1951～2002年中国东、西部地区地面气温变化对比

利用1951～2002年全国733个测站经过非均一性检验的月平均气温资料,在剔除50万以上人口大城市测站后,分析了52年来中国东、西部及青藏高原地区的气温变化趋势的一致性和差异性,并讨论了其可能原因.结果表明我国东、西部地区年、季平均气温变化有着较好的一致性;近52年来,我国东、西部和青藏高原地区年平均气温均呈升温趋势,年平均气温的增温速率东部为026℃/10a,西部018℃/10a,东部比西部高008℃/10a;季平均气温东部地区冬、春季的增暖趋势大于西部和青藏高原,而其夏、秋季的增暖趋势小于西部和青藏高原.我国东、西部地区年、季平均气温变化关系密切,说明其主要是受全球气候变化的影响而变化,但东部年平均气温的增暖总趋势大于西部,又说明地域差异在气温变化中也有重要作用.     

Extreme climate events,migration for cultivation and policies:A case study in the early Qing Dynasty of China

Based on the historical records of the annual increase in the workforce (men older than 16 years of age), the annual new taxed cropland in the Shengjing area (Northeast China), the extreme climate events in North China, and related management policies in Northeast China during 1661―1680, a case study has been conducted to investigate the relationship between the extreme climate events in North China and the migration to Northeast China for cultivation. This study has found that the migration to Northeast China for cultivation from 1661 to 1680 was a response to the drought events that occurred in North China. The upsurge of migration, which occurred in 1665―1680, was a response to the drought period during 1664―1680 in North China while the fewer disasters period in Northeast China. There were three migratory peaks during the upsurge of migration, which corresponded to the three drought events. The peaks of migration, however, often lagged behind the drought events about 1―2 years. The encourag-ing-migration policy, which was adopted to encourage cultivation in Northeast China, did not produce much migration into the region in the early Qing Dynasty. It did, however, provide a policy background, which ensured more than 10000 migrants per year to Northeast China when North China suffered from drought/flood disasters. As a response to the highest peak of migration induced by the severe droughts in North China during 1664―1667, a prohibiting-migration policy restricted further migration to Northeast China was carried out in 1668. Although the prohibiting-migration policy could not entirely stop the migrants fleeing from famine in North China to Northeast China, the migrants and cultivation were significantly reduced under the policy. The frequent changes of the policy on the years when taxation started after the land was cultivated were also related to climate events. The extreme climate events in North China, migration to Northeast China for cultivation, and the related management poli-cies showed an impact-response chain, which reflected the interaction among extreme climate events, human behavior, and policies.     

Seismic anisotropy beneath the Chinese Mainland: Constraints from shear wave splitting analyses

We use earthquakes recorded by the China National Seismic Network from 2015 to 2019 and measure shear wave splitting parameters of SKS to study the anisotropic characteristics beneath the mainland of China. In general, the fast directions change from nearly E-W in western China (northwest China and Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau) to nearly N–S in central China (Ordos and Sichuan-Yunnan), and then turn to approximately E-W in eastern China (North and South China). The delay times of slow wave in eastern China are about 1.0–1.7 ​s, larger than those in central and western China (about 0.6–1.0 ​s). In addition, the fast directions in eastern China are highly consistent with the plate motion direction and horizontal GPS velocities with respect to Eurasia, indicating that the observed anisotropy is mainly from the asthenosphere which is strongly coupled to the overlying lithosphere. However, the fast directions in western China are mostly in accord with the strike of the surface structures (such as faults), possibly due to the directional arrangement of crystal lattices caused by shear deformation under tectonic activities.     

中国近海海平面变化特征分析

用经验正交函数分析方法,对中国近海14年多的测高海平面同化格网资料进行分析,给出了黄海、东海和南海各海平面变化主要主成分的空间变化和时间变化特征.用标准Morlet小波变换方法分析了各海区主成分时间变化序列的时频特征.分析结果表明,各主成分的空间分布特征与当地的海洋环流或洋流特征相对应.时频分析结果显示,中国近海海平面变化的显著周期主要为年周期信号.其次,黄海和东海还显示准2个月的非稳态信号,东海和南海具有较显著的半年周期信号,东海半年周期信号的能量不稳定.此外,在南海及台湾东部海域,首次发现存在较为显著的准540天周期信号,其动力学机制目前尚不明确.坎门和西沙验潮站资料的时频特征分析也验证了该信号的存在.最后本文给出了中国近海海平面在1993~2007年间的平均上升速率和其区域分布特征.     

