Engineering Geological Study of the Active Tectonic Region for Hydropower Development on the Jinsha River,Upstream of the Yangtze River

The Jinsha River runs across the Hengduanshan north-south tectonic zone where neotectonism was relatively strong, accompanied by various geologic hazards. In this case, it seems necessary to make a quantitative assessment and grading of the engineering geological environment for the planning and development of hydropower projects on the Jinsha River.The studies of crustal structures and activities of neotectonic fault blocks provide a three-dimensional geomechan-ics model for us to make an assessment of the engineering geological environment. Based on the survey data and results from geologic hazard risk analysis, a hierarchical analysis model on the quality of the engineering geological environment is established with respect to the crustal stability, ground stability, and rock and soil mass stability. Nine factors relevant to the geological environment are selected and five levels are used for the quality grades: very bad, bad, mediocre, good, very good. The result indicates that active deep faults ha     

Landslide Hazard and Risk Assessment on the Northern Slope of Mt. Changbai, China

Landslide hazard and risk assessment on the northern slope of Mt. Changbai, a well-known tourist attraction near the North Korean-Chinese border, are assessed. This study is divided into two parts, namely, landslide hazard zonation and risk assessment. The 1992 Anbalagan and Singh method of landslide hazard zonation （LHZ） was modified and used in this area. In this way, an Associative Analysis Method was used in representative areas to get a measure for controlling factors （slope gradient, relative relief, vegetation, geology, discontinuity development, weak layer thickness and ground water）. For the membership degree of factor to slope failure, the middle range of limited values was used to calculate LHZ. Based on an estimation of the potential damage from slope failure, a reasonable risk assessment map was obtained using the relationship of potential damage and probable hazard to aid future planning and prediction and to avert loss of life.     

A Simplified Numerical Approach for the Prediction of Rainfall-Induced Retrogressive Landslides

Retrogressive landslides are common geological phenomena in mountainous areas and on onshore and offshore slopes. The impact of retrogressive landslides is different from that of other landslide types due to the phenomenon of retrogression. The hazards caused by retrogressive landslides may be increased because retrogressive landslides usually affect housing, facilities, and infrastructure located far from the original slopes. Additionally, substantial geomorphic evidence shows that the abundant supply of loose sediment in the source area of a debris flow is usually provided by retrogressive landslides that are triggered by the undercutting of water. Moreover, according to historic case studies, some large landslides are the evolution result of retrogressive landslides. Hence the ability to understand and predict the evolution of retrogressive landslides is crucial for the purpose of hazard mitigation. This paper discusses the phenomenon of a retrogressive landslide by using a model experiment and suggests a reasonably simplified numerical approach for the prediction of rainfall-induced retrogressive landslides. The simplified numerical approach, which combines the finite element method for seepage analysis, the shear strength reduction finite element method, and the analysis criterion for the retrogression and accumulation effect, is presented and used to predict the characteristics of a retrogressive landslide. The results show that this numerical approach is capable of reasonably predicting the characteristics of retrogressive landslides under rainfall infiltration, particularly the magnitude of each landslide, the position of the slip surface, and the development processes of the retrogressive landslide. Therefore, this approach is expected to be a practical method for the mitigation of damage caused by rainfall-induced retrogressive landslides.     

A Seismic Hazard Map Based on Geology and Shear-wave Velocity in Rawalpindi–Islamabad,Pakistan

The ‘twin cities' district of Rawalpindi–Islamabad is among the most endangered seismic regions in Pakistan,with the seismic hazard assessed(0.32 g) to intensity IX MMI for a 475-year return period. A seismic hazard map for Rawalpindi–Islamabad is presented herein, based on 85 shear-wave velocity(VS) profiles obtained through geophysical H/V measurements and from the geological map of the region. Relationships between the average top thirty-meter shear-wave velocities(VS30) and surficial geological units have been determined. The peak ground acceleration(PGA) maps for 150,475 and 2475-year return periods were converted into a seismic intensity map. Intensity increments for different soils were used to compute PGA values for 150, 475 and 2475-year return periods. Sites located on softer ground experienced a higher degree of damage from moderate earthquakes. Due to the presence of soft clay or lique?able soil and lateral spreading, a few locations may be classified as hybrid sites class C and D. This map is a critical step in facilitating code-based site classification and seismic design throughout Rawalpindi–Islamabad. Although the seismic hazard map based on seismic intensities is no longer used in engineering geology, it is still important in seismological analysis and for civil protection purposes.     

