HONG KONG DIRECT INVESTMENT IN CHINA＇S MAINLAND： A SPATIAL STUDY WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO THE LOCATIONAL BEHAVIOUR OF INVESTORS

ＨＯＮＧ　ＫＯＮＧ　ＤＩＲＥＣＴ　ＩＮＶＥＳＴＭＥＮＴ　ＩＮ　ＣＨＩＮＡ＇Ｓ　ＭＡＩＮＬＡＮＤ：　Ａ　ＳＰＡＴＩＡＬ　ＳＴＵＤＹ　ＷＩＴＨ　ＳＰＥＣＩＡＬ　ＲＥＦＥＲＥＮＣＥ　ＴＯ　ＴＨＥ　ＬＯＣＡＴＩＯＮＡＬ　ＢＥＨＡＶＩＯＵＲ　ＯＦ　ＩＮＶＥＳＴ...     

THE HOLOCENE SEDIMENTAL CHARACTERISTIC AND PALEOCLIMATIC EVOLUTION OF EBINUR LAKE，XINJIANG

ＴＨＥＨＯＬＯＣＥＮＥＳＥＤＩＭＥＮＴＡＬＣＨＡＲＡＣＴＥＲＩＳＴＩＣＡＮＤＰＡＬＥＯＣＬＩＭＡＴＩＣＥＶＯＬＵＴＩＯＮＯＦＥＢＩＮＵＲＬＡＫＥ，ＸＩＮＪＩＡＮＧ吴敬禄，王苏民，吴艳宏ＴＨＥＨＯＬＯＣＥＮＥＳＥＤＩＭＥＮＴＡＬＣＨＡＲＡＣＴＥＲＩＳＴ...     

REGULARITIES，CONDITIONSANDTHECOMPREHENSIVEPROSPECTINGMODELOFMICROGRAINED

ＲＥＧＵＬＡＲＩＴＩＥＳ，ＣＯＮＤＩＴＩＯＮＳＡＮＤＴＨＥＣＯＭＰＲＥＨＥＮＳＩＶＥＰＲＯＳＰＥＣＴＩＮＧＭＯＤＥＬＯＦＭＩＣＲＯＧＲＡＩＮＥＤ－ＤＩＳＳＥＭＩＮＡＴＥＤＧＯＬＤＤＥＰＯＳＩＴＳＩＮＮＯＲＴＨＷＥＳＴＥＲＮＧＵＡＮＧＸＩ①ＷａｎｇＪｉ...     

DEVELOPMENT, TERRITORIAL DIFFERENCE AND SPATIAL EVOLUTION OF TOWNS IN CHINA

ＤＥＶＥＬＯＰＭＥＮＴ，ＴＥＲＲＩＴＯＲＩＡＬＤＩＦＦＥＲＥＮＣＥＡＮＤＳＰＡＴＩＡＬＥＶＯＬＵＴＩＯＮＯＦＴＯＷＮＳＩＮＣＨＩＮＡ──ＡＤＩＳＣＵＳＳＩＯＮＯＮＴＨＥＶＩＥＷＳＯＦＡＮＴＩ－ＵＲＢＡＮＩＳＭＩＮＣＨＩＮＡ￥ＧｕＣｈａｏｌｉｎＩｎｓｔ...     

LAND RESOURCES SURVEY BY REMOTE SENSING AND ANALYSIS OF LAND CARRYING CAPACITY FOR POPULATION IN TUMEN RIVER REGION

ＬＡＮＤ　ＲＥＳＯＵＲＣＥＳ　ＳＵＲＶＥＹ　ＢＹ　ＲＥＭＯＴＥ　ＳＥＮＳＩＮＧ　ＡＮＤ　ＡＮＡＬＹＳＩＳ　ＯＦ　ＬＡＮＤ　ＣＡＲＲＹＩＮＧ　ＣＡＰＡＣＩＴＹ　ＦＯＲ　ＰＯＰＵＬＡＴＩＯＮ　ＩＮ　ＴＵＭＥＮ　ＲＩＶＥＲ　ＲＥＧＩＯＮＬＡＮＤＲＥＳＯＵＲ...     

