Optimization of spatial statistical approaches to identify land use/land cover change hot spots of Pune region of Maharashtra using remote sensing and GIS techniques

This study investigated land use/land cover change (LULCC) dynamics using temporal satellite images and spatial statistical cluster analysis approaches in order to identify potential LULCC hot spots in the Pune region. LULCC hot spot classes defined as new, progressive and non-progressive were derived from Gi* scores. Results indicate that progressive hot spots have experienced high growth in terms of urban built-up areas (20.67% in 1972–1992 and 19.44% in 1992–2012), industrial areas (0.73% in 1972–1992 and 3.46% in 1992–2012) and fallow lands (4.35% in 1972–1992 and ?6.38% in 1992–2012). It was also noticed that about 28.26% of areas near the city were identified as new hot spots after 1992. Hence, non-significant change areas were identified as non-progressive after 1992. The study demonstrated that LULCC hot spot mapping through the integrated spatial statistical approach was an effective approach for analysing the direction, rate, spatial pattern and spatial relationship of LULCC.     

Modelling the impacts of civil war on land use and land cover change within Kono District,Sierra Leone: a socio-geospatial approach

Capturing the scope and trajectory of changes in land use and land cover (LULC) is critical to urban and regional planning, natural resource sustainability and the overall information needs of policy makers. Studies on LULC change are generally conducted within peaceful environments and seldom incorporate areas that are politically volatile. Consequently, the role of civil conflict on LULC change remains elusive. Using a dense time stack of Landsat Thematic Mapper images and a hybrid classification approach, this study analysed LULC changes in Kono District between 1986–1991, 1991–2002 and 2002–2007 with the overarching goal of elucidating deviations from typical changes in LULC caused by Sierra Leone's civil war (1991–2002). Informed by social survey and secondary data, this study engaged the drivers that facilitated LULC changes during war and non-war periods in a series of spatial regression models in exploring the interface between civil conflict and LULC change.     

Dynamic land use change simulation using cellular automata with spatially nonstationary transition rules

The dynamic relationships between land use change and its driving forces vary spatially and can be identified by geographically weighted regression (GWR). We present a novel cellular automata (GWR-CA) model that incorporates GWR-derived spatially varying relationships to simulate land use change. Our GWR-CA model is characterized by spatially nonstationary transition rules that fully address local interactions in land use change. More importantly, each driving factor in our GWR model contains effects that both promote and resist land use change. We applied GWR-CA to simulate rapid land use change in Suzhou City on the Yangtze River Delta from 2000 to 2015. The GWR coefficients were visualized to highlight their spatial patterns and local variation, which are closely associated with their effects on land use change. The transition rules indicate low land conversion potential in the city’s center and outer suburbs, but higher land conversion potential in the inner near suburbs along the belt expressway. Residual statistics show that GWR fits the input data better than logistic regression (LR). Compared with an LR-based CA model, GWR-CA improves overall accuracy by 4.1% and captures 5.5% more urban growth, suggesting that GWR-CA may be superior in modeling land use change. Our results demonstrate that the GWR-CA model is effective in capturing spatially varying land transition rules to produce more realistic results, and is suitable for simulating land use change and urban expansion in rapidly urbanizing regions.     

基于CLUE-S模型的南京市土地利用变化模拟

本文以南京市为研究区,以南京市1986年的土地利用现状图为基础,分析研究区概况并根据数据的可获取性,选取13类土地利用变化驱动因素,利用逻辑斯蒂回归分析求解土地利用变化驱动因素作用系数矩阵。在此基础上运行CLUE-S模型,对南京市1996年的土地利用空间格局进行模拟。将模拟结果与南京市1996年土地利用现状图与进行对比,结果较为理想,模拟正确率达88.57%,KAPPA指数0.86。这说明CLUE-S模型具有成功模拟区域土地利用时空动态变化的能力,对土地利用预测、规划具有重要的指导作用。     

利用多分类Logistic回归进行土地利用变化模拟——以湖北省嘉鱼县为例

提出了模拟土地利用变化的多分类Logistic回归模型,即将因变量的二分类扩展为多分类。分别计算各种类型之间的转换回归系数可提高模拟的精度。对于不同的土地利用类型,计算出了不同的回归系数。该模型用于研究湖北省嘉鱼县土地利用变化的正确率为73.4%。     

