微下击暴流的特征及其数值模似

文中概述了微下击暴流的特征 ,研究了 1 997年 7月 2 2日发生在北京地区的一个湿型微下击暴流的多普勒速度场结构 ;使用非静力全弹性中 -γ尺度模式 ,模拟了这个湿型微下击暴流线的主要结构和演变过程 ,与雷达实测结果吻合较好。结果表明 :在背景场为高温、高湿、垂直风速切变小的环境条件下 ,下沉气流的发展并非完全由蒸发、融化降温所产生的负浮力所支配 ,恰恰相反 ,降水拖曳力起主导作用 ;在不同的环境条件下 ,下沉气流发展的云物理过程可以有较大的差异。     

下击暴流的数值模拟研究

下击暴流是危害飞行安全的一种重要天气现象，特别是尺度为１—４ｋｍ的微下击暴流。为了了解下击暴流的发展过程，以及大气环境条件和云－降水微物理结构对下击暴流发生演变的影响，利用我们设计发展的非静力全弹性中尺度－γ模式，以一次发生了下击暴流的大气的温、湿、风实测资料为算例进行了数值模拟研究。计算结果给出了下击暴流发生发展的过程，以及在发展过程中各种物理量的变化，得出一些大气环境条件及水凝物粒子微结构对下击暴流发展的影响机理，有助于台站预报员掌握这种天气现象的出现和演变。     

武汉"6·22"空难下击暴流的三维数值模拟研究

使用武汉实测探空资料,利用三维强风暴冰雹分档模式对2000年6月22日发生在武汉的一次引起坠机事件的下击暴流进行了模拟和分析,并与实际观测进行了比较研究,结果表明:造成此次空难的下击暴流的发生发展与大的天气背景紧密相关;模拟微下击暴流的各种主要结构和生消演变特征与实测结果吻合较好;该下击暴流产生的直接原因是冰雹的重力拖曳作用引起,其次是冰雹的融化和雨水蒸发的冷却作用.空中散度和涡度的分布与变化同下击暴流也存在密切的联系.     

广州白云机场一次微下击暴流引起的低空风切变过程分析

对2017年8月1日在广州白云机场产生的42.1 m/s强阵风成因进行分析,发现此次强阵风是微下击暴流的下沉气流到达地面造成的。利用广州白云机场的地面自动观测资料和C波段多普勒天气雷达资料分析微下击暴流经过机场时地面各气象要素的演变特征以及产生强风切变的对流单体的移动和强度演变情况。分析表明:微下击暴流到达地面后造成了强烈的风速和风向的低空风切变,气压骤升,温度迅速降低,利用高时空分辨率的地面自动观测数据可以发布低空风切变的告警;在微下击暴流产生强地面风前,对流风暴单体的雷达回波反射率强度突然降低、回波顶高减弱,径向速度图上出现了中气旋以及在近地层有强烈的反气旋辐散,可利用多普勒天气雷达发布低空风切变的预警。     

预报雷暴、强雷暴和龙卷的判断树方法

本文描述预报雷暴、强雷暴和龙卷的判断树方法。这个方法只应用一些气象参数,对这些现象的发展,这些参数被认为是最根本的。参数间的物理学关系用雷暴和强雷暴结构和动力学作了解释。预报输出也包括干微暴流、湿微暴流、下击暴流和局地洪水。对判断树方法只作了有限的主观评价。     

一次雷暴大风引发的强沙尘暴天气的中尺度系统分析

使用探空、地面和张掖多普勒天气雷达观测资料对2013年7月30日发生在河西走廊的一次强沙尘暴天气进行了分析。结果表明：这次雷暴大风沙尘天气是对流层低层冷平流作用下,不稳定能量释放形成的β、γ中尺度对流系统造成的,雷暴下击暴流的辐散流和密度流是引发地面强风和沙尘暴的直接因素。高层干、中层相对湿和低层干的层结,易产生雷暴大风天气。1 h正变压和负变温演变能很好地反映雷暴下击暴流形成的雷暴高压和冷池的强弱变化,同时也反映了下击暴流的辐散气流和冷池密度流造成的地面大风及沙尘天气的变化。     