IMPACTS OF SEA LEVEL RISE ON COASTAL EROSION IN THE CHANGJIANG RIVER DELTA AND NORTH JIANGSU COASTAL PLAINO

（季子修）（蒋自巽）ＩＭＰＡＣＴＳＯＦＳＥＡＬＥＶＥＬＲＩＳＥＯＮＣＯＡＳＴＡＬＥＲＯＳＩＯＮＩＮＴＨＥＣＨＡＮＧＪＩＡＮＧＲＩＶＥＲＤＥＬＴＡＡＮＤＮＯＲＴＨＪＩＡＮＧＳＵＣＯＡＳＴＡＬＰＬＡＩＮＯ￥ＪｉＺｉｘｉｕ（ＮａｎｊｉｎｇＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅ...     

DYNAMIC VARIATIONS OF WATER QUALITY IN TAIHU LAKE AND MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF ITS INFLUENTIAL FACTORS

ＤＹＮＡＭＩＣ　ＶＡＲＩＡＴＩＯＮＳ　ＯＦ　ＷＡＴＥＲ　ＱＵＡＬＩＴＹ　ＩＮ　ＴＡＩＨＵ　ＬＡＫＥ　ＡＮＤ　ＭＵＬＴＩＶＡＲＩＡＴＥ　ＡＮＡＬＹＳＩＳ　ＯＦ　ＩＴＳ　ＩＮＦＬＵＥＮＴＩＡＬ　ＦＡＣＴＯＲＳＤＹＮＡＭＩＣＶＡＲＩＡＴＩＯＮＳＯＦＷＡＴＥ...     

DIFASTERS AND REGIONAL RISKS OF DEBRIS FLOW IN ZHAOTONG PREFECTURE，YUNNAN PROVINCE，CHINA

（刘希林）ＤＩＦＡＳＴＥＲＳＡＮＤＲＥＧＩＯＮＡＬＲＩＳＫＳＯＦＤＥＢＲＩＳＦＬＯＷＩＮＺＨＡＯＴＯＮＧＰＲＥＦＥＣＴＵＲＥ，ＹＵＮＮＡＮＰＲＯＶＩＮＣＥ，ＣＨＩＮＡ￥ＬｉｕＸｉｌｉｎ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＭｏｕｎｔａｉｎＤｉｓａｓｔｅｒａｎｄＥｎ...     

AN ANALYSIS OF THE POLICY－MAKING IN REGULATING THE INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE AND DISTRIBUTION IN TRADITIONAL INDUSTRIAL BASE IN MIDDLE LIAONING PROVINCE

ＡＮＡＮＡＬＹＳＩＳＯＦＴＨＥＰＯＬＩＣＹ－ＭＡＫＩＮＧＩＮＲＥＧＵＬＡＴＩＮＧＴＨＥＩＮＤＵＳＴＲＩＡＬＳＴＲＵＣＴＵＲＥＡＮＤＤＩＳＴＲＩＢＵＴＩＯＮＩＮＴＲＡＤＩＴＩＯＮＡＬＩＮＤＵＳＴＲＩＡＬＢＡＳＥＩＮＭＩＤＤＬＥＬＩＡＯＮＩＮＧＰＲＯＶＩ...     

NOVELMODELOFSTRUCTURALCONTROLONGOLDMINERALIZATIONOFSHEARZONETYPEGOLDDEPOSITSINSOUTHCHINA

ＮＯＶＥＬＭＯＤＥＬＯＦＳＴＲＵＣＴＵＲＡＬＣＯＮＴＲＯＬＯＮＧＯＬＤＭＩＮＥＲＡＬＩＺＡＴＩＯＮＯＦＳＨＥＡＲＺＯＮＥＴＹＰＥＧＯＬＤＤＥＰＯＳＩＴＳＩＮＳＯＵＴＨＣＨＩＮＡ——ＡＮＥＸＡＭＰＬＥＦＲＯＭＨＥＴＡＩＧＯＬＤＤＥＰＯＳＩＴＳＡＲＥＡ，...     

