秋、冬季赤道西太平洋海面气象特征初析

本文分析1985,1986,1987三年的部分时间的赤道西太平洋考察资料,结果表明,厄尔尼诺影响下气象特征变化明显;气象特征较邻近热带和赤道海域典型;温度的水平分布呈东高西低,北高南低;气象要素平均日变化和随季节变化特征显著。     

热带印度洋上层水温的年循环特征

通过分析多年气候月平均的Levitus水温资料,结合多年气候月平均海表面风场资料以及观测的热带印度洋上层海流的分布状况,探讨热带印度洋上层水温的时空分布特征,剖析了热带印度洋混合层深度及印度洋暖水的季节变化规律。分析表明：热带印度洋的海表面温度低值区始终位于大洋的南部,而高值区呈现明显的季节变化,冬季位于赤道附近,在夏季则处于大洋的东北部;在热带印度洋的中西部、赤道偏南海域的次表层终年存在一冷心结构;热带印度洋表面风场的季节变化是影响该海域混合层深度季节性变化的主要因素;印度洋暖水在冬、春季范围较大,与西太平洋暖池相连,而在夏、秋季范围较小,并与西太平洋暖池分开。     

热带太平洋气候变率的三类模态及与ENSO强度变化的关系

基于Kaplan等重建的1856—2001年全球海表水温距平(SSTA)资料，用小波变换分析了热带太平洋SSTA的气候变率，对热带太平洋SSTA分别进行2—8、8—30和30—100a带通滤波，然后进行EOF分解。结果发现，ENSO模态具有5a左右的年际变化和15a左右的年代际变化2种显著周期，当二者位相相同时，ENSO事件加强，当二者位相相反时，ENSO事件减弱，当年际变化不明显时，显著的年代际变化也可单独导致ENSO事件；热带太平洋SSTA气候态变率以西太平洋暖池和赤道两侧的热带中东太平洋明显海温同号异常为主要特征，具60a左右的周期，其相位变化与气候跃变及El Nifio事件的类型有密切联系；长期增温倾向加大了El Nifio事件的振幅。文章最后指出，ENSO事件强度变化是由年际、年代际和气候态等3类模态变率共同作用的结果，在ENSO预报模式中考虑并引入年代际和气候态变化对ENSO循环的影响，是提高ENSO预测水平的有效途径之一。     

赤道西太平洋海-气通量和天气变化的初步分析

本文对1985—1987年中国科学院“实验3”号考察船三个航次的赤道西太平洋考察资料的分析表明,海洋输向大气的热通量随季节变化不明显,各通量总的分布是西高东低。在1986—1987年厄尔尼诺影响下,海表水温较常年偏高,天气变化较历史上的厄尔尼诺年显著。     

海洋对静止热带气旋响应的某些特征

建立二层非线性原始方程海洋模式，采用湍流动能收支参数化风应力产生的垂直混合（夹卷），研究海洋对不同强度和最大风速半径的静止热带气旋（ＴＣ）的响应。数值试验结果表明，由于科氏参数随纬度变化，海洋对热带气旋的响应具有不对称性。热带气旋强度对海流，上混合层（ＵＭＬ）深度和海表温（ＳＳＴ）变化量值产生重大影响，并对它们变化范围影响较大。热带气旋最大风速半径对海流、混合层深度和海表温变化量值的影响不明显，但对它们的变化范围有明显影响。     

热带三大洋海表温度和云水关系的初探

热带太平洋、大西洋和热带印度洋是全球海洋-大气相互作用最显著的海域。为了探讨热带三大洋局地海洋-大气相互作用中的某些特征,利用新的卫星遥感资料对热带三大洋的云水和海表温度(SST)异常变化进行了统计相关分析。研究发现:在赤道太平洋和赤道大西洋云水和SST二者在超前或滞后5周内都呈现明显的正相关关系,表明3个赤道海域云水和SST之间具有明显的相互作用正反馈机制;在热带西印度洋SST异常超前CLW异常一周时,正相关系数最大,SST的变化导致云水的变化;而在以较冷海水为下垫面的赤道外东北太平洋,东南太平洋以及赤道外的南大西洋海域,二者呈明显的负相关关系,云水的变化会引起SST的变化。位于菲律宾以东的热带西北太平洋区,云水量的变化引起SST的变化;而赤道东印度洋暖池区即存在云水量的增加(减少)引起SST降低(升高)的现象,也存在SST降低(升高)引起云水量的减少(增加)的现象。以上结果将为进一步理解海洋-大气相互作用,在数值模式中正确设计海洋-大气边界层参数化方案提供参考。     

