渤海盆地辽东湾地区古近系烃源岩成熟演化模拟

古近系是辽东湾地区的主力烃源岩层系, 包括孔店组(Ek)-沙河街组四段(Es⁴)、沙河街组三段(Es³)、沙河街组一、二段(Es1-2)、东营组三段(Ed³)4套烃源岩, 它们主要分布在该地区的3个凹陷(辽西、辽中和辽东)的各个次洼中。在沉积和构造发育史的基础上, 结合烃源岩地球化学和热史等参数对烃源岩成熟演化进行模拟。对辽中凹陷各洼陷典型井区的烃源岩演化模拟表明辽中凹陷不同洼陷内各烃源岩层系的成熟演化历史存在明显差异:在东营组沉积末期,Es⁴-Ek烃源岩普遍进入生油门限,现今,基本上处于高-过成熟阶段;在馆陶组沉积末期,Es³和Es^-2烃源岩普遍进入生油门限,Ed³烃源岩部分进入生油门限,现今,Es³和Es^-2烃源岩在辽中凹陷的部分地区达到生油高峰期。同时, 利用Basinview软件模拟了辽东湾地区古近系4套烃源岩的成熟演化历史, 表明在盆地演化过程中同一套烃源岩在辽东湾地区不同凹陷进入生油门限和达到生油高峰及生气阶段的时间存在差异。研究成果可以为该地区深凹区的烃源岩预测与评价和计算烃源岩体积、生、排烃量等提供重要参数,这对指导该地区的油气资源勘探具有重要意义。      

西秦岭礼县新生代钾霞橄黄长岩系中的含钛透辉石

对西秦岭礼县新生代钾霞橄黄长岩系中的基质相含钛透辉石进行了矿物化学研究，根据透辉石中Ti和Al的含量划分出低Ti—透辉石和高Ti—铝透辉石两种基本类型，它们作为同源岩浆演化结晶的产物，结晶顺序前者先于后者。火山岩系的透辉石[Ca(Mg，Fe)Si2O6]结晶过程中广泛存在着CaTiAl2O6(钛辉石)分子替代，晚期熔体富Ti、Al贫Si、Mg。百草山岩筒是演化岩浆结晶的产物，熔体向富Ti、Al、Fe^3 、Na，贫Mg、Si趋势演化；在透辉石成分上表现为CaTiAl2O6和NaFe^3 Si2O6(锥辉石)端元分子对Ca(Mg，Fe)Si2O6的替代。本地区基质相透辉石与世界上典型地区的钾霞橄黄长岩系的透辉石具有不同程度的可比性，反映了这种特殊的岩浆熔体成分在一定程度上控制着透辉石的结晶过程和阳离子在矿物晶格中的占位。     

基于二次场二维起伏地形MT有限元数值模拟

通过计算二次场来进行二维大地电磁数值模拟;导出了二维大地电磁二次场的微分方程,利用有限单元法来解微分方程;对矩形网格进行对角线的二次剖分,更容易且真实地模拟起伏地形。对几个典型模型进行了试算,与前人总场法的计算结果做了比较,两者视电阻率曲线一致,证明本文算法是正确的;通过2个简单的算例说明复杂地表下2种极化模式的MT观测资料都有明显的异常,视电阻率在TM模式下比TE模式更易受地形影响,TE模式下视电阻率曲线形态与地形呈"正相关",TM模式下反之。     

Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on the Predictability of Idealized Tropical Cyclone Intensity

The role of sea surface temperature (SST) forcing in the development and predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is examined using a large set of idealized numerical experiments in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The results indicate that the onset time of rapid intensification of TC gradually decreases, and the peak intensity of TC gradually increases, with the increased magnitude of SST. The predictability limits of the maximum 10 m wind speed (MWS) and minimum sea level pressure (MSLP) are ~72 and ~84 hours, respectively. Comparisons of the analyses of variance for different simulation time confirm that the MWS and MSLP have strong signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) from 0-72 hours and a marked decrease beyond 72 hours. For the horizontal and vertical structures of wind speed, noticeable decreases in the magnitude of SNR can be seen as the simulation time increases, similar to that of the SLP or perturbation pressure. These results indicate that the SST as an external forcing signal plays an important role in TC intensity for up to 72 hours, and it is significantly weakened if the simulation time exceeds the predictability limits of TC intensity.     

