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利用地面观测资料、秒级探空资料结合WRF中尺度数值模式,对2016年6月25—26日江苏南部地区一次影响范围广、持续时间长的罕见辐射雾过程进行了数值模拟分析。结果表明:(1)雾区范围和气象要素数值模拟结果与实况基本一致;(2)低层超薄超强逆温为此次夏季雾的形成、发展和维持提供了稳定条件;(3)成雾前江苏南部地区白天出现的降水是夜间浓雾形成的重要水汽来源;(4)夜间地表辐射冷却作用是浓雾形成的重要因素;地面风速稳定低于2 m·s^-1,有利于浓雾的维持;日出后随着短波辐射增强风速增大、稳定层结破坏促使浓雾减弱消散。 相似文献
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本文利用已建立的三维非静力中-β尺度动力学预报模式[1]以1996—3—31和6—1为实例,模拟研究关中地区地形的动力和热力效应对边界层结构的影响。模拟结果表明:起伏地形对垂直流场及低层风场影响较大;迎风坡空气抬升,背风坡空气下沉;层结稳定时易形成背风波,层结不稳定时,在背风波和水平温度梯度(地表性状不同)的共同作用下,在地形边界处易形成局地环流;除迎风坡空气抬升和背风坡引起上升运动外,还有地形加热引起的上升运动,它们对于水汽、能量等的垂直输送起着重要作用。 相似文献
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2008年初南方雨雪冰冻灾害天气的大气层结和地面特征的数值模拟 总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5
冬季的雨雪预报,尤其是冻雨的预报涉及多种尺度系统与复杂物理因素的影响。为了探讨这方面的问题,作者采用中尺度数值模式MM5对2008年初我国南方持续性雨雪、冰冻灾害天气中的1月26~29日过程做了模拟试验研究,并根据模拟结果对1月26~29日期间的水汽条件、地面特征和大气层结条件等重要环境条件进行了分析。分析指出,模拟结果能基本再现冬季这种持续性过程的降水带分布;长江或江南地区的准静止锋的存在,水汽在锋前对流层低层辐合,并沿锋面向上爬升凝结,爬升到达的高度和强水汽带的宽度与观测基本一致。模式还能再现有利于冻雨产生的层结条件,包括中层冻结层、暖层、逆温层和地面温度0℃线的位置;研究指出,利用模式输出的层结、地面条件以及降水状况可以大致得到冻雨可能发生的范围。 相似文献
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利用Euler平流扩散方程和K模式闭合方案的数值解,讨论了混合层厚度、风速和稳定度3因子对银川市冬季地面SO2浓度分布的影响。结果表明,在极不稳定层结(A级)下混合层厚度增加250m时能使地面SO2浓度减少40%~75%,而在稳定层结下混合层厚度增加200m时仅减少20%的浓度;而当混合层厚度和风速分别增加250m和3.8m·s-1、层结由稳定(F)变为极端不稳定(A),并且当混合层最大厚度和最大风速分别限制在650m和4m·s-1时,老城西部地面浓度减少了90%,稀释效应最显着。 相似文献
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采用隐式立方样条计算平流过程的数值模式及理想实验 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
本文介绍了一种用隐式立方样条求解平流方程的数值方法,并从理论上对其无条件稳定性进行了证明,在此基础上建立了一个在地形坐标系下的两维原始方程模式,模式在行星边界层参数化中引入了湍流动能方程,在模式顶部引入了吸收层.数值实验表明:模式有较好的计算稳定性,对较高的模式水平分辨率和复杂地形均有较强的适应能力;对复杂地形和下垫面非均匀热源条件下中尺度系统的模拟能获得合理的结果,并具有较高的精确度. 相似文献
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TheWater-BearingNumericalModelandItsOperationalForecastingExperimentsPartI:TheWater-BearingNumericalModelXiaDaqing(夏大庆)andXuY... 相似文献
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It is well known that retrieval of parameters is usually ill-posed and highly nonlinear, so parameter retrieval problems are very difficult. There are still many important theoretical issues under research, although great success has been achieved in data assimilation in meteorology and oceanography. This paper reviews the recent research on parameter retrieval, especially that of the authors. First, some concepts and issues of parameter retrieval are introduced and the state-of-the-art parameter retrieval technology in meteorology and oceanography is reviewed briefly, and then atmospheric and oceanic parameters are retrieved using the variational data assimilation method combined with the regularization techniques in four examples: retrieval of the vertical eddy diffusion coefficient; of the turbulivity of the atmospheric boundary layer; of wind from Doppler radar data, and of the physical process parameters. Model parameter retrieval with global and local observations is also introduced. 相似文献
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应用六层全隐式原始方程模式,对地面气旋形成与扰动发展的机制进行了数值试验. 首先,构造了接近实际的理想带状温压场和相应的扰动场.试验表明在带状环流上如果在低空加上一个类似锋区的扰动,便会有锋面气旋很快地发展起来,并逐渐趋于锢囚阶段,和实际大气的锋面气旋生命史很相似.但若扰动在对流层中层,则地面气旋形成过程较慢,强度也弱.如果初始扰动位于对流层高层,则地面形成的气旋在结构上和切断低压类似,不像锋面气旋. 相似文献
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The present study developed Pacific Ocean models from the Research Institute for Applied Mechanics Ocean Model (RIAMOM) with very high horizontal (1/6° and 1/12°) and vertical (70 levels) resolutions. The hydrographic features of the simulations show good agreement with observed climatological features. Solution differences between the 1/6° and 1/12° models are small for general features of various physical components, but large for eddy fields and the strengths of western boundary currents and their extensions. However, the two high-resolution models show realistic climatological features of Pacific Ocean circulation patterns. Volume transports through major straits in the northwestern Pacific Ocean were also simulated and compared with previous observational results. 相似文献
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Liu Ruizhi 《大气科学进展》1986,3(4):499-504