Spectral-based Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis for Fethiye,Mugla

Fethiye is an important region located in the eastern part of the Mediterranean Basin.This region which is the most active part of the south-western Anatolia extensional tectonic regime,has been effected by earthquakes,submarine landslides and tsunamis throughout the history due to the existence of the complex active plate boundary zone.The active area has been exposed to ground motion that had the potential to damage vulnerable structures.Therefore,a detailed assessment of seismic hazard is necessary for the prevention of potential damage.In this context,probabilistic seismic hazard analysis is performed by R-CRISIS-18.3 using the refined parameters computed from Seismic Hazard Harmonization for Europe(SHARE)project.Spatial distribution of spectral acceleration at T=0.2 s and T=1.0 s for the earthquake levels that corresponds to the average return period of 72,475 and 2475 years is calculated.Hazard curves for the central region of Fethiye district are generated.The results are discussed and compared with the values obtained from the Revision of Turkish Seismic Hazard Map Project(UDAP-C-13-06).These local results of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis will provide the basis for the preparation of seismic risk maps as future work.     

Integrated Reservoir Prediction and Oil-Gas Evaluation in the Maoshan Area

The Maoshan area is an area with well-developed igneous rocks and complex structures. The thickness of the reservoirs is generally small. The study of the reservoirs is based on seismic data, logging data and geological data. Using techniques and software such as Voxelgeo, BCI, RM, DFM and AP, the authors have made a comprehensive analysis of the lateral variation of reservoir parameters in the Upper Shazu bed of the third member of the Palaeogene Funing Formation, and compiled the thickness map of the Shazu bed. Also, with the data from ANN, BCI and the abstracting method for seismic characteristic parameters in combination with the structural factors, the authors have tried the multi-parameter and multi-method prediction of petroleum, delineated the potential oil and gas areas and proposed two well sites. The prediction of oil and gas for Well JB2 turns out to be quite successful.     

Mathematical-Physical Modelling of Seismic Response of the Beijing Depression

There is a NE-trending earthquake hazard anomalous zone in the western part of the area of the city ofBeijing proper. A comprehensive study of it has been made. In the study the two-dimensional finite element dy-namic analysis and supersonic seismic model experiments were conducted for the first time. and some prelimi-nary results have been achieved. The Beijing depression, a lower order tectonic unit in the Beijing downwarp, is just located below theearthquake hazard anomalous zone. Analysis of the experimental results shows that the topography of the bu-ried bedrock is the main factor responsible for the presence of the anomalous zone. Besides. thetwo-dimensional mathematical analysis has more marked advantages in reflecting the lateral inhomogeneity ofthe foundation as compared with the one-dimensional one. and the supersonic seismic model experiments mayreflect the integrated effects of the earthquake sources, path of wave propagation and site geological structurein an all-round way.     

Seismic Geothermal Resource Exploration based on CPU/GPU Collaborative Parallel Prestack Time Migration

Geothermal resources exist in complex and comprehensive geological settings. In the current study, we proposed a CPU/GPU collaborative parallel prestack time migration methodology for geothermal resource exploration. First, seismic geological conditions in Xian County were obtained based on an analysis of drill cores for further seismic evaluation. Then, combined with the analysis of two-dimensional seismic data in the adjacent area, a test section with three seismic survey lines were designed to explore the geological structure of the study area. In the study area, the seismic data were derived through the multiple coverage reflection wave exploration method with explosive ignition in deep wells and high coverage frequency observations. Finally, we employed CPU/GPU collaborative parallel prestack time migration technology to analyze the obtained seismic data for geothermal resource evaluation. The favorable areas of karst fissure heat storage in Middle–Upper Proterozoic Jixianian and Paleozoic Cambrian–Ordovician rocks were inferred together with two preferred recommended exploration holes.     

