我国不同自然条件下的水域气候效应

本文根据我国分布在全国各地的２６个湖泊、水库和河流的实际观测资料，结合理论分析，探讨了在不同自然条件下各各水域气候效应的特点和规律，并给出了其对温度、湿度、风速和降水正负影响的大致数值范围。     

龙滩水库贵州库区局地气候变化分析

利用龙滩水库贵州库区及其周边10个气象站1961～2010年气象资料,采用线性倾向估计方法对贵州库区的年平均气温、降水量、日照时数、相对湿度做变化趋势分析,采用秩和检验方法对各要素比值的平均值进行水库蓄水前后差异性分析。结果表明：贵州库区年平均降水量和日照时数较常年偏多,其变化趋势主要是大尺度大气环流影响造成的,水库影响不明显;水库蓄水后,使近库区年平均气温降低,年平均相对湿度增大,水库对年平均气温产生影响的最大距离在14～17 km,而对年平均相对湿度产生影响的最大距离〈14 km。     

青藏高原东部龙羊峡水库气候效应的变化趋势分析

以青海省境内黄河干流龙羊峡水库为例,应用基于气象要素分析水库气候效应的数学模型,计算了水库蓄水后对局地气候的净影响,深入探讨了气候效应随时间的变化趋势。结果表明,龙羊峡水库蓄水以来,对局地气候有明显影响,环境风险度有较大提高,且水库对不同的气象要素的影响随蓄水时间的增加呈现不同趋势。     

“影响气候的因素”需讲清的几个问题

气温和降水是反映各地气候特点的气候要素。而各地气候特征(指气温和降水具体情况)受各种因素的影响。影响气温和降水的因素，也即影响气候的因素。因此，必须讲清，学习影响气候的因素，即学习影响气温和降水的因素。也就是说：学习各因素对气候的影响，要从各因素对气温和降水两个气候要素的影响进行分析。     

大型人工湖气候效应观测研究——以密云水库为例

应用近5 a自动气象站观测资料,分析了华北地区最大人工湖——密云水库的局地气候效应。结果表明：① 密云水库库区相比于附近平原地带具有气温偏低、湿度偏高、风速偏弱、降水量偏大等特点。水库对区域气候的影响范围约在10 km内,离水库越近的地方,受影响越大。② 密云水库的气候效应主要体现在夏半年,尤以气温和降水最为明显。③ 水库南、北两侧受到的局地环流的影响具有明显的差异,库区东西方向的年平均局地风速约为0.14 m/s,南北方向约为 0.10 m/s。下垫面属性的热力差异及特殊地形条件使得密云水库附近同时存在山谷风和湖陆风现象,其叠加效应是导致区域内不同位置间气象要素出现季节性及日变化差异的主要原因。     

高山地区年降水量随高程变化分析

云南省地形地貌复杂，海拔高差悬殊；气候类型多样，垂直变化突出；年降水量空间分布极不均匀。在分析年降水量主要影响因素的基础上，采用地形气候因子相关法，分8个区建立年降水量与海拔高程的关系，结果表明：各分区的年降水量随海拔高程的变化呈线型关系，且各区不同；高差悬殊的多雨区关系明显，且年降水量随海拔高程变化的梯度大；高差较小的坝区盆地，关系次之。利用各区年降水量与高程关系，推求无资料地区的年降水量，弥补了高山雨量站点的不足，绘制的云南省年降水量等值线图，较好的反映了云南年降水量的空间分布规律。     

大面积开荒扰动下的三江平原近45年气候变化

黑龙江省三江平原近45年来，经过大规模的开荒，农田已取代原来的沼泽和沼泽化湿地，成为现今三江平原的主要景观类型，其下垫面发生了巨大变化，采用1955－1999年三江平原地区21个气象台站的气温，降水，日照时数和气压4个要素的资料，分析近45年来三江平原的气候变化和发展趋势：用Yamamoto法和Mann-Kendall法对5年滑动平均的区域季节和年时间序列进行突变检测，定量地认述了三江平原地区的气候变化事实，对于各气候要素出现在20世纪60年代，70年代和80年代的突变事实，尤其是20世纪70年代以来的阶梯式的持续变暖事实，认为三江平原区域气候系统内部的变化可能是引起这些突变的直接原因。     