LINKAGE BETWEEN INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE AND TWO TYPES OF El NI?O AND ITS POSSIBLE MECHANISMS

After compositing three representative ENSO indices,El Nio events have been divided into an eastern pattern(EP) and a central pattern(CP).By using EOF,correlation and composite analysis,the relationship and possible mechanisms between Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD) and two types of El Nio were investigated.IOD events,originating from Indo-Pacific scale air-sea interaction,are composed of two modes,which are associated with EP and CP El Ni o respectively.The IOD mode related to EP El Nio events(named as IOD1) is strongest at the depth of 50 to 150 m along the equatorial Indian Ocean.Besides,it shows a quasi-symmetric distribution,stronger in the south of the Equator.The IOD mode associated with CP El Nio(named as IOD2) has strongest signal in tropical southern Indian Ocean surface.In terms of mechanisms,before EP El Nio peaks,anomalous Walker circulation produces strong anomalous easterlies in equatorial Indian Ocean,resulting in upwelling in the east,decreasing sea temperature there;a couple of anomalous anticyclones(stronger in the south) form off the Equator where warm water accumulates,and thus the IOD1 occurs.When CP El Nio develops,anomalous Walker circulation is weaker and shifts its center to the west,therefore anomalous easterlies in equatorial Indian Ocean is less strong.Besides,the anticyclone south of Sumatra strengthens,and the southerlies east of it bring cold water from higher latitudes and northerlies west of it bring warm water from lower latitudes to the 15° to 25°S zone.Meanwhile,there exists strong divergence in the east and convergence in the west part of tropical southern Indian Ocean,making sea temperature fall and rise separately.Therefore,IOD2 lies farther south.     

热带大气对单一型赤道非对称热源的响应

本文采用Gill模式得到了热带大气对单一型赤道非对称热源响应的理论解析通解,从理论上完善了单一型赤道非对称热源激发的赤道非对称的大气响应结果。同时在单一型赤道非对称热源的位置、强度及范围变化对大气响应的影响方面做了详细的研究。当热源中心位置北移,北半球气旋强度增加、位置北移,同时赤道辐合气流减弱而越赤道气流增强;当热源强度增强(减弱),热源激发的大气响应整体增强(减弱),但大气分布型不发生变化;当热源范围不断增大(减小)时,北半球气旋强度增强(减弱)、位置西移(东移)、范围增大(减小),同时越赤道气流增强(减弱)。将上述结论应用于分析孟加拉湾地区海温对夏季风爆发影响的研究,指出当孟加拉湾地区经向最大暖海温位于赤道附近时,其两侧表现为Rossby波响应的Gill型气旋环流,而海温暖轴北移后,其南侧激发出有利于季风爆发的越赤道气流,这是Rossby重力混合波对热源响应的结果。这是上述理论结果的一个很好例证,同时也为孟加拉湾夏季风的爆发给出一种动力学解释。     

