A NEW DRY DEPOSITION VELOCITY PATTERN AND ITS PRACTICAL APPLICATION IN HIGH RESOLUTION REGIONAL ACID DEPOSITION MODEL*

A new dry deposition velocity pattern (NDDVP) for the study of region-scale dry deposition processes is developed. The mean ratio between NDDVP and 1022 experimental data of dry deposition velocity V_d is 1.06±0.82. The result shows that NDDVP is well consistent with experimental data. Practical cases are forecasted by the high resolution regional acid deposition model (EM3) with both NDDVP and old V_d pattern. The maximum ratio between the central concentrations for SO₄^- can reach 2.4 only due to different V_d patterns. 3-D distributions of species concentrations and dry depositions forecasted by NDDVP are better than those by the old V_d pattern.     

NUMERICAL MODELING OF AIR POLLUTANT AND RAINFALL EFFECT ON ACID WET DEPOSITION

It is helpful to go deep into understanding the acid rainfall through studying the relation of two centers between aciddeposition and rainfall and the relation of intensity between them.We adopt a three-dimensional Eulerian regional aciddeposition model,or NCAR-RADM,to calculate regional chemical concentrations and dry and wet depositions ofacids.The temporally and spatially varied meteorological field is provided by a mesoscale meteorological model,vertion4.We calculate dry and wet depositions of acids in eight kinds of different rainfall distributions.The results show thatthe wet depositions of acids near pollutant source is very sensitive to rainfall intensity in initial stage.The distribution ofacid wet deposition will tend to that of rainfall intensity when rainfall intensity is small in source.And it will tend to thatof initial pollutant concentration when rainfall intensity is large in source.     

农田生态系统大气硫沉降通量的观测研究

1998年 11月～ 1999年 10月间在中国科学院红壤站 (江西鹰潭 )农田小气候站进行了大气二氧化硫 (SO2 )、硫酸盐粒子 (SO2 -4)浓度采样和雨水样本收集 ,利用阻力模式和全年逐时气象资料计算 SO2 和 SO2 -4的干沉降速度 ,估算干沉降通量 ,利用降水资料和雨水中硫酸根离子浓度估计大气硫的湿沉降 ,从而定量研究大气硫沉降输入农田生态系统的通量 ,结果表明 :农田下垫面上 SO2 和 SO2 -4干沉降速度的年平均值分别是 0 .373± 0 .170 cm· s-1(月均值 0 .16 1～ 0 .5 45 cm·s-1)、0 .198± 0 .12 3cm· s-1(月均值 0 .15 2～ 0 .2 6 9cm· s-1)。农田下垫面硫年总沉降量为 10 .3g· m-2 ,其中干沉降占总沉降的 83.3%。硫的干沉降又以 SO2 的干沉降为主 ,占年干沉降总量的 92 .2 %。大气硫沉降输入占农田生态系统输入总量的 90 %以上 ,是农田生态系统获取硫素的一个重要途径     

华东典型地区大气硫沉降通量的观测和模拟研究

本文使用中国科学院常熟和鹰潭生态实验站和气象站的观测资料，应用区域酸沉降模式系统（RegADMS）和大叶阻力相似模型来研究华东地区不同下垫面条件上的大气硫沉降问题，定量估计了农田下垫面上大气硫化物的沉降通量。SO2和硫酸盐的干沉降速率使用大叶阻力相似模型来估计，使用与降水量有关的参数化方案来确定湿沉降系数。结果表明，常熟地区农田下垫面的大气硫沉降通量为19．0gm^-2 a^-1，其中干沉降占42％；而位于江西红壤地区的鹰潭站的大气硫沉降通量为10．4gm^-2a^-1，其中干沉降占83％。比较发现，两地硫干沉降通量绝对值相差不大，但其在总沉降通量中所占的份额有较大差异；常熟站的硫湿沉降通量比鹰潭站要大9．23gm^-2a^-1，该差异是由两地污染状况和气象条件的不同造成。华东地区的年硫沉降总量为1．88Mt（1Mt=10^6t），其中72．8％沉降在农田下垫面上。硫沉降中43％是干沉降，57％是湿沉降。     