海洋再分析资料中IOD-ENSO遥相关的海洋通道机制分析

本文利用滞后相关分析,研究了海洋再分析资料（SODA、ORAS4和GODAS）中的IOD-ENSO滞后遥相关关系,并与观测资料进行对比。结果显示,3套再分析资料中热带东南印度洋秋季海表温度/海表高度异常和赤道太平洋冷舌次年秋季海表温度/海表高度异常之间显著相关,与观测结果一致。在次表层,观测和再分析资料均显示,热带东南印度洋秋季海表温度异常与赤道太平洋次表层海温异常之间的显著相关关系在冬季至次年秋季沿赤道太平洋垂向剖面向东移动,并于次年夏季和秋季在冷舌区上升至海表。热带东南印度洋和赤道太平洋冷舌滞后1年的相关关系是由海洋通道机制引起的,即IOD事件引起印尼贯穿流流量异常,导致赤道太平洋温跃层异常,激发赤道Kelvin波向东传播,从而影响赤道中-东太平洋冷舌海表温度异常。观测及SODA与ORAS4资料中,热带东南印度洋和赤道太平洋冷舌滞后1年的相关关系在去除ENSO信号后仍然显著,表明海洋通道机制是独立于ENSO事件的;而在GODAS资料中,这些显著相关关系在去除ENSO信号后消失。印尼贯穿流流量异常和Niño3.4及DMI（Dipole Mode Index）指数之间超前-滞后12个月的相关关系显示,在SODA和ORAS4资料中,印尼贯穿流流量同时受到ENSO和IOD的影响,与观测结果一致;而在GODAS中,印尼贯穿流流量异常仅与Niño3.4指数显著相关,极少受到IOD事件的影响,这部分解释了GODAS资料中去除ENSO信号后,IOD-ENSO滞后遥相关关系消失的原因。     

南海表层水温的低频振荡

本文对以西沙为代表的南海海域1961—1984年的表层水温(以下简称水温)进行了分析,结果发现南海水温存在3—5a和准两年周期的低频振荡。这种振荡与南方涛动和赤道东太平洋水温异常之间有密切的关系,显示出南海水温低频振动是热带太平洋水温低频振荡的组成部分,埃尔尼诺事件之后,南海有明显的增温现象发生。但南海水温与热带西太平洋水温的振动相比较,显示出它具有区域性特征。     

MJO与热带风场、海温日变化的关系

利用CCMP的风场、NOAA地表日均太阳辐射通量等资料,研究了MJO与风场和海表温度日变化的关系。结果表明:MJO不同位相时,风场及海表温度日变化有明显不同。当夏季MJO处于发展位相(位相1—4)时,赤道印度洋经向风场的日变化偏弱;而西太平洋经向风场的日变化偏强;当MJO处于成熟位相(位相5—8)时,赤道印度洋和西太平洋的经向风场日变化与发展位相时相反。MJO对于海表温度场日变化的调制,冬季比夏季表现得更加明显。同时使用Dynamo的实测资料证明了在经验公式中赤道地区驱动海温日增暖的主要因子是风场的变化,辐射场对其影响远不如风场的变化。     

热带大洋春季海气耦合模态及其与ENSO的关系

在北半球的春季,热带三大洋的海洋–大气系统年际变化会对同期太平洋厄尔尼诺–南方涛动(ElNi?o-Southern oscillation,ENSO)产生响应,同时也能通过区域海洋–大气耦合过程影响ENSO的发展。基于国际公开使用的海表温度资料和降水资料,通过联合正交经验分解方法分析,可以发现全球大洋春季存在两种显著的海气耦合模态。第一模态表现为:在热带中东太平洋,海表温度增暖、降水增多;在热带大西洋和热带印度洋,降水呈现经向偶极型分布以及跨赤道的海表温度梯度异常;即伴随ENSO在春季消亡期的空间型态,大西洋出现经向模态,印度洋出现反对称模态。第二模态表现为:太平洋经向海表温度和降水模态,即太平洋经向模态。回归分析结果表明, ENSO盛期的大气环流调整引起了热带大西洋和印度洋降水辐合带异常,并通过海面风场异常激发海盆内部的海洋–大气反馈,引起春季经向模态。进一步研究发现,冬、春季大西洋和印度洋热带辐合带分别位于赤道以北和以南,导致两个海盆经向模态的降水异常相对赤道呈反对称分布。在春季,太平洋经向模态的暖中心延伸到赤道上,引起西风异常,为后续El Ni?o的发展提供了有利条件。文章揭示了...     