季节内印度洋-西太平洋对流涛动对次季节-季节尺度大气可预报性的影响

利用非线性局部Lyapunov指数和条件非线性局部Lyapunov指数定量估计了季节内印度洋-西太平洋对流涛动（IPCO）和实时多变量Madden-Julian指数（RMM指数）可预报期限,量化了季节内IPCO对S2S尺度大气可预报性的贡献,深入研究了季节内IPCO演变下S2S尺度可预报期限空间分布的变化规律。结果表明：（1）与RMM指数相比,季节内IPCO指数可预报性更强,可预报期限达到31天左右,比RMM指数高出2周以上;（2）印度洋-西太平洋区域S2S尺度大气可预报性最强,可预报期限达到30天以上,其中季节内IPCO是该地区的主要可预报性来源之一,其贡献达到6天,占总可预报期限的25%以上;（3）随着季节内IPCO的演变,印度洋-西太平洋地区S2S尺度大气可预报性有空间结构变化,表现为可预报期限异常的传播和振荡。S2S尺度大气可预报期限正负异常沿季节内IPCO传播路径,一支以赤道中西印度洋为起点北传至印度半岛,一支向东传播,经过海洋性大陆到赤道西太平洋后向北传播,到达日本南部。同时,可预报性异常的传播在在东印度洋和西太平洋表现出反向变化的特征,形成东西两极振荡,当季节内IPCO向正位相发展时,东印度洋具有更强的可预报性,西太平洋具有更弱的可预报性,反之亦然。季节内IPCO的发展（衰退）可使东印度洋（西太平洋）S2S尺度大气可预报性更强,表明模式预报技巧对此具有更大的提升空间。     

Prediction of the Asian-Australian Monsoon Interannual Variations with the Grid-Point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG （GAMIL）

Seasonal prediction of Asian-Australian monsoon （A-AM） precipitation is one of the most important and challenging tasks in climate prediction. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of Grid Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG （GAMIL） on retrospective prediction of the A-AM interannual variation （IAV）, and determine to what extent GAMIL can capture the two major observed modes of A-AM rainfall IAV for the period 1979-2003. The first mode is associated with the turnabout of warming （cooling） in the Nifio 3.4 region, whereas the second mode leads the warming/cooling by about one year, signaling precursory conditions for ENSO.
We show that the GAMIL one-month lead prediction of the seasonal precipitation anomalies is primarily able to capture major features of the two observed leading modes of the IAV, with the first mode better predicted than the second. It also depicts the relationship between the first mode and ENSO rather well. On the other hand, the GAMIL has deficiencies in capturing the relationship between the second mode and ENSO. We conclude： （1） successful reproduction of the E1 Nifio-excited monsoon-ocean interaction and E1 Nifio forcing may be critical for the seasonal prediction of the A-AM rainfall IAV with the GAMIL; （2） more efforts are needed to improve the simulation not only in the Nifio 3.4 region but also in the joining area of Asia and the Indian-Pacific Ocean; （3） the selection of a one-tier system may improve the ultimate prediction of the A-AM rainfall IAV. These results offer some references for improvement of the GAMIL and associated seasonal prediction skill.     

大气季节内振荡对印度洋—西太平洋地区热带低压/气旋生成的影响

文中利用EOF分析大气季节内振荡 (MJO)的时空变化的方法 ,研究了 1996年 9月～ 1997年 6月间的MJO活动对生成在印度洋—西太平洋海域的热带低压 /气旋的影响。结果发现 ,除西北太平洋之外 ,发生在其他区域的热带低压 /气旋有半数以上生成在向东移动的MJO的湿位相中。伴随MJO的向东传播 ,热带低压 /气旋平均生成位置也随之向东移动 ,而生成在西北太平洋的热带低压 /气旋分别受到向东和向西传播的MJO影响     

N-间甲苯基-N′-(对氨基苯磺酸钠)硫脲与铜的显色反应及应用

研究了新试剂Ｎ－间甲苯基－Ｎ′－（对氨基苯磺酸钠）硫脲（ＭＭＰＴ）与Ｃｕ２＋的显色反应。结果表明,在ｐＨ４．６～５．６的ＨＡｃ－ＮａＡｃ介质中,Ｃｕ２＋与ＭＭＰＴ形成的配合物至少稳定５ｈ,其λｍａｘ＝３７０ｎｍ,表观摩尔吸光系数为１．１２×１０５Ｌ·ｍｏｌ－１·ｃｍ－１。Ｃｕ２＋的质量浓度在０．０８～１．４ｍｇ／Ｌ时符合比尔定律,相关系数ｒ＝０．９９９１。方法简便、快速,用于铅矿中铜的分析,测定结果与监控样推荐值相符,对ｗ（Ｃｕ）＝０．８％的试样测定６次,ＲＳＤ＝３．２％。