江苏典型下击暴流风暴结构特征统计分析

为了研究江苏地区下击暴流的结构特征,利用常规天气资料、雷达探测资料、自动气象站观测资料和ERA5再分析资料等,选取2007—2018年江苏地区19个典型下击暴流过程进行统计分析。结果表明:江苏下击暴流的分布呈北多南少,以湿下击暴流为主,7月是下击暴流的高发月份,孤立风暴型下击暴流具有弱的天气尺度强迫和上干下湿的结构,风暴移速较慢,飑线镶嵌型下击暴流具有很强的天气尺度强迫特征,风暴移速较快。下击暴流影响期间地面温度变化剧烈,温度降低伴随有明显风速增大过程。统计显示,产生下击暴流风暴的环境温度平均垂直递减率为6.8℃/km,能够保证负浮力的维持,干冷空气被中层辐合气流夹卷进入风暴内进一步加强了下沉气流,使得下击暴流得以维持和加强。下击暴流的初生阶段,强反射率因子核心和中层径向辐合出现在下击暴流发生前20—30 min,成熟阶段,强反射率因子核心高度有明显降低,低层呈辐散结构。      

一次连续下击暴流天气的成因分析

基于多普勒雷达、闪电定位、地面观测资料和现场勘察情况,对2016年5月2日皖西南发生的一次连续下击暴流天气的成因进行分析。结果表明:引起2次微下击暴流的风暴为同一风暴单体,且为超级单体,旺盛阶段的雷达回波表现为钩状分布和倾斜结构;下击暴流产生的初始原因是液态或固态降水粒子下降的拖曳作用,中后期则主要源于热力不稳定、对流层中层的动量下传和补偿性气流作用,伴随的水成物与环境之间的负浮力增大是下击暴流发生的重要原因;对流层中层盛行风向造成的动量下传决定了2次微下击暴流的地面风走向;超级单体风暴具有反射率因子核最高和下降速度最快的特点,反射率因子核高度超过6 km,1个体扫间隔下降3 km左右或以上;当6 min降水达4 mm以上时,是发生下击暴流的征兆之一。     

2017年7月一次微下击暴流背景的多尺度特征

利用中尺度数值模式WRFV3.6模拟了2017年7月12日宁波机场附近的一次微下击暴流天气过程,结合浙江省自动站资料、机场自动观测数据、多普勒天气雷达资料等分析微下击暴流成因,结果表明：此次微下击暴流是由海风锋触发的强雷雨引起的,机场自动观测数据显示的风、温、压等气象要素的变化均呈现出明显的微下击暴流特征;数值模式较好地模拟出微下击暴流的水平风场结构;拖曳作用、下沉过程中冰雹融化、液态水和雨水持续蒸发降温作用是形成此次下击暴流的重要原因;低层位温扰动加强了垂直运动,中低层位涡异常增大区与雷暴强降水区域有较好对应关系。     

北京一次下击暴流的三维数值模拟分析

应用中尺度气象数值模式WRF模拟再现了2001年8月23日北京时间14时至24日00时发生在北京密云县附近的一次典型强对流风暴天气,重点发掘并分析了密云水库附近一次茁中尺度下击暴流的形成与演变过程。研究表明：（1）WRF模拟结果显示该茁中尺度下击暴流的生命期为1 h左右,水平尺度约为20 km,其水平和垂直流场与下击暴流流场的理论结构基本一致,但辐散气流流速在近地面层未能达到下击暴流定义的18 m/s;（2）模拟的下击暴流环境场中扰动位温、各水成物的比含水量与层结不稳定性以及上升气流的联系紧密,并可推断强下沉气流主要由雨水粒子拖曳作用产生,较大的位温扰动则加强了气流上升运动,迫使暖湿气块更大程度抬升,进一步维持和发展下击暴流系统。     

Three-dimensional simulation of the Denver 11 July 1988 microburst-producing storm

