Influence of the total atmospheric optical depth and cloud cover on solar irradiance components

Broadband solar irradiance data obtained in the spectral range 400–940 nm at Kwangju, South Korea from 1999–2000 have been analyzed to investigate the effects of cloud cover and atmospheric optical depth on solar radiation components. Results from measurements indicate that the percentage of direct and diffuse horizontal components of solar irradiance depend largely on total optical depth (TOD) and cloud cover. During summer and spring, the percentages of diffuse solar irradiance relative to the global irradiance were 5.0% and 4.9% as compared to 2.2% and 3.0% during winter and autumn. The diffuse solar irradiance is higher than the direct in spring and summer by 24.2%, and 40.6%, respectively, which may largely be attributed to the attenuation (scattering) of radiation by heavy dust pollution and large cloud amount. In cloud-free conditions with cloud cover ≤2/10, the fraction of the direct and diffuse components were 66.0% and 34.0%, respectively, with a mean daily global irradiance value of 7.92±2.91 MJ m⁻² day⁻¹. However, under cloudy conditions (with cloud cover ≥8/10), the diffuse and direct fractions were 97.9% and 2.2% of the global component, respectively. The annual mean TOD under cloudless conditions (cloud cover≤2/10) yields 0.74±0.33 and increased to as much as 3.15±0.67 under cloudy conditions with cloud amount ≥8/10. An empirical formula is derived for estimating the diffuse and direct components of horizontal solar irradiance by considering the total atmospheric optical depth (TOD). Results from statistical models are shown for the estimation of solar irradiance components as a function of TOD with sufficient accuracy as indicated by low standard error for each solar zenith angle (SZA).     

Value-Added Products Derived from 15 Years of High-Quality Surface Solar Radiation Measurements at Xianghe,a Suburban Site in the North China Plain

Surface solar radiation(SSR) is a key component of the energy budget of the Earth’s surface, and it varies at different spatial and temporal scales. Considerable knowledge of how and why SSR varies is crucial to a better understanding of climate change, which surely requires long-term measurements of high quality. The objective of this study is to introduce a value-added SSR dataset from Oct 2004 to Oct 2019 based on measurements taken at Xianghe, a suburban site in the North China Plain; two va...     

多源观测数据在LAPS三维云量场分析中的应用

该文将我国FY-2C气象卫星通道数据、地面观测数据、雷达数据融合进入LAPS (Local Analysis Prediction System) 三维数据分析系统中,获得了三维云量场分布,并采用北京地区2009年11月9日08:00(北京时,下同) 和华南地区2008年6月12日14:00个例,设计了5种试验对LAPS融合的云量场进行分析。结果表明:LAPS云分析中,地面观测对云底结构起主要订正作用,雷达观测对云中、低部信息起主要订正作用,而卫星云图数据对云顶分布订正效果显著,卫星资料是获得客观三维云量场不可或缺的数据。     

基于生成对抗网络和卫星数据的云图临近预报北大核心CSCD

利用风云四号气象卫星A星(FY-4A)红外云图,基于生成对抗网络方法,提出了红外云图外推预报模型,实现了华东区域未来3 h的云图预报,预报的时空分辨率分别为1 h和4 km。结果表明:该外推模型预报的云图可较好描述云团移动、发展和减弱趋势,对研究区域内云团的强度、位置和形态得到较为理想的预报效果。为了验证提出的云图外推模型的有效性,将其与光流法和轨迹门控循环单元模型进行比较。对比试验结果表明:该云图外推模型具有最优的预报效果,说明使用生成对抗网络进行云图外推具有较好的可行性,能有效应用于气象业务中监测云团的生消和移动并提前预警灾害性天气的发生,为天气预报提供重要的参考依据。     

FY-4A辐射产品在贵州山区的检验与订正

本文利用2018年3月12日—2019年2月28日近一年(2018年春季—冬季)贵州山区（从江、三穗、桐梓、贵阳、紫云、兴仁、威宁7站）地面太阳辐照度观测资料对FY-4A反演辐照度进行检验与订正分析。结果表明：（1）卫星反演辐照度取值范围比地面观测小,整体而言反演辐照度偏高,晴空条件下反演精度远高于云条件,正午偏差最小,下午偏差最大。（2）卫星反演辐照度与地面观测辐照度具有较为一致的日变化和季节变化,两者呈显著正相关,相关系数随海拔高度呈负相关。（3）平均偏差往往随着地面观测的增大而减小,当地面观测辐照度大于800 W?m-2时,反演辐照度往往偏小。（4）对地面观测辐照度进行阈值划后,用多元线性回归方法对反演辐照度订正,订正后的产品在贵州具有较好的适用性。     