影响气体和粒子干沉积的敏感因子分析

建立了一个模拟气体和气溶胶粒子在各种不同条件下干沉积的数学模式，用以研究了影响气体和粒子干沉积的敏感因子，从而进一步揭示物质干沉积和特征和规律，结果表明：下垫面的性质，气体本身与沉积表面的溶混性和表面的潮温程度是影响气体干沉积的重要因子；对粒子干沉积起主导作用的有粒子直径，平均风速、大气稳定状况和沉积表面的粗糙度。     

中国东部地区SO2, SO4=和HNO3(g)干沉降速度的季节变化

使用中国东部及其邻近地区各主要台站１９９２年全年００点和１２点（ＧＭＴ）地面及探空资料，由中尺度气象预报模式ＭＭ４产生中国东部地区地面以上大约４０ｍ高度（最低模式层）处二维温度、湿度和风场，使用污染物干沉降模块及该地区下垫面类型资料，计算出了该地区ＳＯ２，ＳＯ＝４和ＨＮＯ３（ｇ）全年干沉降速度的区域分布和季节变化。结果表明，由于受气象条件和下垫面类型的综合影响，３种污染物的干沉降速度有明显的变化。对ＳＯ２，全年区域平均极小值为０．０８８ｃｍ／ｓ，极大值为１．２７５ｃｍ／ｓ，平均值为０．４３０ｃｍ／ｓ；对ＳＯ＝４，分别为０．０１４ｃｍ／ｓ，０．２８７ｃｍ／ｓ和０．１１８ｃｍ／ｓ；对ＨＮＯ３（ｇ），分别为０．０６０ｃｍ／ｓ，５．２５０ｃｍ／ｓ和１．１２３ｃｍ／ｓ。ＳＯ２干沉降速度极大值分布在巴丹吉林沙漠和腾格里沙漠一带，对ＳＯ＝４和ＨＮＯ３（ｇ），除在上述沙漠地带有一极大值区域外，在靠近四川的云贵高原尚有另一极大区。对１９９２年全年来说，ＳＯ２和ＨＮＯ３（ｇ）干沉降速度极大值均出现在七月份，分别为０．５５２ｃｍ／ｓ和１．５１８ｃｍ／ｓ；而对ＳＯ＝４，干沉降速度极大值出现在九月份，其值为０．０９６ｃｍ／ｓ。这些值     

天山北坡典型草地净初级生产力对氮沉降及气候变化的响应阈值研究

生态阈值现象普遍存在于自然系统中.气候变化幅度过大,超出了生态系统本身的调节和修复能力,生态系统的结构功能就会遭到破坏.新疆干旱区气候波动明显,该区草地生态系统对大气氮沉降和气候变化的响应是否存在阈值,有待深入研究.本文以天山北坡沿海拔梯度分布的四种草地类型（高山草甸（AM）、中山森林草地（MMFM）、低山干草原（LMDG）和平原荒漠草原（PDG））为研究对象,基于DNDC模型,揭示氮沉降及气候变化对天山北坡草地生态系统净初级生产力的影响.研究结果表明：1）草地净初级生产力 （NPP）对氮沉降增加的响应存在阈值,PDG、LMDG、MMFM和AM的响应阈值分别为20±5.77、60±26.46、50±15.28和30±11.55 kg·hm^-2.2）四种草地类型的NPP从大到小依次为MMFM、LMDG、PDG和AM,水热条件是决定NPP的主要因素.3）PDG草地NPP对温度升高的响应存在阈值,而对于其他类型的草地,在目前的研究中尚未得出确切结论.4）PDG和LMDG草地NPP与降水有明显的正相关关系,而AM草地NPP的变化与降水变化呈负相关.不同草地类型对降水变化的敏感程度也有较大差异,PDG最大,其次是LMDG,之后是AM和MMFM.     

