上海市中心城区外来人口社会空间分布研究

本文利用2000年外来流动人口“五普”数据,通过因子生态分析和社会区分析的方法,以GIS作为操作平台,利用人口统计数据,对外来人口在上海市中心城区的社会空间结构进行研究。研究结果表明,长期定居上海群体、来沪务工群体人口聚集区、高社会经济地位人口聚居区和社会特殊群体聚居区成为了上海市中心城区外来人口的社会空间结构的主要聚集类型。     

A STUDY ON THE MECHANISM AND CHARACTEROF THE INDUSTRIALAND SPATIAL TRANSFERENCE OF FDI IN CHINA

1 BACKGROUND OF STUDYChina has begun to take part in the great practice ofinternational competition and opening-up in the last 1 /5 time of 20th century. In the last two decades, Chinahas become one of the areas that have the greatest potential in industrial production, thus it has rankedsecond only to USA in the flow of international capital.By the end of 1998, the real value of FDI China hasutilized has added up to $268. I billion. China has wonworld attention as a huge market for …     

Excess commuting in transitional urban China: A case study of Guangzhou

During the reform era, Chinese cities witnessed dramatic institutional transformation and spatial restructuring in general and profound change of commuting patterns in particular. Using household surveys collected in Guangzhou, China, in 2001, 2005 and 2010, excess commuting measurements are estimated. Excess commuting shows an overall trend of increasing during 1990–1999, and then declining during 2000–2010. We argue that deepening marketization of the jobs and housing sectors has induced spatial separation of jobs and housing. In other words, institutional transition and urban spatial restructuring are underpinning the changes of commuting patterns in Chinese cities. Excess commuting has strong relationship with individual socio-demographic status, which is by and large due to the increasing flexibilities of jobs and housing location choices enjoyed by urban residents. The findings call for considerations on balancing jobs-housing in making public policies relevant to urban development in general, and land use and transportation in particular.     

Industrial transformation of Shenyang city

Industrial transformation represents a unique economic phenomenon in China‘s regional economy,and old industrial city reconstruction has long been a key problem that affects state security. As a typical old indus-trial city in China, Shenyang established its heavy industrial city position in the First Five-year Plan period (1953-1957), and this industrial structure has been consolidated for a long time. After 1978, Shenyang began its long last-ing industrial reconstruction in an all-round way by 3 main initiatives including restructuring economic system, up-grading traditional industrial technology and developing high-tech industry. In the end of the 1990s, it could be i-dentified that remarkable structural changes took place in city economy at large as well as individual industrial sec-tor. According to the GDP proportion change, Shenyang is on the way to a high level industrial structure. The sec-ondary industry also engendered significant shifting as smelting and textile industry declined sharply but IT industry increased largely. Although the ratio of the heavy industry to the light industry changed periodically, the heavy in-dustrial output value most time kept a high proportion over 60% of the gross industrial output value in the past five decades. Shenyang has favorable conditions for developing equipment manufacturing industry, but it should carry out the program by establishing its leading role in urban economy plan, building “Theme Industrial Parks“, improv-ing Tiexi Industrial Zone, removing any kind of system barrier, enlarging private and other ownerships economy and improving technology, marketing and management by IT application. In response to economy globalization,Shenyang needs to expand the cooperation worldwide and improve the cohesion with surrounding cities.     

空间同位模式支持下城市服务业关联发现及特征分析

空间同位模式分析是数据挖掘中一种常见的方法,可有效挖掘城市设施在空间位置上的关联特征,进而发现城市设施的分布规律。本文基于POI数据同位模式挖掘用来获取城市服务业空间关联结构：首先,通过邻近实例获取、同位候选模式存储与筛选,得到城市服务业二阶同位模式;然后,据此构造产业空间关联图,得到产业间的关联结构;最后,分别构造了产业空间关联图密度和产业空间关联显著指数,用来衡量城市服务业空间关联的紧密程度和整体关联的显著程度。本文选取成都、兰州、郑州、沈阳、上海与深圳为试验区,实验结果表明：不同城市服务业的空间关联结构存在共性与特殊性,整体上,餐饮、购物等与居民日常生活相关的服务业易与其他服务业产生空间强相关,这几类服务业内部空间集聚明显;成都与沈阳的服务业整体表现空间关联度高且紧密,兰州其次,上海与深圳的服务业则整体表现空间关联较弱,郑州的服务业空间关联较紧密但强度较低。     

THE RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF CHINA'S 'MILLION' CITIES

ＴＨＥＲＥＣＥＮＴＥＣＯＮＯＭＩＣＤＥＶＥＬＯＰＭＥＮＴＯＦＣＨＩＮＡ＇Ｓ＇ＭＩＬＬＩＯＮ＇ＣＩＴＩＥＳＮｉｎｇＹｕｅｍｉｎ（宁越敏）（ＴｈｅＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＷｅｓｔＥｕｒｏｐｅａｎａｎｄＮｏｒｔｈＡｍｅｒｉｃａｎＧｅｏｇｒａｐｈｙ，ＥａｓｔＣ...     

