西藏南部冈底斯南缘松卡晚白垩世埃达克质高镁闪长岩地球化学特征及其成因

松卡岩体地处藏南冈底斯岩基南缘的东段,主要由闪长岩和花岗岩脉组成,为详细研究与大洋俯冲有关的岩浆过程提供了良好的记录。锆石U-Pb地质年代学研究表明松卡岩体闪长岩的形成年龄为97Ma,具有高Sr、低Y和高Sr/Y比的特点,显示出埃达克质岩石的特征,同时具有高MgO含量和高Mg~#值,以及较低的~(87)Sr/~(86)Sr(t)(～0.7042)和较高的ε_(Nd)(t)(+4.6～+8.8),是俯冲新特提斯洋壳和少量海洋沉积物部分熔融并随后与上覆地幔楔发生相互作用形成的。与91Ma松卡埃达克质岩石相比,97Ma松卡埃达克质闪长岩具有更多地幔物质参与。松卡花岗岩脉的锆石U-Pb年龄为93Ma,同样具有较低的~(87)Sr/~(86)Sr(t)(0.7046)值和较高的ε_(Nd)(t)(+7.5～+7.8)值,可能是具有亏损地幔特征的中基性岩浆经过分离结晶作用演化而来。上述数据表明,在100～90Ma期间,较年轻的俯冲新特提斯板片可能发生过部分熔融,板片部分熔融熔体与上覆地幔楔的相互作用是形成高镁闪长岩(安山岩)的重要机制之一。     

弧地壳深部岩浆结晶分异过程:来自中祁连西段哈马尔达坂杂岩体的年代学、地球化学和热力学模拟研究SCIEI北大核心CSCD

俯冲带弧岩浆分异是大陆地壳形成的主要过程,对研究大陆地壳的演化与生长机制具有重要意义。本文通过对中祁连弧地体西段盐池湾地区的哈马尔达坂杂岩体进行野外地质、地球化学、年代学和热力学模拟研究,来讨论弧岩浆分异过程。哈马尔达坂杂岩体主要存在两类岩石类型:镁铁质-超镁铁质堆晶岩(包括辉石角闪石岩、角闪辉长岩和角闪石岩)和闪长岩类(包括闪长岩、石英闪长岩)。锆石U-Pb定年结果显示辉石角闪石岩的形成时代为473±1Ma,与相邻高钾岛弧玄武岩的形成时代一致。哈马尔达坂杂岩体与高钾岛弧玄武岩具有相似的全岩Sr-Nd-Hf同位素组成,(^(87)Sr/^(86)Sr)_(i)比值在0.7035~0.7053之间,ε_(Nd)(t)=+3.9~+5.1,ε_(Hf)(t)=+10.8~+13.1,表明它们来自同一岩浆源区。结合野外地质关系与岩石地球化学特征,推测该侵入杂岩体的原始熔体为相邻的高钾玄武质弧岩浆。岩石学和地球化学特征表明:闪长岩类是来源于受沉积物熔体交代的俯冲带地幔楔部分熔融形成的原始玄武质岩浆在中下地壳发生(以角闪石为主)结晶分异的产物;镁铁质-超镁铁质岩石具有堆晶结构,地球化学特征呈现富铁贫硅的特征,具有较高的MgO含量(6.19%~14.29%,Mg^(#)=52.3~74.6),代表原始玄武质岩浆分离结晶形成的堆晶体。热力学模拟计算与实验岩石学资料对比,进一步说明该杂岩体中的闪长岩是玄武质岩浆在中压(约0.7GPa)和氧逸度为NNO+1的条件下、发生50%~67%分离结晶的产物。闪长岩类与镁铁质-超镁铁质堆晶岩具有相似的矿物结晶顺序与全岩同位素组成,指示它们具有发生分离结晶作用的互补成分特征,分别代表了玄武质岩浆分离结晶后的衍生熔体和堆晶岩。因此,本文研究表明角闪石分异是弧岩浆分异的主要机制,它导致富SiO_(2)熔体的形成,推动岩浆成分向富硅的方向演变,从而产生新生的安山质地壳。     