一个新的干沉积速度型及其在高分辨区域酸沉积模式中的应用

为研究区域尺度干沉积过程，发展了一新的干沉积速度型（ＮＤＤＶＰ）。ＮＤＤＶＰ与１０２２次于沉积速度（Ｖｄ）实测资料之间平均比值为１．０６±０．８２，表明ＮＤＤＶＰ与实测资料有好的一致性。用分别具有ＮＤＤＶＰ和原Ｖｄ型的高分进区域酸沉积模式（ＥＭ３）作实例预测，发现仅由Ｖｄ型的不同所引起的ＳＯ＝４中心浓度之间最大比值可达２．４，用ＮＤＤＶＰ预测的物质浓度和干沉积量比用原Ｖｄ型有明显的改善。     

中国西南和华南地区硫沉降数值模拟

利用CMAQ(Community Multi-scale Air Quality)模式模拟了中国西南和华南地区的硫沉降。模式中详细考虑了气象过程、气相与液相化学过程、非均相化学过程、气溶胶过程和干湿沉降过程对SO2输送、转化和沉降过程的影响。通过与IMPACTS小流域的观测资料的比较,显示了该模式系统能够较好地模拟SO2在大气中的转化以及干湿沉降过程。在此基础之上,分析了不同季节该区域的硫沉降和向外输送的情况,并且模拟了该区域2002年全年的硫沉降分布状况,这为该区域有效地污染治理奠定了基础。     

Enhanced atmospheric phosphorus deposition in Asia and Europe in the past two decades

磷是植物生长必需的元素,磷缺乏将限制植被生产力及碳汇功能.为厘清全球大气磷沉降的时空格局,本文收集了 1959-2020年发表的396条观测资料.结果发现,全球大气磷沉降的几何均值为0.32 kg ha-1 yr-1,全球大气磷库约4.4Tg yr-1.与1959-2000年相比,近20年亚洲和欧洲大气磷沉降呈现上升趋势,主要来源是农业活动,沙尘传输和燃烧源排放.碳中和背景下,清洁空气行动是否会改变磷沉降的途径和形态,进而影响到生态系统的结构和功能,是需要回答的科学问题.     

南北涛动与南极涛动及北极涛动的相互作用

利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,分析了南北涛动（Interhemispheric Oscillation,IHO）与北极涛动（Arctic Oscillation,AO）和南极涛动（Antarctic Oscillation,AAO）的联系。分析表明：1）北极涛动（AO）、南极涛动（AAO）与全年各自半球中高纬度地表气压变化密切联系。其中,AO冬季强度最强,且在春季、冬季的影响范围大。而AAO对南半球中高纬的地表气压变动影响更为明显,其在夏季影响范围最大。2）南极涛动（AAO）与南北涛动（IHO）有很好的同期相关性,南极涛动可部分解释南北涛动的形成。IHO与AO存在不显著的负相关,南北半球中高纬大气运动具有相对独立性。3）南北涛动（IHO）与全球较大范围内的地面气压变化有关,而去除AAO信号后,夏季在南极地区原显著相关区显著减少,夏季AAO与IHO存在密切联系。4）南北涛动（IHO）主要与春季、秋季和冬季亚洲、欧洲北部地面气温关系密切。秋季最强,春季次之,冬季最弱。夏季IHO与全球地面气温没有较好的联系。亚欧大陆北部的热力作用可能部分地解释了南北涛动的形成。     

Creating win-wins from trade-offs? Ecosystem services for human well-being: A meta-analysis of ecosystem service trade-offs and synergies in the real world

