由地壳介质非均匀性判断郯庐断裂带江苏段大震危险区

<正>(1)研究区三维速度结构的非均匀性。用6 268个地震,123 022个Sg-Pg,Sm-Pm,Sn-Pn到时差资料,使用多震相地震走时成像法获得了郯庐断裂带鲁苏段及附近地壳(30°~37°N,113°~122°E)三维速度结构,发现在20~25 km层部分地区存在低速异常区,主要是郯庐断裂带临沭到定远及以东的地区,1668年郯城地震区位于其内,1668年郯城地震发生在莫霍面埋深变化的区域,而郯庐带宿迁到泗洪及以东地区是莫霍面变化较大的地方。     

郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段地壳速度结构的分段特征及其地质意义

本文采用天然地震近震走时反演地壳三维速度结构的方法获得了郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段及附近地壳(30°N—37°N,113°E—122°E)三维速度结构.对地壳内分层速度结构的分析发现,郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段存在速度的分段特征.郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段浅层35.3°N以北,34.5°N—35.3°N间,33°N—34.5°N间呈现的速度分段和地表出露地层有关,与地质上安丘段、莒县—郯城段,新沂—泗洪段三个破裂单元相对应,且和各段的地震活动相呼应,表明郯庐带新沂到泗洪段可能是断裂的闭锁段.郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段地壳速度结构自浅至深分为三段,大体位置是:南段(32.5°N—33°N以南),中段(32.5°N—33°N至35°N—35.3°N),北段(35°N—35.3°N以北).上地壳分段与苏鲁超高压变质岩带的插入有关,中、下地壳速度分段则可能和火山岩滞留有关.地壳各层速度结构不同段的速度差异反映了构造块体的速度差异,表明各构造块体在地壳下部仍有差异,郯庐带西侧速度总体高于东侧,反映了不同构造块体的形成和组成差别,也说明了该断裂带可能延伸到莫霍面.而不同深度的分段性可能反映了不同地质演化过程.     

郯庐断裂带鲁苏段地壳速度结构的分段特征

<正>采用多震相走时反演法获得了郯庐断裂带鲁苏段及附近(30°~37°N,113°~122°E)地壳三维速度结构。对地壳内分层速度结构的分析发现,郯庐断裂带鲁苏段存在速度的分段特征。郯庐带在0~2 km层速度分布可分为5段:135.3°N以北段,与郯庐断裂带安丘段位置大体一致,此段速度较高,曾发生了公元前70年安丘7级地震,现代中小地震也较多,此段及东西两侧地表为中生代或更早地层,速度结构的结果和地表地层反映的可能速度一致。234.5°~35.3°N,与郯庐带莒南-郯城段位     

基于布格重力数据研究郯庐断裂带江苏段深部构造

本文收集了郯庐断裂带江苏段及周边地区的布格重力数据,利用小波多尺度分析方法对该地区的重力场进行场源分离,深入研究了区域地壳密度结构及断裂空间展布特征,并应用Parker密度界面模型对区域莫霍界面进行反演分析.研究结果如下:(1)布格重力场显示,郯庐断裂带江苏段形成了NNE走向的大型的重力高异常条带及重力梯度带,分隔了华北板块和苏胶块体、下扬子板块,成为区域内重要的地球物理分界线;(2)小波重力细节场揭示,沉积层及上地壳结构复杂,郯庐断裂带的5条主干断裂形成线性异常条带贯穿区域中央,控制着断裂带内部的隆凹构造单元.中下地壳结构相对简单,郯庐断裂带形成宽缓的高、低异常区,洪泽-沟墩断裂、淮阴-响水口断裂、宿迁-无锡断裂等深大断裂与之交切,而邵店-桑墟断裂不与之相交.受宿迁-无锡断裂交切的影响,郯庐断裂带江苏段在宿迁地区出现明显的分段性;(3)区域莫霍面形态东高西低,郯庐断裂带形成了莫霍面陡变带,造成了东西分异的格局,泗洪地区出现莫霍面局部上隆区,可能由于软流层或上地幔高密度物质上隆所致.     

郯庐断裂北带地区主要构造单元壳幔结构特征与地震活动性.

