亚洲中部干旱区气候变化与丝路文明变迁研究:进展与问题

亚洲中部干旱区是对全球气候变化响应最为敏感的地区之一,也是水文变化剧烈和生态环境脆弱的地区。该地区包括了古丝绸之路的主体,在东西方交流和丝路文明兴衰历史中发挥了关键的作用。科学评估全球增温背景下亚洲中部干旱区人类社会可持续发展面临的风险,是广受关注的重大科学问题。东西方交流和丝路文明发展历史及其与气候环境变化关系的研究,可为认识该地区不同时间尺度人地关系演变的规律提供科学依据。通过总结东西方交流与丝路文明兴衰历史、亚洲中部干旱区全新世气候变化过程、多时间尺度气候一水文变化机制以及人与环境相互作用的过程与规律等领域的研究进展,提出目前亚洲中部干旱区全新世气候环境变化时空格局和丝路文明演化的过程,以及人与环境相互作用机制的研究存在明显不足。破解亚洲中部干旱区气候变化和文化演化研究区域不均衡问题,加强地学与考古学等多学科交叉研究,是推进气候变化与丝路文明变迁研究的有效途径。这对理解该地区人地关系演化规律、应对气候变化带来的挑战、服务国家“一带一路”倡议具有重要的科学价值和现实意义。     

Hydrological Variations and the Ancient Silk Road in the Northern Tarim Basin between Han and Sui Dynasties

The fluctuation pattern of China's civilization can be ascribed to climate change and historical geopolitical variations. The ancient Silk Road served as the most prosperous route connecting East Asia and Europe during Han Dynasty(206 BC–220 AD) and Sui-Tang Dynasties(581–907 AD), but was deserted in Wei, Jin, Northern and Southern dynasties(220–580 AD), of which the Tarim Basin was a key area. However, our understanding about the decline of the route during this period remains limited. Here, we present an ～7-year resolution record based on optically stimulated luminescence(OSL) age-depth model(ca. 120 BC–750 AD) from Luntai(LT) profile, about 5 km from the modern Tarim River, which fed the ancient oases, to assess the potential causes on the documented decline of the ancient Silk Road between Late Han and Sui dynasties. In this study, five episodes of hydrological change were identified by combining grain size, magnetic susceptibility, geochemistry and TOC/TN contents. Our reconstruction reveals that cold and wet climate dominated at 120 BC–50 AD and 550–750 AD, respectively, indicated by strong hydrodynamic conditions. Relatively warm and humid climate occurred at 120–550 AD, between Eastern Han and Sui-Tang dynasties, indicating a better and more suitable local environment. A comparison between the studied region and other areas of China demonstrates that the paleoclimatic variations in eastern and western China exhibit rough discrepancies, and the hydrological conditions in arid region is inconsistent with the decline of ancient Silk Road in the northern Tarim Basin. We suggest that political and societal factors are the key issues that caused the interruption of Silk Road during Wei, Jin, Northern and Southern dynasties, such as the co-occurrence of societal crises, turmoil and division in eastern China, rather than the deteriorating climatic condition in the northern Tarim basin.     

中更新世以来不同时间尺度亚洲中纬度气候演化的区域差异

亚洲中纬度气候主要受两大环流控制,继而划分出受亚洲季风控制季风区和受西风环流控制的西风区。已有研究发现在年代际至千年尺度上,两气候区的湿度演化存在错相位、甚至反相位的现象。文章综述了中更新世以来,多千年至轨道尺度上,两气候区的湿度演化模态的异同,以此深入了解亚洲气候演化的系统性。结果表明:二者的间冰期气候演化的整体趋势存在明显差别,尤其MIS 13以来,二者的演化趋势基本相反。在间冰期的多千年至万年尺度上,二者的气候演化模态呈现非同相位:高精度的释光测年结果显示天山地区的湿度变化滞后于黄土高原地区大概3~5 ka,且该现象在更早的间冰期可重复。在冰期的千年尺度上,两地的湿度演化基本一致,但西风区湿度的波动幅度更大。     

Linking moisture and near-surface wind with winter temperature to reveal the Holocene climate evolution in arid Xinjiang region of China

