舟山群岛海域一次大风过程的诊断分析

对舟山群岛一次冷空气大风过程进行了诊断分析.结果表明:大风产生在典型的贝湖脊型横槽形势下,高空横槽的转竖使得冷空气从低层到高层开始向南爆发.冷空气南下与东海低压强烈发展造成的强气压梯度以及中低层冷平流的作用是造成强风的重要原因.高低层散度场的耦合以及高空锋区过境时产生的动力下沉运动造成强烈的动量下传,进一步加大了地面风速.     

一次猛烈低压大风的诊断分析

对舟山海域一次猛烈的低压大风过程进行了诊断分析。结果表明:地面气旋的强烈发展是由于其与高空疏散槽前的正涡度平流中心、辐散中心和暖平流中心在垂直方向紧密耦合的结果,高空急流的活动和加强进一步促进了地面气旋的发展,地面气旋发生发展在青藏高原上空西北急流出口区的左侧和日本海上空西南急流入口区的右侧。地面气旋的发展和冷空气共同作用造成的强气压梯度是引起海上强风的主要原因;高空西南急流轴附近激发出的次级环流下沉支中往南的非地转风,加大了地面风速;对流层中下层垂直环流由上升运动转为一致的下沉运动,引起动量下传进一步加大了地面风速。     

一次冷空气强风的成因分析

文章分析了2004年12月底的一次冷空气强风过程,揭示了冷空气南下与东海低压的发展造成的气压梯度、高低空较强的冷平流以及中低空辐合辐散差异引起的动力强迫下沉作用所造成的动量下传是造成本次猛烈强风的主要原因.最大强风发生区域和发生时间既与低层和中层700hPa分别转为辐散和辐合中心对应,又与中低层700hPa以下正好处于下沉速度中心附近对应.     

山东沿海偏北大风的天气学模型和物理量特征

应用观测资料和MICAPS3气象资料显示系统,分析研究了近十年山东沿海7级以上偏北大风的特征。对两年内36次区域性大风个例,以地面影响系统为主,把偏北大风分为四种类型:冷锋型、温带气旋型、回流冷空气型和北上热带气旋型,建立了偏北大风的天气学模型。分月份、分类型统计分析了偏北大风期间地面气压梯度、锋后冷高压强度、锋前低压强度、高低压之间的气压差、850 hPa锋区强度、850hPa偏北风风速、850hPa24h变温,给出了阈值和平均值;分析研究了各类型9级以上偏北大风气象要素的临界值。对各种类型偏北大风的物理量空间结构和形成机理进行了研究,结果表明:冷锋偏北大风在中低层为较强的下沉运动,低层辐散,有高空动量下传,偏北大风主要是快速南下的冷空气、下沉运动造成的辐散风和高空动量下传的共同作用;气旋型偏北大风在高空为正涡度、低层辐合、整层为上升运动,北大风主要取决于快速旋转的气旋性环流和向气旋中心的辐合运动;回流型偏北大风的中高空为上升,近地面层为下沉,偏北大风主要是低层快速南下的冷空气的水平运动。     

江、浙沿海气旋大风模式

一、前言气旋大风的预报,实际就是冷空气南下和入海高压加强造成地面加压与气旋东移发展造成地面降压,这两个因素所造成气压梯度变化的预报。本文根据嵊山、嵊泗、大陈、吕四气象站和小庙洪海洋站的冬、春汛大风资料,对江、浙沿海251次气旋大风过程进行天气、气候分析,获得四类气旋强度变化,冬春季频数及路径移动规律等情况。对江苏沿海59次气旋后部偏北大风和37次气旋前部偏南大风例子,应用天气学原理并结合日常预报工作经验,建立700毫巴和地面气压场天气形势模式,提供气象、海洋预报人员参考。     

舟山群岛一次"晴天暴"过程分析

主要使用常规填图资料计算各种物理量,对一次“晴天暴”大风过程进行诊断分析,结果表明此次大风的形成机制是:在强盛的西北急流作用下,急行性干冷锋快速东移南下,形成中低层的强温度梯度和地面气压梯度,高空冷平流与地面加热共同作用,形成大的温度层结递减率,产生不稳定层结,引起垂直动量交换,因此地面出现强风。最后总结出此类大风的预报思路。     

渤海中南部突发性大风成因分析及预报思考

利用常规资料、自动气象站、风廓线、ERA Interim 0.25°×0.25°再分析资料、EC-thin和TJwrf模式结果,对2017年11月23日夜间渤海突发性大风成因进行了诊断分析,并探讨短期时效的预报失败原因及订正思路。研究表明:(1)高空动量下传是风速快速增长的原因,较强的高层动量下传及风速垂直切变明显增强了近地层风速的突发性和对流性;(2)大风过程冷平流强度的增强直接造成地面增压,前期增温使冷锋过境时锋区强度加大地面气压梯度加强,风速变化与最大变压梯度对应,大风区位于正变压梯度中心;(3)由于前期增温导致补充冷空气过境前层结不稳定伴有上升运动,有利于空气的垂直能量交换;(4)数值模式因对地面高压强度及移速的预报偏差,导致模式对于渤海23日风场预报大幅度偏弱。     

