锚杆不确定性对加固边坡失稳概率的影响

为了探究锚杆不确定性对加固边坡失稳概率的影响, 建立了施加锚杆后的边坡模型, 通过以下两种途径来考虑锚杆的不确定性: 其一是假定锚杆与锚固体之间接触面上的单位表面摩擦力为对数正态分布变量, 其二是引入锚杆与锚固体之间接触面上的单位表面摩擦力衰减系数来考虑运营过程中锚杆的不确定性。采用极限平衡分析法并结合蒙特卡罗抽样法, 计算并对比分析了两种途径下锚固边坡失稳概率变化曲线, 最后以深圳假日酒店基坑边坡支护工程为例, 证明所提方法的有效性。结果表明: 对于途径一, 在相同土体统计参数下, 随着锚杆与锚固体之间接触面上单位表面摩擦力变异系数的增加, 加固边坡的失稳概率缓慢增加, 增幅介于18.03%~41.90%之间。对于途径二, 随着锚杆衰减系数自1.0逐步减小至0, 加固边坡失稳概率迅速增加, 增幅介于55.64%~124.90%之间; 在同一衰减系数下, 加固边坡失稳概率随着锚杆衰减根数的增加而增大。研究结果可以为锚杆施工与运营期间的管理提供决策支持。      

反倾岩质边坡的时效变形破坏研究

为研究反倾岩质边坡的变形破坏规律性与形成机制,以黄河上游茨哈峡水电站库区反倾岩质边坡变形破坏为例,基于系统的工程地质方法并结合离散元模拟边坡的变形演化进程,对其倾倒变形的时效性进行了分析并研究了其形成演化机制。结果表明:①该倾倒边坡的时效变形规律表现为倾倒变形在不同方向上具有差异性,其时空演化特征表现为斜坡顶部的拉裂和中部的弯曲变形,目前倾倒体内未形成贯通性失稳界面,倾倒拉裂和弯曲变形同时存在,表现为倾倒机制的长期性、积累性和阶段性;②该类斜坡的变形破坏是岩层在自重应力作用下做悬臂梁弯曲,岩层发生弯曲变形,导致坡体后缘开裂、根部折断、前缘剪切蠕变,当坡体折断带内的剪应力超过其抗剪强度时,坡体逐渐错动下滑形成倾倒塌滑体;③该倾倒变形体的破坏模式为弯曲—拉裂变形、弯曲—折断破裂、蠕滑—拉裂变形、表层滑塌和深部滑坡形成。      

爆破作用下顺层岩质边坡稳定的可靠性分析

基于可靠度理论建立顺层岩质边坡稳定的可靠性分析方法,获得顺层岩质边坡可靠指标和失稳概率的计算表达式。以某高切坡为例分析其稳定状态和失稳概率,并据此探讨不同粘聚力、内摩擦角、炸药量和爆心距条件下边坡失稳概率的变化规律。计算结果表明,粘聚力对边坡的失稳概率影响较大;随着内摩擦角的增加,边坡失稳概率近乎线性减小;当单孔药量从10 kg增大到160 kg后,失稳概率增幅97.10%;当爆心距小于20 m时,边坡的失稳概率减小的速度很快,而爆心距超过20 m后边坡失稳概率减小的幅度较小。考虑爆破振动的时效性,爆破荷载使边坡失稳概率增大49.61%,单次爆破振动的影响时间约6 s。     

某水电站导流明渠边坡倾倒变形分区与治理

倾倒变形体的变形机理控制其变形破坏特征,反映其变形演化规律,直接影响倾倒变形体的工程治理措施类型和方式.首先,通过现场监测数据绘制累计位移曲线,结合克里金插值法,分析西部某水电站导流明渠边坡的倾倒变形破坏特点,并基于分析结果对坡体进行分区,根据不同区域的特点,提出针对该倾倒变形边坡的支护建议.其次,根据导流明渠边坡的工程地质特点,以剖面２Ｇ２′为研究对象,利用 UDEC进行数值模拟,支护后边坡的破坏区域、塑性区和位移明显减小.在此基础上分析边坡从开挖前到建议支护后的变形破坏演化规律,进而揭示边坡变形机理.研究结果表明,结合克里金插值法的分析,基于监测数据进行坡体分区后的支护建议具有较强合理性.研究成果为倾倒变形体的治理设计提供了一定参考依据.      