武夷山市土地利用变化遥感监测分析

针对近20年来武夷山市土地利用变化信息相对不足的问题,提出运用现代遥感与GIS技术进行武夷山市土地利用变化动态监测的方法。在分析1996年、2005年和2014年3期Landsat影像的基础上,采用监督分类方法提取土地利用信息,然后采用土地利用转移矩阵分析法和动态度分析法,分析了土地利用类型的时空变化情况及发展趋势。结果表明:1996年以来,武夷山市土地利用变化的特点表现为耕地显著增加,而林地明显减少;20年间其他未利用地和城镇的空间变化幅度很大;经济快速发展,旅游业大力发展等是武夷山市土地利用变化的驱动因素。研究结果对武夷山市的生态环境保护以及探究旅游业对土地利用变化的影响有参考价值。     

关中地区土地利用格局模拟与驱动力分析

选取陕西省关中地区海拔高度、坡度、多年平均降雨量、河网密度、交通网密度、GDP和人口密度等自然和社会经济数据,通过随机空间采样,建立2000年关中地区土地利用类型的空间分布概率多元逻辑回归模型.根据所建立的模型,运用GIS技术和结合2000年相关数据,模拟出2000年该区域的土地利用空间分布格局,研究结果表明,林地的模...     

A Bayesian characterization of urban land use configurations from VHR remote sensing images

The composition and arrangement of spatial entities, i.e., land cover objects, play a key role in distinguishing land use types from very high resolution (VHR) remote sensing images, in particular in urban environments. This paper presents a new method to characterize the spatial arrangement for urban land use extraction using VHR images. We derive an adjacency unit matrix to represent the spatial arrangement of land cover objects obtained from a VHR image, and use a graph convolutional network to quantify the spatial arrangement by extracting hidden features from adjacency unit matrices. The distribution of the spatial arrangement variables, i.e., hidden features, and the spatial composition variables, i.e., widely used land use indicators, are then estimated. We use a Bayesian method to integrate the variables of spatial arrangement and composition for urban land use extraction. Experiments were conducted using three VHR images acquired in two urban areas: a Pleiades image in Wuhan in 2013, a Superview image in Wuhan in 2019, and a GeoEye image in Oklahoma City in 2012. Our results show that the proposed method provides an effective means to characterize the spatial arrangement of land cover objects, and produces urban land use extractions with overall accuracies (i.e., 86% and 93%) higher than existing methods (i.e., 83% and 88%) that use spatial arrangement information based on building types on the Pleiades and GeoEye datasets. Moreover, it is unnecessary to further categorize the dominant land cover type into finer types for the characterization of spatial arrangement. We conclude that the proposed method has a high potential for the characterization of urban structure using different VHR images, and for the extraction of urban land use in different urban areas.     

三峡库区近30年土地利用时空变化特征分析

利用三峡库区1975年、1987年、1995年、2000年和2005年的遥感影像数据,提取各期土地利用图。以各期土地利用图为基础图件,利用G IS技术,分析了三峡库区各期土地利用类型的数量、空间分布及变化趋势,分析表明库区的耕地、林地和草地都在减少,库区近30年建设用地和河流水面的增加最为明显。同时引入土地利用变化的景观特征指数、土地利用变化速度、土地利用程度指数来总结三峡库区近30年来土地利用变化的主要时空变化特征。采用多种特征指数相结合的研究方法,有利于了解三峡库区土地利用变化的特征,可以进一步指导库区的土地利用规划,为库区的生态环境保护提供参考。     

石屏县土地更新调查的影像解译结果分析

利用2005年SPOT-5高分辨率卫星影像,运用RS、GIS、GPS等新的技术手段,分析、提取了石屏县土地利用变化信息。结果显示,石屏县新的土地控制面积为3 041.37km2,与2004年变更调查统相比较,现有辖区面积增加0.53km2。土地利用类型以农业用地为主,面积达25.40 536×104hm2,占总土地面积的83.53%。通过以高分辨率卫星影像进行更新调查,有效掌握石屏县土地利用状况和动态变化,查清土地利用结构,调整土地供应,有效利用土地资源提供了翔实的基础资料和科学依据。     