FY-4A辐射产品在贵州山区的检验与订正

本文利用2018年3月12日—2019年2月28日近一年(2018年春季—冬季)贵州山区（从江、三穗、桐梓、贵阳、紫云、兴仁、威宁7站）地面太阳辐照度观测资料对FY-4A反演辐照度进行检验与订正分析。结果表明：（1）卫星反演辐照度取值范围比地面观测小,整体而言反演辐照度偏高,晴空条件下反演精度远高于云条件,正午偏差最小,下午偏差最大。（2）卫星反演辐照度与地面观测辐照度具有较为一致的日变化和季节变化,两者呈显著正相关,相关系数随海拔高度呈负相关。（3）平均偏差往往随着地面观测的增大而减小,当地面观测辐照度大于800 W?m-2时,反演辐照度往往偏小。（4）对地面观测辐照度进行阈值划后,用多元线性回归方法对反演辐照度订正,订正后的产品在贵州具有较好的适用性。     

Evaluation on penetration rate of cloud for incoming solar radiation using geostationary satellite data

Solar surface insolation (SSI) represents how much solar radiance reaches the Earth??s surface in a specified area and is an important parameter in various fields such as surface energy research, meteorology, and climate change. This study calculates insolation using Multi-functional Transport Satellite (MTSAT-1R) data with a simplified cloud factor over Northeast Asia. For SSI retrieval from the geostationary satellite data, the physical model of Kawamura is modified to improve insolation estimation by considering various atmospheric constituents, such as Rayleigh scattering, water vapor, ozone, aerosols, and clouds. For more accurate atmospheric parameterization, satellite-based atmospheric constituents are used instead of constant values when estimating insolation. Cloud effects are a key problem in insolation estimation because of their complicated optical characteristics and high temporal and spatial variation. The accuracy of insolation data from satellites depends on how well cloud attenuation as a function of geostationary channels and angle can be inferred. This study uses a simplified cloud factor that depends on the reflectance and solar zenith angle. Empirical criteria to select reference data for fitting to the ground station data are applied to suggest simplified cloud factor methods. Insolation estimated using the cloud factor is compared with results of the unmodified physical model and with observations by ground-based pyranometers located in the Korean peninsula. The modified model results show far better agreement with ground truth data compared to estimates using the conventional method under overcast conditions.     

The influence of clouds on surface UV erythemal irradiance

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of clouds on the ultraviolet erythemal irradiance. The study was developed at three stations in the Iberian Peninsula: Madrid and Murcia, using data recorded in the period 2000–2001, and Zaragoza, using data recorded in 2001. In order to determine the cloud effect on ultraviolet erythemal irradiance, we considered a cloud modification factor defined as the ratio between the measured values of ultraviolet erythemal irradiance and the corresponding clear-sky ultraviolet erythemal irradiance, which would be expected for the same time period and atmospheric conditions. The dependence of this cloud modification factor on total cloud amount, cloud type and solar elevation angle was investigated. The results suggest that the effect of cloud on ultraviolet erythemal irradiance can be parameterized in a simple way in terms of the cloud amount. Our results suggest that the same cloud modification factor model can be used at the three analysed locations estimating the ultraviolet erythemal irradiance with mean bias deviation (MBD) in the range of the expected experimental errors. This cloud modification factor is lower than that associated to the whole solar spectral range, indicating that the attenuation for the ultraviolet erythemal irradiance is lower than that associated to other solar spectral ranges. The cloud modification factor for ultraviolet erythemal irradiance presents dependence with solar elevation, with opposite dependencies with solar elevation for overcast and partial cloud cover conditions, a fact that can be explained in terms of the influence of reflection-enhancement of the ultraviolet irradiance in the last case. Concerning the influence of cloud type, a limited study of two cloud categories, low and medium level and high level, indicated that for overcast conditions, lower clouds presents an attenuation of ultraviolet erythemal irradiance 20% greater than that associated to high level clouds.     

A methodology for the stochastic generation of hourly synthetic direct normal irradiation time series

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Many of the available solar radiation databases only provide global horizontal irradiance (GHI) while there is a growing need of extensive databases of direct...     