秦皇岛市工程场地地面运动峰值加速度预测

工程场地地面运动峰值加速度是强震区城市发展规划、抗震防灾的重要依据,也是工程建筑抗震设计的基本参数。本文在研究秦皇岛市区域地震地质环境和地震活动规律的基础上,确定了区域潜在震源区及相应的地震活动性参数。将该市工程场地划分为规则网格,采用地震危险性分析的概率方法,计算出各场地在各不同年限内所遭受到的不同地震危险性概率水平。最后,编制出了供一般工业与民用建筑设计使用的,按50年10％给定概率水平的秦皇岛市地面运动加速度预测图。     

济南高陡土质边坡稳定性分析及治理方法探讨——以济南南部山区山间平原为例

在济南山前及山间倾斜平原区常见土质边坡存在较大安全隐患,本文结合实例,对此类边坡开展稳定性评价及治理方法研究,对不稳定边坡的成因做了详细分析,并采用毕肖普条分法对边坡稳定性进行了定量计算,提出清坡+格构+钢筋混凝土挡板+截水沟的方案解决土质边坡失稳问题。治理后边坡滑动安全系数为1.673,实现了土质边坡的有效防治,为此类土质边坡失稳问题提供了新的治理思路。     

基于修正Green-Ampt模型的降雨诱发区域浅层斜坡失稳灾害分析

由于具有类似的工程地质和水文地质条件, 在高度相关的降雨作用下, 同一个区域中的降雨诱发浅层斜坡失稳灾害常成群出现。在区域尺度预测浅层斜坡失稳灾害对滑坡灾害的防灾减灾工作具有重要的意义。为此, 提出了一种基于力学原理的降雨诱发浅层斜坡失稳灾害预测新模型RARIL。该模型采用修正Green-Ampt模型进行降雨入渗分析, 采用无限体边坡模型进行安全系数计算, 利用可靠度原理考虑区域斜坡稳定性分析中的参数不确定性。该模型具有可考虑降雨诱发浅层斜坡的失稳力学机理、可考虑区域内斜坡土体参数不确定性, 以及计算效率高、易于在GIS平台上实现等优点。案例分析表明, RARIL模型较为准确地预测了2010年8月12日11∶00至2010年8月14日9∶00期间强降雨在四川省汶川县映秀镇附近的303省道K0-K20段沿线区域引发的滑坡灾害, 研究结果证明RARIL模型在预测降雨诱发区域斜坡失稳灾害方面有很好的应用前景。      

京广铁路K1219路基土质边坡深层滑移失稳机制与整治对策

为研究土质边坡深层滑移失稳机制, 以京广铁路下行线K1219+000处路基边坡失稳为例, 通过现场调查测绘、工程地质钻探、原位试验和室内试验、深部位移监测和数值模拟等手段, 详细研究了该土质边坡变形破坏特征、地质力学过程和失稳模式。结果表明: 路基边坡表面裂缝宽度及深度呈坡顶至坡脚逐渐变浅变窄, 变形具有一定的旋转性, 牵引式特征明显, 属于深层滑移拉裂式失稳; 土质边坡经历了因坡脚开挖、抽水引起的应力场和渗流场重新分布阶段、雨水入渗软化导致下滑力不断增大而滑面逐渐迁移扩大加深阶段以及支挡结构抗力失效阶段3个地质力学过程, 其失稳模式包括浅层滑移、浅层滑面向深层迁移、动荷载触发深层滑移失稳3个阶段。在此基础上, 综合确定了滑面位置, 并通过反演方法确定了滑面力学参数。研究采用了刚架式双排抗滑桩的整治方案, 通过理论计算和数值分析, 边坡变形与抗滑桩变形基本一致, 且与监测结果整体吻合, 这表明土质边坡深层失稳理论分析准确且计算的力学参数科学, 整治对策稳妥、可靠。      

关于利用一维波动理论计算土层地震反映传递函数的讨论

对利用一维波动理论计算土层地震反应时，将基岩假定为具有自由边界的半无限空间，输入地震记录、计算传递函数，进而计算土层地表的地震反应这一方法步骤的合理性进行了讨论。理论推演表明，从基岩面输入地震记录和计算传递函数时，应当考虑基岩和上覆土层的相互作用影响。数值算例表明，考虑与不考虑基岩和上覆土层相互作用的影响，算得的土层地面地震反应，无论加速度时程、峰值和反应谱，均存在不可忽视的差异。     