以东北地区的地学断面及其相关资料为基础,分析了郯庐断裂北带地区的地壳-上地幔结构特征与不同地壳构造单元地震活动性之间的关系．结果表明:郯庐断裂北带两侧的壳幔结构存在明显差异,断裂带本身的发育与壳幔结构变异带关系密切;断裂的活动特点及分段明显受到地壳介质力学特性影响;郯庐断裂北带地区软流层的起伏与地貌形态呈明显的镜像关系,前者还制约着不同地壳构造单元的构造活动性及变形方式;郯庐断裂北带地区南、北两端地震较为活跃地段均与壳内低速 高导层发育地段相对应的事实,证明了刚性地块中壳幔结构较为复杂的活动断裂段是构成中强地震的主要控震构造．      

基于背景噪声成像方法研究郯庐断裂带中南段及邻区地壳速度结构与变形特征

郯庐断裂带是贯穿我国东部北北东走向的一条深大断裂,其中南段及其邻区(115°E-121°E,29.5°N-35°N)穿过了大别造山带、苏鲁造山带、长江中下游成矿带及合肥盆地.为了研究该区域地壳速度结构及变形特征,我们使用安徽省和江苏省及其周边地区105个台站(固定台站98个,流动台站7个)的垂向连续波形数据,时间范围从2014年5月到2015年7月,共计14个月.利用背景噪声互相关方法,从垂直分量互相关函数中最终提取了2590条瑞利面波相速度频散曲线,反演得到周期范围为5~30s的瑞利波方位各向异性相速度分布图,再反演每个网格点瑞利面波相速度频散得到一维层状横波速度模型,然后拼合起来组成三维横波速度模型.根据本文反演结果并综合已有资料,我们得出如下结论:(1)在北大别、蚌埠隆起、长江中下游成矿带、合肥盆地北部大桥凹陷区域存在中地壳横波高速体,可能与岩石圈和下地壳拆沉以及中生代中国东部大范围岩浆活动有直接关系,更深层原因可能与古太平洋俯冲相关;(2)苏鲁造山带南缘,垂直于嘉山响水断裂,从南向北中上地壳低速体深度变浅,这个低速体可能是高压/超高压变质岩与扬子板块接触处的破碎带,是扬子板块与华北板块接触的边界;(3)郯庐断裂合肥-嘉山段两侧以及大别造山带东缘短周期瑞利面波相速度快轴方向与郯庐断裂带走向基本一致,可能是三叠纪碰撞期与白垩纪时期的大规模左旋走滑活动的结果;(4)合肥盆地南部15~20s周期的瑞利波相速度快轴方向为北西-南东向,反应该区域中下地壳快波方向为北西-南东向,推测是大别造山带折返的痕迹;(5)郯庐断裂带的结构和地震活动性存在明显的分段性,嘉山-郯城段郯庐断裂带现今地震活动性弱,但发生过较强的古地震,推断现今郯庐断裂带宿迁段可能处于闭锁状态,从长远来看要注意该地区发生大震的可能.     

郯庐断裂带鲁苏晥段未来强震可能发生地段初探

郯庐断裂带穿越中国东部鲁、苏、皖等3省,文中称此段为郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段。通过地震地质、深地震勘探、天然地震层析成像、地震活动、地貌和现今地壳运动速度场等方面资料的分析和对比研究,根据历史地震重演原则和地质构造类比原则,对郯庐断裂带鲁苏晥段未来强震的可能发生地段进行了探讨。泗洪南(王集)—嘉山一带与1668年郯城8级地震震中地区对比分析发现,两处在深、浅部地质构造、新构造运动、地震活动性等方面存在较大的相似性。结合郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段7级及以上强震的分布及其重现周期等方面综合分析,初步认为,郯庐断裂带鲁苏皖段在泗洪南(王集)—嘉山一带存在发生7级或7级以上强地震的可能性。     