Influence of atmospheric circulation patterns on local cloud and solar variability in Bergen,Norway

In a previous paper, we have shown that long-term cloud and solar observations (1965–2013) in Bergen, Norway (60.39°N, 5.33°E) are compatible with a largely cloud dominated radiative climate. Here, we explicitly address the relationship between the large scale circulation over Europe and local conditions in Bergen, identifying specific circulation shifts that have contributed to the observed cloud and solar variations. As a measure of synoptic weather patterns, we use the Grosswetterlagen (GWL), a daily classification of European weather for 1881–2013. Empirical models of cloud cover, cloud base, relative sunshine duration, and normalised global irradiance are constructed based on the GWL frequencies, extending the observational time series by more than 70 years. The GWL models successfully reproduce the observed increase in cloud cover and decrease in solar irradiance during the 1970s and 1980s. This cloud-induced dimming is traced to an increasing frequency of cyclonic and decreasing frequency of anticyclonic weather patterns over northern Europe. The changing circulation patterns in winter can be understood as a shift from the negative to the positive phase of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillation. A recent period of increasing solar irradiance is observed but not reproduce by the GWL models, suggesting this brightening is associated with factors other than large scale atmospheric circulation, possibly decreasing aerosol loads and local cloud shifts.     

Insolation over the Arabian Sea during the southwest monsoon

The relationship between monsoon cloud cover and incoming solar radiation in the Arabian Sea is examined utilising the available observations of daily mean total cloud amount and solar radiation collected during the summer monsoon. With these data sets, various cloud correction formulae are evaluated. For the estimation of solar radiation, the formulation of Laevastu (1960) is best, with a minimum error of -4%. A multiple polynomial regression equation based on cloud cover and noon altitude of the sun is developed for estimation of daily radiation. The error between estimated and observed radiation is -2%.     

A cloud optical and microphysical property product for the advanced geosynchronous radiation imager onboard China's Fengyun-4 satellites: The first version

Fengyun-4 (FY-4), the latest collection of Chinese geostationary meteorological satellites, monitors the Eastern Hemisphere with high spatiotemporal resolutions. This study developed a cloud optical and microphysical property product for the Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager (AGRI) onboard the FY-4 satellites. The product focuses on cloud optical thickness (COT) and cloud effective radius (CER) using a bi-spectral retrieval algorithm, and also includes cloud mask and phase using machine learning (ML) algorithms as prerequisites for COT and CER retrievals. The ML-based algorithm develops four independent models using Random Forest methods for cloud mask, liquid water, ice, and mixed-phase/multi-layer clouds, respectively. A two-habit ice and sphere water cloud model are employed to give their optical properties. Look-up tables of cloud reflectance in the COT and CER sensitive channels are built for efficient forward simulations, and the retrieval is performed by an optimal estimation algorithm. Compared with collocated active observations, the cloud mask and phase results give true positive rates of ∼95% and ∼85% and are more sensitive to mixed-phase clouds. Meanwhile, the AGRI-based COT and CER agree closely with those given by the collocated MODIS and AHI cloud products, and the correlation coefficients between MODIS and the AGRI results are 0.76 and 0.63 for COT and CER, respectively. The COT and CER retrievals will be persistently maintained and improved as the operational product for FY-4/AGRI.摘要风云四号作为中国新一代静止气象卫星, 提供了高时空分辨率的监测产品. 本文介绍风云四号搭载的先进地球同步轨道辐射成像仪AGRI的云光学和微物理特性产品. 该产品包含了基于双光谱通道反演的云光学厚度和云粒子有效半径产品, 以及基于机器学习的云识别和云相态产品. 与时空匹配的主动卫星观测结果对比显示, 该产品的云识别和云相态的准确率分别在95%和85%; 该产品提供的云光学厚度和云有效粒径与经典的MODIS产品的相关系数达到0.76和0.63. 团队将持续优化和更新该云光学和微物理特性定量产品, 服务风云四号卫星定量应用.     

北京不同区域气溶胶辐射效应

采用大气辐射传输模式SES2以及2013年1月—2015年10月欧洲中期天气预报中心细网格再分析资料计算了北京地区4个观测站地面接收的短波辐射通量,分析了晴天和云天北京城郊气溶胶对总辐射的定量影响时空变化特征。结果表明:北京城区和近郊区气溶胶对总辐射的影响约为远郊区的2倍,北京南部和西部气溶胶对辐射的影响较大,晴天和云天北京城区和近郊区气溶胶对总辐射的削减值分别为146.23~180.99 W·m-2和202.11~217.02 W·m-2,晴天总辐射削减空间差异较大;秋冬季气溶胶对总辐射的影响明显大于春夏季,北京市观象台秋冬季气溶胶对总辐射的削减作用最大可达60%,较春夏季高10%~20%;北京城郊总辐射和直接辐射削减率与气溶胶光学厚度变化均呈线性关系,近地面PM_2.5浓度对辐射的影响不容忽视。     

