中国大陆主要块体现今变形状态的反演研究

本文利用中国大陆的GPS运动速度场,研究了其中的7个亚板块和14个构造块体的变形状态,并做了动力学解释。研究中,构造了一种运动-变形模型来提取观测数据中的变形信息。结果表明:南北构造带东西两侧应变状态表现出显著的差异,西部各亚板块或块体的主应变量值从约4.5×10-8.a-1到约1.3×10-8.a-1,东部则从约3.0×10-.8a-1到约0.4×10-.8a-1,表明东西两部应变量值有较大的落差,并且主压应变方向从西部的北北东向逐步转到东部北东东向。南北构造带表现为其不同段落的各块体的变形趋势和量级都有显著不同。川滇块体是东部与西部的结合部位,变形量较大,主压应变为3.4×10-8.a-1,反映了印度板块向北的推挤在川滇块体造成了较大变形。中国北部地区向东西两个方向运动,塔里木块体、准噶尔块体、天山块体向西,柴达木-祁连山块体、阿拉善块体向东。这种推挤力和太平洋板块阻碍、遏制作用,造成了华北块体、鄂尔多斯块体以拉张为主的应变和逆时针旋转。     

Study of drainage pattern of Jharia Coalfield (Bihar), India, through Remote Sensing technology

Study of drainage pattern of Jharia Coalfield as observed on IRS-IA LISS II image shows that the region is drained by 11 streams with general flow direction to north east to south east and ultimately joining to trunk river Damodar. The perennial river Damodar flows from west to east and approximately marks the southern limit of the famous Jharia Coalfied. The average stream length in the region varies from 15 km to 110 km with average hasin area from 10 km² to 150 km². The general pattern is essentially a coarse dendritc with very gentle (0 to 1%) to sluggish stream flow condition over a gentle sloping (1 to 3%) topographic surface characteristic of old age streams in matured erosion terrain (Paleo-pediplain).     

Utilization of high-resolution EGM2008 gravity data for geological exploration over the Singhbhum-Orissa Craton,India

High-resolution EIGEN6C4 and EGM2008 Bouguer gravity data of 2190 degree spherical harmonic over the Singhbhum-Orissa Craton, India, have been generated from the International Centre for Global Earth Models. The Bouguer gravity anomaly difference maps of (i) in situ and EIGEN6C4, (ii) in situ and EGM2008 and iii) EIGEN6C4 and EGM2008 of the study area are compared. It reveals that EIGEN6C4 has lesser systematic error than EGM2008. However, from different profile plots of Bouguer gravity, east–west horizontal derivative and north–south horizontal derivative anomalies of the in situ, EIGEN6C4 and EGM2008, it is observed that most of the signatures of lithounits and geological structural elements are delineated very well by EGM2008 and match 94–98% with those of EIGEN6C4. Further, the Bouguer gravity, east–west horizontal derivative and north–south horizontal derivative anomalies of EGM2008 data over the study area have been used effectively for identifying various lithounits and geological structural elements.     

川滇地块现今地壳运动速度场解算与分析

利用GAMIT10.4和BERNESE5.2软件,分别对川滇地区中国地壳运动观测网络51个GNSS基准站2010—2014年的观测数据进行处理。两者解算所得单日解基线和坐标时间序列离散度优于10mm,且变化趋势一致,吻合度较高。基线重复率水平向优于1+4×10-9 L;垂向优于4+6×10-9 L(单位mm,其中L表示基线长度,单位m)。利用PL+VW噪声模型进行了速度估计,获取了川滇地区相对欧亚板块地壳运动速度场。结果显示:除滇西南地区呈现出由西向东的增大趋势外,川滇块体其它区域地壳运动特征由北往南、由西往东呈逐渐衰减趋势;运动方向持续围绕喜马拉雅东结点作顺时针旋转,且仍然存在着南北向强烈的挤压特征。以安宁河-则木河断裂、小江断裂和红河断裂为界,选用了两侧能反映震间断裂构造特征的GPS测站,分析了断裂两侧的速度差异。并利用平行断层的速度剖面,拟合反正切函数变化趋势,获取了断裂带可能的变形宽度。     