郯庐断裂带中南段地壳厚度与泊松比研究

郯庐断裂带中南段与西太平洋板块俯冲以及华北克拉通破坏密切相关,研究其深部结构对于了解郯庐断裂带构造演化过程、强震的孕震机制具有重要意义.本文利用密集台阵波形资料,采用接收函数H-κ叠加方法获得郯庐断裂带中南段的地壳厚度和泊松比.结果显示,郯庐断裂带中南段的地壳厚度分布以庐江和新沂为分段点呈现出与地质构造相关的南北向分段特征：南段的断裂带西侧的地壳厚度比东侧厚约5 km,中段的断裂带两侧厚度差异减小至约3 km,而北段则表现为断裂带下方隆起特征.郯庐断裂带沿线的地壳泊松比较高,推测是地幔物质的热侵蚀和化学侵蚀所致.根据艾里地壳均衡理论,南段地壳厚度与地表高程相关,基本符合艾里地壳均衡模型;而中段两侧地表高程基本相同,两侧地壳厚度差异表明不符合艾里地壳均衡模型,可能与断裂带西侧的华北克拉通岩石圈比东侧扬子克拉通岩石圈具有更高密度有关,高密度岩石圈产生向下“拖拽力”导致莫霍面相对理论值偏深;北段的莫霍面也偏深,与中段断裂带西侧情况类似,该区域基本位于华北克拉通块体.在郯城地震破裂范围内,存在莫霍面的不平滑过渡、活动块体的边界带以及断裂的分叉与交汇这三类结构特征.在上述结构特征的区域应力更集中...     

利用GPS资料研究郯庐带现今的运动及变形状态

郯庐断裂带中南段在第四纪以来活断层最发育,历史上曾发生过多次中强以上地震,是我国目前主要地震活动区域之一.2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震发生后,地下流体观测多项测震后效应在郯庐断裂带中南段部分地区一直持续存在,同时速度结构研究结果表明该区域存在发生中强以上地震的介质速度结构条件,因此,加强对郯庐带现今地壳变形特征的认识,对郯庐带未来地震危险性的判定有着重要的意义.     

应用布格重力异常研究郯庐断裂构造

使用布格重力资料对郯庐断裂带的中段部分（沂沭断裂带）进行了研究. 结果表明, 郯庐断裂带莫霍面及地壳内界面均发生错断,断裂带两侧地壳各界面起伏平缓. 该结果与前人的郯庐断裂带是切穿地壳的深大断裂的认识相一致. 在郯庐断裂带两侧,地壳结构明显不同,西侧沉积层较薄,平均在5 km以下;东侧多数在6 km以上;在断裂带中央沉积物最薄,大约为3～4 km. 断裂带东侧莫霍面埋深浅,大约为33～34 km;西侧莫霍面埋深明显增加,达到36～38 km．反映了莫霍面深度在断裂带附近整体是向西增加的. 郯庐断裂带在重力场分布中则表现为一条宽度较大的线性布格重力异常梯度带.      

沂沭断裂带安丘-莒县断裂安丘-朱里段几何结构与活动特征

安丘-莒县断裂是沂沭断裂带最主要的活动断裂,对强震的发生具有明显的控制作用。该断裂的安丘—朱里段由南流段、双官—眉村段和朱里段3条右阶斜列的次级断裂所组成,以右旋走滑活动为主,兼有正断或逆冲活动分量;其最新活动时代推断为晚更新世—全新世早期。根据断裂活动性的最新研究成果,认为在莒县至昌邑之间安丘-莒县断裂仍是占主导地位的活动断裂,与公元前70年安丘7级地震的发生具有密切关系     

