近地小行星轨道演化的研究现状

近地小行星由于与地球的特殊关系为世人所瞩目, 对其研究始于５０ 年代, 近年来已成为太阳系动力学中的一个热门课题。全面地介绍了近年来关于近地小行星（ 小天体） 的研究状况, 包括对近地小行星轨道演化的研究方法和主要结果。阐明了在轨道演化过程中相应力学模型的选取、有关数值方法的引用以及积分步长变化的处理等具体问题, 并介绍了轨道长期共振的作用以及对这种共振的处理方法, 最后给出了根据目前研究所知的与地球轨道距离最近的一些小行星的轨道特征等。     

近地小行星轨道演化的数值研究与辛算法有效性的探讨

本文采用改进的显式辛算法（symplecticalgorithm）和嵌套的RKF7（8）积分器对43颗已命名（或编号）的近地小行星的轨道演化进行数值研究．在力学模型上,除考虑各大行星的引力振动外,还增加了后牛顿效应,而在算法上则着重探索辛算法在近地小行星轨道演化研究中的应用前景,特别是当小行星与某一大行星靠近时辛算法的有效性．本文的结果可为了解近地小行星的轨道演化状况和对它们进行监测提供可靠的信息．     

共振在近地小行星轨道演化中的作用

本文采用了合理的力学模型和可靠的计算方法,研究了近地小行星轨道运动,揭示了共振（轨道共振和长期共振）在其轨道演化中的作用,并初步探讨了近地小行星的起源问题。     

近地小行星轨道演化的研究

本文主要阐述了近年来我们在近地小行星轨道演化研究所获得的一些基本结果,即合理的力学模型和相应的有效算法,并以实际预报算例与有关权威性的结果作了比较,证实这些研究结果确实是可信的。     

小行星YORP效应的可探测候选体

YORP (Yarkovsky-O''Keefe-Radzievskii-Paddack)效应是小行星长期动力学演化的机制之一. 与碰撞、引力摄动等因素相比, YORP效应作用量级小, 短时标观测效应不明显, 这给直接测量YORP效应带来了很大的困难. 利用小行星光变数据库中已知的小行星数据, 统计了小行星的自转速率分布, 使用核密度估计以及Kolmogorov-Smirnov检验分别分析了近地小行星和主带小行星自转速率的分布特性, 分别给出了在近地小行星和主带小行星中寻找受YORP效应影响减速自转的最佳样本群; 基于7颗已被探测到YORP旋转加速度的近地小行星, 利用YORP强度估计方法和光变探测条件建立了筛选模型, 给出了未来可直接通过光变数据探测\lk YORP效应的10颗近地小行星.     

太阳系动力学中当前的重要课题

以当前太阳系动力学中的重要课题以及研究方法进行讨论，并提出一些看法，课题中主要讨论动力学模型，轨道共振，行星环，混沌和长期演化，近地天体运动，Kupiper带，太阳系中的引力理论，以及其他有关问题。     

不同测站近地小行星地基观测效能评估研究

目标的完备性搜索是开展近地小行星预警和防御的前提. 为量化评价近地小行星观测效能, 提高监测设备使用效率, 提出一种综合望远镜参数和测站天文条件的观测效能评估方法. 以观测目标信噪比作为检测指标, 设定检测条件形成目标检测方法, 定义评价指标用于评估近地小行星观测效能. 再基于近地小行星轨道数据和尺度分布模型, 建立近地小行星轨道数据模拟样本库. 最后选取中国科学院紫金山天文台盱眙观测站和中国科学院国家天文台冷湖观测台址, 仿真分析近地天体望远镜对直径0.01--30km近地小行星的观测效能, 结果表明: 不考虑两观测站年有效观测时间差异, 近地天体望远镜在冷湖观测全尺寸模拟样本的效能比在盱眙提高了5.21倍, 其中对1km以上直径目标的观测效能相当, 对1km以下直径目标的观测效能差异开始显现, 对0.1km以下直径目标冷湖优势更显著.     