中国西部地壳现今变形特征及其机制探讨

以中国大陆及周边10年来近400个GPS测站的复测资料为基础，获取并绘制了现今地壳水平运动与变形图像，结果表明：青藏块体内西半部南北向只存在微弱的缩短变化（5mm/a左右），东半部南北向则没有缩短的迹象，南北缩短的区域主要位于青藏块体南缘的喜马拉雅条带（约15mm/a），北缘中部的柴达木西区（约15mm/a）和青藏块体北面的天山块体及周围地区（约15mm/a）；青藏块体大约有10mm/a的东西拉张，但不均匀，自西向东经历了由弱到强再有所减弱的过程，整个西部地区东边缘的东向运动表现为南强北弱的左旋特征；川滇菱形块体不是逃逸块体而是变形块体；青藏块体东缘及附近地区是东向运动的消减区带，面应变结果显示，青藏块体周边以面收缩为主，内部则以面膨胀为主；其以北的地区以面收缩为主（但压中有张），面应变的量级为10^-8/a。这样的变形结果，若只靠来处于印度板块的北向挤压是无法解释的。由此并结合最新的地球物理研究成果可推断或证实，地壳下部来自南向的物质涌入是控制青藏块体乃至中国大陆形变的另一大动力源，甚至可能是主导动力源；或者具有深、浅立体活动的某种协同性。     

多源卫星遥感的华北平原大气NO2浓度时空变化

为探讨1996年以来华北平原对流层NO_2柱浓度变化的空间特征,基于GOME、SCIAMACHY和OMI卫星传感器的监测数据,以SCIAMACHY的NO_2柱浓度为基准,根据建立的GOME和SCIAMACHY,SCIAMACHY和OMI之间的相关关系,校正GOME和OMI监测的NO_2数据;利用线性正弦曲线模型拟合方法研究1996年—2016年长时间序列华北平原对流层NO_2变化的空间分布特征。结果显示,华北平原对流层NO_2浓度自1996年开始持续上升,到2011年达到最高值,然后呈现下降趋势。该变化趋势主要受经济发展和环保政策的双重影响。1996年—2011年,NO_2柱浓度高值区分布在北京市、天津市、河北唐山市和保定市、山东德州市和济南市、安徽滁州市以及江苏南京市、常州市和无锡市,并且具有较高增长率;2012年—2016年NO_2柱浓度平均值远高于1996年—2011年NO_2柱浓度平均值,高值地区范围扩大,分布在河北南部、河南北部和山东西部,但华北平原地区NO_2柱浓度均呈现负增长,表明"十二五"规划提出的大气环保政策取得了显著成效。同时,对流层NO_2柱浓度可以反映典型环保事件如北京奥运会、国庆阅兵和南京青奥会时期大气环保政策的实施效果。     

Increased accuracy of geostatistical prediction of nitrogen dioxide in the United Kingdom with secondary data

Five techniques were used to map nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations in the United Kingdom. The methods used to predict from point data, collected as part of the UK NO₂ diffusion tube network, were local linear regression (LR), inverse distance weighting (IDW), ordinary kriging (OK), simple kriging with a locally varying mean (SKlm) and kriging with an external drift (KED). These techniques may be divided into two groups: (i) those that use only a single variable in the prediction process (IDW, OK) and (ii) those that make use of additional variables as a part of prediction (LR, SKlm and KED). Nitrous oxides emission data were used as secondary data with LR, SKlm and KED. It was concluded that SKlm provided the most accurate predictions based on the summary statistics of prediction errors from cross-validation.     

利用局域复测GPS网研究中国大陆块体现今地壳运动速度场

利用1992年以来我国进行的6项不同规模高精度GPS地壳监测网的资料，采用统一的数据处理策略，重新进行了数据处理，并统一进行了平差，归算到相同的ITRF97坐标框架基准之下，获得了中国前覆最广、测站最多的一个较为完整的、框架统一的GPS地壳运动图像和速度场，并对结果作了初步的地学解释。     

Increasing the accuracy of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) pollution mapping using geographically weighted regression (GWR) and geostatistics

Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is known to act as an environmental trigger for many respiratory illnesses. As a pollutant it is difficult to map accurately, as concentrations can vary greatly over small distances. In this study three geostatistical techniques were compared, producing maps of NO₂ concentrations in the United Kingdom (UK). The primary data source for each technique was NO₂ point data, generated from background automatic monitoring and background diffusion tubes, which are analysed by different laboratories on behalf of local councils and authorities in the UK. The techniques used were simple kriging (SK), ordinary kriging (OK) and simple kriging with a locally varying mean (SKlm). SK and OK make use of the primary variable only. SKlm differs in that it utilises additional data to inform prediction, and hence potentially reduces uncertainty. The secondary data source was oxides of nitrogen (NO_x) derived from dispersion modelling outputs, at 1 km × 1 km resolution for the UK. These data were used to define the locally varying mean in SKlm, using two regression approaches: (i) global regression (GR) and (ii) geographically weighted regression (GWR). Based upon summary statistics and cross-validation prediction errors, SKlm using GWR derived local means produced the most accurate predictions. Therefore, using GWR to inform SKlm was beneficial in this study.     

On the benefits of using a high-resolution mesoscale model to improve wind field for the study of upwelling off the Indian coasts

Abstract

Upwelling favourable winds along the Indian coasts were studied using a high-resolution (9 km grid) atmospheric mesoscale model (MM5) reanalysis from 1 to 5 June 2006, off the west coast of India and from 5 to 10 December 2005, off the east coast of India. Model winds are verified with satellite winds at two areas. Model wind hind-casts from the above periods reveal narrow bands (about 10×50 km) of strong winds to the coast and adjacent to the major coastal promontories. These bands, which are sub-grid scale in operational models, were capable of generating local upwelling greater than 10 m/s. Both the mean and spatial components of the model alongshore wind increase by a factor of 3 to 4 from the south to the north along the west coast, and by a factor of 2 to 3 from the north to the south along the east coast of India. Wind field increases will drive enhanced ocean upwelling along the west coast of India, and the new hypothesis suggests that the variations in local wind may contribute to the coastal upwelling in this region.     

2005年-2014年京津冀对流层NO2柱浓度时空变化及影响因素

基于臭氧监测仪OMI对流层NO₂柱浓度产品研究了京津冀城市群2005年-2014年NO₂时空变化及影响因素:(1)10年柱浓度年均增长率为3.35%,且年度波动较大。忽略2008年国家奥运会的环境治理所引起的变化,2005年-2011年NO₂呈逐渐升高趋势;2012年-2014年呈逐渐降低趋势,以2014年下降最为显著。(2)呈西北低东南高的趋势。燕山-太行山山系以北的承德和张家口市浓度较低,山系以南主要有北京-天津-唐山与石家庄-邢台-邯郸两个污染中心。(3)京津冀北部三面环山不利于NO₂的扩散,夏季丰富的降水对NO₂具有显著湿沉降作用。(4)通过相关性分析、文献及国家政策印证等方法,发现地区产业及能源结构很大程度上决定了地区的污染来源。北京市10年来第三产业一直处于主导且稳步提高,煤炭消耗量低,但汽车保有量增加了1.5倍,主要来源为机动车尾气排放;天津市第二产业比第三产业比重略高,煤炭消耗量是北京的两倍之余,但汽车保有量仅是北京市的一半,由此可知工业排放和机动车是共同来源;河北省第二产业比重很高,燃煤量占京津冀地区的80.6%,河北省工业排放是NO₂的主要来源,但近几年随着机动车保有量的剧增,其尾气排放分担率不可小觑。     

HNGICS站ITRF2014框架下三维变化分析

针对河南省内地表沉降问题,利用河南省地质信息连续采集运行系统(HNGICS)分析全省域内地表形变,对比时间基线为10 a的HNGICS基准站ITRF2014框架下三维坐标,获得河南省内三维速度场,分析河南省内地表形变规律与地质环境相关。结果表明:河南省内整体平面位移变化较小,平面变化10 mm以内的基准站16个,在10～20 mm之间的站点15个,整体趋势表现为由西向东,南部水平位移优势方向为东偏北方向30.7°,平均运动速率为0.87 mm/a;北部平原水平位移优势方向为东偏南方向82.6°,平均运动速率为1.6 mm/a,省域内地表存在明显的相对运动;竖直方向上,东部平原地区平均沉降速率为11.0 mm/a,山区平均沉降速率为1.4 mm/a,山区沉降速率远小于平原地区。     

利用SRTM绘制东Sahara大型古排水盆地及其对南埃及新发展计划的影响(英文)

In the current study, the shuttle radar topography mission (SRTM) data, with～90 m horizontal resolution, were used to delineate the paleodrainage system and their mega basin extent in the East Sahara area. One mega-drainage basin has been detected, covering an area of 256 000 km2. It is classified into two sub mega basins. The Uweinate sub mega basin, which is composed of four main tributaries, collected water from a vast catchment region and drained eastward from the north, west, and southwest, starting at...     