NEW EVIDENCES OF HOLOCENE ACTIVITY IN THE JIANGSU SEGMENT OF ANQIU-JUXIAN FAULT OF THE TANLU FAULT ZONE

Anqiu-Juxian Fault is an important fault in the Tanlu fault zone, with the largest seismic risk, the most recent activity date and the most obvious surface traces. It is also the seismogenic fault of the Tancheng M8 1/2 earthquake in 1668. There are many different views about the southern termination location of surface rupture of the Tancheng earthquake and the Holocene activity in Jiangsu segment of this fault. Research on the latest activity time of the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault, particularly the termination location of surface rupture of the Tancheng earthquake, is of great significance to the assessment of its earthquake potential and seismic risk. Based on trench excavation on the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault, we discuss the time and characteristics of its latest activity. Multiple geological sections from southern Maling Mountain to Chonggang Mountain indicate that there was an ancient seismic event occurring in Holocene on the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault. We suggest the time of the latest seismic event is about(4.853±0.012)~(2.92±0.3)ka BP by dating results. The latest activity is characterized by thrust strike-slip faulting, with the maximum displacement of 1m. Combined with the fault rupture characteristics of each section, it is inferred that only one large-scale paleo-earthquake event occurred on the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault since the Holocene. The upper parts of the fault are covered by horizontal sand layers, not only on the trench in the west of Chonggang mountain but also on the trench in Hehuan Road in Suqian city, which indicates that the main part of the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault was probably not the surface rupture zone of the 1668 Tancheng M8 1/2 earthquake. In short, the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault has experienced many paleo-earthquake events since the late Pleistocene, with obvious activity during the Holocene. The seismic activities of the Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault have the characteristics of large magnitude and low frequency. The Jiangsu segment of Anqiu-Juxian Fault has the deep tectonic and seismic-geological backgrounds of big earthquakes generation and should be highly valued by scientists.     

据地壳介质非均匀性判断郯庐断裂带鲁苏段未来大震位置

从大尺度和小尺度两方面研究郯庐断裂带苏鲁段地壳介质非均匀性。使用地震波数据,研究了郯庐断裂带苏鲁段地壳速度结构的非均匀性,单位虚波Q_mps的非均匀性,地壳介质泊松比的非均匀性,反映地壳介质小尺度非均匀性的分层κ值和y值。计算了1668年郯城8 1/2级地震震源区长度和沿断裂带的震源区边界,根据地震构造和地震活动性确定断裂的闭锁段,地震应力的积累单元和调整单元。对比1668年郯城8 1/2级地震的地壳介质状况,将各种非均匀性参数综合分析,结果表明,各种参数指向一致,未来大震的可能区域是33°-34.5°N,118°-118.8°E的北北东向区域,震级可达8级。     

PRELIMINARY DISCUSSION ON THE POSSIBLE AREA OF STRONG EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCE IN FUTURE ALONG THE SHANDONG-JIANGSU-ANHUI SEGMENT OF TANCHENG-LUJIANG FAULT ZONE

Tancheng-Lujiang Fault runs through Shandong,Jiangsu,Anhui Provinces of East China,and this segment is called the Shandong-Jiangsu-Anhui segment of the Tancheng-Lujiang fault zone in the paper.By comparative analysis on the data of seismogeology,deep seismic exploration,seismic tomography,seismic activity,geomorphology,crustal motion velocity field and deformation observation,etc.,and based on the principles of historical earthquake recurrence and structure analogy,the possibility is discussed of the occurrence of strong earthquake in the Shandong-Jiangsu-Anhui segment.It is found by comparison between the Wangji-Jiashan region of south Sihong County and epicenter area of the 1668 Tancheng M 8¹/₂ earhtquake that there are high similarities between these two regions in terms of deep-seated and shallow geologic structure,neotectonic movement,and seismic activity,etc.According to the studies of historic seismic event recurrence and tectonic comparison,the area along Wangji to Jiashan of Sihong County along the Shandong-Jiangsu-Anhui segment of the Tancheng-Lujiang fault zone is likely to generate M7 or above strong earthquake.     

A multi-scale 3-D crust velocity model in the Hefei-Chao Lake area around the southern segment of Tanlu Fault Zone

