Geographical characteristics of migration linkages in the Moscow capital region

"A study of migration processes in the Moscow Capital Region over the period 1970-1985 begins by assessing their contribution to overall population growth within the region vis-a-vis natural increase and territorial and administrative changes. Attention then is turned toward movements both within the Moscow Capital Region and between it and other oblasts of the European RSFSR. Although the overall volume of migration within the Moscow capital Region and between it and remaining oblasts of the European RSFSR declined, the relative popularity of the former as a destination among migrants in European Russia remained unchanged."     

Regional population trends in the city of Moscow during the 1979-1989 intercensal period

"This article investigates regional population trends in the city of Moscow during the intercensal period of 1979-1989. Results indicate that the Outer Zone grew more rapidly than the Inner Zone, which experienced population decline overall. As a result, the population of Moscow continued to shift to the Outer Zone. Although the Inner Zone still had a higher population density, the density gradient between the zones had flattened appreciably. Regional population growth rates were strongly and positively related to changes in housing space."     

1990年代以来莫斯科城市的发展演变

莫斯科是俄罗斯首都和最大的城市,在国家社会经济发展中扮演着极其重要的角色。1990年代以来,伴随着俄罗斯实施市场经济的进程,莫斯科的城市建设和发展发生了巨大的变化。本文从莫斯科的行政区划、城市职能、土地利用和城市总体规划的演变总结了莫斯科城市建设和发展的新趋势,以期窥见俄罗斯在新的历史条件下城市发展的新动向。     

New approaches to the study of population dynamics in cities of Moscow Oblast

New approaches to the study of population growth, spatial distribution, and urbanization in the USSR are presented. "Quantitative analysis of historical trends in city growth rates within Moscow Oblast (1926-1984) reveals two major components or city types: a group of cities with below-(oblast) average rates for each of five periods of analysis (1926-39, 1939-59, 1959-70, 1970-79, 1979-84) and a second category experiencing above-average growth until 1970, with subsequent reduction of rates below the oblast average."     

Moscow, the global city? The position of the Russian capital within the European system of metropolitan areas

During the 1990s, the city of Moscow was subject to an extraordinary transformation in its political, economic and social structures, which had consequences for the position of Moscow within the national and international hierarchy of cities. This article is concerned with the trends that can be discerned regarding the position of Moscow on the national and European scales. Without a doubt, the development of Moscow is characterized by an increasing separation from the national urban system and a growing international orientation. The Russian capital has no competitors on the national level: measured against the relevant economic indicators it is a long way ahead of the remaining Russian cities, which are primarily integrated into national and regional economic flows, and participate in the global economy only to a limited degree. Moscow, in contrast, is increasingly striving to integrate itself into transnational and international economic structures. Although the concept of Moscow as a global city is often instrumentalized in municipal politics, the ability of the Russian capital to act as a global centre is in fact limited. At present Moscow's most important function, from a Central European perspective, is to act as a bridging link between Central and Western Europe and Russia. There is a danger that the spatial disparities between Moscow on the one hand, and the remaining Russian cities and regions on the other, will continue to grow.     

Avtomobilshchina: Driven to the Brink in Moscow

Despite a major road construction program, the pace of traffic circulation in Moscow has slowed to less than half the average speed recorded for 1991. One problem is the rapid growth in the number of vehicles, but even more important, as shown in this study, are the cultural and political dimensions of driving and automobile ownership, or automobility. Currently, some specifically Russian driving practices exacerbate the situation. Yet there are many drivers who are eager to collaborate with City Hall in the effort to alleviate congestion. It is argued here that these driver-citizens are emerging publics, people who are creating a civil society without specifically meaning to do so. Mayor Luzhkov acknowledges public opinion, but persists in attempting to solve traffic and parking problems "from above" by constructing more facilities without inviting public participation in planning. These efforts appear unlikely to succeed as long as the public is excluded from mobility governance.     