GRAPES三维云初始场形成及在短临预报中的应用

围绕GRAPES_Meso的云初始场形成,以ARPS模式云分析方案为基础,优化诊断后应用我国风云二号静止气象卫星云产品、多普勒天气雷达三维组网拼图产品等观测资料结合模式背景信息,根据云热力-动力学原理及观测试验经验关系等,对云初始场的信息进行分析并通过松弛逼近同化方法实现对云内微物理信息同化应用。GRAPES_Meso中采用优化后的云初始场方案,水平分辨率为0.03°×0.03°和0.1°×0.1°的1个月（2014年7月15日-8月14日）连续试验和个例分析结果显示:云初始场形成方案能够分析出飑线等天气系统的云系和云内微物理变量特征。从模拟云图看,包含云初始场信息的GRAPES_Meso的云系的形态特征和分布范围短时临近预报结果更为准确。云初始场信息同化应用后,在1 h的时间尺度上,即可预报出与实况更为接近的降水;0~12 h时间范围内对降水均有积极的影响,可满足短时临近预报的需求,降水量级略偏大。批量连续试验（水平分辨率为0.03°×0.03°和0.1°×0.1°）的各个量级降水ETS（equitable threat score）评分都显著提高。     

FY-2G卫星冬夏云量产品偏差分析

开展卫星反演云量的精度评估是业务应用的基础,也是充分发挥卫星观测效益的前提。利用同类卫星产品EOS Aqua/MODIS云产品,选取2015年6月和12月共80个个例,包括43个白天个例,37个夜间个例。采用交叉比对方法对FY-2G云量产品进行相对偏差分析。结果表明:FY-2G与Aqua/MODIS计算云量总体趋势相当,无论从时间分布（白天和夜间）还是季节分布（6月和12月）上看,FY-2G与Aqua云量相对偏差较为稳定,FY-2G反演云量小于Aqua/MODIS反演云量。匹配个例中FY-2G平均云量为72.81%,Aqua/MODIS平均云量是76.19%,两者相关系数为0.74。两者绝对偏差小于5%的像元比例为72.34%;云量偏差绝对值小于15%的像元比例为79.51%。FY-2G与Aqua/MODIS云量偏差主要来自各自卫星的观测能力与所采用的云检测算法。与具有36个探测通道、星下点最低空间分辨率为0.01°×0.01°的Aqua/MODIS观测数据相比,FY-2G所具有的5通道、星下点最高空间分辨率为0.05°×0.05°的观测数据会出现对云,尤其是破碎云和薄卷云的漏检。两种具有不同时空属性的数据在匹配处理时采用的不同算法也会在比对分析中引入偏差。     

Long-term patterns of solar irradiance forcing in model experiments and proxy based surface temperature reconstructions

Comparisons are made of long-term empirical and model-estimated patterns of solar irradiance forcing during a 200-year period (1650-1850), which precedes any apparent anthropogenic influence on climate. This interval encompasses a considerable range (approximately 4 W/m²) of estimated variation in solar output, including the "Maunder" and "Dalton" Minima of solar irradiance, and an intervening interval of relatively high values of irradiance, but does not encroach into the industrial era wherein it is difficult to separate solar and anthropogenic influences. Particular emphasis is placed on comparing empirical and modeled patterns of forced surface temperature variation. The empirical patterns bear a greater similarity to the pattern of forced response of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model (AOGCM) than with an independent model simulation result using an ocean with specified heat transport, both in terms of the spatial pattern of response and implied global mean sensitivity to forcing. Heightened sensitivity in the western Pacific warm pool apparent in the empirical response pattern, is not observed in the forced response of the coupled model. It is possible that this pattern is the result of feedback processes not currently reproduced in course-resolution coupled models. The greatest empirical response is found at the multidecadal-to-century (> 40 year period) time scale, for which the forcing is dominated by the roughly 90-year Gleissberg Cycle of irradiance. This indicates a global-mean sensitivity (approximately 0.3 K/W/m²), which is close to the coupled model result (approximately 0.4 K/W/m²). At decadal time scales (8-25 year period), for which the forcing is dominated by the 11-year and 22-year period solar cycles), the temperature sensitivity is moderately reduced, and its spatial pattern of response is dominated by an apparent resonance with known decadal modes of climate variability.     