Summary Near Denver on July 11 1988, a moderate-reflectivity thunderstorm produced a microburst of unusual intensity during the test operation of the Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) system. This microburst-producing storm, unlike those previously investigated, contained a complex updraft structure and an intense microburst downstream from the main precipitation shaft. Of special significance is that several successive airliners inadvertently encountered the microburst during final approach to Stapleton Airport. This paper focuses on the numerical investigation of this storm-via simulation with the Terminal Area Simulation System (TASS). Evolution and structure of the storm, including hazard indices based onF-factor, are presented and compared with observed data, including that measured by Doppler radar and aircraft flight data recorders.Model results show that multiple low-to moderate-reflectivity microbursts formed downshear of the main precipitation shaft. The most intense of the modeled microbursts contained a velocity differential exceeding 40m/s, strong downdrafts, and hazardous windshear withF-factors approaching 0.2. Outflow from this microburst was roughly symmetric at ground level during peak intensity, but became more asymmetric with time and altitude above the ground. The intense microburst, not unlike the real microburst that was encountered by the aircraft, originated from light precipitation that was swept downwind of the primary source. In contrast to the intense microburst, downdrafts and outflows associated with the simulated storm's main precipitation shaft were less vigorous by comparison, even though accompanied by higher magnitudes of radar reflectivity. Additional simulations with the axisymmetric version of TASS configured from the 3-D simulation, suggest that the intense microburst was driven by cooling primarily from sublimating snow.With 20 Figures     

Momentum flux in the subcloud layer of a microburst-producing thunderstorm determined from JAWS Dual-Doppler data

Dual-Doppler winds at 1647 MDT for the 14 July, 1982 convective storm collected during the Joint Airport Weather Studies (JAWS) project at Denver's Stapleton International Airport were objectively analyzed to produce a three-dimensional wind field. The domain of interest had dimensions of 10 × 10 × 8.5 km centered on the microburst. Vertical velocities were computed by integrating the anelastic continuity equation downward from the storm's top. A variational approach was then employed to adjust the derived three-dimensional wind field. Subsequently, fields of deviation perturbation pressure and virtual temperature were retrieved from a detailed wind field using the three momentum equations. These retrieved fields were subjected to internal consistency checks to determine the level of confidence before interpetation. The fields were then used to calculate the generation of the vertical transport of horizontal momentum in the subcloud layer of a microburst-producing storm during the quasi-steady mature stage. Results show that the microburst occurrence in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) enhances eddy transfer of momentum. Direct calculation of the vertical transport of u- and v-momentum reveals that momentum was being transferred downward from the mid-levels of the storm to the microburst. The dominant processes contributing to the generation/dissipation of horizontal momentum flux were the total buoyancy production, pressure effects, vertical mean wind shear and vertical transport of momentum. The above processes play an important role in maintaining the strength of the microburst outflow in the ABL during the quasi-steady mature stage of the microburst life cycle.     

Subcloud-layer kinematic and dynamic structures of a microburst-producing thunderstorm in Colorado determined from JAWS Dual-Doppler measurements

Some kinematic and dynamic structures of a microburst-producing storm in Colorado were investigated. Dual-Doppler data collected on 14 July, 1982 at 1647 MDT, during the Joint Airport Weather Studies (JAWS) project at Denver's Stapleton International Airport, were objectively analyzed to produce a three-dimensional wind field. The domain of interest had a horizontal dimension of 10 by 10 km centered on the microburst. Vertical velocities were computed by integrating the anelastic continuity equation downward from the storm's top with variational adjustment. Subsequently, fields of deviation perturbation pressure, density, and virtual temperature were retrieved from a detailed wind field using the three momentum equations.Results show that the microburst being investigated is embedded within a high-reflectivity region associated with heavy precipitation. A strong downflow impinges on the surface producing a stagnation mesohigh inside the microburst. This mesohigh is accompanied by mesolows in the strongest outflow regions, forming a pronounced horizontal perturbation pressure gradient outward from the high-pressure center. The outflow regions extend from the surface to approximately 1 km AGL with maximum divergence in excess of 10 ^–2 s^–1. Inclusion of friction in the pressure equation improves pressure recovery at all levels, especially in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). The microburst occurrence in the ABL enhances eddy transfer of momentum. Magnitudes of eddy viscosity and eddy stresses increase as a result of the microburst.     