拉萨近45年浅层地温的变化特征

利用1961-2005年拉萨0～40cm各层逐月平均地温,采用气候倾向率、累积距平、信噪比等气候统计方法,研究了近45年拉萨浅层平均地温的变化趋势、气候突变和异常年份等。结果表明:浅层各季节平均地温均呈现为极显著的升高趋势,升温率为0.43～0.60℃/10a,春季最大、夏季最小。各层年平均地温以0.45～0.66℃/10a的升温率显著上升,40cm深度的升温率最大,与同时期平均气温的升温率比较,地温比气温对气候变暖的响应更强。20世纪60年代至90年代浅层年、季平均地温呈明显的逐年代升高趋势,以冬、春季最为明显。60年代到80年代中期为偏冷阶段,80年代后期至90年代地温为偏暖阶段。各浅层平均地温在1986年秋季均发生了突变,冬季突变时间都出现在1984年。年平均地温除在40cm处1999年异常偏高外,其它各层为异常偏低年份,且发生在20世纪60年代。     

哈尔滨称号两议

1995年春，哈尔滨市有关部门郑重通知各大传媒，在新的城市别名确定之前，停止使用“冰城”一词。理由“主要是由于这个称呼不能完整、准确地体现哈尔滨四季分明的气候特点，而把哈尔滨冬季的气候特征推向了极端，使不少不了解哈尔滨的人对哈尔滨产生了寒冷、萧条的误会，不利于哈尔滨吸引海内外的宾客和扩大同国内外的交往”。这一信息，全国一些报刊作过报道。     

给病险水库除险加固

倒天河水库距离毕节市区仅有3公里，记者4月初在贵州省毕节地区采访时看到，水库大坝的加高扩建工程正在进行之中，几天前毕节刚下了一场小雨，倒天河水库水位距大坝溢洪道高程已不足1米。同去的毕节地区水利局常瑜局长告诉记者，1956年开始建设的倒天河水库，限于当时的技术水平和经济条件，水库的质量和建设水平都不是太高，经过几十年的运行，倒天河水库陆续出现了不同程度的病险问题。     

黄河上游夏季流量对气候变化的响应及未来趋势预估

本文从气候变化的角度出发, 研究黄河上游龙羊峡水库夏季流量与流域气候条件的响应关系及流量预估模型, 并根据区域气候模式输出数据降尺度生成的未来气候情景, 对未来龙羊峡夏季水库流量进行了预估。结果表明:近35 年来, 黄河上游夏季气温升高、蒸发增大, 降水略有减少;黄河上游龙羊峡水库平均入库流量呈递减趋势, 夏季流量对流域降水量、平均最高气温及最低气温的响应显著;未来两个时期(2020s、2030s)龙羊峡夏季流量均较基准期(1988-2010 年)减少, 但在不同气候变化情景下流量变化有所差异, 其中A2 情景下夏季平均流量分别减少23.9%(2020s)和19.8%(2030s), B2 情景下分别减少14.4%(2030s)和17.3%(2030s), 据此, 未来气候变化对黄河上游流域夏季流量的可能影响将弊大于利, 但仍具有较大不确定性。     

Channel change at Toudaoguai Station and its responses to the operation of upstream reservoirs in the upper Yellow River