小行星(469219) Kamo`oalewa轨道的确定与误差分析

作为一颗与地球共轨道的小行星,(469219)Kamo'oalewa是一个具有很高研究价值的近地小天体,也是中国首次小行星探测计划的目标天体之一.针对其轨道特性,建立了兼顾太阳、地球和月球非球形引力作用的小行星动力学模型.并在该模型的基础上,利用国际小行星中心(Minor Planet Center,MPC)提供的2004|2018年间的光学观测数据对该小行星的轨道进行确定.拟合后观测残差的均方根误差约为0:2″(与美国喷气推进实验室的Horizons在线历表系统相当),其中2004年期间数据的观测残差有所改进.最后,对小行星(469219)Kamo'oalewa的轨道误差进行了详细分析,并预报了2020-2025年期间该小行星的轨道误差.     

关于太阳系中光压对各种天体运动的影响问题

关于太阳辐射（简称光压）对各种天体（大行星、小行星、慧星以及各类航天器）运动的影响,本文从较完整的力学模型着手,作了详尽的分析,其结论是：由于太阳辐射相对较弱,而辐射压的作用大小还取决于承受天体的有效面质比,对太阳系中各自然天体（包括慧星的一些物理现象）运动的影响并不重要,而对各类航天器运动的影响却是不可忽视的。中文给出的力学模型和相应的研究方法,在一定条件下同样适用于强辐射的天体系统。     

中国小望远镜观测太阳系小天体项目的回顾

回顾了中国用小望远镜进行的一些科研项目,如小行星的天体测量和测光观测,近地天体的观测和天然行星卫星的天体测量观测.介绍了小行星和近地天体轨道的测定,以及行星/月球历表的编制.简述了天体测量标准区的建立,从射电源光学对应体推算光学和射电参考架的联系,双星轨道的测定,以及星团成员星自行的测定.提出了改进GSC2.3的新项目...     

The use of radar observations of Near-Earth Asteroids in the determination of the dynamical equinox

Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) are Solar system special class objects attracting the attention of astronomical community especially during several of the last decades. To some extent the NEAs have an advantage over the minor planets of the main belt: due to close and regular approaches to the Earth the radar observations of NEAs can be obtained for the greater number of objects than for those of the main belt of the minor planets. In this paper the use of all available radar observations together with optical ones resulting in the combined data analysis solution is discussed for different problems such as the asteroid orbits and catalog orientation parameters determination. In particular the problem of the motion of the dynamical equinox in the Hipparcos reference system is considered. About 13000 radar and optical observations of 24 NEAs and main belt minor planets have been used to obtain the precise asteroid orbits, FK5 catalogue orientation parameters and the motion of the dynamical equinox from 1750 till 2000 in the Hipparcos system.     

Dynamical evolution of NEAs: Close encounters, secular perturbations and resonances

We discuss the main mechanisms affecting the dynamical evolution of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) by analyzing the results of three numerical integrations over 1 Myr of the NEA (4179) Toutatis. In the first integration the only perturbing planet is the Earth. So the evolution is dominated by close encounters and looks like a random walk in semimajor axis and a correlated random walk in eccentricity, keeping almost constant the perihelion distance and the Tisserand invariant. In the second integration Jupiter and Saturn are present instead of the Earth, and the 3/1 (mean motion) and v ₆ (secular) resonances substantially change the eccentricity but not the semimajor axis. The third, most realistic, integration including all the three planets together shows a complex interplay of effects, with close encounters switching the orbit between different resonant states and no approximate conservation of the Tisserand invariant. This shows that simplified 3-body or 4-body models cannot be used to predict the typical evolution patterns and time scales of NEAs, and in particular that resonances provide some “fast-track” dynamical routes from low-eccentricity to very eccentric, planet-crossing orbits.     

Fuzzy characterization of near-earth-asteroids

Due to close encounters with the inner planets, Near-Earth-Asteroids (NEAs) can have very chaotic orbits. Because of this chaoticity, a statistical treatment of the dynamical properties of NEAs becomes difficult or even impossible. We propose a new way to classify NEAs by using methods from Fuzzy Logic. We demonstrate how a fuzzy characterization of NEAs can be obtained and how a subsequent analysis can deliver valid and quantitative results concerning the long-term dynamics of NEAs.     

