濮阳小震集中区震源机制解与应力场跟踪分析与研究

利用垂直向Pg和Sg波的最大振幅比法,计算濮阳小震集中区2002年1月-2014年9月发生的45个ML≥2.0地震的震源机制解。结果表明:研究区发震构造断层及其地震震源类型以走滑为主、构造应力以水平和近水平力推扭为主。震源一致性参数下降反映区域构造应力场的增强。统计P轴方位结果表明研究区P轴方位变化与地震活动有一定的相关性。该区小震P轴方位的时序变化可供中强地震预测参考。     

西宁盆地周围区域中小地震震源机制解的计算及其构造意义

采用震中距范围约200 km内的P波初动资料,确定了西宁盆地及邻近区域2008~2011年发生的62个M_L2.3~5级的中小地震的震源机制,并统计了与震源机制解对应的主应力轴的方向性等参数.结果显示,地震性质主要显示为逆断层和走滑断层,小震的震源机制解虽然具有一定的随机性.北部区域应力场计算结果表明P轴方位角可确定范围为47°~52°,仰角为4°~5.5°,T轴方位角可确定范围为142°~148°,仰角为43°~45°;南部区域应力场计算结果表明P轴方位角可确定范围为155°~255°,仰角为1°左右,T轴方位角可确定范围为0°,仰角为89°~90°.综合数据结果显示,北部区域地震的性质以逆走滑为主,南部区域较为复杂,但显示出地震性质仍以逆断层性质为主.从区域应力场统计特征来看,看似无规律的小震震源机制卖质上主要受北东—西南向压缩应力及北西西—东南东方向上的拉张应力所控制.分析表明,在区域应力场的构造背景下,地震(尤其是小地震)的震源机制解可能存在多样性,但大量样本反映的主应力轴仍然与该区域内的构造背景一致.这一现象可为相关工作,如小区域震源机制解和余震震源机制解的统计等方面研究,提供必要的借鉴和参考.     

晋陕断陷带现代构造应力场与地震断错研究

本文在分析晋陕断陷带1965年以来的地震P波初动资料的基础上,通过单个震源机制解的统计分析、构造分区地震综合断层节面解、震源机制分区地震综合断层节面解,讨论了该断陷带的现代构造应力场与地震断错类型,讨论了区域构造应力场与局部构造应力场的关系及地震断错的应力状态.     

2008年5月12日四川汶川8.0级地震与部分余震的震源机制解

采用区域和远台Pn或Pg初至波初动符号, 利用下半球等面积投影, 求解了2008年5月12日四川汶川8.0级地震和截止到2008年12月10日发生的部分4级以上余震的震源机制解。 汶川8.0级地震的震源机制为: 节面Ⅰ的走向为5°, 倾角为48°, 滑动角为39°; 节面Ⅱ的走向为247°, 倾角为62°, 滑动角为131°。 P轴方位角为309°, 仰角为8°, T轴方位角为208°, 仰角为54 °, B轴方位角为44°, 仰角为35°。 结合地质构造和余震空间分布, 可以确定节面Ⅱ为发震断层面。 根据震源机制解, 引发本次地震的断层活动主要表现为逆冲, 主破裂面为S67°W与该地震所在断层的走向基本一致(断裂总体走向N45°E)^[1]; 主压应力轴P轴为N51 °W, 主压应力轴P轴方位与该区域构造应力场方向基本一致。 根据余震震源机制解结果, 龙门山断裂带南段发生的余震与北段发生的余震的震源机制都具有优势分布, 且两者差异明显。 早期发生在南段的余震的破裂是以逆倾滑动为主, 兼有走向滑动; 而随着时间的推移, 余震向北段迁移, 在龙门山构造的北段地震震源的破裂方式以走向滑动为主, 兼有一定的逆倾滑动; 龙门构造带南段震源应力场受主震应力场的控制, 而龙门构造带北段震源应力场不仅受区域应力场的影响, 还受主震应力场的影响。     