The application of dams built upstream will change the input conditions, including water and sediment, of downstream fluvial system, and destroy previous dynamic quasi-equilibrium reached by channel streamflow, so indispensable adjustments are necessary for downstream channel to adapt to the new water and sediment supply, leading the fluvial system to restore its previous equilibrium or reach a new equilibrium. Using about 50-year-long hydrological, sedimentary and cross-sectional data, temporal response processes of Toudaoguai cross-section located in the upper Yellow River to the operation of reservoirs built upstream are analyzed. The results show that the Toudaoguai cross-section change was influenced strongly by upstream reservoir operation and downstream channel bed armoring thereafter occurred gradually and extended to the reach below Sanhuhekou gauging station. Besides, median diameter of suspended sediment load experienced a three-stage change that is characterized by an increase at first, then a decrease and an increase again finally, which reflects the process of channel bed armoring that began at Qingtongxia reservoir and then gradually developed downstream to the reach below Sanhuhekou cross-section. Since the joint operation strategy of Longyangxia, Liujiaxia and Qingtongxia reservoirs was introduced in 1986, the three-stage change trend has become less evident than that in the time period between 1969 and 1986 when only Qingtongxia and Liujiaxia reservoirs were put into operation alone. In addition, since 1987, the extent of lateral migration and thalweg elevation change at Toudaoguai cross-section has reduced dramatically, cross-sectional profile and location tended to be stable, which is beneficial to the normal living for local people.     

基于水库调蓄的黄河干流水体交换周期的量化研究

针对黄河流域存在的水危机,探讨水体交换周期的内涵和意义,分析水体蓄变情况下水体交换周期的变化特征,在此基础上建立基于水量调度和河段配水的黄河干流水体交换周期的量化模型,并计算了不同时间尺度下黄河水体交换周期。研究结果表明,水体交换周期可以从不同时间尺度上把握水资源的可更新能力,精确地确定区域水资源总量,指导水库的调蓄计划,为建立可持续利用的水资源供水系统及其管理提供科学依据。     

洞庭湖流域不同水体中同位素研究

在洞庭湖流域内的长沙、汨罗、怀化对大气降水、地表水（河水）、地下水（泉水、井水）进行了取样,分析了流域内不同水体中稳定水同位素的变化特征以及它们之间的转化关系。研究发现地处亚热带季风区的洞庭湖流域,地表水、地下水中同位素继承了降水同位素冬半年富集、夏半年贫化的特征,但存在不同程度的滞后。同时,降水同位素的变化幅度及波动性明显大于地表水及地下水,而地表水、地下水中同位素较降水中要富集。流域内河水中同位素大致表现出随纬度升高而贫化的趋势,这主要受降水同位素场的影响。流域内长沙河水、井水、泉水中同位素组成均位于大气水线附近且分别大致位于一直线上,这说明大气降水是这3种水体的主要补给源。不同季节河水、井水、泉水中同位素组成与大气水线的比较则进一步反映出了不同水体在不同季节的转化关系。     

利用人造洪水冲刷黄河内蒙古淤积河道的可能性分析

为了探讨利用人造洪水冲刷黄河内蒙古河段泥沙的可能性,建立了计算黄河三湖河口与头道拐站次洪水输沙量非线性模型。通过洪水计算获得了该河段各级洪水冲刷河道泥沙的最大冲沙量、最优冲沙历时以及相应冲沙效率。计算结果表明：黄河宁蒙段的淤积是河流在特殊的自然地理环境中受水流堆积作用形成的,用龙、刘两库联合调度水量形成的人造洪水冲刷河道淤积泥沙是目前可以采取的清淤手段之一,但耗水量较大,冲刷效果还有待于进一步的检验。     

Long-term morphodynamic changes of a desert reach of the Yellow River following upstream large reservoirs' operation

China's Yellow River has experienced its dramatically decreasing trend for the flow discharge since the construction and operation of large reservoirs located upstream. This low flow regulation has triggered a severe aggradation of the Ulan Buh Desert channel of the Yellow River because the declining flow exhibits no capability to scour and carry away large amount input of desert sands from the Ulan Buh Desert. Twenty monitoring cross-sections documented the Ulan Buh Desert channel has experienced its increasing aggradational trend in conjunction with its lateral migration decreasing trend from 1966 to 2005, which is opposite to the normal pattern of aggradation with deepening or symmetrical infilling for a channel located downstream of a reservoir. The channel aggradation can also be identified two stages: slow aggradation and rapid aggradation. Slow aggradation is characterized by the channel bed elevation rising 9.5 cm on average between 1968 and 1985, which responded to the operation of the Liujiaxia reservoir. During this period, the flow discharge was similar to pre-dam flow conditions but the sediment transport reduced to half of its pre-dam value. Because of about 0.24 × 10⁸ t of desert sands entering the channel from the Ulan Buh Desert annually, this dilute flow indicated not to scour the channel as expected, but contrarily to cause the channel aggraded. Rapid aggradation followed completion of the Longyangxia reservoir with the channel bed elevation rising by 73 cm on average between 1986 and 2005. In this period, the combined regulation of Liujiaxia and Longyangxia reservoirs has caused the flow discharge decreasing dramatically, which is more beneficial for accumulation of the desert sands (0.19 × 10⁸ t yr^− 1 on average) in the desert channel, and led to the channel aggradation rate accelerated rapidly.     

