2012年9月7日彝良5.7、5.6级地震预测及科学依据

通过分析彝良地震前地震预测意见和预测依据,认为:彝良地震前云南最主要的地震活动特征是境内6级以上地震平静时间接近或超过20世纪以来的极限时间,中等地震丛集过程中,缺少6级地震活动;宁蒗地震的窗口意义和前兆异常数量持续增加是判断地震短期危险性的主要依据;4级地震密集活动区为地点判断提供线索。彝良地震与缅甸地震同时孕育的复杂性,增加了地震预测的难度,也丰富了我们对地震孕育过程的认识。     

朝鲜半岛及其周围地区的历史地震研究

历史地震资料是进行地震监测预报和地震安全性评价的重要依据之一.但是,由于人们对地震事件的认识水平受科学技术水平的限制,使得我们对地震的描述,只是在人类发明了地震记录仪后,才能有比较完善的地震目录产生.在此之前,对地震参数的确定,只能依据地震发生时,在地面上所造成的地震遗迹和文字史料来综合确定,用地震烈度表来衡量该地震事件的地震强度,给出历史地震的地震参数.     

地震科技写作(待续)

地震科技写作,是地震科学研究、地震技术工作的重要环节,是地震工作者交流成果的重要手段,是普及地震知识的重要途径。文章对地震科技写作的共同规律作了较详细的介绍,叙述了地震科技文章的分类、地震科技写作的准备、地震科技论文的编写格式、地震科技写作的基本手法、地震科技文章的修改定稿等,为地震科技写作者提供了参考资料。     

天山地区地震韵律的初步探讨

根据新疆及苏联天山地区的地震目录和古地震研究成果,将整个天山地区的地震韵律划分为地震世、地震亚世、地震期、地震幕、地震阶五级,探讨了各级韵律的特征。估计了我国天山地区未来地震活动趋势。     

地震构造的能量积累和释放特征与新疆天山部分地区地震危险性分析

通过对活动断裂定量资料和地震活动性的分析对比，认为完整地震轮回包括特征地震和特征地震之间的次级地震；次级地震的震级与上次特征地震的离逝时间、断裂滑动速率有关；断裂的位移分为产生特征地震的大粘滑和产生次级地震的小粘滑；完整地震轮回中震级一频度关系依然成立；完整地震轮回的能量积累大致分为4个阶段，各阶段的地震活动性不同；特征地震的最大位移与平均位移之间的关系也反映了特征地震与次级地震之间的变形分配。基于上述认识，建立了相应的数学关系，用于定量估计地震构造的潜在震级和危险性；并将其初步运用于天山部分地震构造的地震危险性分析。     

《地震》征稿简则

正《地震》是由中国地震局地震预测研究所、中国地震学会地震预报专业委员会、中国地震学会地震流体专业委员会、中国地震学会地震电磁学专业委员会联合主办的学术性期刊。《地震》的办刊宗旨是交流地震观测     

邢台地震前的地震活动特征

本文从背景性地震活动、地震空区、震前平静、前震等地震活动的基本特征出发,分析了邢台地震的震前特征。结果表明,邢台地震是发生在华北地震区地震活动增强的背景中,震前几十年存在着中强地震空区,地震活动的纬向分布说明中小地震也可能存在地震活动空区。邢台地震有着丰富的前震活动,而震前区域地震活动的平静却不甚明显。在分析基本特征的基础上,用粗糙模式探讨了地震过程的物理机制。     

大地震的前兆性地震系列

大震前地震活动性的研究,人们进行了许多有意义的工作。早在1962年笔者在研究河源6.1级地震和日本伊豆6级地震前的地震活动性时,发现一些大地震前的地震频度与地震总数相关。此后,在邢台6.8级和7.2级地震,乌鲁木齐6.6级地震,渤海7.4级地震,炉霍6.8级和7.9级地震前的地震活动过程中,都存在类似的前兆性地震与其频度相关。其关系式是N     

