基于贡献权重叠加法的滑坡风险区划

贡献权重叠加法是对滑坡本底因子和承灾体因子在滑坡发育中的贡献率进行统计后,通过贡献率均值化、规一化处理,利用权重转换模型计算出每一个因子内部的权重——自权重和因子相互之间的权重——互权重。将滑坡因子、承灾体因子和两者的自权重、互权重分别相乘叠加,得到滑坡危险度和易损度区划结果,再将2项结果相乘得出滑坡风险区划结果。     

Excel VBA在测量数据处理中的应用

Excel是office办公软件中的一个组件,而VBA是office应用程序共享的一种通用的自动化语言,可以使常用的office应用程序自动化,并可以创建自定义的解决方案。本文对Excel2003的数据处理功能进行分析,论述通过Excel2003的VBA编辑器创建"宏"功能实现测量数据处理的优点;并结合道路工程中桩坐标及其放样数据计算实例,给出了通过VBA编程进行测量数据处理的方法。     

嵩县纸房钼矿地质特征与找矿方向

嵩县纸房钼矿为马超营断裂多金属成矿带上首次发现和评价的层间脉型钼矿床．并迅速带动了在该区寻找脉型钼矿。通过对矿体形态、矿石质量、围岩蚀变和控矿要素等的分析研究,认为该矿床为中低温热液充填石英脉型层状矿床．指出了该区域新的找矿方向。     

等高线图信息定量度量研究

在分析现有的地图信息定量度量方法的基础上,提出了一组测量等高线地形图的几何信息和拓扑信息的定量度量方法,并进行了实例分析.     

吐哈盆地十红滩铀矿床水文地球化学特征

本文根据水化学资料的研究,探讨了十红滩铀矿床含矿含水层高矿化度地下水的成因,分析了高矿化度水对铀溶解迁移的影响及碳酸盐的形成机理.     

饱水黄土隧道变形规律研究

新松树湾隧道位于饱和的砂粘土中,土体的稳定性极差,施工难度较大。为此,在隧道施工期间,通过土工试验、隧道收敛和围岩内部位移的现场监测、隧道变形的三维有限元仿真计算等手段,对该隧道的变形规律进行了系统研究,获得了大量试验数据。研究成果对隧道的施工组织和支护参数的确定起到了重要作用,为此类隧道的施工积累了经验。     

由一组显著地震活动看地震应力场的"聚""散"过程

2002年8月21日至10月20日，华北地区发生了一组显著地震活动。通过该组显著地震活动的时空分布特点，分析了华北地区这一轮地震应力场的“聚”“散”过程，讨论了华北块体北缘地震带及与之紧邻的内蒙古西乌珠穆沁旗地震区未来的活动趋势，所得认识对今后该区的震情动态跟踪监视、趋势估计乃至地震短期预测判断具有一定的现实意义。     

Numerical simulation for 1975 Haicheng and 1999 Xiuyan earthquake processes by DDA+FEM

Introduction The Xiuyan earthquake(MS=5.4)on Nov.29,1999,occurred between Hushan town and Pi-anling town at the southeast end of the aftershocks of Haicheng earthquake(MS=7.3).These two earthquakes′sequences are highly similar in the way that the foreshocks are very frequent,focal mechanisms of the main shocks are about the same and fault strikes are approximately in the same direction.It is important to study these earthquakes for further research on seismogenesis to fore-cast earthquake…     

Could CMIP6 climate models reproduce the early-2000s global warming slowdown?

The unexpected global warming slowdown during 1998–2013 challenges the existing scientific understanding of global temperature change mechanisms, and thus the simulation and prediction ability of state-of-the-art climate models since most models participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5) cannot simulate it. Here, we examine whether the new-generation climate models in CMIP6 can reproduce the recent global warming slowdown, and further evaluate their capacities for simulating key-scale natural variabilities which are the most likely causes of the slowdown. The results show that although the CMIP6 models present some encouraging improvements when compared with CMIP5, most of them still fail to reproduce the warming slowdown. They considerably overestimate the warming rate observed in 1998–2013,exhibiting an obvious warming acceleration rather than the observed deceleration. This is probably associated with their deficiencies in simulating the distinct temperature change signals from the human-induced long-term warming trend and/or the three crucial natural variabilities at interannual, interdecadal, and multidecadal scales. In contrast, the 4 models that can successfully reproduce the slowdown show relatively high skills in simulating the long-term warming trend and the three keyscale natural variabilities. Our work may provide important insight for the simulation and prediction of near-term climate changes.     

基于模糊物元的城市化生态预警模型及应用

根据模糊物元理论建立了城市化的生态预警模型,将警报级别分为无警、轻警、中警、重警和巨警5级,并从资源预警、生态预警和环境预警3个方面构建河西走廊城市化进程中的生态环境预警指标体系,设立了预警参照标准与预警界限、警灯、警度,对河西走廊进行了实证分析。结果发现,河西走廊及五大地市按照预警指数从大到小的顺序依次为：张掖市、武威市、金昌市、河西走廊、嘉峪关市和酒泉市。其中,河西走廊的生态用水比重、植被覆盖率、人均环境保护费用和万元产值工业SO2排放量的景气指数最高,处于重警状态;城市工业用地定额、城市居住用地定额、万元产值工业废水排放量和万元产值工业粉尘排放量的景气指数最低,均处于轻警状态;其它指标均处于中警状态。可见,相对于土地资源和环境污染因素而言,水资源和生态条件已经对河西走廊的城市化产生了较强的束缚作用。