Simulated effect of soil freeze-thaw process on surface hydrologic and thermal fluxes in frozen ground region of the Northern Hemisphere

Soil freeze-thaw process is closely related to surface energy budget,hydrological activity,and terrestrial ecosystems.In this study,two numerical experiments(including and excluding soil freeze-thaw process)were designed to examine the effect of soil freeze-thaw process on surface hydrologic and thermal fluxes in frozen ground region in the Northern Hemisphere based on the state-of-the-art Community Earth System Model version 1.0.5.Results show that in response to soil freeze-thaw process,the area averaged soil temperature in the shallow layer(0.0175?0.0451 m)decreases by 0.35℃in the TP(Tibetan Plateau),0.69℃in CES(Central and Eastern Siberia),and 0.6℃in NA(North America)during summer,and increases by 1.93℃in the TP,2.28℃in CES and 1.61℃in NA during winter,respectively.Meanwhile,in response to soil freeze-thaw process,the area averaged soil liquid water content increases in summer and decrease in winter.For surface heat flux components,the ground heat flux is most significantly affected by the freeze-thaw process in both summer and winter,followed by sensible heat flux and latent heat flux in summer.In the TP area,the ground heat flux increases by 2.82 W/m2(28.5%)in summer and decreases by 3.63 W/m2(40%)in winter.Meanwhile,in CES,the ground heat flux increases by 1.89 W/m2(11.3%)in summer and decreases by 1.41 W/m2(18.6%)in winter.The heat fluxes in the Tibetan Plateau are more susceptible to the freeze-thaw process compared with the high-latitude frozen soil regions.Soil freeze-thaw process can induce significant warming in the Tibetan Plateau in winter.Also,this process induces significant cooling in high-latitude regions in summer.The frozen ground can prevent soil liquid water from infiltrating to deep soil layers at the beginning of thawing;however,as the frozen ground thaws continuously,the infiltration of the liquid water increases and the deep soil can store water like a sponge,accompanied by decreasing surface runoff.The influence of the soil freeze-thaw process on surface hydrologic and thermal fluxes varies seasonally and spatially.     

Fluvial processes of the downstream reaches of the reservoirs in the Lower Yellow River

Evolution of the river channel downstream of reservoirs is a complex process that is closely related to the operational mode of the reservoirs and the channel boundary conditions. Numerous studies have been carried out on the fluvial processes of downstream reservoirs. However, only a few of them have focused on the relationship between runoff-sediment conditions and channel pattern indicators. Also, the impacts of river training works on fluvial processes are seldom dealt with. In this paper, the evolutionary processes of three sections in the Lower Yellow River, including Tiexie-Yiluo River mouth reach, Huayuankou-Heigangkou reach and Jiahetan-Gaocun reach, were analyzed for variations in the channel boundary line and the mainstream between 1960 and 2015. Channel pattern indicators such as sinuosity, mainstream wandering range and width/depth ratio were analyzed based on field measurements obtained by the Hydrological Department of the Yellow River Conservancy Commission. The effects of river training works on the channel evolution are then described. Since 1960, numerous medium- and large-sized reservoirs have been built on the Yellow River, including Longyangxia Reservoir, Liujiaxia Reservoir and Xiaolangdi Reservoir. These reservoirs impound the runoff from upstream and retain the sediment, which changes the runoff and sediment conditions in the downstream reach. As a consequence, annual runoff and the frequency and peak of flooding have all decreased. As a result, the flow dynamics and their action on the river channel are also reduced, which changes the dynamic state of the river course. The discrimination results obtained using the single parameter discrimination rule and the discrimination equation show that the degree of wandering is weakened in the reaches studied. The variations in the channel pattern indicators show that the sinuosity increases and the wandering range decreases with a reduction in the total annual volume of water. However, the degree of wandering has little relationship to the sediment concentration. In addition, river training works play an important role in controlling the river course. Due to improvements in the river training works, the river course has become more stable under the same runoff and sediment conditions. A new discrimination rule that takes into account the impacts of the river training works is proposed. The discrimination results were found to fit well with the actual river pattern, which shows that the discrimination rule is applicable to the Lower Yellow River. The results show that the runoff and sediment conditions are the most important factors in the evolution of the river course. The river training works have at the same time limited the wandering range of the mainstream and played an important role in the fluvial processes. Both factors combined lead to the stabilization of the river.     