渭河盆地构造应力场有限元数值模拟

依据渭河盆地活动构造特征及深部地层结构,以高精度GPS成果为边界条件,构建了区域三维有限元模型,并将模拟断裂运动性质及区域构造应力场,与地质地球物理的结果对比检验了模型模拟结果合理性。数值模拟结果更加精细地揭示出,陇县-马昭与韩城-华县断裂是渭河盆地中部与东、西部构造应力场差异的明显分界带,两条断裂夹挟的盆地中部区域是拉张应力（NW-SE向）集中带,陇县-马昭断裂以西则呈显著挤压应力（近E-W向）,韩城-华县断裂以东以NE-SW向挤压应力为主;而礼泉-蒲城-合阳断裂又为盆地中部区域南、北两侧构造应力场差异分界带,断裂南侧较北侧呈现出更显著的NW-SE向拉张应力,该特征与断裂南侧构造地裂缝较北侧更为发育相对应。     

遥感反演和站点观测的地气温度分布特征差异

地表温度和近地表大气温度是地球系统、大气系统以及地—气相互作用物理过程的重要参量。在陆地—大气的相互作用过程中,水汽含量、NDVI指数、下垫面变化等因素会对地—气热量传输造成一定的影响。本文首先利用地表温度产品（MYD11A1）以及气温站点数据（GSOD）获得全国尺度下地表温度年最大值、近地面气温年最大值。在此基础上,使用趋势分析法分析2003年—2018年地、气温度年最大值时空分布特征及变化趋势,以及地—气温差气候倾向率变化趋势。最后,结合大气总水汽含量产品（MYD05）、NDVI指数（MYD13A3）、二氧化碳平均浓度增长率分析导致地表温度年最大值与近地面气温年最大值趋势发生变化的原因。研究结果表明：（1）在全国尺度下,2003年—2018年地表温度年最大值呈现北高南低的空间分布特征。近地面气温年最大值的空间分布与地表温度年最大值相反。大气总水汽含量年最大值在热带、亚热带季风气候区内总体较高。水汽含量既影响近地面气温的大小,同时也受到近地面气温的影响,因此,水汽含量年最大值与近地面气温年最大值表现出一定的空间分布一致性特征。（2）在2003年—2018年期间,地表温度年最大值的气候倾向率在空间上表现出北高南低的分布特征。近地面气温年最大值的气候倾向率在空间上也表现为北高南低,与地表温度年最大值的气候倾向率变化基本一致。但地表温度年最大值的变化幅度要大于近地面气温年最大值,并且在个别区域表现不一致。主要分布在天山地区、三江平原以及秦岭南侧地区,地—气年最大值变化趋势相反即地—气差减小。（3）大气总水汽含量年最大值的增加可造成近地面气温年最大值的增加,而植被覆盖度的上升可造成地表温度年最大值下降。但在天山地区大气总水汽含量与地—气差的响应不明显,但天山地区的近地面气温年最大值与CO₂平均浓度增长率的关系较为明显。（4）遥感数据反演的地表温度年最大值和站点观测的近地面气温年最大值空间分布表现出差异,但时间变化趋势基本一致。     

青海湖湖面变化三维可视化分析

建立了包含青海湖水下地形的流域DEM（LBD）；利用LBD和各时期水位数据，计算湖泊面积和水量；利用LBD和遥感影像，通过三维可视化技术，最终实现一万多年来湖面时空变化的动态模拟。结果表明，青海湖东西两岸的退缩幅度明显大于南北两岸，水位降低对于青海湖湖岸形态有很大的影响；利用恢复水下地形来进行水量计算，简单易行。     