本刊已加入期刊网、数据库的声明

《地震》是由中国地震局地震预测研究所、中国地震学会地震预报专业委员会、中国地震学会地震流体专业委员会、中国地震学会地震电磁学专业委员会联合主办的学术性期刊。《地震》刊物的办刊宗旨是以交流地震观测、地震前兆和强震机理与预测等研究成果,推动地震预报探索研究及其成果在防震减灾中的应用。读者对象主要以从事地震观测分析、地震前兆探索、地震机理与预测研究的广大地震科技工作者和相关科技领域的科技人员。     

首届全国地震科技期刊工作会议在沈阳召开《地震研究》获科技期刊评比优秀奖

首届全国地震科技期刊工作会议于1992年5月26日至30日在沈阳召开,27家期刊的编辑部负责人出席了会议。会议在总结期刊工作,交流办刊经验的基础上,进行了评比,地震学报获一等奖,中国地震获二等奖,地震地质、国际地震动态获三等奖,地震、地震研究、地震工程与工程振动、西北地震学报、地壳形变与地震、东北地震研究、世界地震译丛获优秀奖,地震学报(英文版)、中国地震研究(英文版)获国际交流奖。     

软母线连接电气设备地震响应定量分析

通过母线连接的电气设备与独立设备地震响应存在较大差异。为定量研究软母线连接体系对设备的地震响应,将软母线简化为悬索结构,建立耦联体系等高设备和单体设备的地震运动方程组,采用龙格-库塔方法计算得到广泛参数下的位移响应比,并通过基于后向消去法的多元回归分析对各关键参数的影响进行量化,得到软母线耦联等高设备地震位移响应比公式。通过与实际振动台试验数据对比验证了该响应比公式的准确性。研究结果可为实际电气设备及变电站的抗震可靠性分析提供参考。     

Modeling of cable vibration effects of cable-stayed bridges

The analysis of dynamic responses of cable-stayed bridges subjected to wind and earthquake loads generally considers only the motions of the bridge deck and pylons. The influence of the stay cable vibration on the responses of the bridge is either ignored or considered by approximate procedures. The transverse vibration of the stay cables, which can be significant in some cases, are usually neglected in previous research. In the present study, a new three-node cable element has been developed to model the transverse motions of the cables. The interactions between the cable behavior and the other parts of the bridge superstructure are considered by the concept of dynamic stiffness. The nonlinear effect of the cable caused by its self-weight is included in the formulation. Numerical examples are presented to demonstrate the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed model. The impact of cable vibration behavior on the dynamic characteristics of cable-stayed bridges is discussed. Supported by: Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada     

瀑布沟水电站水库天然地震本底特征

瀑布沟水电站处于相对稳定的瓦山断块上,水库的库尾位于龙门山断裂带、鲜水河断裂带、安宁河断裂带的交汇部位,地震活动相对强烈。了解和掌握水库蓄水前库坝区及其周围天然地震活动背景水平,可对水库诱发地震的危险性进行前期评价,为蓄水后的诱发地震活动监测预测提供可靠的鉴别依据。在水库蓄水前瀑布沟水库地震台网一期运行逾3年,二期运行逾1年,本文用这批资料提供库区及附近蓄水前天然地震活动水平确切实用的各项指标。用全国和四川台网地震资料,给出含库区的较大区域地震活动背景和对库区的影响,同时给出库区及附近ML≥2．5地震的活动特征。     

用震源扫描算法（SSA）研究列车源的运动

用震源扫描算法（Source-Scanning Algorithm,SSA）对2004年5月山东兖州试验时地震仪记录到的列车产生的一次振动波形进行研究.结果表明,在3个短暂时间段内,我们可以清楚地看到列车运动所产生的鸟巢形波形的精细结构.通过分段分离的方法,我们得到了3张有关震源分布的图像,图像显示列车正在由NW往SE行走穿过本区.扫描结果表明,列车震源经过适当预处理可以当作许多分散的小震源来分别处理,也显示了SSA方法处理象列车这种无法识别震相的数据波形具有的潜力.     