Impact of future sea level rise on flood and water logging disasters in lixiahe region

Lixiahe region is one of the susceptible area to flood and waterlogging disasters in China due to its low topographic relief and having difficulty in draining floodwater away. The condition will be more serious if sea level rises in the future. The estimated results by some scientists indicate that the sea level could rise probably 20–100 cm by 2050. However, what the effect will future sea level rise exerts on flood drainage and on flood or waterlogging disasters? A hydrological system model has been developed to study the problem in the lower reaches of the Sheyang River basin. Predicted results from the model show that, if sea level rises, drainage capacity of each drainage river will decrease obviously, and the water level will also rise. From the change of drainage capacity of drainage rivers the trends of flood and waterlogging disasters are analyzed in the paper if the severe flood that happened in the past meets with future sea level rise. Some countermeasures for disaster reduction and prevention against sea-level rise are put forward.     

城市内涝灾害模拟与灾情风险评估研究进展

随着我国城市化建设进程的加快,城市水系和绿地面积不断缩减,地表硬质化现象持续加重,城市扩张所带来的问题正日益凸显,尤其是汛期强降雨导致的内涝灾害日渐成为亟需解决的城市顽疾。城市内涝灾害模拟及风险评估是推进城市内涝灾害管理,减少内涝灾害损失的有效途径。本文在综合近年来国内外相关研究的基础上,从城市内涝产生机理、模型及风险评估的角度对城市内涝的研究进行了详细阐述。在模型方面重点介绍了两种应用广泛的雨洪模拟模型:SCS和SWMM模型,对两者的优缺点进行了分析,同时简单归纳了其他雨洪模型。在灾情风险评估方法方面,重点介绍了基于历史灾情数理统计、遥感图像和GIS技术耦合分析和基于指标体系评估等的风险评估方法,并对比分析了各自的优缺点及适用范围。最后对城市内涝模型及风险评估的未来发展方向进行了展望,提出集成多模型耦合的城市雨洪模拟模型以及多学科联合的灾害风险评估研究将成为今后的发展趋势。     

EFFECT OF FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE ON DISASTROUS FLOODS IN THE TAIHU LAKE LOWER REACH DEPRESSIONS AND COUNTERMEASURES

Use of numerical simulation of the tidal flow of the Changjiang River Estuary and the HuangpuRiver to forecast flood in the Taihu Lake lower reach drainage system for the case of future sea level riseof 0.4 m and 0.8 m,and floods preventing and reducing methods are discussed in this paper.     

基于AO的洪水灾害风险分析模型设计与构建

中国是一个自然灾害尤其是洪涝灾害发生较频繁的国家,洪水灾害的风险分析与评估是抗洪救灾中的一个重要组成部分,洪灾风险分析的时效性、科学性对于防汛抗洪、抢险救灾具有重要的意义。本文针对流域洪水灾害的特点与其复杂的风险分析过程,考虑影响流域洪水灾害的因子,结合层次分析方法(AHP),以COM组件的架构思想为基础,采用ArcObjects语言的相关接口和方法,构建了流域洪水灾害风险分析模型,将各因子对洪水灾害的危险性和风险的影响进行了量化,分别得出洪水灾害风险性分布图和洪水灾害易损性分布情况。通过对洞庭湖试验区域的模型检验,结果表明,所构造的模型简单易操作,能够较好地对区域洪水灾害进行风险分析。     

Impacts of sea level rise on coastal erosion in the Changjiang River delta and north Jiangsu coastal plain

At present, approximately 36% of coasts are experiencing net erosion in the Changjiang River delta and the north Jiangsu coastal plain. Future sea level rise will accelerate the process of coastal erosion. According to the ratio of the calculated value of coast retreat by Bruun rule to the estimated value by using measured data, the proportion affected by sea level rise in total coastal erosion has been estimated in this paper. When sea level rises by 20cm, the proportion determined by sea level rise will increase from 1.0% at present to 2.2% in the future in the coasts of abandoned Huanghe River delta and from 8.5%–9.6% to 13.5%–15.2% in the north and south banks of the Changjiang River delta. This result is lower than that from the similar research in the world, and this phenomenon is related with the special development process of the coasts in this area. The mechanism of accelerating coastal erosion by sea level rise is that sea level is will increase the intensity of tidal current, wave and storm surge and decrease the ability to reduce the force of waves on the tidal flat and coastal wetland due to the loss of their areas. Therefore, the length of erosion coasts will increase, the sedimentation rate of accretion coasts will decrease or even turn accretion into erosion, the width of tidal flat will reduce and coastal slope will increase. So the project of coastal protection of this area must be reinforced. Project funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China and the Chinese Academy of Sciences.     