青海玉树查涌地区高镁闪长岩年龄、岩石成因及构造背景

为了查明青海玉树查涌地区闪长岩岩石成因及形成的地球动力学背景,对其进行了岩相学、矿物电子探针分析、锆石LA-ICP-MS U-Pb年代学和岩石地球化学分析.闪长岩锆石LA-ICP-MS U-Pb年龄为230±2 Ma,属于晚三叠世.电子探针分析结果显示,闪长岩中的斜长石具有正环带结构,核部斜长石属于倍长石或钙长石,边部属于中长石或拉长石;黑云母矿物成分为镁质黑云母,结晶温度介于647~688 ℃,侵位深度约为14.2~15.5 km;角闪石属于钙质角闪石,显示壳幔混合成因的特点.岩石地球化学分析结果显示闪长岩具有富硅、富镁、高的Mg#值及较高含量的Cr和Ni,富集LILE和LREE,亏损HFSE,铕异常不明显,与高镁闪长岩中的赞岐岩相似.闪长岩中锆石的ε_Hf（t）值为-10.4~-10.3和-6.4~-4.0,锆石Hf单阶段模式年龄（t_DM1）为1 021~1 311 Ma.分析研究表明闪长岩形成于俯冲带之上的地幔楔环境,为地幔橄榄岩与俯冲的洋壳板片部分熔融的富硅质熔体平衡反应形成的.结合区域地质演化认为晚三叠世古特提斯洋仍处于俯冲消减状态,查涌高镁闪长岩为金沙江洋向西俯冲消减过程中的产物.      

茫崖二长花岗岩、石英闪长岩的年代学、地球化学及岩石成因:对阿尔金南缘早古生代构造-岩浆演化的启示

阿尔金南缘茫崖地区出露着早古生代二长花岗岩体和石英闪长岩体,测得其LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb年龄为472.1±1.1Ma和458.3±6.2Ma。地球化学特征显示,前者属于钾玄质过铝质S型花岗岩,具高的(La/Yb)N和Sr/Y比值,低的HREE、Yb和Y值;后者为高钾钙碱性准铝质-过铝质I型花岗岩,具低的(La/Yb)N和Sr/Y值,高的Yb和Y含量。通过岩石成因和构造背景分析,二长花岗岩是陆壳深俯冲作用下,上地壳沉积岩(杂砂岩和少量泥质岩)被俯冲带入到50~80km深处,在高压(1.5GPa)低温(779.8~792.9℃)条件下主要由云母分解脱水而发生部分熔融,残留相为石榴石+金红石(无角闪石),在岩浆演化过程中发生了以斜长石为主(无角闪石)的强烈分离结晶作用;石英闪长岩是在陆壳深俯冲后的折返抬升作用下,上地壳变质玄武岩被抬升至30km处,在低压(0.8GPa)高温(811.0~821.0℃)条件下发生部分熔融,残留相为角闪石+斜长石(无石榴石),在岩浆演化过程中发生了以辉石、金红石和磷灰石为主(无角闪石和斜长石)的分离结晶作用。结合前人研究成果,分析了阿尔金南缘早古生代岩浆活动特征及其形成机制,将该地区早古生代构造-岩浆演化分为三个阶段:1)505~472Ma陆-陆碰撞阶段,以高压环境下岩浆活动为特征,在陆壳深俯冲的同时,存在俯冲陆壳的初步熔融拆离作用;2)467~450Ma板片拆离阶段,由于俯冲板片的完全断离,强大的浮力主要使上地壳发生抬升折返,以低压高温环境下上地壳岩浆活动为特征,同时存在幔源岩浆的底垫作用,具同折返双峰式岩浆活动的特征;3)424~385.2Ma后碰撞伸展拉张阶段,持续的应力释放松弛使构造应力从前期的垂向抬升转换为侧向伸展,存在地幔岩浆的底侵上涌作用,以低压高温环境下A型花岗岩岩浆活动为特征。     