南沙海面的夏季风和海—气通量分析

本文分析1984—1988年夏季南沙考察资料。结果表明:南沙海面夏季风来自南路和西路及本区的季风气流。季风潮的出现主要是南路气流加强或季风与热带气旋环流的相互作用。夏季风期间的天气形势、气象特征和海—气通量随季节和天气过程变化显著。     

Effects of interannual salinity variability on the dynamic height in the western equatorial Pacific as diagnosed by Argo

In this paper, interannual variations of the ocean dynamic height over the tropical Pacific are diagnosed using three-dimensional temperature and salinity fields from Argo profiles, with a focus on the...     

TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason Equatorial Sea Surface Slope Anomaly in the Atlantic in 2002: Comparison with Wind and Current Measurements at 23W

A time series of velocity profile in the upper 150 m of the equatorial Atlantic was gathered at 23W in 2002 within the PIRATA program. It constitutes the first time series of near surface current measurements simultaneous with altimetric data in the equatorial Atlantic. The surface slope anomaly along the equator is computed from satellite altimetry, and, as a proxy for the pressure gradient along the equator, compared with the wind and near surface current data. In a first step, a time series of the surface slope anomaly along the equator in the Atlantic is computed from the 10-year-long TOPEX/Poseidon sea level anomalies. A sensitivity study establishes the robustness of the calculation. Apart from a 15 cm bias, the equatorial sea surface slope anomalies estimated either from TOPEX/Poseidon or from Jason over the 6-month overlap (Feb.-Aug. 2002) do not reveal drastic differences. We produce two sea surface slope anomaly composite time series for 2002 (one with T/P data, the other with Jason data during the commissioning phase) and compare them to the wind and velocity data at 23W. As expected, the near surface velocity and depth of the upper limit of the equatorial undercurrent (EUC) are extremely well correlated with the surface pressure gradient anomaly. 10-year-long time series of altimetry-derived zonal sea surface slope anomaly and ECMWF ERA40 wind stress are also well correlated. They exhibit similar spectral content and similar anomalous years. This is a first step towards a full analysis of the EUC dynamics using altimetry, PIRATA data (near surface current and subsurface thermohaline structure) and model. These initial comparisons reinforce the utility of Jason measurements for continuing the 10-year and highly accurate TOPEX/Poseidon time series for study of equatorial signals.     

TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason Equatorial Sea Surface Slope Anomaly in the Atlantic in 2002: Comparison with Wind and Current Measurements at 23W

A time series of velocity profile in the upper 150 m of the equatorial Atlantic was gathered at 23W in 2002 within the PIRATA program. It constitutes the first time series of near surface current measurements simultaneous with altimetric data in the equatorial Atlantic. The surface slope anomaly along the equator is computed from satellite altimetry, and, as a proxy for the pressure gradient along the equator, compared with the wind and near surface current data. In a first step, a time series of the surface slope anomaly along the equator in the Atlantic is computed from the 10-year-long TOPEX/Poseidon sea level anomalies. A sensitivity study establishes the robustness of the calculation. Apart from a 15 cm bias, the equatorial sea surface slope anomalies estimated either from TOPEX/Poseidon or from Jason over the 6-month overlap (Feb.–Aug. 2002) do not reveal drastic differences. We produce two sea surface slope anomaly composite time series for 2002 (one with T/P data, the other with Jason data during the commissioning phase) and compare them to the wind and velocity data at 23W. As expected, the near surface velocity and depth of the upper limit of the equatorial undercurrent (EUC) are extremely well correlated with the surface pressure gradient anomaly. 10-year-long time series of altimetry-derived zonal sea surface slope anomaly and ECMWF ERA40 wind stress are also well correlated. They exhibit similar spectral content and similar anomalous years. This is a first step towards a full analysis of the EUC dynamics using altimetry, PIRATA data (near surface current and subsurface thermohaline structure) and model. These initial comparisons reinforce the utility of Jason measurements for continuing the 10-year and highly accurate TOPEX/Poseidon time series for study of equatorial signals.     

Argo资料的全球上层海温年和半年周期振荡的空间分布特征

利用小波分析方法,对2003-2008年周平均的Argo(地转海洋学实时观测阵)海温资料进行了分析,给出了全球上层海温年周期和半年周期振荡的空间分布特征.结果表明,南北半球中高纬地区以表层海温的年周期变化为主,在低纬度地区,表层海温以半年周期为主,而温跃层附近海温既有年周期也有半年周期(赤道太平洋、东南印度洋和赤道西大西洋以年周期为主;赤道东、西印度洋以半年周期为主).南北半球中高纬的年周期海温和北半球中纬度的半年周期海温在表层范围最大,显著性最高,强度最强,位相最前.随深度的增加,范围减小,显著性降低,强度减弱,位相滞后.信号主要集中在水深50 m以上,影响深度在150m以浅;赤道附近的太平洋和热带东南印度洋的年周期海温以及赤道东、西印度洋的半年周期海温在水深100m范围最大,显著性最高,强度最强,位相最前,信号主要集中在温跃层附近,影响深度均可达500m.     

