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1.
使用中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室(LASG/IAP)开发的第三代气候海洋模式(LASG/IAP Climate system Ocean Model version 3, LICOM3.0)低分辨率版本在海洋模式比较计划(Ocean Model Intercomparison Project, OMIP)试验中的模拟数据,描述了南极绕极流(Antarctic Circumpolar Current, ACC)和南大洋经向翻转环流(Meridional Overturning Circulation, MOC)在1958~2009年的平均状态及其变化,并与已有的模式模拟结果和观测结果对比以评估LICOM模式的模拟效果。通过对比已有模式模拟数据发现,LICOM3.0模式模拟的ACC和南大洋MOC在两组OMIP试验中平均状态相仿、结果在合理范围内,但OMIP1试验中海表强迫的变化趋势较OMIP2试验中的变化更大,得到的环流输送在OMIP1试验中增长趋势也更大。  相似文献   

2.
利用NCEP高度场、风场及OLR资料,分析了春季赤道东太平洋海温异常对东亚大气环流春夏季节演变的影响,结果表明春季赤道东太平洋海温偏暖年,南海-菲律附近出现异常反气旋,西太平洋副高偏强偏西(副高5月占据南海),南海季风爆发迟;而春季海温偏冷年,南海-菲律宾近出现异常气旋,西太平洋副高偏弱偏东(副高5月东移出南海),南海行风爆发早。数值试验腠季赤道东太平洋海温异常不仅对东亚大气环流春季季节变化有明显影响,而且此影响可持续到夏季。  相似文献   

3.
平流层剩余环流及其时间演变特征   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2  
陈权亮  陈月娟 《大气科学》2007,31(1):136-144
平流层剩余环流是由剩余速度经向分量和垂直分量构成的平流层经向-垂直环流,它对于对流层-平流层相互作用和物质交换起着十分重要的作用。作者利用1979~2003年NCEP II再分析资料计算了剩余速度经向分量和垂直分量, 并与数值模拟结果进行了比较,再用计算的剩余环流讨论了它的季节变化、年际变化和长期变化趋势。计算结果表明,剩余环流的上升气流从低纬度赤道地区对流层顶上升到平流层下部,然后向极向下运动,在中纬度地区下沉, 进入对流层,这也就是Brewer-Dobson环流。计算结果同数值模拟结果比较一致。由此可见,可以利用NCEP资料得到比较清晰的剩余环流和Brewer-Dobson环流。剩余环流有明显的季节变化,上升气流的中心随着季节的变化在赤道地区南北移动,春秋季节其中心基本上位于赤道附近,南北半球大致呈对称分布,只是北半球副热带地区的下沉气流要比南半球强。在冬夏季节,上升气流的中心分别位于南北纬10°附近。北半球夏季的上升气流要比南半球夏季的上升气流强,同时冬半球的下沉气流比夏半球的下沉气流强。剩余环流还有年际变化和准两年周期振荡特征,在纬向风为西风位相时,赤道地区的上升气流比较弱;而在东风位相时,上升气流和水平方向的输送相对比较强。剩余环流的十年际变化表现为,1979~1983年、1990~1995年、2000~2003年较强,其他年份则较弱。在过去25年,就总的变化趋势而言,剩余环流的上升气流有所增强,平流层下部向中纬度地区的输送也有所增强,环流整体形势是增强的。  相似文献   