The subcloud-layer eddy kinetic energy budget of a microburst-producing thunderstorm determined from jaws dual-Doppler measurements

Dual-Doppler data collected from 1646 to 1648 MDT on 14 July, 1982 in Colorado were employed to study the eddy kinetic energy budget in the subcloud layer of a microburst-producing thunderstorm during its mature stage. Each term in the budget equation was computed from the Doppler-derived winds and retrieved thermodynamic fields within the 10 by 10 km horizontal domain. Results show that in the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) where the microburst dominates, the turbulent flow extracts energy from the mean flow in order for the microburst to maintain its strong diverging outflow at low levels. The vertical transport of eddy kinetic energy is predominantly downward in the low layer due to the organized downdrafts in the microburst area. The horizontal flux convergence (divergence) of eddy kinetic energy by the mean and eddying motions is approximately balanced by that of the vertical flux divergence (convergence). Similarly, the contributions from the pressure and buoyancy production terms are nearly in balance. As a result, a net change of the eddy kinetic energy generation in the subcloud layer is relatively small in comparison with the individual term in the budget equation.     

暴雨过程中干层的研究

通过研究暴雨过程中湿度场的垂直分布，发现暴雨发生前在对流层中层（600～400 hPa）存在着一个干层。并据此深入研究了干层的时间演变、成因及引起强天气的机制等。结果表明:垂直方向上湿度的变化非常迅速；干层在暴雨发生前形成，在暴雨发生后逐渐减弱消失；暴雨过程中的干层与其它强天气（雷雨大风、冰雹）过程中的干层有明显不同；干层的上方是深厚的对流稳定层，干层的下方是深厚的对流不稳定层。     

雷暴大风环境特征及其对风暴结构影响的对比研究

2009年6月3日,受冷涡后部次天气尺度横槽的影响,在相邻的两个区域先后出现雷暴大风天气,造成两地强风的风暴类型、地面大风分布及灾害程度差异显著。风暴结构分析表明:产生晋陕大风的雷暴类型为一般单体风暴和脉冲风暴,而产生商丘致灾大风的则为典型的弓形回波。结合观测和数值模拟资料分析产生上述两类雷暴大风的环境要素,并构建其环境温、湿度廓线,结果表明:(1)晋陕大风区环境探空温、湿度廓线呈倒V形,为典型的干下击暴流探空廓线,类似探空在中国西部高原地区夏季常见;(2)商丘雷暴大风区环境温、湿度廓线类似典型湿下击暴流探空。数值模拟给出了典型的一般单体特征结构,老雷暴单体出流在其前方触发新单体。在中低层相对干的环境下多个对流单体的冷下沉形成冷池,强风由对流单体下沉辐散气流叠加在冷池密度流上造成。两类雷暴大风环境风垂直切变特点为:深层环境风垂直切变较弱、强水平风垂直切变集中在中低层。数值模拟表明:在这种风垂直切变配置下,低层湿度成为风暴结构的决定因素:中-高湿度环境下形成高度组织化的飑线,且其单体具有较强中层旋转;低湿度环境下产生组织程度差的一般单体和脉冲风暴,并基于高分辨率数值模式模拟结果给出了环境影响风暴结构的物理图像。     

A 3-D modelsyystem for simulating thunderstorm microburst outflows

Summary A new three-dimensional numerical model system has been designed to study the complex near-surface flow features that arise from collisions between microburst outflow events and other sub-cloud phenomena with complex geometry. The model was designed specifically for implementation on massively parallel computers, and makes use of the high computation rates and large memory sizes of these machines to achieve spatial resolutions of 50 m or less in each dimension. Here we will report on one of the first model applications, a parameter study of colliding microburst outflows. Results from this study indicate that the collision zone between the two downdrafts can be a region of violent and complicated dynamics which can often lead to an elevated region of significant aircraft hazard.With 7 Figures     

双多普勒雷达观测在一次雹云结构中的应用北大核心

利用常州站和泰州站双多普勒天气雷达探测数据,结合常规观测资料和ERA5再分析资料,综合分析了2019年7月6日一次强对流天气过程的天气形势、雷达回波强度演变特征和双多普勒雷达反演的三维流场信息。重点利用双多普勒雷达径向速度资料反演出格点流场,并结合回波特征分析雹云的结构。结果表明:强对流天气过程中,江苏受高空冷涡影响,在高空冷槽、高空急流、低层切变线和地面辐合线的配置条件下,形成了上干冷、下暖湿的层结不稳定结构。本次过程中,雹云不仅具有典型的强对流单体雷达回波特征,在中层强回波中心处,还有明显的“S”型水平流场结构。雹云的低层,是明显的辐合与旋转配置的水平流场。深厚的零线结构是成雹的典型特征。