Influence of Clouds on UV Irradiance at Ground Level and Backscattered Exittance

The influence of various cloud parameters and the interactions with the ground albedo and the solar zenith angle have been studied by means of model simulations. The radiative transfer model suitable for a cloudy atmosphere as well as for a clear atmosphere has been developed on the basis of the Discrete Ordinate Method. This study leads to a general understanding for cloudy atmospheres: in the presence of a uniform cloud, the cloud scattering is dominant to molecular and aerosol scattering, and it is also wavelength-independent; the ratio of transmitted irradiance in a cloudy atmosphere to that in the background clear atmosphere is independent of cloud height and solar zenith angle. That’s to say, the radiation downwelling out of a cloud is quite isotropic; it decreases approximately exponentially with the cloud optical depth at a rate related to the ground albedo; the reflected irradiance at the top of the atmosphere is dependent on cloud optical depth as well as on solar zenith angle, but not on ground albedo for clouds of not very thin optical depth.     

Cloud Transmission Estimates of UV-B Erythemal Irradiance

Summary Two UV-Biometer 501A instruments were used to estimate global erythemal irradiance at two locations in southwest Sweden; the Earth Sciences Centre, University of G?teborg (57.69° N; 11.92° E) and the island of Nordkoster, 200 km to the north (58.83° N; 10.72° E). A semi-empirical radiative transfer model was used to calculate the global erythemally effective irradiance under clear skies. A ratio of the hourly measured to clear-sky modelled irradiance was then derived for zenith angles 35–70°. Subsequent comparisons were then made with routine measurements of sunshine duration at G?teborg and sunshine duration, cloud cover, type and height at Nordkoster. Cloud transmission of UV-B irradiance decreases with increasing solar zenith angle, with cloud attenuation being 8% stronger at Nordkoster Island for zenith angles >>;60°. Transmission also decreases with increasing cloud cover such that overcast cloud conditions reduce transmissions by an average of 75%. In addition, cloud type affects the amount of ground incident irradiant flux. Fractus cloud afforded the least UV-B transmission (0.16), while cirrus filaments afforded the most (0.95). The spatial and temporal distribution of clouds appears tobe non-random. Under conditions of 1 to 3 octas, sky cover, clouds appear to be concentrated in line with the sensor and Sun on more occasions than that expected given a random cloud distribution. The same cloud cover condition also resulted in many instances of ground incident irradiance above clear-sky values. The presence of cumuliform clouds appears to increase the likelihood of the latter phenomena. Received January 4, 1998     

Changes to the Surface Level Solar Ultraviolet-B Radiation Due to Haze Perturbation

The South-East Asian region experienced a haze episode in 1994 which was widely believed to be due to widespread forest fires in Sumatra and Kalimantan (Indonesia). Broadband measurements of the surface level solar ultraviolet-B, UV-A and Global radiation at Penang (Malaysia) are used to study the effect of the 1994 haze on effective UV-B irradiance. We find that during the haze episode, there is enhanced absorption of surface level UV-B radiation. The effect of haze on UV-A and Global radiation is much less. The reduction in absolute noon time UV-B irradiance (mostly cloud free) during the 1994 haze period was 23% relative to the UV-B irradiance during thecorresponding haze-free period in 1995. Even though the noon time radiation data minimizes the cloud effect in the results presented some cloud effect is still present.     

利用FY-2C卫星数据反演云辐射特性

本文利用FY-2C静止卫星提供的可见光、中红外和热红外观测数据, 开展了水云光学厚度、粒子有效半径和云顶温度的云参数遥感探测理论和反演方法研究。基于FY-2C可见光、中红外(3.75 μm)与热红外(11 μm)通道辐射率对云光学厚度、 云滴有效半径、云顶温度辐射参数的敏感性分析, 提出三通道同时反演云的光学厚度、云滴有效半径及云顶温度的迭代方案; 通过个例分析进行了云参数反演试验, 并将结果与MODIS的云反演产品进行了对比, 最后对反演误差进行了分析。主要结论如下:(1) 个例反演得到的云参数与各通道探测数据有着较好的对应关系, 迭代计算标准偏差在允许的计算精度范围内(<0.89%), 反演结果具有合理性; (2) 通过与MODIS云反演产品的对比可以看到, 两者云光学厚度、云滴有效半径的均值和直方图分布都非常一致, 而MODIS的云顶温度比FY-2C反演值要高, 考虑到FY-2C的 11 μm通道测量的辐射值与MODIS相比偏小, 因此认为我们的反演方法与MODIS方法的精度是相当的。