山东近海温带气旋强南向大风的特征分析

利用站点观测、历史天气图和NCEP/NCAR的再分析资料,对近40年(1971-2010年)山东近海强南向大风的气候特征和温带气旋造成强南向大风的因素进行了分析。通过统计山东沿海6个代表站点40年的7级以上南向大风,表明:近40年山东近海强南向大风年日数基本呈逐渐减少的趋势,1991年以后年大风日数明显减少,强南向大风主要出现在春季和夏初;统计2000-2010年山东近海强南向大风的个例,发现,温带气旋造成山东近海强南向大风可分为北方气旋(蒙古气旋、黄河气旋)和南方气旋(江淮气旋、黄淮气旋)。分析两类气旋造成强南向大风的因素表明:气压梯度、850 hPa及以下急流和850 hPa暖平流是造成强南向大风的重要因子,3小时变压、500 hPa高空急流和暖平流是次要因子,但气旋在地面气压场配置、3小时变压分布、低空暖平流强弱等方面存在差异。     

“130318”渤海强风天气成因分析

应用国家自动气象观测站资料、常规观测资料和NCEP 1°×1°气候预测系统再分析资料,分析了2013年3月18日发生在渤海海域的一次强风天气过程,并剖析了其成因。结果表明:此过程为冷锋影响下的偏北大风,大风影响过程中,自上而下形成了冷平流的传输通道,冷空气向低层迅速传播,造成近地面层强冷平流,是强风产生的重要原因,同时冷空气影响时,强烈变压引起的变压风是强风产生的另一重要原因。另外,前期增温使得冷锋来临时锋区强度加大,从而引发强风。当冷锋过境,垂直锋面的次级环流导致强烈的动量下传也是造成瞬时强烈阵风的重要原因之一。     

我国东部沿海一次局地海雾抬升成云过程分析

利用洪家站L波段雷达探空资料、高分辨率海气耦合模式再分析资料、静止气象卫星云图和地面观测资料,分析了一次黄东海海雾抬升为低云,使海雾消散的过程。发现近海面偏南风速突然增强,海洋大气边界层(MABL)中机械剪切加强,湍流混合层向上发展,是导致海雾抬升转化为低云的主要原因。近海面风速突然增加与高空急流北抬、平均层槽脊振幅加大、槽前正涡度平流输入诱使地面低压系统发展、地面气压梯度力增大有关。近海面气温升高对海雾消散也有作用,气温升高的原因是暖平流、绝热下沉和海气界面热通量的综合效应。其中,东海海洋锋(STF)冷区的下沉气流可能对边界层内的绝热下沉增温和低云的形成高度有重要的影响。该研究为海雾消散预报提供了新的思路。     

Study on the current structure of the thermohaline front in the southeastern entrance of the Yellow Sea during winter

A thermohaline front is located at the southeastern entrance of the Yellow Sea in winter, and it is generated by the intrusion of warm saline water into the Yellow Sea caused by a strong northerly wind. Recently, a westward transversal current traveling away from the west coast of Korea toward the open sea area along the front was reported. The westward transversal current is dominant in the surface layer during the temperature inversion period. The formation and structure of this current are examined using a numerical vertical ocean-slice model. When two different water masses meet, a front is formed and adjusted geostrophically. In this frontal zone, a horizontal pressure gradient flow by the vertically inclined isopycnal occurs under the thermal wind process in a baroclinic effect, and the cold fresh coastal water moves westward along the front in the upper layer. The barotropic effect across the front and the bottom friction effect strengthen the westward component of the velocity. The velocity of the bottom layer decreases remarkably in the increase of the bottom drag coefficient. This means that the bottom friction with the strong background tidal current causes a reduction in the current in the bottom layer.     

