Shrinking of Dongting Lake and its weakening connection with the Yangtze River:Analysis of the impact on flooding

In this article,the shrinking of Dongting Lake and its progressively weakening connection with the Yangtze River and their impact on flooding before and after the implementation of the Three Gorges Project are analyzed.In recent decades,human activity combined with natural processes has altered the flow of the middle reach channel of the Yangtze River and interfered with its connection with Dongting Lake.This has resulted in progressively more frequent flooding in the area.This study uses hydrological data to analyze the annual maximum discharge and annual maximum stage development of the middle reach of the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake.In recent decades before the Three Gorges Project became operational in 2003,the annual maximum discharge and the maximum stage recorded in the middle reach of the river downstream of Dongting Lake had increased,a result of the weakening of the flood regulation function of Dongting Lake;the annual maximum stage at Luoshan station(downstream,close to the confluence of the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake) had risen by about 2.0 m during 1955-2005,(1.5 m attributed to annual maximum discharge and 0.5 m to river channel deposition).Observational data recorded after the Three Gorges Project was put into operation in 2003,it can be seen that deposition in the Dongting Lake has nearly ceased and the lake's connection with the Yangtze River is stable.It is evident that the flood regulation function of Dongting Lake will continue,and that during the lifetime of the Three Gorges Project,the flood situation in the middle reach of the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake will remain stable.     

长江全流域大洪水下三峡水库对洞庭湖区防洪贡献分析

基于长江中下游一、二维耦合水动力学模型,以1954和1998年洪水为典型,模拟了三峡水库调蓄前后洞庭湖区的洪水过程,定量分析了三峡水库对洞庭湖区防洪的贡献.结果表明:在长江发生1954和1998年全流域大洪水期间,三峡水库实施兼顾对城陵矶河段的防洪补偿调度,可有效缓解荆南三口河系及湖区的防洪压力,减少荆南三口 1.58...     

Impact of the Three Gorges Project operation on the water exchange between Dongting Lake and the Yangtze River

The Three Gorges Project(TGP) is a world known project to utilize and manage the water resources of the Yangtze River. The reservoir stores water at the end of the flood season, and replenishes downstream reaches with water in dry seasons. In addition to such benefits, the TGP has irreversibly changed the hydrological process and the river-lake relation of the middle and lower reaches. In this paper, a hydrodynamic model was established to quantify the impact of the TGP's operation on the water exchange between Dongting Lake and the Yangtze River during 2009-2013. The results indicated that:the operation of the TGP has considerably reduced the peak discharge and the flood volume of the main stream and the Dongting Lake area. The inflow volume from the Yangtze River to Dongting Lake via three outlets decreased by 1.9-3.5 billion m~3/yr, while the outflow volume from Dongting Lake to the Yangtze River at Chenglingji increased by 0.3-1.6 billion m~3 in September and 0.4-0.6 billion m~3 in October,respectively. This research provides valuable information for flood control, irrigation, and water allocation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, and serves as a typical case for investigating the impact of other hydropower projects around the world.     

洞庭湖近几十年来湖盆变化及冲淤特征

洞庭湖是我国著名的五大淡水湖泊之一,位于长江中游荆江段南岸,湖南省境内.历史时期,曾经是我国第一大淡水湖,直至新中国成立初期,湖泊面积仍然有4350km2,居我国淡水湖泊之首位.但由于洞庭湖承纳“四水”,吞吐长江,长江大量水沙涌入洞庭湖,造成了湖盆迅速淤高,加之由此诱发的人类大规模地湖泊垦殖活动,湖泊急剧萎缩.目前,洞庭湖已退居鄱阳湖之后,为我国第二大淡水湖泊.湖泊的严重泥沙淤积,已经造成了湖泊调蓄长江中游洪水功能的严重衰退,不但危及湖南省的防洪的安全,而且危及长江中下游地区的防洪安全,研究洞庭湖的湖盆冲淤演变具有重要意义.本文根据1974、1988和1998年洞庭湖125000水下地形资料,并针对洞庭湖具有显著上下游水位落差的实际,分不同高程和不同水位情况下,分析洞庭湖湖泊面积和容积演变特征,探讨洞庭湖近几十年来的湖盆变化及冲淤规律,试图揭示洞庭湖湖泊调蓄能力的变化过程.     