Land use changes in the environs of Moscow

This paper focuses on several aspects of land use change in Russia during the 1990s with a particular focus on the environs of Moscow. These aspects include modes of farming, recreation, ownership of land, and concentric zones of outwardly declining land use intensity that resemble Von Thunen's economic landscape. These zones are given special attention. In contrast to other land use aspects, the analysis of which indeed reveals a fair amount of change bringing the environs of Russian cities one step closer to their Western counterparts, concentric agricultural land use patterns with outwardly declining productivity suggest continuity rather than change.     

Use of the population potential model for predicting the growth of cities in a region (with reference to Moscow Oblast)

"A modification of the population potential model is used to analyze the structure of the potential of population for cities of the Moscow region, to develop a relationship between population potential and city size, and to use this procedure to forecast future population change in Moscow Oblast cities." Cities in the region with a population of 50,000 or more at the censuses of 1959, 1970, and 1979 are included.     

Selected urban population characteristics of Moscow

"This paper investigates total and regional population characteristics in Moscow [Russia] during 1979-1989, specifically nationality, age, sex and education and their interrelationships. Population dynamics of Russians, Ukrainians, Jews, and, to a lesser extent, other groups are examined based on a regionalization scheme dividing the city into Inner Zone and Outer Zone [regions]. The same spatial framework is employed in an analysis of changes in the age and sex structures of the city's overall population, as well as in levels of education. Linkages between these characteristics and rates of housing construction, recent demographic history, and city migration policy are explored."     

The influence of freeze-thaw cycles on the granulometric composition of Moscow morainic clay

The freeze-thaw cycling process considerably changes the composition,structure,and properties of soils.Since the grain size is the most important factor in determining soil characteristics,our current research primarily aims to investigate dynamic changes of the soil fraction when exposed to freeze-thaw conditions.We observed two series of Moscow morainic clayey specimens(g QmII):(I) the original series,and(II) the remolded series.We subjected each series of soil specimens to different frequencies of freeze-thaw cycles(3,6,20,and 40 cycles),and we used granulometric tests to analyze both series before and after exposure to freeze-thaw conditions.As a result of our experiments,the granulometric compositions tended to be distributed evenly after 40 freeze-thaw processes(i.e.,content of fraction for 0.1–0.05 mm was increased after 40 freeze-thaw cycles) because the division of coarse grains and the aggregation of fine grains were synchronized during the freeze-thaw process.The soil grains in both series changed bi-directionally.In the original series,changes of the sand grains were conjugated with the clay grains,and in the remolded series,changes of the sand grains were conjugated with the silt grains,because potential energy difference caused the division and aggregation processes to relate to the counteraction process.The even distribution of soil grain size indicated the state of equilibrium or balance.The granulometric compositions were altered the most during the sixth freeze-thaw cycle,because the coefficient of the intensity variation of the grain fineness(Kvar) had its maximum value at that time.     

MOSCOW UNDER GLOBALIZATION AND TRANSITION: PATHS OF ECONOMIC RESTRUCTURING

This paper examines modern structural shifts in Moscow in the context of national and international tendencies. It is based upon the hypothesis that one of the important characteristics of the present transitional stage of the Russian economy is the growth of the structural and qualitative gap between Moscow as a strongly dominating focus of post-industrial transformations and the rest of the country. The paper begins with a general analysis of macrostructural transformations in Russia's capital city, focusing on de-industrialization and the increasing role of producer services. This is followed by a comparison of modern trends in Moscow with those taking place in the most important world cities. In this context it is possible to evaluate the applicability of the world-city concept to transitional economies and to explore the changing role of Moscow in the international urban system.     