柴达木盆地北缘果可山石英闪长岩LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年及其成因

柴达木盆地北缘果可山地区石英闪长岩LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年获得的206 Pb/238 U加权平均年龄为247±3 Ma。石英闪长岩由斜长石(55%~60%)、石英(15%~20%)、角闪石(10%~15%)和黑云母(5%~10%)组成,属准铝质-弱过铝质系列(A/CNK=0.95~1.02),具有I型花岗岩特征。样品富集轻稀土元素和大离子亲石元素(K、Rb、Cs、Ba、Th等),相对亏损重稀土元素和高场强元素(Nb、Ta、P、Ti等),类似弧岩浆岩。样品中MgO含量(2.04%~2.44%)和Mg#值(48.9~51.9)均高于变玄武岩/变泥岩在1~4GPa压力下部分熔融形成的熔体,且包含大量暗色包体,这暗示它们可能是由角闪岩相下地壳部分熔融产生的岩浆和富集地幔来源的岩浆发生混合而成。低的锆石Ti温度和高Ce~(4+)/Ce~(3+)比值,表明其结晶自低温、高氧逸度岩浆,岩浆形成过程中可能有富水熔体/流体的加入。在花岗岩构造环境判别图解上,样品均落在火山弧环境;同时,样品La/Nb比值(2.27~2.64)与活动大陆边缘区高La/Nb比值(2.0)特征相吻合。结合区域地质背景分析,我们认为果可山石英闪长岩形成于古特提斯洋向北俯冲的活动大陆边缘弧环境。     

大别山北麓的奥陶纪岩浆弧：侵入岩年代学和地球化学证据

采用颗粒级锆石U-Pb和角闪石的~(40)Ar-~(39)Ar定年方法,测得大别山北坡马畈闪长质杂岩体中石英闪长岩的结晶锆石年龄分别为(463.5±3.4)和(458.6±6.7)Ma,角闪石~(40)Ar-~(39)Ar坪年龄为(462.7±1.4)Ma。从镁铁质包体到闪长岩和花岗岩类,ε_(Nd)(t)介于4.3～1.8之间,且随着Mg~#值的减小和SiO_2及Nb含量增高,岩石的ε_(Nd)(t)值降低,结合低Nb/Zr比值和中等-高的Ba/Th比值等特点,认为有关岩石的形成与幔源岩浆受板片流体影响并发生地壳AFC(同化混染与分离结晶同时出现)作用有关,但它们亏损Nb等高场强元素的特征,并不是地壳物质影响所致,而反映了地幔岩浆源区的特点,表明岩浆形成于与俯冲有关的环境。这一研究进一步证明,在大别山北麓的北淮阳地区,曾经发育了奥陶纪岩浆弧,向西与北秦岭岩浆弧相接。从大别山北麓的马畈杂岩体到昆仑山的布青山英云闪长岩体,中央造山带内与俯冲有关的侵入岩侵位年龄有向西变新的趋势,可能意味着原特提斯秦岭洋在向华北地块南缘活动大陆边缘俯冲过程中,是从东向西逐渐关闭的。     

巴颜喀拉中部三叠纪称多高镁闪长岩的地球化学特征、岩石成因及其构造意义

本次研究通过对巴颜喀拉中部称多地区三叠纪高镁闪长岩开展系统的锆石U-Pb年代学、岩石学和地球化学综合研究,深入剖析其岩石成因,在此基础上与北羌塘地体北部同时期典型高镁闪长岩进行对比,进而为深入理解巴颜喀拉-松潘-甘孜地体三叠纪岩浆岩的成因及其地球动力学背景提供重要证据。通过锆石LA-ICP-MS U-Pb同位素测年方法获得该闪长岩的结晶年龄为216±2 Ma,与北羌塘地区三叠纪典型高镁闪长岩的形成年龄在误差允许范围内基本一致。岩石样品具有显著高的MgO (3.2%～5.03%)、Mg~#(51%～58%)、Cr(75.8～127.6×10~(-6))、 Ni(10～41.5×10~(-6))、Yb_N(6.53～8.51×10~(-6))和Y(17.79～22.65×10~(-6))以及相对低的(La/Yb)_N和Sr/Y比值(分别为7.63～13.16和12.50～18.38),可与日本Steouchi地区赞歧质高镁安山岩和北羌塘三叠纪典型的高镁闪长岩成分类比。所有岩石样品轻重稀土分异较强,轻稀土(LREE)相对富集,并且具有中等程度的Eu负异常。样品在微量元素组成上相对于原始地幔要明显富集Th和REE,亏损Nb,Ta,P和Ti,整体上表现俯冲带岩浆岩的成分特征。综合岩石学、地球化学以及区域上多学科研究结果,可以确定研究区及周缘这些三叠纪高镁闪长岩很可能形成与板块俯冲有关的环境中,并且与与受俯冲增生楔沉积物熔体交代的地幔橄榄岩的部分熔融有关。     