基于RS的平顶山市土地利用动态变化研究

平顶山市作为典型的资源型城市(以煤炭、耕地发展起来),是人地关系作用最强烈的区域之一,也是土地利用发生急剧变化且具有特色的区域。为此,基于平顶山市城区1994年TM和2002年ETM+两个时段的遥感图像,获取不同时期的土地利用信息,求取土地利用转移矩阵,分析土地利用的时空变化特征和变化规律,并从土地利用面积变化、动态度、耗减度、开发度等方面对土地利用变化进行分析。研究发现:煤炭开采、城市发展对平顶山市土地利用变化具有重要的影响;8年间,该地区耕地、林地大幅减少,城市用地、工矿用地、荒草地大幅增加;减少的耕地主要转化为荒草地、工矿用地、城市用地,减少的林地主要转化为荒草地;受北部矿区条件的影响,市区发展主要朝东、西、南三个方向。     

兰州市土地利用绩效的空间格局

针对在微观尺度上土地利用绩效研究比较欠缺的问题,从乡(镇、街道)尺度开展兰州市土地利用绩效空间差异研究。根据前人工作基础确立土地利用绩效评价指标体系,运用熵值法计算和分析兰州市土地利用绩效的空间差异。结果表明,土地利用程度、效率与效益三者呈现出聚集且相似的空间分布特征;而土地利用可持续性空间分布趋势则比较离散;土地利用绩效值形成了4个高值中心区,较高值区分布在高值区的外围,低值区则分布在边缘地区;土地利用绩效的空间聚集性分为热点区、冷点区和异质冷点区3种类型,冷点区空间分布广,稳定性优于异质冷点区和热点区。研究结果为相关政府部门推进土地合理利用提供可靠详实的决策信息。     

Spatial-temporal impacts of urban land use land cover on land surface temperature: Case studies of two Canadian urban areas

The surface fabric of urbanized areas, (i.e. its constituent land covers and land uses) plays an essential role in the generation of the urban/rural temperature differences, i.e. the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect. Land surface information, derived from satellite imagery, and complementary information such as demographics can be used as the basis for an understanding of the atmospheric and surface thermal variations within cities. The results of comprehensive land surface characterizations of two major Canadian urban areas, the Greater Toronto Area and Ottawa-Gatineau, are described. Spatial information, including land cover fraction maps, land use and its historic changes, population density maps are compared with intra-urban surface temperature variations derived from satellite thermal imagery. Three aspects of the impacts of land cover and land use on urban land thermal characteristics are addressed, namely, (a) the relationships between surface temperature and subpixel land cover and population density (b) intra-city seasonal temperature variations and (c) the intensification of the urban heat island effect due to urban built-up land growth.     

Local spatial context measurements used to explore the relationship between land cover and land use functions

Research making use of satellite data for land change science has developed in the last decades. However, analysis of land use has not developed with the same speed as development of new satellite sensors and available land cover data. Improvement of land use analysis is possible, but more advanced methods are needed which make it possible to link image data to analysis of land use functions. To make this linking possible, variable which affect farmer's long term decisions must be taken into account in analysis as well as the relative importance of the landscape itself.A GIS-based tool for the measurement of local spatial context in satellite data is presented in this paper and used to explore the relationship between land covers present in satellite data and land use represented in official databases. By the use of the developed tool, a land configuration image (LCI) over the Siljan area in northern Sweden was produced and used for analysis. The results are twofold. First, the produced LCI holds new information about variables that are relevant for the interpretation of land use. Second, the comparison with statistics of agricultural production shows that production in the study area varies depending on the relative land configuration. Villages consisting of relatively large-scale arable fields and less diverse landscape are less diverse in production than villages which consist of smaller-scale and more heterogonous landscapes. The result is especially relevant for land use studies and policymakers working on environmental and agricultural policies. We conclude that local spatial context is an endogenous variable in the relation between landscape configuration and agricultural land use.     

基于RS对云南边境地区土地覆盖现状及变化研究

 土地利用/覆盖变化研究是全球变化研究的热点之一。应用遥感、GIS技术及数理统计学的方法，利用1976年MSS和2004年TM二个时期的遥感影像数据，对云南边境地区的土地覆盖动态变化进行监测研究，并对变化的时空特征进行了分析。结果表明，土地覆盖现状以森林和裸岩地为主，土地利用/覆盖变化的主要方向是林地向裸地和耕地转化。     

A model for integrated spatial land use characteristics linking to surface nutrient concentration