长江河口北支上口不规则周期潮流的动力机制

数值模拟和动量分析长江河口北支上口枯季大潮期间 1 d内出现"四涨四落"不规则周期涨落潮流现象。长江河口北支上口 1日内两次涨潮流和两次落潮流为常规涨落潮流,受外海半日潮流控制,两次涨潮流和落潮流为非常规涨落潮流。北支上口非常规的涨潮流处于南支落潮的末期,范围小,流速弱,历时约2 h;表层主要是垂向黏滞项和水平扩散项与正压项间的作用,南向的垂向黏滞项起着决定的作用,底层则是斜压项与正压项间的作用;北支上口非常规涨潮流是北风、盐度锋面产生的南向斜压压强梯度力和南支末期落潮流的牵引作用共同造成的;径流抑制非常规涨潮流的产生,持续时间随径流量的增加呈指数递减,当径流量达到22 300 m3/s时,非常规涨潮流现象消失。北支上口非常规落潮流处于南支涨潮流的初期,由于在北支上口南支的涨潮流早于北支涨潮流,导致南支水体进入北支,形成北支上口第二次落潮流,范围较大,流速较强,历时约2.5 h,从表层至底层主要是垂向黏滞项与非线性平流项和正压项之间的作用。本文揭示了北支上口 1 d内出现"四涨四落"不规则周期涨落潮流的动力过程和机制。     

1992-2011年夏季南海西部离岸流区涡流相互作用特征

本文利用南海海洋再分析产品REDOS（Reanalysis Dataset of the South China Sea）和风场资料CCMP（Cross-Calibrated,Multi-Platform）,从能量学角度探讨了1992-2011年夏季（6-9月）越南离岸流区域涡-流相互作用特征,并通过能量收支方程诊断评估了风应力、压力梯度、正压不稳定以及平流的相对贡献。以越南离岸流的强度作为分类标准,对1992-2011年划分为正异常年、负异常年和正常年。结果表明,在正异常年,涡动能EKE（Eddy Kinetic Energy）和涡势能EPE（Eddy available Potential Energy）极大值主要分布在越南离岸流附近;在负异常年,EKE极大值向南北两侧分散,EPE极大值向北延伸;在正常年,EKE和EPE的极值空间分布介于正负异常之间。斜压不稳定是EPE年际变化的主要因素,越南离岸流影响周围海域的速度和密度分布,是斜压不稳定的主要原因。而影响EKE年际变化的因素较为复杂,压力做功是最主要的影响因素,风应力做功和平流做功次之,正压不稳定最小,其中正压不稳定依赖于流速大小和由风应力旋度扰动引起的上层水平流速剪切。     

Density Current Descending along Continental Slope and the Associated Deep Water Formation: Two-Dimensional Numerical Experiments with a Nonhydrostatic Model

Numerical experiments with a two-dimensional nonhydrostatic ocean model have been carried out to investigate the dynamical process of descending density current on a continental slope. The associated deep water formation has been also examined by tracking labeled particles. The descending flow along the continental slope occurs in the bottom Ekman layer. The net pressure gradient determining the volume transport consists of not only the pressure gradient due to density deviation but also the surface pressure gradient due to the depth-mean alongshore flow. Since these constituents have the opposite signs and strengthen each other, the oscillation with an alternation of intense up- and downslope flows appears around the shelf break. This temporal variation of the flow field causes the effective mixing on the slope between descending shelf and interior waters and forms the deep water as a mixture of them at a ratio of about 1:3. The present result is applied to the slope current around Antarctica, using velocity and density fields calculated by an ocean general circulation model. The Ekman volume transport is estimated at 0.97 Sv (1 Sv = 10⁶ m³s^–1) in the Weddell Sea, 0.35 Sv in the Ross Sea, and 1.8 Sv in total. About 70% of them is attributed to the depth-mean alongshore flow, such as the East Wind Drift and the Weddell Gyre driven by the wind. This suggests that the pressure gradient due to other factors than density deviation may play an important role in the deep and bottom water formation in the actual oceans.     

Double-celled circulation in coastal upwelling

Simple numerical experiments on two-dimensional coastal upwelling are made with emphasis on the role of non-geostrophic solenoidal field of density in the formation of double-celled circulation and multi-celled density front. Geometry of shelf and slope is not taken into account. Existence of poleward undercurrent presumably caused by the longshore variation of the large scale pressure field is also suppressed for the sake of simplicity.The results are, (1) double-celled circulation revealed in the present experiment is closely related with the internal frictional layer, where the horizontal density gradient balances with the vertical gradient of the longshore velocity and the vertical diffusion of the vorticity. (2) density front formed by the emergence of the pycnocline to the sea surface is successively advected offshoreward by the Ekman transport. (3) the pycnocline intersecting the sea surface forms the density front which is nearly vertical on account of the small scale convection. The surface currents converge at the front and construct an anti-clockwise circulation (viewed from the lee side). (4) small coefficient of eddy viscosity and strong wind stress lead the Ekman transport unstable and form a multi-celled structure in the frontal region.     

How faithfully will the geostrophic currents represent the existing ocean currents?