Generalized Averaging Principle and the Secular Evolution of Planet Crossing Orbits

Planet crossing orbits give rise to mathematical singularities that make it not possible to apply the classical averaging principle to study the qualitative evolution of Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs). Recently this principle has been generalized to deal with crossings in a mathematical model with the planets on circular coplanar orbits. More accuracy is needed to compute the averaged evolution of planet crossing orbits for different purposes: computing reliable crossing times for the averaged motion, writing more precise proper elements and frequencies for NEAs, etc. In this paper we present the generalization of the averaging principle using a model where the eccentricity and the inclination of the planets are taken into account.     

关于近地小行星轨道演化的初步探索

本文采用改进的显式辛算法和嵌套的PKF7（8）积分器同时对86颗已命名（或编号）的近地小行星的轨道演化进行了数值研究，在103－104年的时间尺度上，给出了这些小行星轨道演化的状况以及它们与几颗大行星靠近的最小距离，特别是与地球接近的最小距离可小于0．01天文单位，甚至可能比月球还更靠近地球．     

Secular Dynamics of Asteroids in the Inner Solar System

In the last three years we have carried out numerical and semi-analytical studies on the secular dynamical mechanisms in the region (semimajor axis a < 2 AU) where the NEA orbits evolve. Our numerical integrations (over a time span of a few Myr) have shown that: (i) the linear secular resonances with both the inner and the outer planets may play an important role in the dynamical evolution of NEAs; (ii) the apsidal secular resonance with Mars could provide an important dynamical transport mechanism by which asteroids in the Mars-crossing region eventually achieve Earth-crossing orbits; (iii) in this region, due to the interaction with the terrestrial planets, the Kozai resonance can occur at small inclinations, with the argument of perihelion ω librating around 0° or 180°, providing a temporary protection mechanism against close approaches to the planets. The location of the linear secular resonances in this zone has also been obtained by an automatic procedure using a semi-numerical method valid for all values of the inclinations and eccentricities of the small bodies, and also in the case of libration of the argument of perihelion. A map of the secular resonances in the (a, i) plane shows — in agreement with the numerical integrations — that all the resonances with the terrestrial and giant planets are present, and also that some of them overlap. Thus the way is now open to fully take into account secular resonances in modelling the dynamical evolution of NEAs. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

Dynamical evolution of NEAs: Close encounters, secular perturbations and resonances

We discuss the main mechanisms affecting the dynamical evolution of Near-Earth Asteroids (NEAs) by analyzing the results of three numerical integrations over 1 Myr of the NEA (4179) Toutatis. In the first integration the only perturbing planet is the Earth. So the evolution is dominated by close encounters and looks like a random walk in semimajor axis and a correlated random walk in eccentricity, keeping almost constant the perihelion distance and the Tisserand invariant. In the second integration Jupiter and Saturn are present instead of the Earth, and the 3/1 (mean motion) and v ₆ (secular) resonances substantially change the eccentricity but not the semimajor axis. The third, most realistic, integration including all the three planets together shows a complex interplay of effects, with close encounters switching the orbit between different resonant states and no approximate conservation of the Tisserand invariant. This shows that simplified 3-body or 4-body models cannot be used to predict the typical evolution patterns and time scales of NEAs, and in particular that resonances provide some fast-track dynamical routes from low-eccentricity to very eccentric, planet-crossing orbits.On leave from the Department of Mathematics, University of Pisa, Via Buonarroti 2, 56127 Pisa, Italy, thanks to the G. Colombo fellowships of the European Space Agency.     

Typical Velocities and Magnetic Field Strengths in Planetary Interiors

Recent studies of convection-driven dynamos in the outer core of the Earth have improved our understanding of the dynamical regime in fluid planetary cores. We consider the possible dynamical regimes in the cores of the Earth, Jupiter, and Saturn, and hence we estimate the typical velocities and magnetic fields expected in their interiors. These estimates are in reasonable agreement with observations of the large-scale internal fields of those planets. We use the fully self-consistent anelastic MHD (magnetohydrodynamics) equations which have been developed for the Earth, while the details of similar systems for Jupiter and Saturn are specified here. The known heat and composition fluxes together with magnetic, Archimedean, and Coriolis force balance give us typical velocity, entropy, and composition strengths independent of the rather poorly known transport coefficients. Those turbulent diffusion and magnetic diffusion coefficients are also estimated from mixing length theory and compared with available numerical models and standard kinematic approaches.