Ecosystem services can provide a wide range of benefits for human well-being, including provisioning, regulating and cultural services and benefitting both private and public interests in different sectors of society. Biophysical, economic and social factors all make it unlikely that multiple needs will be met simultaneously without deliberate efforts, yet while there is still much interest in developing win-win outcomes there is little understanding of what is required for them to be achieved. We analysed outcomes in a wide range of case studies where ecosystem services had been used for human well-being. Using systematic mapping of the literature from 2000 to 2013, we identified 1324 potentially relevant reports, 92 of which were selected for the review, creating a database of 231 actual or potential recorded trade-offs and synergies. The analysis of these case studies highlighted significant gaps in the literature, including: a limited geographic distribution of case studies, a focus on provisioning as opposed to non-provisioning services and a lack of studies exploring the link between ecosystem service trade-offs or synergies and the ultimate impact on human well-being. Trade-offs are recorded almost three times as often as synergies and the analysis indicates that there are three significant indicators that a trade-off will occur: at least one of the stakeholders having a private interest in the natural resources available, the involvement of provisioning ecosystem services and at least one of the stakeholders acting at the local scale. There is not, however, a generalisable context for a win-win, indicating that these trade-off indicators, although highlighting where a trade-off may occur do not indicate that it is inevitable. Taking account of why trade-offs occur (e.g. from failures in management or a lack of accounting for all stakeholders) is more likely to create win-win situations than planning for a win-win from the outset. Consequently, taking a trade-offs as opposed to a win-win approach, by having an awareness of and accounting for factors that predict a trade-off (private interest, provisioning versus other ES, local stakeholder) and the reasons why trade-offs are often the outcome, it may be possible to create the synergies we seek to achieve.     

一种大气污染物干沉积速率的计算方法及其应用

介绍了一种计算大气污染物干沉积速率的方法。这种方法详细地考虑了植物生理特征和冠层内湍流结构对干沉积的影响，考虑了3层覆盖物对表面阻抗的影响，通过计算7个不同的阻抗因子获得干沉积速率。利用该方法计算了农田下垫面上7种不同大气污染物沉积的表面阻抗和江西(鹰洋)红壤典型地区农田下垫面上的二氧化硫(SO2)和硫酸盐(SO4^2—)的干沉积速率，估算了大气硫输入农田生态系统的干沉积通量，并与其他方法作了定量比较。结果表明：农田下垫面上SO2与SO4^2—的干沉积速率平均值分别为0．31cm／s，0．20cm／s；干沉积速率具有明显的日变化特征，一般白天大于夜间，中午时分出现最大值；月际变化也较明显，在冬季有大值；大气硫输入农田生态系统的全年干沉积通量为7．35g/m^2。     

Determination of Sulfur Balance Between the Atmosphere and a Norway Spruce Forest Ecosystem: Comparison of Gradient Dry + Wet and Throughfall Deposition Measurements

Total sulfur deposition was determined above a Norway spruce forest, in Hungary. Two methods were applied, on one hand dry + wet deposition measurements and on the other, throughfall and stemflow deposition estimations have been carried out. Results show: total depositions are 3.3 and 3.2 g S m^–2 yr^–1 determined by dry + wet and throughfall deposition methods, respectively. The share of the dry deposition in the total S-load is 73%. The agreement between the results of the two different methods is good and suggests the needlessness of complicated dry + wet flux measurements, i.e. the total and dry deposition of sulfur compounds to forests can be determined by simple throughfall and wet deposition measurements.     

Modulation of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Genesis by Intraseasonal Oscillation of the ITCZ: A Statistical Analysis

The present study investigates modulation of western North Pacific(WNP) tropical cyclone(TC) genesis in relation to different phases of the intraseasonal oscillation(ISO) of ITCZ convection during May to October in the period 1979-2008.The phases of the ITCZ ISO were determined based on 30-80-day filtered OLR anomalies averaged over the region(5-20 N,120-150 E).The number of TCs during the active phases was nearly three times more than during the inactive phases.The active(inactive) phases of ISO were characterized by low-level cyclonic(anticyclonic) circulation anomalies,higher(lower) midlevel relative humidity anomalies,and larger(smaller) vertical gradient anomalies of relative vorticity associated with enhanced(weakened) ITCZ convection anomalies.During the active phases,TCs tended to form in the center of the ITCZ region.Barotropic conversion from the low-level mean flow is suggested to be the major energy source for TC formation.The energy conversion mainly depended on the zonal and meridional gradients of the zonal flow during the active phases.However,barotropic conversion weakened greatly during the inactive phases.The relationship between the meridional gradient of absolute vorticity and low-level zonal flow indicates that the sign of the absolute vorticity gradient tends to be reversed during the two phases,whereas the same sign between zonal flow and the absolute vorticity gradient is more easily satisfied in the active phases.Thus,the barotropic instability of low-level zonal flow might be an important mechanism for TC formation over the WNP during the active phases of ISO.     