4.
使用国家气候中心大气环流模式BCC_AGCM2.1的30年模拟试验资料,对平流层纬向环流场、高空急流、极涡及爆发性增温过程进行了数值模拟研究,并使用欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)和美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)的再分析资料对模式输出结果进行了对比、分析。结果表明:(1) 在观测海温、二氧化碳、气溶胶等外强迫地驱动下,BCC模式能够很好地再现出与再分析资料一致的平流层纬向平均风场、温度场的分布特征和季节变化过程;模拟得到的温度廓线和高空急流与再分析资料的主要差别出现在南、北半球冬季的中高纬度地区;模拟得到的平流层温度普遍偏低,主要的差异位于对流层顶区域和平流层高层。(2) 模拟的对流层上层的副热带急流位置偏南、强度也偏弱,而平流层中的绕极极夜急流则位置偏北、强度更大。这样的急流分布特征使模拟的行星波向赤道的波导更强,向极的波导偏弱;同时由于模式中本身可以形成的行星波就比再分析资料弱,因此导致模拟结果中北半球冬季的平流层极涡更加稳定、极区温度更低。(3) BCC模式对于平流层极涡的季节变化特征模拟得较好,但对强极涡扰动过程,即北半球冬季的平流层爆发性增温(SSW)事件则模拟效果不佳,不论是增温事件出现的频率,还是增温的时间、强度,模拟结果和再分析资料都还存在一定偏差,需要在今后的工作中逐步改善。  相似文献   

5.
热带太平洋环流季节变化的数值模拟   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
张荣华 《大气科学》1994,18(6):674-682
在观测到的海表风应力和热量及淡水通量驱动下,用大气物理研究所发展的高分辨率自由表面热带太平洋环流模式对热带太平洋环流季节变化进行了数值模拟。对模拟得到的热带太平洋海面起伏、温度场和流场等季节变化分析、比较表明,模式成功地模拟了观测到的环流季节变化基本特征。其中,海面起伏中西北太平洋副热带反气旋环流在冬季最强,赤道槽在冬季和早春季强,而赤道脊和北赤道逆流槽则在秋季强;北赤道逆流在秋季强而春季弱,150°W附近区域赤道表层洋流流向在4至7月逆转;赤道东太平洋地区海表温度场春季增暖和秋冷却;以及次表层赤道斜温层  相似文献   

6.
基于山东省123个国家级气象观测站1961—2015年夏季降水资料、1991—2015年NCEP再分析资料,分析了山东夏季降水变化特征及其与大气环流的关系。结果表明,在山东夏季降水偏多(少)时,乌拉尔山阻塞高压偏弱(强),副热带高压偏强(弱),南亚高压偏强(弱),并且200 hPa经向风场有明显的类似丝绸之路遥相关型的波列结构。利用国家气候中心第二代海气耦合模式3月起报的未来夏季海平面气压场建立降尺度预测模型,该模型对山东夏季降水的预测符号一致率达到64%,有一定的预测能力,进一步分析发现,模式对关键区环流因子的模拟预测能力显著影响降尺度预测方法的准确率。  相似文献   

7.
利用一个新的四维变分海洋资料同化系统LICOM-3DVM对TOPEX/Poseidon高度计资料进行了同化。该同化系统是在LASG/IAP气候海洋模式LICOM1.0的基础上建立起来的,所用的同化方法为三维变分映射资料同化方法3DVM。高度计观测资料是采取间接的方式进行同化,即先建立起二维海面高度距平场与三维温度场的统计关系,并由此通过观测的海面高度距平信息反演出“观测”的三维温度场,然后利用LICOM-3DVM四维变分同化系统将此反演的温度场同化到海洋模式中。作者设计了两组试验并对结果进行了比较分析,积分时间从1993年1月至2001年12月共9年时间。结果表明,由于上混合层相关系数较小,因此同化后海温没有改进;而在温跃层以及更深层次,同化后的海温均有很大程度的改善。从对赤道太平洋地区海温的气候态、季节变化和年际变化以及Nino3区的Nino指数的模拟情况来看,由于同化时将海面高度异常和海温异常之间的相关参数取为常数,没有考虑其季节和年际变化,因此,同化后对于赤道太平洋的年际变化没有改善。对于黑潮地区,由于模式的分辨率较低,同化之前没有很好地模拟出温度锋面,温度和盐度梯度都偏小,流速也偏弱;而同化后使得温度锋面和盐度梯度与WOA01更加吻合,流速增强。  相似文献   