国内外大城市的城市森林时空变化对比研究

城市森林在减弱噪声、净化空气、调节城市气温等方面具有十分重要的作用。中国城市正处于快速发展阶段,对国内外大城市的城市森林现状及其时空变化进行对比分析可为中国城市森林的建设提供理论借鉴。跨区域城市森林对比研究的主要困难在于城市区域定义的差异导致不同城市之间可比性差。论文利用强度梯度法,基于夜间灯光影像及GlobeLand30地表覆盖产品,提取12个国内外大城市2000年和2010年的城市森林数据,探究其时空变化。结果表明,从现有城市森林量看,城市森林覆盖率及人均城市森林面积在发达国家城市中普遍偏高,而在亚洲发展中国家城市中非常低,例如纽约的人均城市森林面积高达316.5 m ²,而上海、新德里和雅加达则低于2 m ²。从时间变化看,2000—2010年城市森林面积增长率在发达国家城市中均小于70%,而在大部分发展中国家城市超过了100%。城市森林增加的最主要来源是城市面积扩张,减少的主要原因是转为硬化地面和城市草地。按照基于缓冲区分析得到的城市森林空间分布格局,这些城市可以分为3类：中心城区高、周边城区低(北京、首尔),中心城区低、周边城区高(广州、东京、圣保罗等),整个城区均低(上海、新德里、雅加达)。最后,基于对比结果为中国城市森林未来的发展提供了建议。     

中原城市群和周边地区协调发展研究

以中原城市群与周边地区协调发展为重点,在对区域经济协调发展进行理论辨析的基础上,从整体经济效益和地区发展公平角度出发,提出河南省"适度差别化"的区域经济协调发展内涵.结合对河南省中心城市协调发展、产业关联发展以及与相邻省份地区合作发展等问题的分析,提出中原城市群和周边地区协调发展的途径,即建立城市群-城市圈-城市带的整体价值链条.同时,对区域协调发展的产业思路、空间组织、协调发展的机制和对策措施进行了探讨,为推动河南省区域经济可持续发展、制定区域协调发展政策提供依据.     

基于 MODIS 数据的吐鲁番盆地 2001—2017 年 植被变化及水热组合影响分析

中国西北干旱地区的气候变化及其对植被的影响一直备受关注。以地形特殊的吐鲁番盆 地为研究对象,利用实测气象站点数据、再分析气象格点数据以及 MODIS 卫星遥感植被指数,采用 趋势检验、线性回归、偏相关分析等方法,探究了该地区 2001—2017 年间的植被变化及其与水热组 合特征之间的关系。结果表明：（1）吐鲁番盆地降水量整体没有显著变化,但北部山区降水增长较 多,气温总体呈显著上升趋势,尤其是盆地底部中心区域增温较大。（2）全区域植被指数（NDVI）总 体呈极显著上升趋势,山区及中心区域 NDVI 增长率较大。（3）受水汽来源和日照时长的影响,吐鲁 番盆地周边山区高程 3 000 m 左右 NDVI 值最高,山区植被最好的坡向是西北坡。（4）吐鲁番盆地水 热组合复杂,水分条件是大部分地区植被生长的主要限制因素,降水与 NDVI 有较好的正相关,在 山区和荒漠区热量增加不利于植被生长,但中心区域受地下水和人类活动影响,水分的供给相对 稳定,热量增加利于植被生长。     

京津冀地区经济增长的时空分异与影响因素

空间结构视角下的典型地区内部经济增长时空分异是近年来学界持续探讨和研究的重要议题。基于构建的地区经济增长时空分异研究的理论框架,针对京津冀地区核心—外围结构的3类地区,将地区经济增长与经济水平指标相结合,使用相关统计变量、地统计分析方法以及面板多元回归模型对京津冀地区1994-2014年经济增长的空间分异及近阶段的影响因素进行了探究。结果表明：① 京津冀地区经济增速往往伴随着经济总差异的扩张;地区分组组间差异是总差异的主体成分;地区分组组间差异和京津冀地区经济总差异呈扩张趋势。② 京津冀地区经济增长的空间分异可划分为经济增长空间扩散—地区差异总体收敛、经济增速减缓且空间集聚—地区总差异扩张、经济波动增速并空间扩散—总差异波动上升、经济增速减缓并再次空间集聚—地区经济差异波动缓慢增加等4个阶段。③ 当前,经济增长的空间辐射主要表现为一级核心地区对邻近二级核心地区的带动作用,向外围地区的扩散尚弱。④ 核心与外围不同类型地区的参数估计存在显著差异,这体现了不同类型地区经济结构的梯度差距。     