中国旅游产业科技创新能力的时空动态和驱动因素分析

从科技创新的基础、投入、产出和潜力4方面构建了旅游产业科技创新能力结构模型和综合评价指标体系,利用熵值法、线性加权法以及ArcGIS空间分析工具分析评价了2004、2008、2014年中国旅游产业科技创新能力的总体水平、时空动态演化及驱动因素。结果表明：① 2004-2014年,中国旅游产业科技创新能力总体上呈不断提高态势,但空间分布极不均衡,存在明显的地区差异,在趋势上基本表现出东西方向递增,南北方向倒“U”型分布态势;② 中国旅游产业科技创新能力在地理空间上存在着显著而稳定的集聚特征和一定的极化特征,毗邻的区域在旅游科技创新方面存在一定的空间外溢效应;③ 中国旅游产业科技创新能力热点区主要分布在北京、天津和少数东部沿海省份和中部省份,冷点区主要集中在中西部内陆地区的省份;④ 空间残差回归和地理加权回归研究表明,旅游产业基础、空间外溢效应、政策制度因素是驱动中国旅游产业科技创新能力时空变化3个核心因素。     

湖南省工业用地利用效率评价分析

工业用地高效利用是城市可持续发展的前提,新型工业化道路是可持续发展的必由之路,当前工业经济高速发展,土地低效利用与环境污染问题日益凸显。该研究基于DEA方法,从环境—经济、投入—产出2个角度建立评价指标体系,以湖南省为例,测度2013—2016年湖南省工业用地利用效率,并运用ArcGIS10.2分别对2013年和2016年工业用地利用效率的空间布局进行分析。得出结论:湖南省工业用地利用效率整体较高,呈上升趋势,各城市之间利用效率有较大差异。空间上,工业用地利用效率存在明显的区域差异,但逐步形成协同发展模式;大部分城市的纯技术效率与规模效率变化不同步,需要进一步探讨两者稳定的发展模式。结合产业类型进行工业结构调整是对工业用地利用效率研究内容的补充及研究趋势。     

基于多源数据的县域主导功能类型划分及其空间结构模式识别

研究县域主导功能类型并分析空间结构模式对区域全面、协调、可持续发展的引导和规划调控具有重要意义。本文以广东省为例,利用K-means聚类分析对其124个县域单位主导功能区类型进行划分;基于腾讯位置大数据,利用位序—规模法则构建空间结构指数,并结合遥感数据对不同主导功能县域的空间结构模式进行识别和分析。研究表明：① 利用统计、遥感、社交媒体以及夜间灯光等多源数据和K-means聚类方法进行县域主导功能区分类,分类结果能客观反映区域特征,广东省县域主导功能可分为生态主导型、农业主导型、工业主导型、中心服务型和均衡发展型5类;② 基于腾讯位置大数据的位序—规模法则方法能够突破城市尺度,结合遥感数据定量分析,可用于中观县域尺度的空间结构模式识别研究;③ 农业主导型和生态主导型县域空间结构指数均值都大于1,呈单中心空间结构特征趋势;工业主导型县域空间结构指数均值小于1,呈多中心空间结构特征趋势;均衡发展型县域空间结构指数均值接近1,不同地区均衡发展型县域所呈现的空间结构特征存在差异;④ 不同主导功能县域之间的空间结构模式差异明显,生态主导型县域多呈单中心极核式,农业主导型县域多呈单中心极核+散点式,均衡发展型县域多种模式并存特征明显,而工业主导型县域呈多中心网络分布模式。     

The recent economic development of China’s ‘million’ cities

Since the 1980’s, two new trends have been emerging in the economic development of the Chinese ‘million’ cities. One is the development disparity, and the other is the industrial restructuring. Firstly, in terms of per capita GDP (Gross Domestic Product), 32 ‘million’ cities are classified into 4 types. The paper thinks there are 3 main causes which bring about the development disparity. Then, the paper approaches the industrial restructuring of the ‘million’ cities. In order to shrink the gap between the coastal ‘million’ cities and the interior ‘million’ cities, the paper thinks that the central government should pay most attention to the economic development of the inland, meanwhile, the interior ‘million’ cities should speed up the economic reform and industrial restructuring.     