8.
利用CMAP逐月降水资料和欧洲天气预报中心ERA-interim的再分析资料,分析了CESM模式对东亚地区降水及夏季环流的模拟性能。结果表明:(1)CESM可以模拟出东亚地区大气环流、地表温度、水汽输送及降水随季节南北进退等主要特征。(2)该模式降水模拟结果与CMAP资料的对比显示,冬季降水的空间偏差主要表现为青藏高原南侧模拟降水偏多,而青藏高原西北部和日本海附近降水模拟偏少。夏季降水的空间偏差主要表现为陆地偏多,偏差最显著的区域位于青藏高原南侧,而海洋上偏少。降水偏差在季节变化上主要体现为低纬度地区雨带出现时间偏早,中高纬度地区出现时间偏晚且持续时间偏长。(3)模式模拟的夏季地表温度与ERA再分析资料相比在陆地模拟的结果明显偏低,在海洋上模拟的偏高。模式模拟的夏季500 h Pa西太副高较ERA再分析结果异常偏西至我国的江淮地区且强度偏强,这与模式模拟的夏季江淮地区降水较CMAP结果偏少密切相关。(4)夏季经向垂直环流的对比显示,模式模拟结果与ERA再分析结果的主要差异出现在青藏高原及其附近地区,模拟结果在高原的南北侧均出现明显的异常垂直环流,南侧的异常垂直环流伸展高度高,范围狭窄,这与模式模拟的夏季降水在高原南侧明显偏多有关。  相似文献   

9.
一个热带太平洋上层海洋环流模式及其检验研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
为进行ENSO的模拟与预测,在中国科学院大气物理研究所原有的较低分辨率全球海洋环流模式的基础上,引入依赖于Richardson数的垂直扩散方案和太阳短波辐射穿透的物理过程,发展了一个较高分辨率的热带太平洋上层海洋环流模式。利用该模式和1980~1995年大气强迫场的观测,进行了热带太平洋海温及环流的结构和演变的数值模拟研究,并利用美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)的同时段的海洋同化分析,就海洋及其时间变化的三维特征,检验了模拟结果。首先,检验了该模式对ENSO事件的三维结构特征及其演变的模拟能力,结果表明:这16年间所有冷暖事件的发生、发展和消亡均得到基本正确的模拟;海温异常的强度和结构特征与实况有偏差,尤其是次表层,距平量在赤道西太平洋和沿斜温层显著弱于实况;表层海温(SST)距平与实况较为接近,只是在日期变更线附近偏大。然后,强调海气耦合模式要成功预测ENSO,真正严峻的考验是海洋模式对次表层海洋的模拟能力,而不能仅仅满足于对SST的正确模拟。因此,为全面评估该海洋模式,探讨模式误差的原因,根据同化资料,找出年际变化和季节变化最显著的区域之后,检验了多年平均状态及其季节变化、年际变率及其季节变化等统计量。  相似文献   

10.
孙力  安刚 《应用气象学报》2002,13(6):650-661
利用1951~2000年共50年的北半球500 hPa月平均高度距平场资料和奇异值分解技术(SVD),重点对东亚地区季节间大气环流异常的相互关系进行了初步探讨。结果表明,东亚地区季节间大气环流异常存在着较为密切的关联,并且这种明显的非同步联系具有时空相关显著的特点,尤其是夏季大气环流异常与其前冬和前春大气环流异常的联系更为密切。当前冬和前春北半球东亚大槽和北美大槽及蒙古高压偏强(或偏弱),极涡偏弱(或偏强),中高纬度盛行经向环流(或纬向环流),以及低纬和热带地区高度正距平(或负距平)明显时,则对应于夏季东亚地区西太平洋副高和鄂霍次克海阻高强度偏强(或偏弱),位置偏南(或偏北),贝加尔湖阻高强度也偏强(或偏弱),但位置偏西(或偏东)的大尺度环流形势出现。当春季北半球大气环流具有上述特点以及夏季鄂霍次克海阻高和西太平洋副高强度偏强(或偏弱),位置偏南(或偏北),且极涡较弱(较强)时,则东亚地区秋季大气环流对应于蒙古高压加强(或较弱),西太平洋副高减弱(或加强),并向南和向东移动(或移动较慢),极涡向南扩散(或扩散减弱),大气环流向冬季过渡加快(或减慢)。另外,大气环流异常还具有一定的持续性特征。  相似文献   