三峡工程蓄水对洞庭湖水情的影响格局及其作用机制

三峡工程建成投入运行后,汛末蓄水将使坝下河湖水情发生变化,长江中下游秋季来水减少成为常态.为客观分析三峡蓄水对洞庭湖水情的影响分量、空间格局及其作用机制,选取三峡工程典型的蓄水过程,运用长江中游江湖耦合水动力学模型计算了因上游来水变化引起的洞庭湖水情时空变化.结果表明:1)三峡汛末蓄水对洞庭湖水位影响具有明显的"北高南低,东强西弱"的格局,即东洞庭湖最为显著、南洞庭湖东部和西洞庭湖北部次之,南洞庭湖西部和西洞庭湖南部最小.2)洲滩湿地受蓄水影响最明显的主要为东洞庭湖、南洞庭湖和湖泊洪道两侧的条带状洲滩.3)三峡蓄水对洞庭湖水位的影响机制有二:长江干流水位快速消落加速湖泊水体下泄以及削减长江三口分流补给湖泊的水量.     

1950s以来洞庭湖调蓄特征及变化

针对洞庭湖区淤积、围垦和江湖关系变化对湖泊调蓄功能的影响,根据洞庭湖调蓄属于典型复合洪水波的实际情况,提出利用离散小波分解和计算入、出湖径流过程方差的方法揭示1950s以来洞庭湖调蓄特征及其实际调蓄作用的多年变化.结果发现:洞庭湖削减的洪峰主要是32 d以下的中短尺度洪水波,其全年整体削峰系数在0.13~0.56之间;从入、出湖径流方差多年变化体现的调蓄效果看,洞庭湖区近几十年淤积围垦虽然极大地改变了湖区面积和容积,但并未使湖泊调蓄作用发生大的变化.结合洞庭湖削峰系数与城陵矶-螺山段水位落差的对应关系,认为在整个江湖系统关系中洞庭湖的调蓄能力是被动的,其变化主要取决于城陵矶以下河段过水能力对洞庭湖泄流的制约.从整个江湖关系下的洞庭湖调蓄变化特征看,1990s以来湖区"小水大灾"的原因之一是入湖径流过程的短尺度方差和削峰系数较大,本质上是由荆江裁弯和三峡运行导致的江湖关系变化引起的长江螺山段出流使出湖径流方差减小造成的.     

[专稿]近年长江中下游径流节律变化、效应与修复对策

近十余年长江上游大量兴建大型水库,蓄水、调节和拦沙对中下游河川径流和泥沙产生了深刻影响.河川径流减少,径流季节提前,伏秋（特别是10月）流量显著降低、变差系数增大,97%严重干旱频率情景变成80%~85%.同时,宜昌和出海输沙量分别减少93%和70%,中下游河槽冲刷下降1~3 m,三峡蓄水后仅13年清水冲刷幅度和范围已超过三峡预期30年的冲刷上限,目前仍呈加速趋势.干流各站平均水位下降2~4 m,与此同时河道同流量洪水位反而升高.水库调节是水位降低的主要原因,河道冲刷更加剧水位降低,当前水位变化对防洪和生态都不利.汛后流量和干流水位提前降低使洞庭湖和鄱阳湖（两湖）提前干枯、松滋等"三口"入湖水量减少,伏秋高热季节两湖生态环境面貌发生了根本变化.汛后流量减少甚至显著增加长江大通十月流量小于15000 m³/s几率和上海长江水源受咸潮影响风险,10月咸潮入侵变成最严重时段必须引起高度重视.我们认为,径流和径流节律变化是当前长江生态环境最主要问题之一.建议以"水资源工程"重新定位上游大型工程、以"水资源优先"优化流域管理和切实回归既定三峡工程运行原则等统一调度和改善中下游水情;通过水库挖泥等措施修复长江物质通量,抑制中下游剧烈冲刷和稳定河流格局;加强中下游蓄滞洪区等防洪能力建设,为最大限度降低上游水库防洪和蓄水压力创造条件;主要通过改善上游水库调度维护两湖环境条件,"引清水入洞庭"和"增加供水设施建设"加强两湖适应能力.这是长江修复和保护重点.     