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987111001411

正Three-dimensional geological modeling(3DGM) assists geologists to quantitatively study in three-dimensional(3D) space structures that define temporal and spatial relationships between geological objects.The 3D property model can also be used to infer or deduce causes of geological objects.3DGM technology provides technical support for extraction of diverse geoscience information,3D modeling,and quantitative calculation of mineral resources.Based on metallogenic concepts and an ore deposit model, 3DGM technology is applied to analyze geological characteristics of the Tongshan Cu deposit in order to define a metallogenic model and develop a virtual borehole technology;a BP neural network and a 3D interpolation technique were combined to integrate multiple geoscience information in a 3D environment. The results indicate:(1) on basis of the concept of magmatic-hydrothermal Cu polymetallic mineralization and a porphyry Cu deposit model,a spatial relational database of multiple geoscience information for mineralization in the study area(geology,geophysics,geochemistry,borehole,and cross-section data) was established,and 3D metallogenic geological objects including mineralization stratum,granodiorite, alteration rock,and magnetic anomaly were constructed;(2) on basis of the 3D ore deposit model,23,800 effective surveys from 94 boreholes and 21 sections were applied to establish 3D orebody models with a kriging interpolation method;(3) combined 23,800 surveys involving 21 sections,using VC++ and OpenGL platform,virtual borehole and virtual section with BP network,and an improved inverse distance interpolation(IDW) method were used to predict and delineate mineralization potential targets (Cu-grade of cell not less than 0.1%);(4) comparison of 3D ore bodies,metallogenic geological objects of mineralization,and potential targets of mineralization models in the study area,delineated the 3D spatial and temporal relationship and causal processes among the ore bodies,alteration rock,metallogenic stratum,intrusive rock,and the Tongshan Fault.This study provides important technical support and a scientific basis for assessment of the Tongshan Cu deposit and surrounding exploration and mineral resources.     

Landslide susceptibility using weights-of-evidence approach and multi-source data in Longzhong ecologically vulnerable area：a case study of Tianshui City北大核心CSCD

Analysis and assessment of landslide susceptibility using 3S technology and mathematical statistical model is still the current hot topics. It is very important for selection of unit and factor and model to the landslide susceptibility assessment reasonably. Tianshui City is selected as the study area which is in the typical regions of Longzhong ecologically vulnerable area. Based on the weights-of-evidence approach（WOE）and two kinds of assessment units（grid-unit,GU,slope-unit,SU）and also two resolutions（30 m,10 m）,a total of four differ⁃ ent data sets（GU30,SU30,GU10,SU10）is established. Then quantitative analysis and contrast assessment di⁃ vision of the loess landslide susceptibility in the study area though selected four kinds of thirteen factors. The re⁃ sults show that stratum lithology,altitude,relief amplitude,roughness and slope are the key control factors of landslide development in the area. The geological factors and topographic factors control and determine the for⁃ mation and development of the landslides in study area. The susceptibility value of stratum lithology is the high⁃ est value. Statistical analysis of susceptibility division is carried out according to the point and area of landslide respectively. The landslide ratio shows that the division based on the slope-unit is higher than that of the grid-unit. Landslide susceptibility area in highest division based on the slope-unit and 10m high resolution is account⁃ ed for the highest. Therefore,it has higher precision in landslide susceptibility analysis and assessment that us⁃ ing the slope-unit and high resolution data. The landslide susceptibility result is consistent with the actual land⁃ slide development in the study area. The division results can also be used for the landslide prevention and control and national spatial planning in the study area. © 2023 Chinese Journal of General Practitioners. All rights reserved.     

青藏高原巴塘断裂带地震滑坡危险性预测研究

全新世以来青藏高原东部巴塘断裂带活动强烈,地形地貌和地质构造复杂,历史地震频发,并诱发大量滑坡灾害。基于巴塘断裂带地震滑坡长期防控的需要,在分析区域地质灾害成灾背景和发育分布特征的基础上,采用Newmark模型完成了巴塘断裂带50年超越概率10%的潜在地震滑坡危险性预测评价,并完成地震滑坡危险性区划。结果表明:巴塘断裂带及其临近的金沙江断裂带区域、金沙江及其支流沿岸具有较高的潜在地震滑坡危险性,地震滑坡危险区具有沿断裂带和大江大河等峡谷区分布的总体趋势,受活动断裂和地形地貌影响显著;距离断层越近、坡度越大的斜坡,地震滑坡危险性越高;规划建设中的川藏铁路经巴塘县德达乡、白玉县沙马乡,向西北延伸,跨越金沙江,可以穿越较少的地震滑坡危险区,金沙江水电工程规划建设需加强潜在地震滑坡危害研判及防控。巴塘断裂带潜在地震滑坡危险性评价结果可为区域城镇开发和重大工程规划建设的地震滑坡长期防控提供科学参考。     