Land use effects on climate in China as simulated by a regional climate model

A regional climate model (RegCM3) nested within ERA40 re-analyzed data is used to investigate the climate effects of land use change over China. Two 15-year simulations (1987―2001), one with current land use and the other with potential vegetation cover without human intervention, are conducted for a domain encompassing China. The climate impacts of land use change are assessed from the difference between the two simulations. Results show that the current land use (modified by anthropogenic ac- tivities) influences local climate as simulated by the model through the reinforcement of the monsoon circulation in both the winter and summer seasons and through changes of the surface energy budget. In winter, land use change leads to reduced precipitation and decreased surface air temperature south of the Yangtze River, and increased precipitation north of the Yangtze River. Land use change signifi- cantly affects summer climate in southern China, yielding increased precipitation over the region, de- creased temperature along the Yangtze River and increased temperature in the South China area (south-end of China). In summer, a reduction of precipitation over northern China and a temperature rise over Northwest China are also simulated. Both daily maximum and minimum temperatures are affected in the simulations. In general, the current land use in China leads to enhanced mean annual precipitation and decreased annual temperature over south China along with decreased precipitation over North China.     

Conodont diversification during the Ordovician: A perspective from North China and Tarim (Northwestern China)

Review of the literature on Ordovician conodont diversification in palaeoplates of North and Western China reveals that four diversity peaks are present in North China, occurring in the middle Tremadocian, early Floian, late Floian, and late Darriwilian, with three of these peaks (excepting that in the late Floian) also being recorded in Tarim. Three diversification intervals are present in North China, during the Tremadocian, late Floian, early and middle Darriwilian; comparable intervals are observed in the early and late Tremadocian, early Floian, and the Middle Ordovician in Tarim. The main conodont diversification episode in both palaeoplates took place in the Darriwilian, at the time of the Great Ordovician Biodiversification Event. A comparison of conodont diversity patterns in different palaeoplates (North China, Tarim, and South China) demonstrates that conodont radiation events mainly occurred within the Tremadocian, Floian, and Darriwilian. Conodont diversifications in these paleoplates also display some differences. In contrasting with Tarim and South China, North China witnessed a rapid conodont diversification during late Floian time. Conodont diversity in North China and Tarim increased continually and reached a peak in the late Darriwilian, concurrent with a prominent decreasing trend in South China. Differences of conodont diversification in these three palaeoplates may be related to their palaeogeography and tectonic history. When conodont diversifications in North China and Tarim are analysed on the background of palaeoenvironments, the main episodes are seen to be partly coincident with second order sea-level changes, particularly in North China. In general, conodont radiation correlates with large scale transgressions.     

中国大陆地震死亡率的标度律及其在预测中的应用

研究了中国大陆华北地区、西南地区和西北地区自1500年以来因地震造成人员死亡率的自相似指数标度律, 并将其应用于泊松模型中, 对未来地震人员死亡数作了长期预测。预测表明, 在2020年前, 华北地区、西南地区发生地震死亡1 000人以上事件以及西北地区发生地震死亡100人以上事件的概率都在0. 8以上。     

中国遥感的回顾与展望

概要地回顾了我国自上世纪50年代以来的遥感研究，主要讨论近二十年来的遥感发展进程，并对新世纪我国遥感发展作出展望。     

Spatial patterns of terrestrial net ecosystem productivity in China during 1981–2000