A numerical experiment has been carried out to study the mechanism of cyclogenesis and the develop-ment of disturbances. First, an idealized field of temperature and pressure is designed, which is very similar to the actual synoptic situation, consisting of the jet-like zonal circulation with some nonzonal waves superim-posed on it. Prediction is made by using a six-level splitting primitive model with the idealized field as an initial one. The results show that if a disturbance like a frontal zone in the lower troposphere is superim-posed on the zonal circulation, a frontal cyclone will quickly develop and then gradually become an oc-cluded one. Its life cycle is similar to that of the actual frontal cyclone on the synoptic map. However, if there is a disturbance superimposed on the zonal circulation in the middle troposphere, the cyclone with weaker intensity will be slowly formed near the surface. Finally, if the initial disturbance is located at the high-level, a situation like a cut-off low rather than a frontal cyclone will develop. 相似文献
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In this paper, a two-dimensional and steady-state numerical model of the planetary boundary layer is developed. It includes the horizontal deformation of the eddy exchange coefficients and horizontal turbulence exchange. The difference between the structure of the heat island and cold island is analysed using this model. 相似文献
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Summary An isentropic limited area model is used to simulate and investigate the frontal passages of 3 May and 8 October 1987. It is demonstrated that a southward outbreak of air with high potential vorticity on 3 May 1987 affected the propagation of the front to the north of the Alps and the related formation of an orographic jet. Moreover, the outbreak plays a crucial role in the genesis of a lee cyclone. On the other hand, no such outbreak occurred on 8 October 1987 and it is shown that the propagation of the front near the ground was hardly affected by the flow at upper levels.With 10 Figures 相似文献
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In terms of its dynamics, The Tibetan Plateau Vortex (TPV) is assumed to be a vortex in the botmdary layer forced by diabatic heating and friction. In order to analyze the basic characteristics of waves in the vortex, the governing equations for the vortex were established in column coordinates with the balance of gradient wind. Based on this, the type of mixed waves and their dispersion characteristics were deduced by solving the linear model. Two numerical simulations with triple-nested domains--one idealized large-eddy simulation and one of a TPV that took place on 14 August 2006---were also carried out. The aim of the simulations was to validate the mixed wave deduced from the governing equations. The high-resolution model output data were analyzed and the results showed that the tangential flow field of the TPV in the form of center heating was cyclonic and convergent in the lower levels and anticyclonic and divergent in the upper levels. The simulations also showed that the vorticity of the vortex is uneven and might have shear flow along the radial direction. The changing vorticity causes the formation and spreading of vortex Rossby (VR) waves, and divergence will cause changes to the n~otion of the excitation and evolution of inertial gravity (IG) waves. Therefore, the vortex may contain what we call mixed :inertial gravity-vortex Rossby (IG-VR) waves. It is suggested that some strongly developed TPVs should be studied in the future, because of their effects on weather in downstream areas. 相似文献
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数值天气预报中的不一致性问题综述 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2
近年来随着数值天气预报的不断发展,数值天气预报中出现了一个新的值得注意的问题:预报不一致性,即连续多次预报中,前后两次预报所做出的预报结果之间差异较大的现象。本文较系统地概述了这一问题,总结了预报不一致性的概念、定量分析方法、产生的可能原因及其与预报误差的关系等方面的研究成果。目前预报不一致性的定量分析方法还较少,其适用性和客观性等还需进一步研究。在预报不一致性产生的原因方面,现有的研究仅限于理论上的简要分析,初始误差和模式误差在预报不一致性形成过程中的具体作用等尚不清楚。最后阐述了在预报不一致性研究中存在的一些问题及可能的研究方向。 相似文献