Quantifying land use heterogeneity helps better understand how it influences biophysical systems. Land use area proportions have been used conventionally to predict water quality variables. Lacking an insight into the combined effect of various spatial characteristics could lead to the statistical bias and confused understanding in previous studies. In this study, using spatial techniques and mathematical models, a diagnostic model was developed and applied for quantifying and incorporating three spatial components, namely, slope, distance to sampling spots, and arrangement. The upper catchment of Miyun Reservoir was studied as the test area. Total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and chemical oxygen demand of water samples from field measurements were used to characterize the surface water quality in 52 sub-watersheds. Using parameter calibrations and determinations, combined spatial characteristics were explored and detected. Adjusted land use proportions were calculated by spatial weights of discriminating the relative contribution of each location to water quality and used to build the integrated models. Compared with traditional methods only using area proportions, our model increased the explanatory power of land use and quantified the effects of spatial information on water quality. This can guide the optimization of land use configuration to control water eutrophication.     

Stylized environments and ABMs: educational tools for examining the causes and consequences of land use/land cover change

A challenge in land change science is to assess the causes and consequences of LULC change and associated pattern–process relations. Increasingly, land change organizations are examining land use at local to global scales for historical, contemporary and future periods through scenarios that assess population–environment interactions. Spatial analytical tools in GIScience are being used to link people and environment and to search for the distal and proximate factors that affect local to global land use patterns. Spatial simulation models that rely upon complexity theory as the framework and agent-based models as the analytical approach offer the capability to inform through experimentation about land issues important to science and society. Using a stylized landscape where a selected set of key social, geographical and ecological elements are spatially organized, we describe how land dynamics can be examined through agent-based models as educational tools that are useful in the classroom, boardroom and public forums.     

遥感技术支持下的下龙湾西岸养殖塘变化监测及其对“三生用地”影响分析

下龙湾西岸是越南北部沿海的养殖大区，随着水产养殖用地规模的逐渐扩大，周边三生用地（生产用地、生活用地、生态用地）空间格局受到影响。本文以下龙湾西岸的5个沿海地区为研究区，利用1990、2000、2010、2015年4期无云Landsat TM/OLI遥感数据，采用分类回归树方法，对1990—2015年的土地利用变化进行监测。通过土地利用净变化量、土地利用动态度模型、相关性分析等方法，定量分析养殖塘时空格局演变特征及对三生用地的影响。结果表明：①25年间，养殖塘面积呈“单峰”式先增后减变化，净增加66.65 km²，2000年面积为156.65 km²，较1990年面积增长113%，2015年较2000年面积减少11%。总体呈现数量上“北增南减”、速率上“东快西慢”的面积变化特征。②养殖塘转入面积中，生产用地对养殖塘转移面积占31%，生活用地占4%，生态用地占65%。空间格局整体以白藤江及陆地中轴为界线，呈南北分区、东西分界的转入转出规律。③养殖塘占用生活用地7.24 km²，二者呈正相关关系，R²为0.46；养殖塘分别占用生产用地和生态用地55.14、115.14 km²，并与两者成负相关关系，R²分别为-0.96和-0.81。由此可知，利用遥感技术监测养殖塘时空变迁对土地资源的规划配置与可持续发展具有重意义。     

Comparative analysis of land use/cover change trajectories and their driving forces in two small watersheds in the western Loess Plateau of China

To prevent soil loss and achieve better ecological environments, soil conservation measures have been taken during the past decades in the western Loess Plateau of China. In this paper, a case study was taken in Luoyu valley and Lver valley, two sub-watersheds of Xihe watershed and comparison was carried out between them. The main object of this study is to monitor land use/cover changes in the two similar small watersheds utilizing SPOT5 imageries by object-oriented human–computer interactive classification method, further develop the method of spatio-temporal analysis of land use/cover change by using pattern metrics of change trajectories and relative land use suitability index (R) in smaller watersheds, and make comparisons between the two similar small watersheds, taking water and soil conservation measures into consideration. Results show that combining GIS and RS, this method can be perfectly applied to make comparisons between different small watersheds with similar geographical backgrounds. And land use/cover spatiotemporal dynamic change characteristics can be preferably expressed by pattern metrics of change trajectories and R values based on topographical data. Different emphases have been laid according to their own geological backgrounds in the two watersheds and human activities have different effects on the landscapes of the two watersheds. The main change pattern is from slope farmland to terrace (322, the largest in Luoyu valley) or to economic fruit forest (344, the largest in Lver valley). R value of every slope grade in both of the two watersheds drops with the rising of slope degree on the whole and it shows that there is still much to do for people in the two watersheds in consideration that all the R values are still lower than 0.7.