As the third largest country in the world, China has highly variable environmental condition and ecological pattern in both space and time. Quantification of the spatial-temporal pattern and dynamic of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle in China is of great significance to regional and global carbon budget. In this study, we used a high-resolution climate database and an improved ecosystem process-based model to quantify spatio-temporal pattern and dynamic of net ecosystem productivity (NEP) in China and its responses to climate change during 1981 to 2000. The results showed that NEP increased from north to south and from northeast to southwest. Positive NEP (carbon sinks) occurred in the west of Southwest China, southeastern Tibet, Sanjiang Plain, Da Hinggan Mountains and the mid-west of North China. Negative NEP (carbon sources) were mainly found in Central China, the south of Southwest China, the north of Xinjiang, west and north of Inner Mongolia, and parts of North China. From the 1980s to 1990s, the increasing trend of NEP occurred in the middle of Northeast China Plain and the Loess Plateau and decreasing trends mainly occurred in a greater part of Central China. In the study period, natural forests had minimal carbon uptake, while grassland and shrublands accounted for nearly three fourths of the total carbon terrestrial uptakes in China during 1981–2000. Supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (G2002CB412507), the Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.30590384), the “Hundred Talent” Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and K C WONE Education Foundation     

Spatial patterns of terrestrial net ecosystem productivity in China during 1981-2000

As the third largest country in the world, China has highly variable environmental condition and eco logical pattern in both space and time. Quantification of the spatial-temporal pattern and dynamic of terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle in China is of great significance to regional and global carbon budget. In this study, we used a high-resolution climate database and an improved ecosystem process-based model to quantify spatio-temporal pattern and dynamic of net ecosystem productivity (NEP) in China and its responses to climate change during 1981 to 2000. The results showed that NEP increased from north to south and from northeast to southwest. Positive NEP (carbon sinks) occurred in the west of Southwest China, southeastern Tibet, Sanjiang Plain, Da Hinggan Mountains and the mid-west of North China. Negative NEP (carbon sources) were mainly found in Central China, the south of Southwest China, the north of Xinjiang, west and north of Inner Mongolia, and parts of North China.From the 1980s to 1990s, the increasing trend of NEP occurred in the middle of Northeast China Plain and the Loess Plateau and decreasing trends mainly occurred in a greater part of Central China. In the study period, natural forests had minimal carbon uptake, while grassland and shrublands accounted for nearly three fourths of the total carbon terrestrial uptakes in China during 1981 -2000.     

SRES B2情景下中国区域最高、最低气温及日较差变化分布特征初步分析

本文利用Hadley气候预测与研究中心的区域气候模式系统PRECIS进行中国区域气候基准时段(1961～1990年)和SRES B2情景下2071～2100年(2080s)最高、最低气温及日较差变化响应的分析.气候基准时段的模拟结果与观测资料的对比分析表明：PRECIS具有对中国区域最高、最低气温及日较差的模拟能力，能够模拟出中国区域最高、最低气温及日较差的局地分布特征.对SRES B2情景下相对于气候基准时段的最高、最低气温及日较差变化响应分析表明：中国区域2080s时段年、冬季和夏季平均最高、最低气温变化均呈一致增加的趋势，北方地区增温幅度普遍大于南方地区.夏季东北地区极端高温事件发生的频率将会增加，而冬季华北地区极端冷害事件发生频率将会减少.未来中国区域年平均日较差将出现北方地区减小而南方地区增加的趋势.冬季长江中下游以南地区日较差呈增加趋势，而夏季华东地区、西北地区及内蒙古中部日较差将呈减小趋势，其中在青藏高原北部地区存在一个较强的低值中心.     

地壳介质非均匀性对华北地区强震活动的影响

华北地区是我国地震灾害最频繁的地区之一,该区域的强震空间分布可能与地壳介质的不均匀性有关.本文建立了华北地区岩石圈三维Maxwell模型,并尝试采用剪切波分裂参数为新的约束条件,对区域地壳运动场和应力应变场进行了模拟,探讨地壳介质不均匀性与区域地震活动的关系.研究结果表明:外部动力源控制了华北地区整体的地壳运动方式,地...     