It is widely recognized that the geostrophic flows computed by the dynamic method of Bjerknes and collaborators represent the actual currents pretty faithfully. However, what would be the reason that a geostrophic current derived by only retaining the terms of Coriolis and the pressure gradient forces in the hydrodynamical equations agrees so closely with the actual ocean current of the same area? In this attempt was assumed an imaginative ocean of homogeneous water and uniform depth on a rotating earth but with neither continent nor islands. The average wind distribution observed along several meridians over the Pacific Ocean was assumed to prevail in this sea throughout with no variation in east-west direction. Taking the curvature of the earth surface, rotation of the earth, Coriolis forces, pressure gradients and the horizontal and vertical eddy viscosity into account, the equations of motion were solved and velocity components were derived for all latitudes. A comparison of the east-west components thus obtained with the corresponding components of the geostrophic flows, reveals that they agree well in higher latitudes but there appears a remarkable disagreement in lower latitudes. This means that a special care must be taken in replacing the existing currents with the geostrophic flows at lower latitudes.     

TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason Equatorial Sea Surface Slope Anomaly in the Atlantic in 2002: Comparison with Wind and Current Measurements at 23W

A time series of velocity profile in the upper 150 m of the equatorial Atlantic was gathered at 23W in 2002 within the PIRATA program. It constitutes the first time series of near surface current measurements simultaneous with altimetric data in the equatorial Atlantic. The surface slope anomaly along the equator is computed from satellite altimetry, and, as a proxy for the pressure gradient along the equator, compared with the wind and near surface current data. In a first step, a time series of the surface slope anomaly along the equator in the Atlantic is computed from the 10-year-long TOPEX/Poseidon sea level anomalies. A sensitivity study establishes the robustness of the calculation. Apart from a 15 cm bias, the equatorial sea surface slope anomalies estimated either from TOPEX/Poseidon or from Jason over the 6-month overlap (Feb.–Aug. 2002) do not reveal drastic differences. We produce two sea surface slope anomaly composite time series for 2002 (one with T/P data, the other with Jason data during the commissioning phase) and compare them to the wind and velocity data at 23W. As expected, the near surface velocity and depth of the upper limit of the equatorial undercurrent (EUC) are extremely well correlated with the surface pressure gradient anomaly. 10-year-long time series of altimetry-derived zonal sea surface slope anomaly and ECMWF ERA40 wind stress are also well correlated. They exhibit similar spectral content and similar anomalous years. This is a first step towards a full analysis of the EUC dynamics using altimetry, PIRATA data (near surface current and subsurface thermohaline structure) and model. These initial comparisons reinforce the utility of Jason measurements for continuing the 10-year and highly accurate TOPEX/Poseidon time series for study of equatorial signals.     

TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason Equatorial Sea Surface Slope Anomaly in the Atlantic in 2002: Comparison with Wind and Current Measurements at 23W

A time series of velocity profile in the upper 150 m of the equatorial Atlantic was gathered at 23W in 2002 within the PIRATA program. It constitutes the first time series of near surface current measurements simultaneous with altimetric data in the equatorial Atlantic. The surface slope anomaly along the equator is computed from satellite altimetry, and, as a proxy for the pressure gradient along the equator, compared with the wind and near surface current data. In a first step, a time series of the surface slope anomaly along the equator in the Atlantic is computed from the 10-year-long TOPEX/Poseidon sea level anomalies. A sensitivity study establishes the robustness of the calculation. Apart from a 15 cm bias, the equatorial sea surface slope anomalies estimated either from TOPEX/Poseidon or from Jason over the 6-month overlap (Feb.-Aug. 2002) do not reveal drastic differences. We produce two sea surface slope anomaly composite time series for 2002 (one with T/P data, the other with Jason data during the commissioning phase) and compare them to the wind and velocity data at 23W. As expected, the near surface velocity and depth of the upper limit of the equatorial undercurrent (EUC) are extremely well correlated with the surface pressure gradient anomaly. 10-year-long time series of altimetry-derived zonal sea surface slope anomaly and ECMWF ERA40 wind stress are also well correlated. They exhibit similar spectral content and similar anomalous years. This is a first step towards a full analysis of the EUC dynamics using altimetry, PIRATA data (near surface current and subsurface thermohaline structure) and model. These initial comparisons reinforce the utility of Jason measurements for continuing the 10-year and highly accurate TOPEX/Poseidon time series for study of equatorial signals.     

A Study on Snowstorm Weather in Coastal Area of Western Antarctic

In this paper,based on the observational data of 1995in the Chinese Antarctic Great Wall Station the snowstorm is studied synoptically.It is found that there are two kinds of snowstorms with different physical characteristics and that the happening of snowstorm is always accompanied by a near-ground level inversion laycr.The function of the inversion layer is analyzed,too,It is indicated that thestrong ESE-wind type snowstorm is mainly caused by katbatic wind and gradient wind together.This idea is new and different from the general concept that there is no katabatic wind in the westerm Antarctic area.