长江中游洞庭湖地区江湖整治刍议

根据１９９８年洪水之后长江中游洞庭庭湖地区大量实地科学考察资料,结合已有的长期科研积累,对长江中游洞庭湖地区的江湖整治和灾后重建等问题了初步分析,并取得若干认识。主要包括长江中游地区洪水威胁日趋严重的原因;“退田还源     

A STUDY ON THE FLOOD STORAGE CAPACITY IN DONGTING LAKE

1 INTRODUCTION Dongting Lake lies south of the middle reach of the Yangtze River in Hunan and Hubei provinces (Fig. 1). On the north side of Dongting Lake, there are the three diversion openings of the Yangtze River named Songzi, Taiping, and Ouchi, and, on the south and west sides, there are the four tributary streams named Xiang, Zi, Yuan, and Li Rivers. The flow of the three diversion openings and the four tributary streams runs into Dongting Lake, and runs out at Chenglingji a…     

三峡水库175 m试验性蓄水期调度运行对洞庭湖蓄水量变化的影响

长江干流与洞庭湖存在复杂的并联型分汇关系,当三峡水库调度改变长江径流过程时,会引起洞庭湖年内槽蓄量的变化,对于洞庭湖地区防洪、水资源配置和水环境保护产生显著的影响.本文建立了枝城至螺山站的荆江-洞庭湖水流模型,利用2008-2017年的三峡水库实际调度日数据,分析有、无三峡水库调度两种情况下洞庭湖槽蓄量的变化过程,同时利用建库前和近期的水位流量关系反映河道过流能力,分析了河道调整的影响.结果表明:由河道调整引起的槽蓄量变化在汛前消落期、汛期、汛末蓄水期和枯水期分别为-3.06%、0.12%、-0.01%和-13.31%.有三峡水库影响情况下,汛前消落期由于荆江"三口"进入洞庭湖的多年平均总径流增加23.94%,洞庭湖出口处城陵矶多年平均水位升高0.53 m,阻碍了洞庭湖出流,洞庭湖多年平均槽蓄量增长13.30%;汛期由于荆江"三口"分流量减少3.54%,城陵矶水位降低0.02 m导致出湖流量增多,因此洞庭湖多年平均槽蓄量减少0.20%;在汛末蓄水期,荆江"三口"分入洞庭湖的多年平均总径流量减少37.18%,城陵矶多年平均水位降低1.33 m,导致出湖流量增多,因而洞庭湖多年平均槽蓄量减少27.74%;在枯水期,荆江"三口"多年平均总径流量增加5.61%,城陵矶多年平均水位上升0.07 m,最终洞庭湖多年平均枯期槽蓄量增加2.96%.     

Maintaining the connected river-lake relationship in the middle Yangtze River reaches after completion of the Three Gorges Project

After operation of the Three Gorges Project(TGP), there is a new evolution tendency for rivers and lakes in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River(i.e. the Ching River reaches). In recent years, the weakening connection relationship between the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake has resulted in a series of problems for flood regulation, water resources utilization, and aquatic ecosystem protection in the river-lake joint area. In this paper, the hydrological characteristics and fluvial processes within the river-lake joint area are studied, and possible management strategies to maintain the connected river-lake relationship are proposed. To achieve this objective, the evolution tendency, such as the zero-flow problem and river regime for three major outlets(i.e. the Songzi Outlet, Taiping Outlet, and Ouchi Outlet) to Dongting Lake from the Yangtze River, is analyzed. It is believed that the Songzi Outlet has a comparative advantage in flow diversion over the other two outlets. The Range of Variability Approach is introduced to identify hydrological characteristics at the Songzi Outlet. Several characteristic values of flow diversion from this outlet during drought periods are determined. Then, the fluvial processes in the river-lake joint area are studied by comparing topographic maps and using control gauge station data of various years. The water and sediment flux are analyzed before and after operation of the TGP. Finally, based on the results obtained, two possible management strategies are recommended and corresponding parameters are estimated to strengthen and maintain the connected river-lake relationship. This analysis takes into account operation of the TGP, mainstream shift and increasing riverbed scour in the Ching River channel.To restore the flow diversion condition to that in the 1950 s or 1960 s(i.e. 140 m~3/s of flow diversion corresponding to 5500 m~3/s of flow at the Zhicheng station), it is estimated that the river channel around the Songzi Outlet should be dredged 1.4 m under the current riverbed situation, and other corresponding improvement measures for Songzi River channels should also be implemented.     

