日照时数、相对湿度、蒸散量和海拔进行相关、偏相关或叠加分析，探讨FVC与各环境因子的关系。结果表明：FVC整体自东南向西北内陆呈半环状递减，FVC集中在20%以下，人类活动及径流等打破植被地带性规律；2000—2015年FVC明显改善，广泛分布于盆地中西部地区，2001—2002年年际变化最显著；FVC与降水、相对湿度以正相关为主，与温度关系不显著，与日照时数和蒸散量主要为负相关，降水对FVC贡献最大，温度通过影响蒸散量等间接影响FVC，而土壤蒸发对蒸散量的影响大于植物蒸腾；FVC与等高线空间分布较吻合，FVC在2 800~2 900 m和4 600~4 700 m出现两个峰值，4 700 m以上FVC迅速降低。     

京津唐地区HFMD时空变异分析与影响因子探测

手足口病（HFMD）是一种多发于儿童的常见传染病。近年来,中国HFMD发病人数逐年上升,疾病疫情也日益受到社会广泛关注。虽已有不少相关研究,但对于探测其时空异质性及量化潜在影响因子解释力的研究仍然较少。本文采用地理探测器及贝叶斯时空层次模型,对2009-2013年京津唐地区HFMD发病率的时空异质性进行分析,并量化各影响因子及其两两交互作用对HFMD发病率的解释力。结果表明：① HFMD的相对风险存在时间异质性,其发病风险在春夏季（5-7月）达到峰值,而冬季（12-次年2月）发病风险最低;② HFMD的相对风险存在空间异质性,在经济发达的地区HFMD发病率较高;③ 影响HFMD发病率时间异质性的主要气象因子为平均温度、累积降水、相对湿度,解释力分别为0.38,0.27,0.13,且交互作用都大于独自影响的作用,如平均温度和相对湿度、平均温度和降水,平均温度和风速两两交互的解释力分别为0.43, 0.40, 0.42。通过研究京津唐地区HFMD发病率的时空异质性以及影响因子的量化状况,为本地区HFMD的预防和控制提供理论依据。     

Enhanced fault detection and exclusion based on Kalman filter with colored measurement noise and application to RTK

GPS Solutions - The tropospheric delay is an important error source in the Global Positioning System (GPS) positioning and navigation applications. Although most of the tropospheric delays can be...     

A cavity expansion–based solution for interpretation of CPTu data in soils under partially drained conditions

A cavity expansion–based solution is proposed in this paper for the interpretation of CPTu data under a partially drained condition. Variations of the normalized cone tip resistance, cone factor, and undrained-drained resistance ratio are examined with different initial specific volume and overconsolidation ratio, based on the exact solutions of both undrained and drained cavity expansion in CASM, which is a unified state parameter model for clay and sand. A drainage index is proposed to represent the partially drained condition, and the critical state after expansion and stress paths of cavity expansion are therefore predicted by estimating a virtual plastic region and assuming a drainage-index–based mapping technique. The stress paths and distributions of stresses and specific volume are investigated for different values of drainage index, which are also related to the penetration velocity with comparisons of experimental data and numerical results. The subsequent consolidation after penetration is thus predicted with the assumption of constant deviatoric stress during dissipation of the excess pore pressure. Both spherical and cylindrical consolidations are compared for dissipation around the cone tip and the probe shaft, respectively. The effects of overconsolidation ratio on the stress paths and the distributions of excess pore pressure and specific volume are then thoroughly investigated. The proposed solution and the findings would contribute to the interpretation of CPTu tests under a random drained condition, as well as the analysis of pile installation and the subsequent consolidation.     

Three-dimensional active earth pressure from cohesive backfills with tensile strength cutoff

Most of previous analyses on the active earth pressure were performed in two-dimensional cases using the Mohr-Coulomb (M-C) failure function to describe the soil strength. However, all failures of retained slopes indicate a somewhat three-dimensional (3D) feature, and the M-C function is found to overestimate the tensile strength of cohesive soil. In this work, a kinematic limit analysis–based approach is developed for computing the 3D active earth pressure resulting from cohesive backfills. The concept of tensile strength cutoff is adopted to implement the reduction or elimination of tensile strength from the strength envelope. An extended 3D horn failure mechanism that is associated with the modified strength envelope is developed to characterize the collapse of retained slopes. The resultant of active earth pressure is evaluated from the work rate balance equation and expressed as an unfactored coefficient. The obtained results indicate that less support provided by the wall is required when allowing the existence of soil cohesion and 3D effects and that eliminating the tensile strength can observably increase the active earth pressure, especially for the backfill with a great level of cohesion.