11.
The observed meridional overturning circulation (MOC) and meridional heat transport (MHT) estimated from the Rapid Climate Change/Meridional Circulation and Heat Flux Array (RAPID/MOCHA) at 26.5°N are used to evaluate the volume and heat transport in the eddy-resolving model LASG/IAP Climate system Ocean Model (LICOM). The authors find that the Florida Current transport and upper mid-ocean transport of the model are underestimated against the observations. The simulated variability of MOC and MHT show a high correlation with the observations, exceeding 0.6. Both the simu-lated and observed MOC and MHT show a significant seasonal variability. According to the power spectrum analysis, LICOM can represent the mesoscale eddy characteristic of the MOC similar to the observation. The model shows a high correlation of 0.58 for the internal upper mid-ocean transport (MO) and a density difference between the western and eastern boundaries, as noted in previous studies.  相似文献   

12.
The shallow meridional overturning circulation (upper 1000 m) in the northern Indian Ocean and its interannual variability are studied, based on a global ocean circulation model (MOM2) with an integration of 10 years (1987-1996). It is shown that the shallow meridional overturning circulation has a prominent seasonal reversal characteristic. In winter, the flow is northward in the upper layer and returns southward at great depth. In summer, the deep northward inflow upwells north of the equator and returns southward in the Ekman layer. In the annual mean, the northward inflow returns through two branches: one is a southward flow in the Ekman layer, the other is a flow that sinks near 10°N and returns southward between 500 m and 1000 m. There is significant interannual variability in the shallow meridional overturning circulation, with a stronger (weaker) one in 1989 (1991) and with a period of about four years. The interannual variability of the shallow meridional overturning circulation is intimately r  相似文献   

13.
This paper analyzes the possible influence of boreal winter Arctic Oscillation/North Atlantic Oscillation (AO/ NAO) on the Indian Ocean upper ocean heat content in summer as well as the summer monsoonal circulation. The strong interannual co-variation between winter 1000-hPa geopotential height in the Northern Hemisphere and summer ocean heat content in the uppermost 120 m over the tropical Indian Ocean was investigated by a singular decomposition analysis for the period 1979–2014. The second paired-modes explain 23.8% of the squared covariance, and reveal an AO/NAO pattern over the North Atlantic and a warming upper ocean in the western tropical Indian Ocean. The positive upper ocean heat content enhances evaporation and convection, and results in an anomalous meridional circulation with ascending motion over 5°S–5°N and descending over 15°–25°N. Correspondingly, in the lower troposphere, significantly anomalous northerly winds appear over the western Indian Ocean north of the equator, implying a weaker summer monsoon circulation. The off-equator oceanic Rossby wave plays a key role in linking the AO/NAO and the summer heat content anomalies. In boreal winter, a positive AO/NAO triggers a down-welling Rossby wave in the central tropical Indian Ocean through the atmospheric teleconnection. As the Rossby wave arrives in the western Indian Ocean in summer, it results in anomalous upper ocean heating near the equator mainly through the meridional advection. The AO/NAO-forced Rossby wave and the resultant upper ocean warming are well reproduced by an ocean circulation model. The winter AO/NAO could be a potential season-lead driver of the summer atmospheric circulation over the northwestern Indian Ocean.  相似文献   

14.
Indian Ocean and monsoon coupled interactions in a warming environment   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Several studies have drawn attention to the steady warming of the equatorial and tropical Indian Ocean (IO) sea surface temperature (SST) observed during recent decades. An intriguing aspect of the IO SST warming trend is that it is has been accompanied by a pronounced weakening of the large-scale boreal summer monsoon circulation. Based on a detailed diagnostic analysis of observed datasets, reanalysis products and IPCC AR4 coupled model output, this study examines how the observed changes in the summer monsoon circulation could have contributed to this SST warming trend. The present results reveal that the weakening trend of the summer monsoon cross-equatorial flow has favored a reorientation of surface westerlies towards the equatorial IO during recent decades, relative to summer monsoons of earlier decades, which were dominated by stronger cross-equatorial flow. Our analysis suggests that the weakening of the summer monsoon cross-equatorial flow has in turn significantly accelerated the SST warming in the central equatorial IO. While the trend in the equatorial westerlies has promoted downwelling and thermocline deepening in the eastern equatorial IO, the central equatorial IO warming is attributed to reduced upwelling in response to a weakening trend of the wind-stress curl. The observed trends in Indian monsoon rainfall and the near-equatorial SST warming are shown to be closely related to variations in the meridional gradient of the monsoon zonal winds. An examination of the twentieth century simulations from 22 IPCC AR4 models, suggests that some models capture the recent equatorial IO warming associated with the weakened summer monsoon circulation reasonably well. The individual member models, however, exhibit significant inter-model variations in representing the observed response of the IO and monsoon coupled system.  相似文献   