Late Cretaceous arc magma differentiation in southern Tibet: Evidence from zircon U-Pb chronology,mineralogy and geochemistrySCIEI北大核心CSCD

造山带岩浆作用记录了从大洋俯冲消减到陆陆碰撞的一系列地质过程,同时也蕴含了关于大陆地壳生成、生长的重要信息,其中,与俯冲相关的弧岩浆作用被认为是大陆地壳生长的主要机制。本文通过对西藏南部拉萨地体曲水县至贡嘎县一带出露的黑云母二长花岗岩、镁铁质微粒包体以及石英闪长岩开展同位素年代学、矿物学和岩石地球化学研究,探讨了该岩石组合的成因和弧岩浆的分异演化过程。锆石U-Pb定年结果表明,这些岩石的形成时代为91~88Ma。其中,黑云母二长花岗岩属中钾钙碱性偏铝质岩石系列(A/CNK=0.77~0.99),具高SiO 2(68.90%~69.18%)和Al_(2)O_(3)(15.21%~15.48%),低MgO(1.15%~1.16%)和Mg#值(~44),高Sr/Y比值(60~82),其地球化学特征与埃达克质岩石相似;镁铁质微粒包体的SiO 2含量为54.75%~54.96%,具有较高MgO含量(3.92%~5.40%)和Mg#值(52~61),并具弱的负Eu异常(δEu=0.79~0.82)。石英闪长岩为中钾钙碱性偏铝质岩石(A/CNK=0.84~0.88),其SiO 2含量为58.55%~63.32%,具有较高的Mg#值(44~48)和弱的负Eu异常(δEu=0.68~0.81)。另外,所有黑云母二长花岗岩、镁铁质微粒包体以及石英闪长岩样品的Sr-Nd同位素和锆石εHf(t)值相近((87 Sr/86 Sr)i=0.703594~0.703939,εNd(t)=+4.6~+4.8,εHf(t)=+10.9~+15.6)。矿物成分分析表明,黑云母二长花岗岩和镁铁质微粒包体中发育环带的斜长石An值由中心向边部逐渐下降,未发育反环带结构;石英闪长岩中的辉石为单斜辉石,所分析角闪石均为钙质角闪石,黑云母为镁质黑云母。综合上述特征,本文认为黑云母二长花岗岩、镁铁质微粒包体以及同生石英闪长岩分别代表了源自亏损地幔的母岩浆通过分离结晶作用所派生的不同阶段的产物:其中,石英闪长岩最先由基性岩浆发生以辉石、Ti-Fe氧化物和磷灰石为主的分离结晶作用形成,继而作为母岩浆进一步分异演化;镁铁质微粒包体是岩浆早期结晶的堆晶产物;而黑云母二长花岗岩代表了包体形成后残余熔体的组分。本文的研究表明,冈底斯岩浆岩带晚白垩世发生了富水条件下的岩浆分离结晶和堆晶作用,俯冲带弧岩浆分异对于大陆地壳的形成和演化发挥着重要的作用。     