An increasing number of palaeo-climatic records have been reported to identify the Holocene climate history in the arid Xinjiang region of northwest China. However, few studies have fully considered the internal linkages within the regional climate system, which may limit our understanding of the forcing mechanisms of Holocene climate change in this region. Here, we systematically consider three major issues of the moisture/precipitation, temperature and near-surface wind relevant to the Holocene climate history of Xinjiang. First, despite there still has debated for the Holocene moisture evolution in this region, more climatic reconstructions from lake sediments, loess, sand-dunes and peats support a long-term regional wetting trend. Second, temperature records from ice cores, peats and stalagmites demonstrate a long-term winter warming trend during the Holocene in middle- to high-latitudes of Asia. Third, recent studies of aeolian sedimentary sequences reveal that the near-surface winds in winter gradually weakened during the Holocene, whereas the winter mid-latitude Westerlies strengthened in the Tienshan Mountains. Based on this evidence, in the arid Xinjiang region we propose an early to middle Holocene relatively cold and dry interval, with strong near-surface winds; and a warmer, wetter interval with weaker near-surface winds in the middle to late Holocene during winter. Additionally, we develop a conceptual model to explain the pattern of Holocene climate changes in this region. From the early to the late Holocene, the increasing atmospheric CO₂ content and winter insolation, and the shrinking of high-latitude continental ice-sheets, resulted in increasing winter temperatures in middle to high latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere. Subsequently, the increased winter temperature strengthened the winter mid-latitude Westerlies and weakened the Siberian high-pressure system, which caused an increase in winter precipitation and a decrease in near-surface wind strength. This scenario is strongly supported by evidence from geological records, climate simulation results, and modern reanalysis data. Our hypothesis highlights the important contribution of winter temperature in driving the Holocene climatic evolution of the arid Xinjiang region, and it implies that the socio-economic development and water resources security of this region will face serious challenges presented by the increasing winter temperature in the future.     

岱海沉积记录的季风/干旱过渡区全新世适宜期特征*

岱海两支岩芯独立的高分辨率代用指标序列揭示了季风/干旱过渡区全新世适宜期的气候环境特征。研究表明,在约7.9~3.5kaB.P.期间,岱海流域出现植被繁盛、生产力相对增强和降水丰富的状况,显示气候条件相当适宜;而在约10.0~7.6kaB.P. 期间,流域气候以相对干燥为特征。这与早先认为的岱海流域全新世初期为适宜期,且降水丰富的结果明显不同。比较岱海与鄂尔多斯-内蒙古高原中部其他湖沼记录,季风/干旱过渡区的气候适宜期基本集中在约8~3kaB.P.的全新世中期,尽管各记录在适宜期的起止时间、表现特征上存在一些差异。这些差异的产生,一方面可能体现了不同的局地地形、植被、水文条件等对区域水热条件的不同反馈,另一方面则可能暗示不同的沉积序列、测年材料之间难以进行精细的对比。沉积序列的连续性、稳定性及高分辨率、测年材料的适用性是进行全新世气候、环境特征研究的前提。     

Long-term Reconstructions and Simulations of the Hydrological Cycle in the Inland Rivers,Arid China: A Case Study of the Shiyang River Drainage Basin

Hydrological cycles of inland rivers are highlighted in paleoclimate studies of arid regions. A great number of studies have been published in this regard, but most of the studies have mainly used climate proxies to reconstruct the evolution of paleoclimate and paleoenvironment, and there have been little long-term simulation and reconstruction experiments. Concerning this issue, we systematically carried out the long-term reconstruction and simulation experiments of hydrological cycle based on paleoenvironment records of the Shiyang River drainage basin with a lot of methods such as paleoclimate simulations, the Holocene monsoon simulations, lake water and energy balance model and quantitative reconstruction of paleo-precipitation and paleo-runoff. The results showed that the simulation results had a good consistency with the reconstruction results, indicating that mid-Holocene was “climatic optimum” in the Holocene. This research provided a new perspective for reconstruction and simulation studies of climate change in arid areas.     

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987112000345

Holocene environmental change and environmental archaeology are important components of an international project studying the human-earth interaction system.This paper reviews the progress of Holocene environmental change and environmental archaeology research in the Yangtze River Valley over the last three decades,that includes the evolution of large freshwater lakes.Holocene transgression and sea-level changes,Holocene climate change and East Asian monsoon variation,relationship between the rise and fall of primitive civilizations and environmental changes,cultural interruptions and palaeoflood events,as well as relationship between the origin of agriculture and climate change.These research components are underpinned by the dating of lacustrine sediments,stalagmites and peat to establish a chronology of regional environmental and cultural evolution.Interdisciplinary and other environment proxy indicators need to be used in comparative studies of archaeological site formation and natural sedimentary environment in the upper,middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley.Modern technology such as remote sensing,molecular bioarchaeology,and virtual reality,should be integrated with currently used dating,geochemical,sedimentological.and palaeobotanical methods of analysis in environmental archaeology macro- and micro-studies,so as to provide a greater comprehensive insight into Holocene environmental and cultural interaction and change in the Yangtze River Valley area.     