一个世界最早光象分类体系的探讨——复原先秦“十煇”的研究

《周礼》十煇为世界最早的光象分类体系。其含义历来众说纷纭。有探讨、重建并评价的必要。本文比照历史上有影响的五家十煇定义,分析其含糊矛盾之处,提出复原十煇原义的三条原则,从而重建了十煇原义表,介绍了古代观测十煇的方法。最后对《周礼》十煇这个光象分类体系进行了评价。     

International politics must be considered together with climate and fisheries regulation as a driver of marine ecosystems

Seafood is an essential source of protein globally. As its demand continues to rise, balancing food security and the health of marine ecosystems has become a pressing challenge. Ecosystem-based fisheries management (EBFM) has been adopted by the European Union (EU) Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) to meet this challenge by accounting for the multiple interacting natural and socio-economic drivers. The CFP includes both the implementation of regulatory measures to EU stocks and the establishment of bilateral fisheries agreements with neighbouring countries, known as sustainable fisheries partnership agreements (SFPAs). While the effects of fisheries management regulations are well acknowledged, the consequences of the SFPAs on EU ecosystems have been commonly overlooked. Here we investigate the development of the Gulf of Cadiz marine ecosystem over the last two decades and found evidence of the impact of both policy interventions. Our findings reveal the effectiveness of regulatory measures in reverting a progressively degrading ecosystem, characterised by high fishing pressure and dominance of opportunistic species, to a more stable configuration, characterised by higher biomass of small pelagics and top predators after 2005. Knock-on effects of the EU-Morocco SFPA and climate effects were detected before 2005, resulting in increased purse seine fishing effort, lower biomass of pelagic species and warmer temperatures. This southern EU marine ecosystem has been one of the latest to introduce regulations and is very exposed to fishery agreements with neighbouring Morocco. Our study highlights the importance of taking into consideration, not only the effects of in situ fisheries regulations but also the indirect implications of political agreements in the framework of EBFM.     

太原冬季PM2.5中有机碳和元素碳的变化特征

2005年12月—2006年2月在太原市区持续观测了气溶胶细粒子PM_2.5, 并应用Sunset碳分析仪进行了有机碳 (organic carbon, OC) 和元素碳 (elemental carbon, EC) 的测定。结果表明:太原冬季PM_2.5, OC和EC浓度均较高, 其中PM_2.5日平均浓度变化范围为25.4~419.0 μg/m3, 日平均浓度为193.4±102.3 μg/m3, OC平均浓度为28.9±14.8 μg/m3, EC平均浓度为4.8±2.2 μg/m3, OC/EC平均比值是7.0±3.9, 即太原市冬季PM_2.5和碳气溶胶污染严重。OC在PM _2.5中占18.6%, EC占2.9%, 这表明碳气溶胶是太原大气细粒子污染控制的关键组分。在太原市冬季, 采暖燃烧的煤是OC和EC的主要贡献源, 造成OC大大高于EC, 从而使OC/EC比值增大。各种气象条件对PM_2.5, OC, EC和OC/EC比值的变化都有不同程度的影响, 特别是大雾天气、相对湿度、风速和降雪是影响碳气溶胶浓度变化的重要因素。     

基于MJO的延伸预报

近10年来,2～4周的延伸预报成为天气和气候业务预报发展的一个方向。目前比较有效的方法是根据季节内振荡的传播,尤其是MJO振荡(30～60天周期)的传播来制作延伸期预报。国际上一些天气-气候预报中通过数年的业务试验已取得了初步结果。作者首先介绍了MJO振荡及季风的季节内振荡(MISO)特征,并从季节内振荡与中纬度相互作用的角度讨论了制作延伸预报的理论依据;进一步对延伸预报的可预报性、预报方法及国内外业务应用进展进行了综述,并以江淮梅雨为例探讨了我国延伸预报的可预报性及信号;最后阐述了延伸预报的发展趋势。     

中国地区沙尘气溶胶输送过程的数值模拟

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