祁连山中东段地区中小地震震源机制和区域应力场

利用哥伦比亚大学GCMT目录给出的祁连山中东段地区中强地震震源机制资料,研究较大区域(34°-41°N,100°-106°E)的应力场;利用该地区布设的中法微震数字监测台网多年监测资料和甘肃数字监测台网资料,使用P波和S波初动及振幅比联合反演方法,反演中小地震震源机制解和发震应力场。结果表明,地区构造应力大致为北东40°-45°水平向压应力;景泰地区主压应力方向约北东45°,绝大多数地震为走滑型。天祝-古浪地区有相当部分的逆断层地震分布,主压应力方向约60°,P轴仰角在10°左右优势分布,大致为水平应力场。这与大区域构造应力场和断层实际分布基本一致。     

祁连山中东段地区中小地震震源机制和区域应力场

利用哥伦比亚大学 GCMT 目录给出的祁连山中东段地区中强地震震源机制资料,研究较大区域（34°-41°N,100°-106°E）的应力场;利用该地区布设的中法微震数字监测台网多年监测资料和甘肃数字监测台网资料,使用 P 波和 S 波初动及振幅比联合反演方法,反演中小地震震源机制解和发震应力场。结果表明,地区构造应力大致为北东40°-45°水平向压应力;景泰地区主压应力方向约北东45°,绝大多数地震为走滑型。天祝-古浪地区有相当部分的逆断层地震分布,主压应力方向约60°,P 轴仰角在10°左右优势分布,大致为水平应力场。这与大区域构造应力场和断层实际分布基本一致。     

2009年中国大陆地区部分地震的震源机制解

选用国家地震台网和区域台网的初至波P波初动符号资料,采用下半球等面积投影,用格点尝试法计算了2009年中国大陆27次MS4.5级以上地震的震源机制解。根据Zoback[1]研究全球应力场时的分类标准,对断层面解类型进行了分类。结果表明:走滑型(SS)地震13次,逆断层为主兼走滑(TS)8次,逆断层(TF)2次,正断层为主兼走滑(NS)3次,正断层(NF)1次。主压应力轴P轴方位的优势分布具有明显的区域特征,除东北地区有稍微的偏移,其余地区都与当地的背景构造应力场基本一致。     

九寨沟M_S7.0地震震源机制解及构造应力场研究

2017年8月8日四川九寨沟县发生M_S7.0地震。根据中国地震台网固定台站的记录波形,利用gCAP方法和P波初动符号反演方法求解了主震的震源机制解,其结果与哈佛CMT震源机制解、美国地质勘探局发布的震源机制以及中国地震局发布的各震源机制解有很好的一致性。此外,还求解了九寨沟地震震中附近2010—2016年间28次小震的震源机制解,利用得到的小震震源机制解反演了该区域的构造应力场。结果表明,这一区域构造应力场的最大应力轴与最小应力轴均为水平方向,其中最大应力轴方向为NWW方向,最小应力轴方向为SSW方向。     

晋北地区中强震前后构造应力场变化特征

基于1990年1月至2021年12月晋北地区中小地震的P波初动极性数据,采用综合震源机制解法反演晋北地区的综合断层面解。结果显示,震源机制解节面为EW和NE向,与晋北地区主要构造线一致;震源错动类型以正断型为主;主压应力方向为NE-NEE,仰角较大,主张应力方向为NW-SE,仰角近水平,与区域构造应力场方向吻合。综合断层面解中,P轴方位与区域优势方位一致时,晋北地区可能孕育中强地震的发生。     

仙游地震序列中小地震震源机制解特征

利用福建地震台网记录的数字地震波形,采用基于P波初动和S/P振幅比(HASH)方法,反演了2010年8月至2014年12月间发生在福建仙游地区ML2.0级以上地震的震源机制解。结果表明,仙游地震序列中小地震震源机制解一致性较好,其节面走向、倾角及滑动角以及P、T轴优势分布十分明显。节面走向优势方向为北西向,与该区域沙县—南日岛断裂走向一致,震源破裂类型为近直立右旋走滑型。序列的发生主要受控于近南北向主压应力,与福建地区背景应力场方向存在一定差异。分析认为,仙游地震序列的发生主要受控于仙游地区小尺度区域的构造应力场,金钟水库水位变化与序列显著地震活动存在一定相关性,但对仙游地区构造应力场影响不明显。     

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences SUBJECT INDEX TO VOLUME 57(2014)