干旱区地下水位降幅空间分布特性研究

基于GIS和地理统计学的理论、方法对所取观测井地下水位降幅数据进行空间分布特征分析。结果表明:数据服从正态分布,结构符合球状模型,空间数据存在东西方向和南北方向的二价函数趋势;地下水位降幅由北向南呈环状递减,最深降幅达30m,绿洲群大部分居于20～30m降幅之间,为地下水开采密集区,大于10m降幅的面积约69300hm2。利用Kriging最优内插法生成等值线图,可以更准确和直观地展示整个研究区的地下水资源状况、生态环境可能发生退化的区域及未来发展方向。     

基于GPS观测数据的云南地区地壳形变特征研究

利用1999~2013年间多期GPS观测数据,将云南地区分为5个活动块体,研究区域现今水平运动特征、应变特征以及各块体的运动特征,反演主要活动断裂带的走滑速率。结果表明,区域水平运动具有北强南弱的特征,小江断裂带、红河断裂带对云南地区构造活动具有明显控制作用,改变了断裂带两侧的运动特征;区域应变具有明显的差异,西部以拉张应变为主,东部小江断裂带周边地区拉张和挤压应变均衡且为强应变区,滇东地区应变较小;各块体运动方向与速率存在差异,滇东块体为逆时针旋转,其余块体顺时针旋转;基于块体模型反演的主要断裂带的走滑速率与地质方法获取的走滑速率具有较好的一致性。     

A Comparison of Thiessen Polygon,Kriging, and Spline Models of Potential UV Exposure

The performance accuracy of Thiessen-polygon and kriging interpolation methods available in the standard GIS packages was evaluated based on magnitude of errors in predicting potential UV exposure across the continental U.S., and the results were compared with those of the ANUSPLIN routine that runs outside typical GIS through a series of C++ and FORTRAN commands. Input data consisted of global radiation measures recorded at 215 stations, latitude, longitude, and elevation from a 30 arc-second Digital Elevation Model. The objective was to identify the most accurate prediction method for facilitating measurement of potential UV exposure at local (e.g.1km² grid cell) and county levels. The ANUSPLIN method produced the smallest prediction errors in estimating values of potential UV exposure at 1 km² resolution; these measurements were aggregated to the county level. We examined how much variation was lost through aggregation, as well as the potential bias associated with the possibility that some counties have predominantly north or south facing slopes. The impact of using inferior procedures on the estimates and geographic patterns of potential UV exposure was also examined. ANUSPLIN generated results that are reproducible and for which uncertainty is known. These measurements will be used in subsequent analysis of the role of UV exposure in melanoma etiology.     

深度语义分割支撑下的尾矿库风险检测

尾矿库是矿山企业选矿的必要设施,同时对周围环境也是一个重大的危险源。为研究流域范围内尾矿库的溃坝路径以及对矿区地表造成的风险,以赤城县为例,利用GF-1高分辨率遥感影像,基于遥感RS（Remote Sensing）及地理信息系统GIS（Geographic Information System）手段对尾矿库的流域风险进行了监测分析。首先,通过分析尾矿库在遥感影像上的纹理、色调、形状以及大小等特征,制作了用于目标检测的尾矿库样本集,然后,在原始SSD目标检测网络基础上添加了反卷积模块和连接模块构建多尺度融合目标检测算法MSF_SSD,在目标检测结果基础上使用PSPnet算法实现尾矿库结构分割,得到了尾矿库内部结构—坝体以及库区,运用RS与GIS技术对尾矿库的上游汇水面以及事故可能径流进行提取,进而基于Arc Hydro模型模拟尾矿库的溃坝路径。最后,通过构建溃坝路径的缓冲区,得到尾矿库发生溃坝所造成的地物影响范围及面积。研究结果表明：赤城县尾矿库的溃坝路径总体是从西向东,从北向南,受溃坝影响的地物总面积达到480 km²。其中,林地176.52 km²,耕地175.52 km²,城市建设用地43.74 km²,农村建设用地2.47 km²,水体17.72 km²,草地和牧场分别为3.60 km²、1.22 km²。研究成果可用于分析尾矿库溃坝造成的地物损失以及影响范围面积等信息,提升尾矿库的风险管理水平及应急响应能力,为有关部门制定决策提供理论依据。