2001年我国大陆中强地震活动的构造背景

归纳总结了2001年我国西部5级、东部4级以上地震的发震构造背景，研究表明：2001年中国大陆5级以上的地震大部分发生在青藏一级地块内，华北地块仅发生几次4级地震，其它地块内的地震也较少。发震断层均为各活动地块内的主要活动断层。其中1998－2001年，我国大陆中强地震整体活动水平下半年明显强于上半年。     

亚洲夏季风水汽输送的年际年代际变化与中国旱涝的关系

利用1958～2002年的NCEP-R1和ERA-40逐日再分析资料以及中国160站点月平均降水资料探讨了亚洲夏季风水汽输送的年际年代际变化及其与中国降水异常的关系. 分析结果表明,亚洲夏季风水汽输送和中国夏季降水的异常主模态呈现显著的准两年变化周期. 当南亚夏季风纬向水汽输送偏强（弱）时,东亚—西北太平洋地区水汽输送的偶极型异常有利于长江中下游地区和江淮流域的水汽辐合负（正）异常与华南和华北地区的水汽辐合正（负）异常,从而引起中国东部的经向三极子雨型,即长江中下游地区和江淮流域的偏旱（涝）与华南和华北地区的偏涝（旱）. 1970s年代末之后,亚洲夏季风水汽输送的年代际减弱与西北太平洋地区水汽输送的偶极型异常相配合,导致长江中下游地区的持续偏涝与华南和华北地区的持续偏旱. 从中国夏季降水异常与水汽通量辐合异常的同相对应关系来看,ERA-40资料对亚洲夏季风水汽输送年际年代际变化的描述能力强于NCEP-R1资料.     

我国深部探测技术与实验研究进展综述

深部探测技术与实验研究专项(SinoProbe,2008-2012)是我国历史上实施的规模最大的地球深部探测计划.专项开展了全国4°×4°、华北和青藏高原1°×1°的大地电磁阵列观测,建立了全国地球化学基准网(含78种元素),完成了青藏高原、华南-中央造山带、华北和东北等四条超长深地震反射剖面,部署了罗布莎、金川、腾冲、南岭、庐枞和铜陵等大陆科学钻探实验,开展了青藏高原东南缘和华北地区地应力监测;在我国东部长江中下游和南岭成矿带开展的矿集区立体探测卓有成效.同时,专项还开展了岩石圈三维结构与地球动力学数值模拟、大陆地壳结构与演化的综合研究.专项全面实施以来,已经完成约6000 km的深地震反射剖面,成功研究、实验了地壳与地幔深部探测的一系列技术方法,积累了丰富经验,极大地加快了我国深部探测的进度,在国内外产生了强烈的反响.专项实现了技术组合创新、技术进步与重大科学发现的并举,适应我国地质地貌条件和地壳/岩石圈结构特征,初步形成了具有不同层次、不同尺度、不同精度探测空间组合的深部探测技术方法体系,建立了若干各具地质特色的探测试验基地.专项实验已经取得了一系列重大突破与重要成果,深部探测关键仪器装备自主研发获得重大突破,为全面开展地壳探测工程的组织实施奠定了必要的技术基础.     

华北克拉通中东部基底构造单元的重磁特征

系统收集并重新处理了华北克拉通中东部的重磁资料,利用处理结果,结合近年来华北克拉通前寒武纪结晶基底构造研究的进展,重新将华北克拉通中东部划分为2个一级重磁异常单元和7个二级重磁异常单元;重点描述了7条分划性断裂的重磁特征,特别指出中国东部重力梯度带正是华北克拉通中部带的集中表现,而郯庐断裂带和兰考～聊城～盐山～台安-大洼断裂带是燕山期陆内不同刚性块体调整的重要边界,所以也是重磁特征的变异带．据此,对华北克拉通断裂与构造单元的重磁异常特征赋予了新的地质意义．研究表明,华北克拉通现今的地球物理特征能够反映结晶基底构造,其原因是华北克拉通现今构造格局是中新生代构造继承结晶基底构造的结果．     