含优势渗流层边坡降雨入渗下的可靠度分析

含优势渗流层边坡在降雨入渗的作用下其渗流场往往具有较高的不确定性,这给边坡的稳定性评价带来困难,通常采用概率的方法解决此类问题。针对含优势渗流层边坡降雨入渗下的可靠度问题,通过将应力分析中的点估计-有限元法引入到边坡渗流-稳定性分析,提出了考虑优势渗流层渗透特性不确定性的渗流概率分析和边坡可靠度分析方法;其次以广西某含碎石夹层土坡为例,分析了降雨入渗下碎石夹层的优势渗流效应及渗流概率,并基于此开展了该边坡降雨入渗下的可靠度分析。结果表明:①含优势渗流层边坡雨水沿优势渗流层渗入坡体内部的深度显著高于沿坡面渗入的深度;优势渗流层渗透特性的不确定性对渗流结果的影响较大,使得边坡稳定性分析具有较强的不确定性;②随着雨水入渗持时的增加,含优势渗流层边坡不同滑动面的失效概率总体呈现增加趋势,最危险滑动面的位置不断向边坡下部演化;依托工程滑动面位置的预测结果与工程实际吻合;③提出的概率分析方法适用于分析含优势渗流层边坡降雨入渗影响下的稳定性问题,而且具有计算量小的优势,可作这类边坡可靠度分析的一种新方法。      

Permanent displacement models of earthquake-induced landslides considering near-fault pulse-like ground motions

The permanent displacement of seismic slopes can be regarded as an effective criterion for stability estimation. This paper studied the characteristics of permanent displacements induced by velocity pulse-like ground motions and developed an empirical model to readily evaluate the stability of seismic slopes in a near-fault region. We identified 264 velocity pulse-like ground motions from the Next Generation Attenuation(NGA) database using the latest improved energy-based approach. All selected ground motions were rotated to the orientation of the strongest observed pulse for considering the directivity of the pulse effect, so that the most dangerous condition for slopes was considered. The results show the velocity pulse-like ground motions have a much more significant effect on permanent displacement of slopes than non-pulse-like ground motions. A regression model based on a function of peak ground velocity(PGV), peak ground acceleration(PGA) and critical acceleration(ac), was generated. A significant difference was found by comparing the presented model with classical models from literatures. This model can be used to evaluate the seismic slope stability considering the effects of nearfault pulse-like characteristics.     

Influence of non-dimensional strength parameters on the seismic stability of cracked slopes

Cracks in rock or soil slopes influence the stability and durability of the slopes. Seismic forces can trigger slope disasters, particularly in the cracked slopes. Considering the nonlinear characteristics of materials, the more generalized nonlinear failure criterion proposed by Baker is adopted. The influence of non-dimensional strength parameters on the stability of cracked slopes under earthquakes is performed using the upper bound limit analysis. The seismic displacement is calculated by adopting the logarithmic spiral failure surface according to the sliding rigid block model. Based on the existing studies, two methods for the stability analysis of cracked slopes under earthquakes are introduced: the pseudo-static method(with the factor of safety(Fs) as an evaluation index), and the displacement-based method(with the seismic displacement as an evaluation index). The pseudo-static method can only determine the instantaneous stability state of the cracked slope, yet the displacement-based methodreflects the stability variation of cracked slopes during earthquakes. The results indicate that the nondimensional strength parameters affect the factor of safety and seismic displacement of slopes significantly. The non-dimensional strength parameter(n) controlling the curvature of strength function shapes on the slope stability is affected by other parameters. Owing to cracks, the effect of non-dimensional strength parameters on seismic displacement becomes more significant.     

Analytical expressions for determining the stability of cohesionless soil slope under generalized seismic conditions

In recent major earthquakes, the researchers have found the need for consideration of vertical seismic acceleration for the stability analysis of the man-made and natural slopes. However, in most past studies, the performance of slopes has been assessed by accounting only the horizontal seismic component of the ground motion, without giving due weightage to the effect of vertical component. In the present study, analytical expressions are derived to determine the factor of safety, yield seismic coefficient and consequently the seismic displacement of cohesionless soil slope under combined horizontal and vertical components of the ground motion. The derivation uses the Newmark’s sliding block approach, in which the soil slope with a planar failure surface within the framework of conventional pseudo-static analysis is assumed to follow the Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion. The effects of vertical seismic coefficient on the stability of cohesionless slope have been studied through a set of graphical presentations for a specific range of soil parameters. It is observed that overlooking the effect of the vertical component of the ground motion on factor of safety and the displacement while designing the slope may be detrimental, resulting in the slope failure. The general expressions presented in this paper may be highly useful in the field of earthquake geotechnical engineering practice for designing the cohesionless soil slopes under combined horizontal and vertical seismic loads.     