洞庭湖的调节作用对荆江径流的影响

洞庭湖对荆江径流有高效率的调节作用。根据长系列水文资料分析表明,荆江径流经调节后,年平均径流量,汛期径流量与汛枯期径流比分别减少了２６．３％、３２．９％与３２．４％,年平均径流量与汛期径流量均呈沿程递减。这些在长江干流都是独一无二的。下荆江的流量最大变化幅度系数Ｑｋ为０．８９２,在长江干流属最小。     

洞庭湖生态功能区划分与管理对策

生态环境是人类赖以生存和发展的基础条件,保护具有重要生态服务功能地区的生态环境质量,寻求经济发展与生态环境保护协调的实施方案,是落实区域经济社会可持续发展战略的重大举措。洞庭湖位居长江中游荆江南岸,具有调节长江中游洪水、沉泄泥沙和繁衍生物多样性等的重要生态服务功能,在维系长江江湖水系和水域生态平衡方面发挥了巨大作用。本文针对洞庭湖国家级生态功能保护区建设的需要和要求,通过制定洞庭湖生态功能区划分的原则,对洞庭湖区不同区位的生态功能进行划分,并对不同分区提出了生态环境保护和恢复的对策。     

鄱阳湖水龄季节性变化特征

基于环境水动力学模型EFDC源程序,建立了染色剂模型和水龄模型,在将模型与航测水文数据验证吻合的基础上,分别计算了鄱阳湖自然条件下春、夏、秋、冬季的水龄和倒灌前后鄱阳湖染色剂和水龄分布的变化,以及五河水系各分支河流水龄.分季节的水龄计算表明鄱阳湖水体交换受季节性来水影响明显.夏、秋季的水龄相对较小,在多数年份又受到长江水倒灌的影响导致水龄有所增大;冬、春季水龄较大,亦无长江水倒灌现象,相较于夏、秋季,水域面积明显减少.分支流的水龄计算表明,西南湖区的水体交换主要受到赣江的影响,西北湖区水体交换主要受到修水和赣江的影响,南部湖区主要受到抚河与信江的影响,东部湖区主要受到饶河的影响,湖心区和入江水道则受到五河水系的综合影响.同时水龄的研究表明拟建的鄱阳湖水利枢纽工程"调枯不调洪"的原则是合理的,为鄱阳湖水利枢纽工程论证提供了重要的参考依据.     

Assessing the impacts of reservoir operation on downstream water diversions using a simplified flow model

ABSTRACT

The operation of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) affects the evolution of the interactions between the Yangtze River and Dongting Lake in China and water diversions from the river, which are essential to water resources management in this large river–lake system. Due to the lack of up-to-date and detailed channel topographic/bathymetric data, a simplified flow model based on rating curves was developed to simulate discharges in the river system, and to further quantify and differentiate the contributions of river erosion and flow regulation of the TGR at a seasonal scale. The results indicate that the effect of channel alteration counteracts the effect of reservoir regulation in the high-flow periods. The impacts of TGR regulation on water diversions for both pre- and post-flood seasons were significant, but no obvious changes in the discharge diversion ratios were observed on an annual time scale.     

试论洞庭湖的特征与治理

本文较全面地论述了洞庭湖（区）的特征,治理洞庭湖的必要性、重要性以及可行性。洞庭湖如不治理,少则100年,多则500年,就会因泥沙的淤积而消失。因此作者提出了 “开流节源,治江保湖”,“增秸扩池,治湖保湖”,以及维护和加强防洪工程等治理洞庭湖的设想。     

A new era of flood control strategies from the perspective of managing the 2020 Yangtze River flood

Flood control of the Yangtze River is an important part of China’s national water security.In July 2020,due to continuous heavy rainfall,the water levels along the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River and major lakes constantly exceeded the warning levels,in which Taihu Lake exceeded its highest safety water level and some stations of Poyang Lake reached their highest water levels in its history.In August 2020,another huge flood occurred in the Minjiang River and the Jialing River in the upper Yangtze River,and some areas of Chongqing Municipality and other cities along the rivers were inundated,resulting in great pressure on flood control and high disaster losses.The 2020 Yangtze River flood has received extensive media coverage and raised concerns on the roles of the Three Gorges Dam and other large reservoirs in flood control.Here we analyze the changes in the pattern of the Yangtze River flood control by comparing the strategies to tackle the three heavy floods occurring in 1954,1998,and 2020.We propose that the overall strategy of the Yangtze River flood control in the new era should adhere to the principle of"Integration of storage and drainage over the entire Yangtze River Basin,with draining floods downstream as the first priority"by using both engineering and non-engineering measures.On the basis of embankments,the engineering measures should use the Three Gorges Dam and other large reservoirs as the major regulatory means,promote the construction of key flood detention areas,keep the floodways clear,and maintain the ecosystem services of wetlands and shoals.In terms of non-engineering measures,we should strengthen adaptive flood risk management under climate change,standardize the use of lands in flood detention areas,give space to floods,and promote the implementation of flood risk maps and flood insurance policies.The ultimate goal of this new flood control system is to enhance the adaptability to frequent floods and increase the resilience to extreme flood disasters.     