鲁西中生代高镁闪长岩的地球化学特征及其成因探讨

鲁西中生代侵入岩包括辉长岩,闪长岩,花岗闪长岩和花岗岩,以闪长岩最为常见。莱芜和沂南等地的闪长岩具有高Mg#(0.45～0.69),Cr(<278μg/g)的特点,并富集大离子亲石元素(LILE)和亏损高场强元素(HFSE),其总体成分特点类似于北美苏必利尔省的太古代高镁闪长岩和产于现代俯冲带的高镁安山岩。不过鲁西高镁闪长岩的HREE含量相对较高(Yb=1.1～1.9μg/g),La/Yb比值相对较低(6.7～20),其成分更接近于Piip型高镁安山岩。鲁西高镁闪长岩代表了华北地台早期拉张环境下的岩浆活动,可能是受深俯冲扬子大陆下地壳释放的埃达克质熔体交代的岩石圈地幔直接熔融的产物。     

Crystallization conditions of magma from Longmen potassic pluton of the Trans-North China Orogen,North China Craton: Constraints from mineral chemistry and zircon trace elementSCIEI北大核心CSCD

华北克拉通中部造山带发育的早白垩世钾质岩是研究华北克拉通中部幔源岩浆成因的天然样品,然而其成岩物理化学条件仍不明确。本文选取了涞源县龙门岩体中闪长岩和二长岩开展了矿物原位地球化学和锆石微量元素分析,以探讨矿物形成的温压条件及氧逸度与矿化的关系。分析结果显示,二长岩和闪长岩的锆石Th/U比值较高(>0.1),轻稀土亏损、重稀土富集,具明显的Ce正异常和Eu负异常特征,并具有明显的震荡环带,为典型岩浆成因锆石。电子探针结果显示,龙门岩体中斜长石主要为中性斜长石,黑云母为原生镁质黑云母,角闪石主要为钙铁闪石。闪长岩中角闪石结晶温度为793~842℃,压力为0.50~0.75GPa,深度范围为19~28km,具有较低氧逸度(log f O 2为-12.21~-11.38)和高的含水量(8.5%~10.75%);二长岩中黑云母结晶温度为764~788℃,具有更低的氧逸度(log f O 2=-15.14~-14.54);闪长岩和二长岩中锆石结晶温度为770~978℃,具有较低的氧逸度(ΔFMQ=-0.37~+1.70)。矿物化学分析表明,角闪石和黑云母虽都在地壳开始结晶,但角闪石形成于比黑云母更深的岩浆房。龙门岩体中角闪石、黑云母和锆石的结晶主要受岩浆分异控制,其地球化学动力学机制主要为岩浆上侵时减压熔融,进而引起岩浆氧逸度随岩浆演化而变化。随着岩浆上涌,闪长岩中角闪石随着温度降低和压力减少逐渐结晶,地幔交代作用导致二长岩中的黑云母具有较高的X Mg值,进而形成镁质黑云母。结合区域地质背景,古太平洋板块(伊佐奈琦板块)俯冲-后撤释放的流体交代上覆岩石圈地幔对中部造山带钾质岩(~141Ma)的形成有一定贡献,该过程导致了岩浆具有较高的含水量,但龙门岩体低的氧逸度和区域上较厚的岩石圈制约了成矿金属物质(Fe-Au等)的迁移和富集,因而不利于亲硫、亲铁元素聚集以及铁、金矿化的形成。     

摩擦桩基桩土间极限摩阻力取值问题探讨

通过对广珠东线高速公路横沥大桥的试桩及土体的工程地质条件分析,总结出影响摩擦桩基桩土间极限摩阻力取值的一般问题以及解决问题的方法和措施。     

从榴辉岩与围岩的关系论苏鲁榴辉岩的形成与折返

位于华北和扬子两板块碰撞带中的苏鲁榴辉岩形成的温压条件不但是超高压，而且是高温。榴辉岩的PTt轨迹表明其为陆-陆磁撞俯冲带的产物。榴辉岩的区域性围岩花岗质片麻岩为新元古代同碰撞期花岗岩，榴辉岩及其他直接围岩皆呈包体存在于其中，并见新元古代花岗岩呈脉状侵入榴辉岩包体中。区域性围岩新元古代花岗岩的锆石中发现有柯石英、绿辉石等包裹体，表明新元古代花岗岩的组成物质也经受过超高压变质作用，且榴辉岩与围岩新元古代花岗岩的锆石U-Pb体系同位素年龄基本相同。但新元古代花岗岩所记录的变质作用和变形作用期次（或阶段）却少于榴辉岩。椐上述可得如下推断：超高压榴辉岩与新元古代花岗岩岩浆是同时在碰撞带底部（俯冲板块前部）形成的；榴辉岩的第一折返阶段是由新元古代花岗岩岩浆携带上升的，其第二折返阶段是和新元古代花岗岩一起由逆冲及区域性隆起而上升，遭受剥蚀。     