15.
Under external heating forcing in the Southern Ocean, climate models project anomalous northward atmosphere heat transport (AHT) across the equator, accompanied by a southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). Comparison between a fully coupled and a slab ocean model shows that the inclusion of active ocean dynamics tends to partition the cross-equatorial energy transport and significantly reduce the ITCZ shift response by a factor of 10, a finding which supports previous studies. To understand how ocean dynamics damps the ITCZ's response to an imposed thermal heating in the Southern Ocean, we examine the ocean heat transport (OHT) and ocean circulation responses in a set of fully coupled experiments. Results show that both the Indo-Pacific and the Atlantic contribute to transport energy across the equator mainly through its Eulerian-mean component. However, different from previous studies that linked the changes in OHT to the changes in the wind-driven subtropical cells or the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), our results show that the cross-equatorial OHT anomaly is due to a broad clockwise overturning circulation anomaly below the subtropical cells (approximately bounded by the 5℃ to 20℃ isotherms and 50°S to 10°N). Further elimination of the wind-driven component, conducted by prescribing the climatological wind stress in the Southern Ocean heat perturbation experiments, leads to little change in OHT, suggesting that the OHT response is predominantly thermohaline-driven by air-sea thermal interactions.  相似文献   

16.
The present study focuses on understanding the dynamics of intensification of the boreal summer monsoon cross-equatorial flow generally observed during positive-Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events, by taking 1994 as a case study. In particular, the influence of the anomalous divergent motions during 1994 (i.e., east–west circulation over equatorial Indian Ocean and the monsoon Hadley-type circulation) on the intensification of summer monsoon cross-equatorial flow is investigated. This problem is examined using diagnostic analyses and simulation experiments from a multi-level global atmospheric model forced with observed diabatic heating. The results suggest that the transfer of kinetic energy (KE) from the divergent motions to the rotational flows can be very effective during IOD periods like 1994; and provides a plausible explanation for the increase of KE of the monsoon cross-equatorial flow over Bay-of-Bengal and adjoining areas. The study also investigates the enhanced activity of westward propagating disturbances observed during 1994 over the monsoon region.  相似文献   

17.
由于印尼贯穿流干扰了南印度洋经向翻转环流的计算,本文应用垂向翻转流函数来诊断印度洋浅层经向翻转环流.基于海洋环流模拟产品(OFES),本文探讨了垂向流函数相比经向翻转流函数的改进.研究结果表明垂向翻转流函数能平滑连接南北印度洋的翻转环流,包括完整的副热带翻转环流和跨赤道翻转环流.经向翻转流函数低估了印度洋浅层翻转环流;而垂向翻转流函数表示的印度洋浅层翻转环流受印尼贯穿流影响更小,其评估的印度洋浅层翻转环流强度约13 Sv,其中副热带翻转环流强度约8 Sv(1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s-1).此外,垂向翻转流函数在印度洋南开边界(30°S~34°S)上600 m层表现为顺时针翻转结构,其强度约-5 Sv,可能对应风驱的副热带流系.因此,垂向翻转流函数提供了一种新方法来评估印度洋浅层翻转环流.  相似文献   