Paths and sequence of intrusion of alkaline rocks on Turja Peninsula

The Turja Peninsula consists of porphyritic granite overlain by sandstone, cut by numerous dikes and veins of varying composition, form, and orientation. The relative ages of the dikes and veins has been established by their mutual intersections, and correlation of these with compositions of the rocks demonstrates the existence of three periods of igneous activity. The dikes and veins of the first period strike predominantly NNE and dip ESE. Most of those of the second period strike E-W and dip N, but those of a subordinate group strike NNE and dip ESE. Those of the third period strike predominantly N-S and dip E. The first and third periods are characterized by fine grained rocks resembling effusives, the second by coarse grained typically intrusive rocks and intense metasomatism that altered both dikes and veins and the wall rocks. The difference in texture of rocks formed at the same depth horizon is attributed to a difference in temperature of the wall rocks and the rate of rise of the magma through them.     

Variational analysis of dynamics of fissured poroelastic rocks

Rocks can be modeled in a continuum framework as fissured, poroelastic materials, i.e., materials with two degrees of porosity, one due to the fissures and another one due to the pores. The governing equations of motion of fissured poroelastic rocks established by Beskos are rederived here by establishing a variational statement which also provides the boundary conditions of the problem. This is accomplished by considering strain, dissipation and kinetic energies as well as the work of external forces. The above statement is also derived here by employing the method of weighted residuals.     

Dynamic response of an alluvial valley consists of three types of soil

Dynamic response of an alluvial valley consisting of three different types of soil was studied. In the two-dimensional model, the alluvial valley was assumed to have half-cylindrical shape. The alluvial valley contained three different types of soil with different shapes. The valley was surrounded by a half-space. All of the soil types and the half-space were assumed to be isotropic, homogeneous and linear elastic. The half-space was excited by simple harmonic SH-waves radiated from a strike-slip fault. The fault was assumed to have circular-arc shape in the mathematical model. The governing equations were solved by using wave function expansion method where boundary conditions were relatively simple. In the regions where boundary conditions were more complex, finite difference method was employed. Consequently, the wave propagation problem was solved semi-analytically. The obtained numerical results showed that surface displacement amplitudes are significantly affected by the material properties of the different soil types of the alluvial valley. It was also observed that the shapes of the soil types in the alluvial valley played a considerable role in surface displacements.     

不同制样方法对木质素改良黄土力学特性影响

利用加水湿拌和泥浆搅拌2种方法对木质素改良黄土试样先进行均匀混合,后利用静压法在50mm×100mm圆柱形模具中两端压实制备试样,基于三轴仪对不同制样方法下改良土试样进行无侧限抗压强度试验和固结不排水三轴试验。试验结果表明:泥浆制样法获得改良土试样无侧限抗压强度值和固结不排水剪切强度值均高于加水湿拌法获得改良土试样强度值。结合扫描电镜试验对不同制样方法下改良土试样细观结构进行分析,发现对于木质素改良土,泥浆搅拌法获得的试样中木质素与黄土颗粒形成了新的胶结物和团聚物;而加水湿拌法获得试样中,木质素在土颗粒中仅起到加筋作用,未出现新的胶结物。该结果从微结构角度揭示了2种制样法制备试样的本质差异。     

Generation of ULF geomagnetic pulsations during early stage of earthquake preparation

A new mechanism of generation of ULF geomagnetic pulsations near the Earth’s surface near the future earthquake epicenter is proposed. The mechanism is connected with the migration of fluid and gases during the active phase of the earthquake preparation. The motion of fluid and gases is accompanied by the formation of cracks and fast filling of them by fluid and gases. The variation of electrical conductivity in the layer induces the impulsive electric current. The magnetic field due to this current can be registered on the Earth’s surface. The corresponding equations for magnetic field perturbations caused by non-stationary conductivity are derived. The amplitude and temporal characteristics of the magnetic impulses are estimated.