The Importance of the Precipitation and the Susceptibility of the Slopes for the Triggering of Landslides Along the Roads

In order to characterise the influence of the heavyrains on the observed landslides during the 1996–1997hydrological cycle, rainfall records for the last 100years are analysed from 104 stations in easternAndalusia. Regarding the amounts of rain recordedbetween October 1996 and March 1997 in the 104stations studied, 31 presented new all-time records;15 presented values that were 80–100% of thepre-1995 record; 49 stations, 80–50%; and 9stations, < 50%. A map has been devised of thesusceptibility of the materials through which thesouth-eastern Andalusian road network crosses,together with an inventory of the damage caused byinstability phenomena on banks and cuttings of theroad network during the winter of 1996–1997. Therelationships between the rainfall during the studyperiod, the damage caused to the road network and thesusceptibility of the materials affected are analysed.The results indicate that there is a clearcorrespondence between the rainfall recorded and thesusceptibility of the materials with the inventorieddamage. It is concluded that the widespread seriousdamage caused in early 1997 to the roads andsurrounding areas in the Alpujarra region and thecoast of the Province of Granada was mainly caused bythe extraordinarily heavy rains. However, considerablyless damage was observed where the susceptibility ofthe terrain is low, thus highlighting the extremeusefulness of terrain-susceptibility maps for riskprevention and territorial planning.     

某高速公路下伏煤矿采空区稳定性分析

在论述某高速公路下伏砦脖煤矿采空区地质、采矿和工程地质特征的基础上, 进行了稳定性数值模拟分析, 定性与定量地分析与评价了该煤矿采空区的地表变形特征及稳定性。研究结果表明: 该煤矿采空区的变形尚未完成, 对拟建的高速公路将产生很大的危害, 必须采取相应的工程治理措施。      

混凝剂处理钻井废泥浆液的研究

通过烧杯搅拌实验对混凝剂处理钻井废泥浆液进行研究,从混凝剂适应p H值范围、混凝效果、沉降速度三方面研究比较,找出一种较为理想的混凝剂,并分析了影响混凝剂性能的主要因素,确定了混凝剂的最佳投放剂量。      

黄河源区水环境变化及黄河出现冬季断流的原因

自1954年有水文观测资料以来，黄河曾在青海省玛多县黄河沿水文站发生过3次断流。本文在分析黄河源区水环境特征及其影响因素的基础上指出，鄂陵湖、扎陵湖的环湖融区调节能力低，当遇到连续干旱、冬季其调节水量不足以维系黄河径流时便会发生断流，这是断流的主因。湖水位降低、开采沙金、过度放牧等自然和人为因素也会对黄河发生断流产生影响。鄂陵湖口附近黄河上修建的水电站开始蓄水，提高了两湖及环湖融区的调节能力，今后黄河冬季出现断流的可能性将大为降低。     

Unity of the national and the international in the socio-cultural development of the peoples of the USSR

International unity is becoming ever stronger in this country owing to an increasing similarity in the development of the cultural environment. This comprises the provision of all the country's republics with a sufficient number of schools, theatres, and other institutions and cultural information media in accordance with the needs of the population. An important part is played by the rise in ‘the general educational level, as well as the level of professional qualifications and skills. Among all the Soviet nations and nationalities, this rise being more rapid among formerly backward peoples. Prominent among the factors of internationalization is the progressive development of the nationalities’ cultural resources, while professional culture is being increasingly brought within the reach of the masses.The implementation of the nationalities policy promotes the all-round development of all Soviet nations and nationalities, their drawing together, the upsurge of the individual capabilities of every Soviet citizen.     