Holocene climate and cultural evolution in late prehistoric-early historic West Asia

The precipitation climatology and the underlying climate mechanisms of the eastern Mediterranean, West Asia, and the Indian subcontinent are reviewed, with emphasis on upper and middle tropospheric flow in the subtropics and its steering of precipitation. Holocene climate change of the region is summarized from proxy records. The Indian monsoon weakened during the Holocene over its northernmost region, the Ganges and Indus catchments and the western Arabian Sea. Southern regions, the Indian Peninsula, do not show a reduction, but an increase of summer monsoon rain across the Holocene. The long-term trend towards drier conditions in the eastern Mediterranean can be linked to a regionally complex monsoon evolution. Abrupt climate change events, such as the widespread droughts around 8200, 5200 and 4200 cal yr BP, are suggested to be the result of altered subtropical upper-level flow over the eastern Mediterranean and Asia.The abrupt climate change events of the Holocene radically altered precipitation, fundamental for cereal agriculture, across the expanse of late prehistoric-early historic cultures known from the archaeological record in these regions. Social adaptations to reduced agro-production, in both dry-farming and irrigation agriculture regions, are visible in the archaeological record during each abrupt climate change event in West Asia. Chronological refinement, in both the paleoclimate and archaeological records, and transfer functions for both precipitation and agro-production are needed to understand precisely the evident causal linkages.     

4 000 a B.P.以来中巴经济走廊北段塔什库尔干气候变化对东西方文化交流的影响

新疆塔什库尔干塔吉克自治县地处中巴经济走廊北段, 自古以来就是东西方文化交流的核心地带。基于地质记录和考古发现, 对该县4 000 a B.P.以来东西方文化交流与气候环境变化的关系进行了梳理与分析。结果发现, 研究区特有的地理环境和气候变化对文化发展与传播起着重要的影响,3 500 ~ 2 800 a B.P.的干旱气候对应了中巴经济走廊东西方文化交流中断, 随着气候好转, 东西方文化交流在该区域再次畅通; 2 600 ~ 2 200 a B.P.气候变干与中巴经济走廊北段文化交流再次衰落对应; 历史时期丝绸之路的兴衰与气候变化密切相关。     

Late Holocene Moisture Changes in the Core Area of Arid Central Asia Reflected by Rock Magnetic Records of Glacier Lake Kalakuli Sediments in the Westernmost Tibetan Plateau and their Influences on the Evolution of Ancient Silk Road

The evolution of Ancient Silk Road(ASR) was deeply influenced by late Holocene moisture changes in Arid Central Asia(ACA). Nevertheless, controversies in Holocene moisture change pattern of ACA and poorly–constrained age models of related studies have made the discussion about late Holocene moisture changes in ACA and their influences on the evolution of ASR difficult. Recently, a high–resolution age model during the late Holocene was established for Kalakuli Lake, a small glacier lake located in the core area of ACA. A thorough rock magnetic investigation was carried out on Kalakuli Lake sediments based on this age model. The magnetic mineral assemblage of Kalakuli Lake sediments is still dominated by primary magnetite despite minor diagenetic effects. Comparisons of rock magnetic records to parameters previously used as indicator of glacier fluctuations suggest that clastic input to Kalakuli Lake was high(low) and magnetic grain size is relatively larger(smaller), when glaciers on Muztagh Ata advanced(retreated). The ARM/SIRM ratio, a magnetic grain size proxy, is directly related to lake hydrodynamics, which are ultimately controlled by glacier fluctuations on Muztagh Ata as the result of regional moisture changes. Late Holocene moisture changes indicated by the ARM/SIRM ratio are consistent with cool/wet and warm/dry oscillations indicated by the unweighted average of biomarker hydrogen isotopic data of the C_(26) and C_(28) n–alkanoic acids in a previous study about Kalakuli Lake, most moisture change records of the core area of ACA and winter insolation of the Northern Hemisphere, but opposite to Asian monsoon evolution. Given Asian monsoon and the westerlies are mutually inhibited, we propose that late Holocene moisture changes in the core area of ACA were controlled by the intensity of Asian monsoon versus the westerlies under the governance of solar insolation. Generally increased moisture since the late Holocene indicated by the ARM/SIRM ratio favored cultural exchange and integration between the western and the eastern Eurasia, which paved the way for the formation of ASR. Coincidence between significant increase in moisture at ～200 BC suggested by the ARM/SIRM ratio and the formation of ASR indicates moisture as an important factor that facilitated the formation of ASR. The onsets of three prosperity periods of ASR in the history generally correspond to periods when moisture was relatively high, nevertheless, stagnant periods of ASR do not coincide with periods when moisture was relatively low in the core area of ACA. Disorganized correlations between stagnant periods of ASR and moisture changes in the core area of ACA suggest that moisture is not the decisive factor influencing the evolution of ASR.     