MOSCOW ON THE RISE: FROM PRIMATE CITY TO MEGAREGION*

In this article I examine Moscow's role in the political‐economic space of the Russian Federation. A broad range of data supports the thesis that the capital has become a primate city, one that serves no longer as the command center of a closed system but as the primary node of interconnection between Russia and the rest of the world. The effort to create a larger, polycentric “New Moscow” next to the ancient capital is marked by a tightening of central control, in contrast to governance regimes of European megaregions. Nevertheless, expansion of the capital region very likely will further boost Moscow's dominance over the country.     

21世纪以来俄罗斯人口增长与空间分布格局变化

在“一带一路”与“中蒙俄经济走廊”倡议的背景下,利用人口增减变化率、人口重心、人口密度变化率、人口地理集中度、人口商度等研究21世纪以来俄罗斯的人口增长与空间分布格局变化。结果表明：（1）21世纪以来,俄罗斯人口经历了先降后增的变化过程;中央区的人口显著上升,伏尔加、西伯利亚与远东区均呈下降趋势;莫斯科、圣彼得堡、乌拉尔区、北高加索区南端的联邦主体人口快速增加,西伯利亚区多数联邦主体人口缓慢增加,远东东部、莫斯科外围地域、伏尔加区多数联邦主体的人口缓慢减少,西北区北端联邦主体的人口急剧减少。（2）俄人口空间分布格局变化主要受地区间人口迁移流动的影响。空间上,俄人口重心不断朝西北向迁移,莫斯科市与圣彼得堡市的人口密度快速增加,远东与东西伯利亚区的人口密度缓慢降低,强化了俄人口分界线——“圣彼得堡-图瓦线”。以“圣图线”为界,俄“西密东疏”“欧洲密、亚洲疏”的格局短期不会改变,整体呈“一横、四纵、两团”及若干区域人口集团的空间结构。     

基于航空客流的中国城市对外联系网络结构与演化

改革开放以来,经济全球化和快速城市化促进了中国城市外向型联系的发展,改变了中国城市对外联系的空间格局。越来越复杂化的城市空间分布和组织规律需要一个全新的、综合的网络视角来考察。航空运输是当前城市间相互联系的重要物质基础,体现了城市间的直接关系,是研究城市网络的合适工具。本文以中国城市对外的航空客运联系作为衡量城市关系的指标,借鉴社会网络分析中的2-模网络概念构建了中国城市对外联系网络,并对网络的结构特征和演化规律进行了分析。研究结果表明,中国城市对外联系网络存在北京-上海-广州的三中心结构。中心城市以外,西部城市上升势头迅猛,体现了网络多元化发展的趋势。此外,中国城市对外联系的主要对象逐渐从东南亚向东亚转移,并呈现出以首尔为核心的网络结构。同时,中国城市对外联系扩张以强化区域内部联系为主,洲际联系发展滞后。     

加权Voronoi图在城镇经济区划分中的应用——以十堰市为例

划分城镇经济区对于进行城乡产业和公共服务设施布局、统筹城乡协调发展具有重要意义。通过构建评价指标体系,运用主成分分析与重力模型法,计算城镇发展潜力,在此基础上选择了14个中心镇,并求得其与中心城市、特区及城关镇的中心性强度。根据断裂点理论,运用加权Voronoi图,以城镇中心性强度值的平方根为权重划分各中心城镇的空间影响范围。在保持乡镇行政区完整性的前提下,对城镇影响范围进行调整,最终确定了十堰市22个城镇经济区的覆盖范围。结果表明,城镇影响范围还取决于中心城镇间的距离,城镇经济区范围通常与行政范围不一致。在今后的研究中还需考虑自然资源、周边城市影响等因素,不断完善研究方法。