Prediction for potential landslide zones using seismic amplitude in Liwan gas field,northern South China Sea

The Liwan (Lw) gas field located in the northern slope of the South China Sea (SCS) is extremely complex for its sea-floor topograghy, which is a huge challenge for the safety of subsea facilities. It is economically impractical to obtain parameters for risk assessment of slope stability through a large amount of sampling over the whole field. The linkage between soil shear strength and seabed peak amplitude derived from 2D/3D seismic data is helpful for understanding the regional slope-instability risk. In this paper, the relationships among seabed peak, acoustic impedance and shear strength of shallow soil in the study area were discussed based on statistical analysis results. We obtained a similar relationship to that obtained in other deep-water areas. There is a positive correlation between seabed peak amplitude and acoustic impedance and an exponential relationship between acoustic impedance and shear strength of sediment. The acoustic impedance is the key factor linking the seismic amplitude and shear strength. Infinite slope stability analysis results indicate the areas have a high potential of shallow landslide on slopes exceeding 15° when the thickness of loose sediments exceeds 8 m in the Lw gas field. Our prediction shows that they are mainly located in the heads and walls of submarine canyons.     

Modelling the flexural buckling failure of stratified rock slopes based on the multilayer beam model

The buckling failure of stratified rock slopes intersected by a set of steep discontinuities that are approximately parallel to the slope surface is frequently encountered while constructing railways and roadways in mountainous areas. In this study, an analytical approach based on the energy equilibrium principle is presented to solve the flexural buckling stability of stratified rock slopes within the framework of multilayer beam theory. The generalized HoekBrown failure criterion is introduced to reflect the influences of slope size(scale effects) on the buckling stability. Subsequently, numerical and physical modellings from previous literatures are employed to validate the proposed approach. Furthermore, a practical case of Bawang Mountain landslide is also used for the comparative analysis. The study shows that the present analytical approach is capable to provide a more reasonable assessment for the buckling failure of stratified rock slopes, compared with several existing analytical approaches. Finally, a detailed parametric study is implemented, and the results indicate that the effects of rock strength, rock deformation modulus, geological strength index, layer thickness and disturbance degree of rock mass on the buckling failure of stratified rock slopes are more significant than that of rock type and slope angle.     

Assessment of rock slope stability by probabilistic-based Slope Stability Probability Classification method along highway cut slopes in Adilcevaz-Bitlis (Turkey)

Rock slope stability is of great concern along highway routes as stability problems on cut slopes may cause fatal events as well as loss of property. In rock slope engineering, stability evaluations are commonly performed by means of analytical or numerical analyses, principally considering the factor of safety concept. As a matter of fact, the probabilistic assessment of slope stability is progressively getting popularity due to difficulties in assigning the most appropriate values to design parameters in analytical or numerical methods. Additionally, the effect of heterogeneities in rock masses and discontinuities on the analysis results is minimized through the probabilistic concept. In this study, slope stability of high and steep sedimentary rock cut slopes along a state highway in Adilcevaz-Bitlis (Turkey) was evaluated on the basis of probabilistic approach using the Slope Stability Probability Classification (SSPC) system. The probabilistic assessment indicates major slope stability problems because of discontinuity controlled and discontinuity orientation independent mass movements. Almost all studied cut slopes suffer from orientation-independent stability problems with very low stability probabilities. Additionally, the probability of planar and toppling failures is significantly high with respect to the SSPC system. The stability problems along the investigated rock slopes were also verified by field reconnaissance. Remedial measures such as slope re-design and reinforcement at the studied locations should be taken to prevent hazardous events along the highway. On the other hand, the probabilistic approach may be a useful tool during rock slope engineering to overcome numerous uncertainties when probabilistic and analytic results are compared.     

Experimental study of motion characteristics of rock slopes with weak intercalation under seismic excitation

In order to investigate the effect of a weak intercalation on slope stability, a large-scale shaking table model test was conducted to study the dynamic response of rock slope models with weak intercalation. The dynamic response of the prototype slopes were studied in laboratory with the consideration of law of similitude. The initiation failure was observed in the rock slope model with a counter-tilt thin-weak intercalation firstly, not in the slope model with a horizontal thin-weak intercalation. Furthermore, it was interesting that the fracture site is shifted from crest top to the slope surface near the weak intercalation, which is different with the location of failure position in a normal layered slope. We also discussed the effect of the dip angle and the thickness of weak intercalation on the failure mechanism and instability mode of the layered rock slope. From the experimental result, it was noted that the stability of the slope with a counter-tilt weak intercalation could be worse than that of the other slopes under seismic excitation. The findings showed the difference of failure in slopes with a horizontal and counter weak intercalation, and implicated the further evaluation of failure of layered slopes caused by seismic loads.