毛乌素沙漠东南缘全新世剖面光释光年代及古气候意义

在毛乌素沙漠东南缘锦界地区发现的具有3层深棕色至黑色古土壤的全新世剖面,记录了至少3次大型沙地固定与活化的交替演化.在锦界剖面厚约5m的全新世地层中采集了10个光释光样品,利用石英光释光测年单片再生法(SAR),建立了锦界剖面全新世(>7.5-0.2ka)年代格架.结合粒度、磁化率气候变化代用指标和光释光年龄序列,得到...     

塔克拉玛干沙漠北部全新世环境演变(Ⅱ)

全新世以来塔克拉玛干北部（以下简称塔干北）主要沉积物组成为亚粘质土、细砂夹杂着粉砂。分析该区域沉积物的分层结构和粒度组成、化学元素、孢粉、碳酸钙、矿物表明:区域气候以干燥为主,并存在着高温与冷凉的温度波动,且气候的这种变化与全球气候的变化紧密相关。塔干北气候变化受全球径向环流影响较大,纬向环流影响较小。     

新疆巴里坤湖粒度组分分解及其环境指示意义

选择位于西风影响区的天山东段巴里坤湖湖泊岩芯样品,对沉积物粒度组分进行经验正交函数(EOF)分解,并探讨各分量的环境意义.结果显示,EOF1组分与沉积物粒度小于2μm组分相关系数达0.64以上,并与代表区域有效湿度的碳酸盐氧同位素指标有很好的对应关系,故将EOF1解译为区域有效湿度的替代指标.EOF2组分与粒级为45-...     

Research Status and Prospect of the Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effect in Arid Regions

Centering on the scientific problems faced by subsurface hydrology in arid regions and ecological effect, the urgency of national ecological civilization and the Belt and Road construction towards the research of groundwater discipline, this article analyzed the formation and evolution mechanisms of groundwater and studied the groundwater function of arid regions. Based on the analysis and research, this article discussed domestic and overseas research status, existing problems and developing trend from six aspects, raised key and scientific problems which urgently need to be addressed, aiming at the existing bottlenecks of subsurface hydrology and ecological effect in arid regions and national requirement, so as to make some contribution to the innovative development of China’s groundwater science and national economic construction.     

江苏宜兴骆驼墩遗址地层全新世沉积环境研究

主要通过对骆驼墩遗址地层样品的粒度和重砂矿物的鉴定、样品中锆石形态的对比研究,铷锶值的测定与分析,了解该区域全新世以来的沉积环境及其气候变化,探索气候变化与人类文明和文化发展的关系。对骆驼墩遗址文化层下的自然淤积层的粒度分析和锆石形态研究发现该区域在人类出现之前可能经历过浅水泻湖环境;  结合重矿物及铷锶研究发现,该区域在全新世早期降水量较大,气候较为湿热,之后气候逐渐变得温暖湿润,为人类文明的出现和文化的发展提供了一个优越的气候条件;  通过对地层中文化层样品的重矿物鉴定及百分含量分析、ZTR稳定系数及Rb/Sr分析发现,全新世的气候是不断变化的。尤其在马家浜文化时期、良渚文化时期和广富林文化时期气候经历过温湿与干凉的交替变化过程。同时良渚文化时期的中晚期稳定系数出现了该地层的最高值,说明当时气候较为湿热,降水量偏多,这与良渚文化的消失与洪水有关的结论相一致。     

Analysis of dynamic changes and influence factors of Lake Balkhash in the last twenty years