山东省绿色发展效率时空演化及影响因素分析

运用基于非期望产出的SBM模型,对2007—2017年山东省17地市绿色发展效率进行测度,分析其时空演化特征,进一步构建Tobit模型探究其影响因素。研究表明:2007—2017年山东省各地市间绿色发展效率变化趋势呈现地域差异,东部地区效率提升快于中西部地区,且存在个别地市绿色发展效率下降与个别地市绿色发展效率上升并存的趋势特征。山东省绿色发展效率存在明显的空间分异性,且存在高效率区向东发展,低效率区转向中西部的演化特征。山东省绿色发展效率与经济发展水平之间存在U型曲线关系,且现阶段经济发展水平及城镇化水平对绿色发展具有显著的负向影响,产业结构、对外开放程度及科技创新对绿色发展效率具有显著的正向驱动作用。推动产业结构优化升级,以创新驱动发展,推动更高层次的对外开放是山东省绿色发展提升的重要途径。     

黄河三角洲东营市土地利用“涨势图谱”的时空特征分析

本文在分析黄河三角洲环境生态特征的基础上 ,以 4 0年 (1 95 6～ 1 996年 )来 4期土地利用数据合成的土地利用系列图谱及其“涨势”变化图谱为基础 ,研究不同行政单元上“涨势图谱”的时空分布变化规律 ,并分析了耕地、盐碱地以及居民工矿用地在“涨势图谱”上的时空分布特征。     

Spatial-temporal Dynamics and Driving Forces of Land Development Intensity in the Western China from 2000 to 2015

The change in land development intensity is an important perspective to reflect the variation in regional social and economic development and spatial differentiation. In this paper, spatial statistical analysis, Ordinary Least Squares(OLS), and Geographically weighted regression(GWR) methods are used to systematically analyse the spatial-temporal characteristics and driving forces of land development intensity for 131 spatial units in the western China from 2000 to 2015. The findings of the study are as follows: 1) The land development intensity in the western China has been increasing rapidly. From 2000 to 2015, land development intensity increased by 3.4 times on average. 2) The hotspot areas have shifted from central Inner Mongolia, northern Shaanxi and the Beibu Gulf of Guangxi to the Guanzhong Plain and the Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration. The areas of cold spots were mainly concentrated in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, Yunnan, and Xinjiang. 3) Investment intensity and the natural environment have always been the main drivers of land development intensity in the western China. Investment played a powerful role in promoting land development intensity, while the natural and ecological environment distinctly constrained such development. The effect of the economic factors on land development intensity in the western China has changed, which is reflected in the driving factor of construction land development shifting from economic growth in 2000 to economic structure, especially industrial structure, in 2015.     

重庆两江新区空间结构演变驱动机制分析与过程模拟

两江新区作为中国第一个内陆开放区,在短时间内经历了高强度开发,其社会经济空间结构演变对于国家新区的发展和规划具有重要意义。两江新区的城市建设用地扩张基本分布在中心城区外围,部分沿交通线向外扩张,并可通过元胞自动机模型对未来建设用地演变趋势进行模拟。本研究基于两江新区的人口数据、建设用地空间分布、道路数据等基本要素分析区域空间结构演变过程,定性与定量相结合研究两江新区空间结构演变的特征与机制并进行多模型模拟。研究结果表明：① 从人口、用地、交通等基本要素的时空变化可以看出,两江新区自2010年6月成立至2015年,区域城镇中心体系和空间结构都发生了明显的变化;② 政策环境、基础设施、要素成本和集聚效应是企业入驻两江新区的4个主要驱动因素;③ 两江新区建设用地扩张空间累积阻力值呈同心圆和轴带发展形态,建设用地空间演变基本向空间累积阻力值低的方向和地区扩张;④ 元胞自动机模型模拟的结果精度在80%以上,能够展示过去5年两江新区空间结构的演变过程和未来该区域空间结构的状况。本研究的结果能够为内陆开放区的优化建设提供科学参考,有助于提高重庆市两江新区开发建设的效益。     

AN ANALYSIS OF THE POLICY－MAKING IN REGULATING THE INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE AND DISTRIBUTION IN TRADITIONAL INDUSTRIAL BASE IN MIDDLE LIAONING PROVINCE

ＡＮＡＮＡＬＹＳＩＳＯＦＴＨＥＰＯＬＩＣＹ－ＭＡＫＩＮＧＩＮＲＥＧＵＬＡＴＩＮＧＴＨＥＩＮＤＵＳＴＲＩＡＬＳＴＲＵＣＴＵＲＥＡＮＤＤＩＳＴＲＩＢＵＴＩＯＮＩＮＴＲＡＤＩＴＩＯＮＡＬＩＮＤＵＳＴＲＩＡＬＢＡＳＥＩＮＭＩＤＤＬＥＬＩＡＯＮＩＮＧＰＲＯＶＩ...     