Regional high-precision velocity models of the crust are an important foundation for examining seismic activity, seismogenic environments, and disaster distribution characteristics. The Hefei-Chao Lake area contains the main geological units of Hefei Basin, with thick sediments and the Chao Lake depression. Several major concealed faults of the southern NNE-trending Tanlu Fault Zone cross this area. To further explore the underground distribution characteristics of the faults and their tectonic evolutionary relationship with adjacent tectonic units, this study used ambient noise data recorded by a seismic array deployed in Hefei City and Chao Lake, constructing a 3-D velocity model at the depth of 1–8 km. Then a multi-scale high-resolution 3-D velocity model of this area was constructed by this new upper crustal velocity model with the previous middle and lower crustal model. The new model reveals that a high-velocity belt is highly consistent with the strike of the Tanlu Fault Zone, and a low-velocity sedimentary characteristic is consistent with the Hefei Basin and Chao Lake depression. The distribution morphology of high and low velocity bodies shows that the sedimentary pattern of Hefei-Chao Lake area is closely related to the tectonic evolution of the Tanlu Fault Zone since the Mesozoic. This study also identifies multiple low-velocity anomalies in the southeastern Hefei City. We speculate that strong ground motion during the 2009 Feidong earthquake (magnitude of 3.5) was related to amplification by the thick sediments in the Hefei Basin. We also discuss further applications of multi-scale high-resolution models of the shallow layer to strong ground motion simulations in cities and for earthquake disaster assessments.     

Fault plane parameters of Tancheng M8? earthquake on the basis of present-day seismological data

The great Tancheng earthquake of M8? occurred in 1668 was the largest seismic event ever recorded in history in eastern China. This study determines the fault geometry of this earthquake by inverting seismological data of present-day moderate-small earthquakes in the focal area. We relocated those earthquakes with the double-difference method and found focal mechanism solutions using gird test method. The inversion results are as follows: the strike is 21.6°, the dip angle is 89.5°, the slip angle is 170°, the fault length is about 160 km, the lower-boundary depth is about 32 km and the buried depth of upper boundary is about 4 km. This shows that the seismic fault is a NNE-trending upright right-lateral strike-slip fault and has cut through the crust. Moreover, the surface seismic fault, intensity distribution of the earthquake, earthquake-depth distribution and seismic-wave velocity profile in the focal area all verified our study result.

     

THE NEW ACTIVITY OF TAN-LU FAULT ZONE IN SEGMENT OF DAHONGSHAN SINCE LATE QUATERNARY

The relationship between the latest activity of active fault and seismic events is of the utmost importance. The Tan-lu fault zone in eastern China is a major fault zone, of which the active characteristics of the segments in Jiangsu, Shandong and Anhui has been the focus of research. This study takes the Dahongshan segment of the Tanlu Fault in Sihong County as the main research area. We carried out a detailed geological survey and excavated two trenches across the steep slope on the southwest side of the Dahongshan. Each trench shows fault clearly. Combining the comparative analysis of previous work, we identified and cataloged the late Quaternary deformation events and prehistoric earthquake relics, and analyzed the activity stages and behavior of this segment. Fault gonge observed in the trench profiles shows that multiple earthquake events occurred in the fault. The faulting dislocated the Neogene sandstone, black gravel layer and gray clay layer. Brown clay layer is not broken. According to the relations of dislocated stratums, corresponding ¹⁴C and OSL samples were collected and dated. The result indicates that the Dahongshan segment of the Tanlu Fault has experienced strong earthquakes since the late Quaternary. Thrust fault, normal fault and strike-slip fault are found in the trenches. The microscopic analysis of slices from fault shows that there are many stick-creep events taking place in the area during the late Quaternary. Comprehensive analysis shows that there have been many paleoearthquakes in this region since the late Quaternary, the recent active time is the late Pleistocene, and the most recent earthquake event occurred in(12~2.5ka BP). The neotectonic activity is relatively weak in the Anhui segment(south of the Huaihe River)of Tanlu fault zone. There are difficulties in the study of late Quaternary activity. For example, uneven distribution of the Quaternary, complex geological structure, larger man-made transformation of surface and so on. The progressive research may be able to promote the study on the activity of the Anhui segment of Tanlu fault zone.     

1668年郯城8*(1／2)级地震断层及其破裂机制

根据近年来野外考察所获新资料，总结了１６６８年郯城８１／２级地震断层的几何学、运动学特征，并对地震断层的破裂机制提出了新见解。１６６８年郯城８*(１／２)级地震断层北起莒县土岭南至郯城窑上，全长１３０ｋｍ，由５条运动性质不同的断层段组成。中部以走滑运动为主，两端部以逆冲性质为主。断裂首先在强走滑的中部产生破裂点，并向南北两个方向传播，造成了主震及强余震序列的发生。全新世以来多次主地震事件有着相同的破裂机制