基于信息量模型与Logistic回归模型耦合的地质灾害易发性评价

汶川地震在区内诱发了大量滑坡、崩塌等地质灾害,且孕育了大量松动岩体,这些松动岩体在降雨等因素诱发下将会产生大量次生地质灾害,危险性极大。故此对汶川县进行地质灾害易发性评价具有十分重要的现实意义。本文选取高程、坡度、坡向、起伏度、沟谷密度、工程岩组、断层、水系、道路9个影响因子,基于GIS的栅格数据模型,采用信息量模型、Logistic回归模型以及两种模型耦合分析进行地质灾害易发性评价。研究结果表明,采用耦合模型较信息量或Logistic单一模型评价结果更加合理、精度更高;易发性高与较高区域多集中于水系延展区域与断层集中区域。所计算得出的易发性分区结果与研究区实际情况相近,能在地质灾害风险评价中起到重要参考作用。     

秦岭北麓古滑坡分布特征与地震活动关系研究

地震滑坡是严重的次生地质灾害,也是改变地球表层地貌形态的重要力量,对地震诱发滑坡的规模、数量、类型等研究是地震危险性评价的重要手段,也是认识地震地质灾害的主要方法和途径。位于西安市以南的秦岭山脉北麓中段发育有一条长约50 km的古滑坡群,且基本与山前秦岭北缘断裂带平行展布,普遍认为该古滑坡群可能是由于秦岭北缘断裂的强震活动所诱发,但对于诱发地震的震级大小和影响范围尚没有细致研究。本文通过利用资源3号卫星立体影像制作的高分辨率数值高程模型(DEM)和高分辨率多光谱遥感影像对秦岭北麓古滑坡区域进行了详细的解译工作,并结合对部分古滑坡体进行了野外调查,制作了详细秦岭北麓古滑坡分布图。结果表明:解译出了43处古滑坡,主要集中分布在70 km×10 km的范围内,总滑坡面积是16.57 km2。通过利用地震震级与滑坡面积频度分布的关系分析了诱发秦岭北麓古滑坡群的地震规模,得到了诱发秦岭北麓古滑坡群的地震震级应在7.6~8.1之间。并结合区域地震构造环境以及与现代地震诱发滑坡事件的对比,认为秦岭北麓具有发生7.5级以上地震的潜在能力。该研究对认识现今秦岭北麓古滑坡的成因提供了定量化的数据支持,也对理解秦岭北缘断裂的地震危险性具有重要的现实意义。     

汶川震区成兰铁路关键段多尺度滑坡危险性评估

以穿越汶川震区的成兰铁路龙门山关键段为例, 探索提出了强震扰动背景下重大工程场区多尺度滑坡危险性评估方法。利用信息量模型反演评估了汶川地震诱发的同震滑坡空间分布特征, 以此为前提开展了区域和局地两种空间尺度的滑坡危险性预测评估。在区域廊带尺度上, 分别利用可能最大降雨量预测方法和信息量模型, 进行了日超越概率10%的最大降雨量时空分布预测及其诱发滑坡的危险性评估; 同时, 结合地震危险性区划成果, 开展了50年超越概率10%的基本地震动诱发滑坡的危险性评估。在局地场站尺度上, 利用基于崩塌运动过程模拟的Rockfall Analyst软件, 开展了柿子园大桥周边崩塌运动学特征(Runout)模拟和危险性评估。滑坡和崩塌危险性评估的结果分别为铁路规划选线和场站防护设计提供了不同尺度的地质安全依据。      

基于简化 Newmark位移模型的区域地震滑坡危险性快速评估以汶川MS 8.0级地震为例

以汶川MS8.0级地震重灾区的11县市为例,初步提出了基于简化Newmark位移模型的地震滑坡危险性应急快速评估方法。利用汶川地震即时地震动参数、工程地质岩性经验分组及地形坡度数据,借助ArcGIS空间数据建模工具编制了地震滑坡危险性快速评估流程模块。计算了区域浅表层饱和岩土体斜坡的静态安全系数Fs、临界加速度ac,并借此分析了地震滑坡易发性。利用经验式获得了汶川地震Arias强度和区域滑坡位移DN分布,实现了汶川地震重灾区地震滑坡危险性的快速评估,为应急救灾决策提供了参考。通过对比评估结果和震后滑坡调查成果,可知数十处灾难性滑坡绝大部分位于-高危险区的龙门山主中央断裂带两侧约20km地带中,显示了评估方法的可靠性; 同时,分析指出了空间数据精度及更新不足导致局部评估结果欠佳的局限性,并提出了改进建议。     