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A Monte Carlo study of rainfall forecasting with a stochastic model

A procedure for short-term rainfall forecasting in real-time is developed and a study of the role of sampling on forecast ability is conducted. Ground level rainfall fields are forecasted using a stochastic space-time rainfall model in state-space form. Updating of the rainfall field in real-time is accomplished using a distributed parameter Kalman filter to optimally combine measurement information and forecast model estimates. The influence of sampling density on forecast accuracy is evaluated using a series of a simulated rainfall events generated with the same stochastic rainfall model. Sampling was conducted at five different network spatial densities. The results quantify the influence of sampling network density on real-time rainfall field forecasting. Statistical analyses of the rainfall field residuals illustrate improvement in one hour lead time forecasts at higher measurement densities.     

Distribution of throughfall and stemflow in multi‐strata agroforestry,perennial monoculture,fallow and primary forest in central Amazonia,Brazil

The partitioning of rain water into throughfall, stemflow and interception loss when passing through plant canopies depends on properties of the respective plant species, such as leaf area and branch angles. In heterogeneous vegetation, such as tropical forest or polycultural systems, the presence of different plant species may consequently result in a mosaic of situations with respect to quantity and quality of water inputs into the soil. As these processes influence not only the water availability for the plants, but also water infiltration and nutrient leaching, the understanding of plant effects on the repartitioning of rain water may help in the optimization of land use systems and management practices. We measured throughfall and stemflow in a perennial polyculture (multi‐strata agroforestry), monocultures of peach palm (Bactris gasipaes) for fruit and for palmito, a monoculture of cupuaçu (Theobroma grandiflorum), spontaneous fallow and primary forest during one year in central Amazonia, Brazil. The effect on rain water partitioning was measured separately for four useful tree species in the polyculture and for two tree species in the primary forest. Throughfall at two stem distances, and stemflow, differed significantly between tree species, resulting in pronounced spatial patterns of water input into the soil in the polyculture system. For two tree species, peach palm for fruit (Bactris gasipaes) and Brazil nut trees (Bertholletia excelsa), the water input into the soil near the stem was significantly higher than the open‐area rainfall. This could lead to increased nutrient leaching when fertilizer is applied close to the stem of these trees. In the primary forest, such spatial patterns could also be detected, with significantly higher water input near a palm (Oenocarpus bacaba) than near a dicotyledonous tree species (Eschweilera sp.). Interception losses were 6·4% in the polyculture, 13·9 and 12·3% in the peach palm monocultures for fruit and for palmito, respectively, 0·5% in the cupuaçu monoculture and 3·1% in the fallow. With more than 20% of the open‐area rainfall, the highest stemflow contributions to the water input into the soil were measured in the palm monocultures and in the fallow. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Anthropogenic Eutrophication and Red Tide Outbreak in Lacustrine Systems of the Kashmir Himalaya

Red tide, a recurrent phenomenon has become conspicuous in several Kashmir lake ecosystems since 1991. The responsible organism (Euglena pedunculata), a rare flagellate rediscovered in the Kashmir Himalaya (Khan 1993) caused first and unprecedented red tide outbreak, constituting a maximum of 96% of resident numerical phytoplankton density in Dal Lake. At present, conflicting hypotheses exist on the generation of causal assemblage(s) imparting redness to waters: Jeeji Bai (1991) linked its origin to acid precipitation – a fallout of burning oil‐fields during the Gulf War – whilst Khan (1993) holds local factor(s) responsible. Field/experimental studies support the latter contention that the influx of untreated sewage, in unison with warm temperatures, high levels of PhAR, iron and interruption to hydrological flow‐pattern together with absence/or reduction in grazing activity created conducive environmental milieu for red tide outbreak. Dal Lake “red tide” drifted the bloom‐inoculum to other waters, including Lake Wular, where additional ecological niches were carved out, threatening the aesthetic value and biological diversity of Kashmir lakes. Ecological monitoring indicates frequent seasonal red tide occurrence in Dal Lake (including summer‐autumn event of 1998) which testifies its unabated eutrophication status. Further studies are needed on ecological adaptability and biogeographic distribution of this rare and unique red tide‐causing flagellate.