18.
The summer mean water vapor transport (WVT) and cross-equatorial flow (CEF) over the Asian-Australian monsoon region simulated by 22 coupled atmospheric-oceanic general circulation models (AOGCMs) from the World Climate Research Programme’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were evaluated. Based on climatology of the twentieth-century simulations, most of models have a reasonably realistic representation of summer monsoon WVT characterized by southeast water vapor conveyor belt over the South Indian Ocean and southwest belt from the Arabian Sea to the East Asian. The correlation coefficients between NCEP reanalysis and simulations of BCC-CSM1-1, BNU-ESM, CanESM2, FGOALS-s2, MIROC4h and MPI-ESM-LR are up to 0.8. The simulated CEF depicted by the meridional wind along the equator includes the Somali jet and eastern CEF in low atmosphere and the reverse circulation in upper atmosphere, which were generally consistent with NCEP reanalysis. Multi-model ensemble means (MME) can reproduce more reasonable climatological features in spatial distribution both of WVT and CEF. Ten models with more reasonable WVT simulations were selected for future projection studies, including BCC-CSM1-1, BNU-ESM, CanESM2, CCSM4, FGOALS-s2, FIO-ESM, GFDL-ESM2G, MRIOC5, MPI-ESM-LR and NorESM-1M. Analysis based on the future projection experiments in RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6 and RCP8.5 show that the global warming forced by different RCP scenarios will results in enhanced WVT over the Indian area and the west Pacific and weaken WVT in the low latitudes of tropical Indian Ocean.  相似文献   

19.
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和中科院大气物理研究所PIAP3大气环流模式,分析了印度洋偶极子对夏季中国南海西南季风水汽输送的影响。结果表明,印度洋偶极子正位相期间夏季中国南海西南水汽输送较强,负位相期间则较弱。原因可归结为以下:正位相期间,MJO(Madden-Julian Oscillation)多活动于热带西印度洋,其向东传播受到阻碍,但经向传播明显,通常可传播至孟加拉湾地区,同时PIAP3显示印度洋季风槽位置偏北,且印尼以西过赤道气流较强,从而使得这一地区气旋性环流得到建立与加强。孟加拉湾地区对应着较强的对流活动以及深厚积云对流加热,从而通过对流加热的二级热力响应使西太平洋副热带高压位置向北推进,进而使得南海地区西南季风水汽输送得到建立与加强。在此期间孟加拉湾、中南半岛至南海地区对流活动较强,而苏门答腊沿岸对流活动受到抑制,由此增强了Reverse-Hadley环流,使低层经向风较强,进而增强了南海西南季风的水汽输送,PIAP3大气环流模式证实了Reverse-Hadley环流的增强。负位相期间,MJO多活动于热带东印度洋,在东传过程中受到Walker环流配置影响,在140°E赤道附近形成东西向非对称积云对流加热热源,其东侧Kelvin波响应加强了东风异常并配合副热带高压南缘东风压制了中国南海的西南季风水汽输送。在此期间,MJO在南海地区的经向传播较强,但经向传播常止步于南海地区15°N附近,虽携带大量水汽,但深厚积云对流强烈地消耗水汽使大气中水汽含量降低,PIAP3大气环流模式证实负位相期间深厚积云对流对水汽消耗加大,从而使得负位相期间南海地区水汽含量与正位相期间大体相近,但由于经向风不足使水汽向北输送较弱。  相似文献   

20.
By using a five-layer primitive equation model with P-sigma coordinates,the effect of convective heating source with the oscillation of a dipole pattern over the tropical Indian Ocean-Western Pacific on Asian summer monsoon is investigated.The results from simulations show that the oscillatary heating source may cause oscillations in east-west zonal circulation at the equator,in cross-equatorial flow,in meridional monsoon circulation and in the phase of high-low level circulation over Asia,with period same as that of the oscillating heat source.Furthermore,the influence mechanism of the tropical heating source associated with oscillations on Asian summer monsoon circulation is also studicd.It is clearly shown that the westward propagation of thermally-forced Rossy waves to the west of the oscillatary heating source and the northward propagation of disturbances can give rise to oscillations of the equatorial east-west zonal circulation and monsoonal meridional circulation.Finally,the oscillation of all the Asian summer monsoon circulation is formed.  相似文献   

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