河南省雨季降水时空变异特征分析

降水的时空变异分析是认识区域水资源形成与演变的重要方法。时空变异特征分析不仅可以系统地对降水的时间序列进行分析,而且能从空间上把握降水的分布格局。本文将河南省近51年雨季降水资料,结合数字高程模型(DEM),利用回归分析、空间自相关分析、空间插值模拟及交叉验证等,对河南省降水时空变异特征进行分析。结果表明:(1)河南省雨季降水整体来看呈增加趋势,近年来尤为明显;但9月份表现异常,呈下降趋势。(2)月降水量差异明显,最大降水量在7月份,平均达到178.3 mm;(3)在空间上降水呈现出明显的南多北少,东多西少的格局;有明显的集聚特点,在南部以罗山、潢川为中心形成降水丰沛聚集区,北部以辉县为中心形成降水稀少聚集区;林县、栾川和西峡表现为空间例外,明显高于相邻区域的降水量。     

The satellite towns of metropolis guangzhou: Evolution,inherent links with the central city and tendencies —a case study of renhe town

This paper focuses on three interrelated aspects of the relationship between the satellite towns (Renhe Town) and the central city of metropolis Guangzhou. The attention is initially paid to the evolution of the satellite towns. Those towns are recognized as industrial ones although different types could be identified since the founding of the People’s Republic of China in 1949. Then the analysis is turned to the inherent links between Renhe and the central city. Although Renhe has absorbed some decentralized industries, the achievements of constructing satellite towns are not considered satisfactory. This is because the decentralized industries have not given an impetus to the economic growth of Renhe, the town has no close links with the central city in the aspects of finance, employment, economy and technology due to the limitation of the traditional administrative institution, and the decentralized workers are commuters taking the mother city as the sleeping place. Thirdly the problems associated with the construction of satellite towns are examined. Guangzhou is experiencing the major restructuring of industrial structure and therefore it is necessary to decentralize some industries to satellite towns. However, the limits from the central city and the satellite towns are influencing industrial decentralization and construction of satellite towns. The solutions and prospects are finally put forward. This paper was funded by the Canadian International Development Agency.     

Changing spatial and structural patterns of non-agricultural activities in outward-moving Beijing urban fringe

As responses to metropolitan suburbanization and rural urbanization,the formation and evolution of urban fringes should be understood against the background of overall economic development and spatial reconstruction of entire metropolises.At the same time,however,endogenous interactions between industrial structure and spatial patterns of non-agricultural activities are also worthy of scholarly attention.Since the 1980s,studies on urban fringes in China have been restricted by the lack of micro-level data.This paper investigates the spatial expansion and structural evolution of the urban fringe by taking the case of Beijing and uses systematic firm-level data in 1996 and 2001 from the National Census of Basic Units.The diversity of distribution patterns across industrial sectors brings about two interrelated results.On the one hand,structural adjustment of non-agricultural industries promotes the expansion and spatial evolution of the urban fringe.On the other hand,the stability and dynamics of industrial structure coexist in the moving urban fringe.This study also reveals that the outward-moving urban fringe is the optimal location for manufacturing,especially heavy manufacturing,as well as traditional producer and consumer services.However,industries with spatial stickiness such as tourism and sports have not moved with the fringe.Most advanced services remain concentrated in the city center.The authors argue that it is essential for understanding and managing urban fringes to take into account spatial evolution and industrial structural adjustment together with their interaction with each other.     

Simulation analysis on spatial pattern of urban population in Shenyang City,China in Late 20th century

The spatial distribution of urban population can reflect significantly urban functions and development status. Shenyang, as a typical old industrial city in China, has experienced considerable changes in spatial distribution of population in the process of urban transformation, resulting in the change of urban spatial structure. Based on the sub-district data of Chinese national population censuses in 1982, 1990 and 2000, this study simulates the evolution pattern of spatial distribution of urban population in Shenyang City. Using statistical method and exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA), we found that the population distribution, on the whole, has presented a balanced and decentralized trend since the 1980s, which characterizes with Chinese suburbanization. Furthermore, based on the investigation of the pattern of population distribution, it is concluded that the negative exponential model fitted the distribution best, and population concentration in the inner suburb kept increasing gradually, meanwhile, the spatial structure of population distribution has presented a polycentric feature since the 1980s. The parameters of the model show that population in the urban core concentrate significantly all the time. The increase of population in the inner suburb influences the population distribution pattern more and more importantly, but the concentration intensity of population cores in inner suburb is still low.     

Research on regional comprehensive development in developed regions —The case of Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou area

The developed regions are faced with the problems of regional comprehensive development, and the research on regional comprehensive development has become a trend in the world. To optimize regional industrial structure and to select and determine scientifically the spatial development strategy of regional industries are the central themes to be solved for the research on regional comprehensive development in the developed regions. This paper proposed the basis for optimizing regional industrial structure, and the main factors of selecting and determining the regional leading industries. Based on this, the paper puts forward the leading industries and the spatial development strategy in Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou area in the future ten or more years. Combined with the situation of Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou area, the paper also discusses some problems of locating superior developing axis to benefit the rational distribution of regional productive forces.