从板块构造观点论南海的成因

南海是亚洲东部的一个边缘海。从板块构造观点看来,南海及其周围整个东南亚大陆边缘恰好位于欧亚板块、太平洋板块和印度洋-澳大利亚板块交汇处,即处于一板块“三叉点”上。 根据此区域内已有的地球物理及地质资料,作者认为南海海盆是新生的边缘海板块而不是沉没的古老地台。 南海的形成是由于新生代早期在其两侧存在一背离式的板块“三叉点”所致,此“三叉点”的位置在海南岛南侧和印支半岛东侧。“三叉点”以东的地壳因局部海底扩张而被推向东,至菲律宾群岛一线,导致南海深海盆（所谓“中国盆地”）的张开和上地幔物质的上涌。 根据资料分析,作者认为南海海底扩张轴是北东向平行于大陆边缘的,扩张的时代是从渐新世晚期至中新世。     

2011年日本9.0级地震的同震位错以及震后应力松弛过程对中国大陆的影响

本文基于日本GEONET的GPS观测资料, 对日本2011年9.0级地震的同震和震后形变过程进行了研究。 结果表明, 日本9.0级地震使中国大陆出现了显著的同震位移, 几乎对整个中国大陆都有影响。 位移量在中国东北地区最大, 接近甚至超过该地区的年运动速率。 震后1年观测到的形变基本上可由沿着断层面的蠕滑进行模拟, 粘弹松弛的贡献不大。 根据所得到的震后蠕滑模型, 震后1年形变所释放的能量等同于发生一个8.7级地震, 其影响主要在东部地区, 最大位移约为年运动速率的30%。 预测在未来2年, 该地震的影响范围将逐渐减小。 地震造成的粘弹松弛在未来50~100年的尺度上, 对东北地区有拉张效应。 日本9.0级地震整体上起到了卸载中国大陆在板块间挤压过程中所累积应变能的作用, 因此该地震发生后的几个月, 中国大陆东部的地震活动水平较震前明显降低。     

Vegetation and soil carbon storage in China

This study estimated the current vegetation and soil carbon storage in China using a biogeochemical model driven with climate, soil and vegetation data at 0.5° latitude-longitude grid spatial resolution. The results indicate that the total carbon storage in China's vegetation and soils was 13.33 Gt C and 82.65 Gt C respectively, about 3% and 4% of the global total. The nationally mean vegetation and soil carbon densities were 1.47 kg C/m2 and 9.17 kg C/m2, respectively, differing greatly in various regions affected by climate, vegetation, and soil types. They were generally higher in the warm and wet Southeast China and Southwest China than in the arid Northwest China; whereas vegetation carbon density was the highest in the warm Southeast China and Southwest China, soil carbon density was the highest in the cold Northeast China and southeastern fringe of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. These spatial patterns are clearly correlated with variations in the climate that regulates plant growth and soil organi     

中国东部海域及邻区岩石层地幔的P波速度结构与构造分析

利用中国大陆东部及台湾地区、日本和琉球群岛的地震观测数据，通过体波地震层析技术反演了中国东部海域及其邻近地区的P波速度结构.以此为依据分析了不同地区的岩石层性质和深部动力学条件，探讨了中朝与扬子块体、扬子与华夏块体在海区的深部边界及其构造属性，揭示出菲律宾海板块与欧亚大陆的碰撞以及板片俯冲下沉、弧后扩张作用对中国东部海域岩石层结构的影响.结果表明，中国东部海域的岩石层地幔存在明显的横向非均匀性，它们与区域构造的形成演化有一定的联系.中国大陆东部的五莲－青岛断裂与朝鲜半岛西缘断裂、济州岛南缘断裂共同构成中朝和扬子块体的边界，江绍断裂向东延伸至朝鲜半岛南端成为分隔扬子和华夏块体的边界；东海陆架与冲绳海槽的岩石层结构差异明显，东海陆架具有中国东部地区的岩石层特征，属于欧亚大陆向海域的延伸；冲绳海槽的岩石层强烈减薄，为大陆向大洋过渡的区域；沿着日本－琉球－台湾俯冲带，菲律宾海板块俯冲下沉引起的地幔扰动对中国东部海域产生了较大的影响，欧亚大陆与菲律宾海板块之间的相互碰撞导致台湾地区岩石层明显增厚.