IMPACTS OF FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE ON SALT WATER INTRUSION IN THE CHANGJIANG RIVER ESTUARY

Sea level rise could increase the salinity of an estuary by altering the balance between fresh water and salt water. The implications of sea level rise for increasing salinity have been examined in the Changjiang (Yangtze) River estuary. By correlative analysis of chlorinity, discharge and tidal level and calculation of two-dimensional chlorinity, distribution of the Changjiang River estuary, the changes of the intensity and lasting hours of salt water intrusion at Wusong Station and the changes of chlorinity distribution in the South Branch of the Changjiang River estuary have been estimated when future sea level rises 50-100 cm. The intensity of salt water intrusion in the future will be far more serious than current trend.     

GEOGRAPHIC ENVIRONMENT CHANGE AND FLOOD CATASTROPHE IN HUAIHE RIVER BASIN DURING LAST 2000 YEARS

ＧＥＯＧＲＡＰＨＩＣ ＥＮＶＩＲＯＮＭＥＮＴ ＣＨＡＮＧＥ ＡＮＤ ＦＬＯＯＤ ＣＡＴＡＳＴＲＯＰＨＥ ＩＮ ＨＵＡＩＨＥ ＲＩＶＥＲ ＢＡＳＩＮ ＤＵＲＩＮＧ ＬＡＳＴ ２０００ ＹＥＡＲＳＹａｎｇＤａｙｕａｎ（杨达源）（ＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＧ...     

基于格网的洪水灾害危险性评价分析——以巴基斯坦为例

洪水灾害已成为给当今人类带来严重损失的自然灾害之一,因此,灾害风险评价是区域经济持续发展的前提与条件。本文从致灾因子和孕灾环境两方面进行分析,综合考虑降水(累计降雨量和最大降雨量)、河流(河网密度)、地形(高程值和坡度值)、土地利用和植被(NDVI)共5种相关因子,以1km格网数据为基础,运用AHP(层次分析法)对巴基斯坦洪水灾害进行了危险性评价。结果表明:巴基斯坦洪水灾害危险性受降雨和地形的影响较大,其危险程度东南部大于西北部,并由东南部向西北部逐渐递减。     

Numerieal prediction of storm surge in the Qingdao area under the impact of climate change

A typhoon-induced storm surge simulation system was developed for the Qingdao area, including a typhoon diagnostic model for the generation of wind and pressure fields and a 2D Advanced Circulation (ADCIRC) model for simulating the associated storm surge with a 200 m resolution along the Qingdao coastline. The system was validated by an extreme surge event Typhoon Mamie (8509) and the parameters of Typhoon Mamie were used to investigate the sensitivity of typhoon paths to Qingdao storm surges with four selected paths: the paths of Typhoons Mamie (8509), Opal, 3921 and 2413, the selection being made according to their relative position to Qingdao. Experiments based on the Typhoon Mamie (8509) storm surge were also conducted to study the possible influences of future climate changes, including the sea level rise and sea surface temperature (SST) rise, on storm surges along the Qingdao coast. Storm surge conditions under both present day and future (the end of the 21st century) climate scenarios associated with the four selected paths were simulated. The results show that with the same intensity, when typhoons follow the paths of 3921 and 2413, they would lead to the most serious disasters in different areas of Qingdao. Sea level and SST affect storm surges in different ways: sea level rise affects storm surge mainly through its influence on the tide amplitude, while the increased SST has direct impact on the intensity of the surges. The possible maximum risk of storm surges in 2100 in the Qingdao area caused by typhoons like Mamie (8509) was also estimated in this study.