基于小流域的地震扰动区降雨型滑坡泥石流危险性评价方法

地震扰动区存在大量震裂松散坡体,在持续或者密集的降雨条件下极易转化为滑坡灾害。同时,滑坡又会给泥石流提供大量松散固体物质,增加泥石流的危险性。因此,在震区,灾害通常以"链"的形式出现,比单一灾种危害性大。为了更有效地对地质灾害危险性进行评价,笔者将滑坡、泥石流作为灾害链,综合地加以分析和研究。选择5·12汶川大地震中受灾严重的都江堰市白沙河流域的17条泥石流沟作为研究区,建立滑坡-泥石流危险性评价耦合模型,研究24 h不同降雨量条件下小流域滑坡泥石流危险性的变化。耦合模型包括了坡体稳定性评价模型,水文模型及以泥石流规模、发生频率、流域面积、主沟长度、流域高差、切割密度、不稳定斜坡比为评价因子的泥石流危险性评价统计模型。研究结果表明:随着降雨量的增大,参与泥石流活动的松散物质方量持续增加,但当24 h降雨量超过200 mm后,泥石流沟的危险度等级不再发生变化;17条泥石流沟中4条为中危险度,12条为高危险度,1条为极高危险度。这说明研究区地质灾害问题相当严峻,在多雨季节存在泥石流群发的可能性,直接威胁到居住在泥石流沟附近的人民群众生命财产安全;因此,对于有直接危害对象的高危险度及其以上的泥石流沟,应该按照高等级设防标准进行工程治理及发布预警报。同时也说明,将滑坡、泥石流作为灾害链研究具必要性和可行性。     

白龙江引水工程代古寺水库及其周围地区地震危险性评估

白龙江引水工程是我国拟建的一项重大战略工程,而代古寺水库是该工程的水源枢纽。代古寺水库及其周围地区(本文研究区)活动断层发育、大地震频发,故亟需开展可靠的地震危险性评估,为该研究区内的工程建设和运营保驾护航。由于传统评估方法物理依据不足,难以正确评估研究区的地震危险性,故本文采用了基于地震物理预测的地震危险性评估新方法。研究结果表明,该研究区位于海原地震区,未来100年内该研究区的地震危险性主要源于海原地震区的下一次M_S8.5标志性地震。根据断层地震活动、发震潜力与展布特征,我们预判了该标志性地震的可能发震断层和震中位置;应用地震烈度衰减关系,考虑不同震中位置,分别计算了其产生的地震烈度。为确保“百年大计”的白龙江引水工程代古寺水库水资源枢纽安全,我们建议该研究区的抗震设防烈度不宜低于8度。     

实际滑坡是滑坡危险性评价结果合理性检验最好的标准

王涛等基于简化Newmark位移模型的区域地震滑坡危险性快速评估以汶川MS8.0级地震为例一文的地震滑坡危险性快速评价结果与2008年汶川地震触发实际滑坡空间分布的相关性较低。本文试图通过对该文中基础数据、分析处理过程、研究结果的分析与讨论,找出这种相关性较低的原因。结果表明值得针对王涛等文章中的Arias烈度分布数据的准确性、工程地质岩组的划分情况、汶川地震滑坡危险性评价结果的客观性共三个方面开展更深入的分析与研究。本文对探索与发掘更客观的地震滑坡危险性评价模型起到了积极的作用。     

基于Newmark模型的尼泊尔M_s8.1级地震滑坡危险性快速评估

在研究分析地震灾区地形地貌、地层岩性、地质构造、气象水文和典型地区滑坡的基础上,采用Newmark斜坡累积位移模型对2015年4月25日尼泊尔M_s8.1级地震诱发的滑坡危险性的空间分布状况进行了快速评估,通过典型地区的滑坡遥感解译结果验证表明评估结果具有较好的可信度,初步反映了尼泊尔地震诱发滑坡危险性分布的基本特征。然后考虑降雨作用对震后滑坡危险性的影响,对地震叠加降雨诱发滑坡危险性分布进行了快速预测。研究结果对地震应急救灾中的地质灾害防灾减灾具有重要的参考意义。     

GIS技术在区域地震滑坡危险性预测中的应用以龙陵地震滑坡为例

地震滑坡是一种有着严重危害的次生地震灾害形式,形成机制复杂,涉及因素众多。运用G IS丰富的空间分析功能,对地震滑坡的影响因素进行研究,并进行潜在地震滑坡区的预测,是地震滑坡研究领域的一种新的发展趋势。本文在对1976年龙陵地震引发的地震滑坡分布特征研究的基础上,结合前人有关中国西南地区地震滑坡特征的研究成果,应用G IS对该区潜在地震滑坡危险区进行了预测。