热带太平洋波浪输运与海表面温度异常关系研究

Large-scale water transport is one of the key factors that affect sea surface temperature anomaly(SSTA) in the eastern equatorial Pacific(EEP).The relationship between the wave transport in the tropical Pacific and the SSTA in the EEP is examined by different methods,including band-pass filtering,period analysis,correlation analysis,significant analysis,and empirical orthogonal function(EOF) analysis.We have found that the eastward shift of the wave transport anomaly in the tropical Pacific,with a period of 2 a and enhancing the transport of warm waters from the western Pacific warm pool,precedes the increase of sea surface temperature(SST) in the EEP.The wave transport and the SSTA in the EEP have a maximum correlation of 0.65 with a time-lag of 6 months(transport variation precedes the temperature).The major periods(3.7 a and 2.45 a) of the wave transport variability,as revealed by the EOF analysis,appear to be consistent with the SSTA oscillation cycle in the EEP.Based on the first occurrence of a significant SSTA in the Ni?o 3 region(5°S–5°N,90°–150°W),two types of warm events are defined.The wave transport anomalies in two types present predominantly the west anomaly in the tropical Pacific,it is that the wave transport continues transport warm water from west to east before the onset of the warm event.The impact of wave-induced water transport on the SSTA in the EEP is confirmed by the heat flux of the wave transport.The wave transport exerts significant effect on the SSTA variability in the EEP and thus is not neglectable in the further studies.     

热带西太平洋水位的年际变化与ENSO事件

根据美国ＴＯＧＡ水位中心所提供的１９７５—１９８８年水位月平均资料，分析、讨论了热带西太平洋水位的年际变化特征，特别是与ＥＮＳＯ事件有关的低水位现象。此外，还重点叙述了１９８６—１９８７年ＥＮＳＯ事件中水位沿经向和赤道剖面的变化，以及与此有关的赤道流系的变化。文中还定性地讨论了赤道开尔文波沿赤道剖面的传播特性。     

Interdecadal Variations of ENSO Signals and Annual Cycles Revealed by Wavelet Analysis

Interdecadal variations of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signals and annual cycles appearing in the sea surface temperature (SST) and zonal wind in the equatorial Pacific during 1950–1997 are studied by wavelet, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and singular value decomposition (SVD) analyses. The typical timescale of ENSO is estimated to be about 40 months before the late 1970s and 48–52 months after that; the timescale increased by about 10 months. The spatial pattern of the ENSO signal appearing in SST also changed in the 1970s; before that, the area of strong signal spread over the extratropical regions, while it is confined near the equator after that. The center of the strongest signal shifted from the central and eastern equatorial Pacific to the South American coast at that time. These SST fluctuations near the equator are associated with fluctuations of zonal wiond, whose spatial pattern also shifted considerably eastward at that time. In the eastern equatorial Pacific, amplitudes of annual cycles of SST are weak in El Niño years and strong in La Niña years. This relation is not clear, however, in the 1980s and 1990s.     

西太平洋暖池区低层大气气象学特征的观测分析

根据TOGA—COARE强化观测资料分析西太平洋暖地区低层大气的气象学特征。讨论北半球冬季(11月-2月)该区域海面风和温度的特征,ITCZ及其有中尺度动力学特征的赤道大气涡(Eddy)的演变特征,对流混合边界层大气和低层正压大气层特征,以及云形态及降水特征等。指出,对于赤道大气,把正压大气层顶取为700hPa是合适的。     

海洋的季节变化及风应力异常对海洋影响的数值试验

对一个6层5°×4°网格的全球海洋模式作了一些改进,建立了10层5°×4°网格的全球海洋模式,进行了季节变化数值模拟,积分250a,取得稳定的结果.除了高纬度海洋外,模拟的季节变化与实际观测十分接近.在此基础上,作了热带太平洋海温场对热带季风异常响应的3组敏感性实验,第1组为赤道西太平洋异常西风向东传播的试验;第2组为整个赤道太平洋风应力振荡异常试验;第3组为赤道西太平洋异常西风、东风交替向东传播的敏感性试验.模拟结果表明:(1)第1组风应力敏感性实验结果揭示出,西太平洋西风异常的向东传播的风应力异常可以产生类似厄尔尼诺的赤道东太平洋变暖;(2)第2组试验结果表明,热带太平洋风应力的局地振荡首先在中太平洋东西部激发出海温扰动,然后海温扰动分别向东太平洋和西太平洋传播,从而引起东、西太平洋海温的异常;(3)第3组试验验证风应力QBO可以产生海洋中类似的QBO振荡.