滨江平原的形成模式是江—湖、洲—陆转化——以长江武汉段武昌北部为例

长江武汉城区段呈SSW-NNE向从城市中心流过.两岸滨江平原是武汉城市的黄金地段.分布于汉阳和武昌沿岸的滨江平原,平面形状似弓形分布于晚更新世岗地与长江之间.研究发现,其形成经历了江-洲-湖-陆的转变过程,是长江中的沙洲并岸的产物.本文以武昌北滨江平原为例,对其形成过程进行了解析.长江武汉蛇山-青山段在明代江面十分开阔...     

三峡工程运行前后洞庭湖水质变化分析

为了解三峡工程运行前后洞庭湖水质变化,基于1996 2013年洞庭湖水质监测数据,采用内梅罗污染指数(IP)法对三峡工程运行前后洞庭湖水质进行评价,并对洞庭湖水质与主要污染物的时空变化特征进行分析.结果表明,1996 2013年洞庭湖IP值在1.10~2.20之间,平均值为1.63,水质属轻污染~污染,总体变化平稳,但从2010年起,洞庭湖IP值连续低于其多年平均值,总体水质趋好;主要污染物为总磷和总氮,总磷浓度变化平稳,总氮浓度则呈显著上升趋势.与三峡工程运行前相比,三峡工程运行后洞庭湖全年和汛期总氮浓度以及南洞庭湖IP值和总氮浓度显著升高,南洞庭湖水质显著恶化.洞庭湖IP值和总磷浓度的水期分布格局均由三峡工程运行前的汛期非汛期变化为三峡工程运行后的非汛期汛期,其空间分布格局均由三峡工程运行前的西洞庭湖东洞庭湖南洞庭湖变化为三峡工程运行后的西洞庭湖南洞庭湖东洞庭湖;从2010年起,洞庭湖IP值的空间分布格局发生新的变化,其大小顺序变化为东洞庭湖南洞庭湖西洞庭湖.三峡工程运行前后洞庭湖IP值与总磷浓度的时空变化与其水沙条件变化有关,总氮浓度的空间分布受三峡工程运行影响较小,主要受湘江、资水等"四水"流域氮污染的影响.     

洞庭湖水面面积与城陵矶水位之间的绳套关系

洞庭湖是我国第二大淡水湖,与长江连通,在防洪抗旱和湿地生态保护等方面具有重要的现实意义.采用Terra/MODIS L1B遥感数据,提取了2000-2012年洞庭湖水面面积,结合同期城陵矶水位观测数据,建立了城陵矶水位与洞庭湖水面面积的绳套关系曲线.分析结果表明:2000-2012年间,洞庭湖水面面积呈现总体减少的趋势;在季节上表现为规律性的涨落,具有明显的涨(4-6月)-丰(7-9月)-退(10-12月)-枯(1-3月)的水文特征;在空间格局上表现为由湖体中心向外扩张,随后由外向湖体中心逐渐收缩的变化过程;洞庭湖水面面积与城陵矶水位之间具有较高的相关性,但不同时期的相关系数存在一定的差异:枯水期二者相关性较低,丰水期相关性最高,涨水期和退水期相关性较高;这种差异与各个时期的主导因素不同有关,长江来水对枯水期、丰水期的绳套关系影响较大,其中东洞庭湖最为明显;不论丰水年(2002年)或干旱年(2011年),洞庭湖水面面积变化与城陵矶水位之间的相关性均较高.研究结果对于深入认识江湖关系的宏观复杂性、长江中下游地区以及洞庭湖水域洪涝灾害的预防和治理都具有积极的意义.