Artemia in the Salt Lakes of Russia:the Productivity of Populations,the Reserves of the Cysts and the Fisheries

正Artemia cysts are an extremely important component of aquaculture diets.It is well established that the cultivation of fish and shellfish derive substantial health and growth advantages when Artemia are included in the diets of the     

天山南坡科其喀尔冰川表碛区小气候特征研究

利用天山南坡科其喀尔冰川3号观测站2009年全年的气象观测资料,分析研究了科其喀尔冰川表碛区的小气候特征. 结果表明：总辐射和净辐射夏秋季较高、冬春季较低;反射辐射和地表反照率反之. 与其他地区不同,该区主要受积雪物理性质和下垫面状况的影响,冬春季地表反照率日变化表现为由大到小的变化过程,夏秋季表现为倒U型. 温度年变化表现为夏秋季高、冬春季低,最高月均值出现在8月,为9.4℃,最低月均值出现在1月,为-9.6℃. 受山谷风和冰川风的影响,全年的风向以西北风和西北偏西风为主,风向的日变化以11：00为界发生转向. 受降水和冰川消融等的影响,比湿夏秋季月均值较大,冬春季月均值较小.     

Climate: Is the past the key to the future?

 The climate of the Holocene is not well suited to be the baseline for the climate of the planet. It is an interglacial, a state typical of only 10% of the past few million years. It is a time of relative sea-level stability after a rapid 130-m rise from the lowstand during the last glacial maximum. Physical geologic processes are operating at unusual rates and much of the geochemical system is not in a steady state. During most of the Phanerozoic there have been no continental ice sheets on the earth, and the planet’s meridional temperature gradient has been much less than it is presently. Major factors influencing climate are insolation, greenhouse gases, paleogeography, and vegetation; the first two are discussed in this paper. Changes in the earth’s orbital parameters affect the amount of radiation received from the sun at different latitudes over the course of the year. During the last climate cycle, the waxing and waning of the northern hemisphere continental ice sheets closely followed the changes in summer insolation at the latitude of the northern hemisphere polar circle. The overall intensity of insolation in the northern hemisphere is governed by the precession of the earth’s axis of rotation, and the precession and ellipticity of the earth’s orbit. At the polar circle a meridional minimum of summer insolation becomes alternately more and less pronounced as the obliquity of the earth’s axis of rotation changes. Feedback processes amplify the insolation signal. Greenhouse gases (H₂O, CO₂, CH₄, CFCs) modulate the insolation-driven climate. The atmospheric content of CO₂ during the last glacial maximum was approximately 30% less than during the present interglacial. A variety of possible causes for this change have been postulated. The present burning of fossil fuels, deforestation, and cement manufacture since the beginning of the industrial revolution have added CO₂ to the atmosphere when its content due to glacial-interglacial variation was already at a maximum. Anthropogenic activity has increased the CO₂ content of the atmosphere to 130% of its previous Holocene level, probably higher than at any time during the past few million years. During the Late Cretaceous the atmospheric CO₂ content was probably about four times that of the present, the level to which it may rise at the end of the next century. The results of a Campanian (80 Ma) climate simulation suggest that the positive feedback between CO₂ and another important greenhouse gas, H₂O, raised the earth’s temperature to a level where latent heat transport became much more significant than it is presently, and operated efficiently at all latitudes. Atmospheric high- and low-pressure systems were as much the result of variations in the vapor content of the air as of temperature differences. In our present state of knowledge, future climate change is unpredictable because by adding CO₂ to the atmosphere we are forcing the climate toward a “greenhouse” mode when it is accustomed to moving between the glacial–interglacial “icehouse” states that reflect the waxing and waning of ice sheets. At the same time we are replacing freely transpiring C3 plants with water-conserving C4 plants, producing a global vegetation complex that has no past analog. The past climates of the earth cannot be used as a direct guide to what may occur in the future. To understand what may happen in the future we must learn about the first principles of physics and chemistry related to the earth’s system. The fundamental mechanisms of the climate system are best explored in simulations of the earth’s ancient extreme climates. Received: 7 November 1996/Accepted: 23 January 1997