水库修建后黄河下游的河床演变（英文）

Evolution of the river channel downstream of reservoirs is a complex process that is closely related to the operational mode of the reservoirs and the channel boundary conditions. Numerous studies have been carried out on the fluvial processes of downstream reservoirs. However, only a few of them have focused on the relationship between runoff-sediment conditions and channel pattern indicators. Also, the impacts of river training works on fluvial processes are seldom dealt with. In this paper, the evolutionary processes of three sections in the Lower Yellow River, including Tiexie-Yiluo River mouth reach, Huayuankou-Heigangkou reach and Jiahetan-Gaocun reach, were analyzed for variations in the channel boundary line and the mainstream between 1960 and 2015. Channel pattern indicators such as sinuosity, mainstream wandering range and width/depth ratio were analyzed based on field measurements obtained by the Hydrological Department of the Yellow River Conservancy Commission. The effects of river training works on the channel evolution are then described. Since 1960, numerous medium- and large-sized reservoirs have been built on the Yellow River, including Longyangxia Reservoir, Liujiaxia Reservoir and Xiaolangdi Reservoir. These reservoirs impound the runoff from upstream and retain the sediment, which changes the runoff and sediment conditions in the downstream reach. As a consequence, annual runoff and the frequency and peak of flooding have all decreased. As a result, the flow dynamics and their action on the river channel are also reduced, which changes the dynamic state of the river course. The discrimination results obtained using the single parameter discrimination rule and the discrimination equation show that the degree of wandering is weakened in the reaches studied. The variations in the channel pattern indicators show that the sinuosity increases and the wandering range decreases with a reduction in the total annual volume of water. However, the degree of wandering has little relationship to the sediment concentration. In addition, river training works play an important role in controlling the river course. Due to improvements in the river training works, the river course has become more stable under the same runoff and sediment conditions. A new discrimination rule that takes into account the impacts of the river training works is proposed. The discrimination results were found to fit well with the actual river pattern, which shows that the discrimination rule is applicable to the Lower Yellow River. The results show that the runoff and sediment conditions are the most important factors in the evolution of the river course. The river training works have at the same time limited the wandering range of the mainstream and played an important role in the fluvial processes. Both factors combined lead to the stabilization of the river.     

晋西北地区气候变化及其对土地沙漠化的影响

利用晋西北5个代表站近50 a逐月的气温、降水资料,建立了年和冬、夏半年的平均气温、降水序列,分析了晋西北近50 a来气温、降水变化特征。结果表明,晋西北总的气候变化存在暖干化趋势,年和冬、夏半年平均气温变化倾向率分别为0.202 ℃/(10a)、0.2 ℃/(10a)和0.132 ℃/(10a);夏半年气候变暖缓慢且具有阶段性特点;年和冬、夏半年降水变化倾向率分别为-16.68 mm/(10a)、0.404 mm/(10a)和-14.95 mm/(10a);年降水的减少主要由夏半年降水的减少引起,冬半年降水有增多的迹象;夏半年降水减少,减弱了流水对表层土壤的冲刷,冬半年降水增多,一定程度上减缓了土地沙漠化过程。