Lake Balkhash is the third largest inland lake in Central Asia after the Caspian Sea and the Aral Sea. The Ili River-Balkash Lake Basin resides in the southeastern part of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the western part of China's Ili Prefecture, which belongs to the arid and semi-arid region. In the middle to late 20th century, the Ili River-Balkash Lake Basin was affected by climate change and human activities, and the problems of water ecology and water resources became increasingly prominent, which became the focus of attention for China and Kazakhstan. In this study, the water level derived from radar altimeter data, the water surface area extracted from Landsat data, and the temperature and precipitation data in the basin were comprehensively utilised. Data analysis of the time course and correlation of hydrological, meteorological elements in the lake basin, water dynamic changes, and influencing factors of Lake Balkhash was studied. The results show that the cyclical change of regional climate is the main factor affecting the change of lake water, and human activities in the short term can regulate the change of water volume in Lake Balkhash. The research results in this paper can provide a scientific basis for the solution of water disputes in cross-border rivers between China and Kazakhstan.     

新疆巴里坤湖全新世环境记录及区域对比研究

选择位于西风环流显著影响区的巴里坤湖作为研究对象,采用¹⁴C测年建立了巴里坤湖沉积剖面约9400cal.aB.P.以来的时间序列。对该湖泊剖面沉积物的矿物X射线衍射、自生碳酸盐稳定同位素、碳酸盐含量和粒度指标的综合分析表明,9400cal.aB.P.以来,巴里坤湖地区的气候环境变化大致经历了冷干（9400～7400cal.aB.P.）-暖湿（7400～5900cal.aB.P.）-暖干（5900～3100cal.aB.P.）-凉湿（3100～1100cal.aB.P.）-冷干（1100～500cal.aB.P.）-暖干（500cal.aB.P.以来）的气候变化过程,该过程基本上同周边区域的气候环境变化记录相一致。在3800cal.aB.P.左右,北疆地区的几个典型湖泊沉积记录序列都指示该时期气候环境发生了较为明显的转折,可能暗示了这一时期亚洲中部干旱区（至少在北疆地区）大气环流状况发生了重大调整。     

气候突变与古文明衰落

世界不同地区的古代文明在其发展过程中大多经历过衰落,其原因一直是人们关注的焦点。近几十年来,随着测年精度的提高、全新世较高分辨率气候变化研究的进展、古代文明衰落时间的相对精确考证以及对全新世气侯突变现象认识的不断深入,气候突变在古代文明衰落过程中的作用越来越受到学术界的重视。介绍了目前古代文明衰落的气候因素作用研究的进展,包括人们对气候突变、全新世气候变化以及气候突变在文明衰落中的作用的认识。深入了解气候突变与古代文明衰落之间的关系,不仅有助于理解这些古代文明衰落的原因,而且也将为人类对未来气候突变的适应提供有益的借鉴。      

关中地区的新石器古文化发展与古环境变化的关系

气候环境变化作为影响或制约古文化发展、演化的重要因素,虽然经常受到质疑,但依然被越来越多的考古工作者,包括一些古气候学者所接受。关中地区是我国古代文明重要的发源地之一,为探讨气候环境变化与古文化演化之间可能存在的联系提供了条件。本文对已有很好研究基础的渭南全新世黄土剖面的孢粉、植硅体、蜗牛化石及磁化率和粒度记录进行综合分析,研究得出该区全新世以来有3次突出的气候温暖湿润期（9000～7300aB.P.,6800～5500aB.P.和4500～4300aB.P.）和3次明显而短暂的寒冷干旱期（7300～6800aB.P.,5500～5000aB.P.和约4000aB.P.）。温暖湿润气候期与关中地区的老官台（8000～7000aB.P.）、仰韶（7000～5000aB.P.）、龙山（5000～4000aB.P.）等文化繁盛期几乎是同步的,而发生在7300～6800aB.P.,5500～5000aB.P.及4000aB.P.前后的寒冷干旱气候环境,不是简单的气候冷暖变化,而是影响了生物、水、大气等表生地球系统的气候变化事件,改变了该区的植被类型和生物群落的变迁,这3次气候变化事件时间上大致对应了老官台-仰韶-龙山-夏商文化交替的时间。然而,根据目前的气候记录及时间分辨率还难以判断更次一级的气候环境变化与各文化期不同文化类型变化之间的关系。对关中地区泉护遗址植硅体的分析显示,4500aB.P.以来水稻含量的增加与气候变干的趋势并不一致,推测可能与古人利用渭河水资源种植水稻有关。研究认为关中地区气候环境变化与文化发展之间的关系,有一定的规律可寻,但是由于目前对古气候-古环境变化的幅度、详细的考古文化性质的认识不足,以及时间分辨率和年代学的限制,还无法确切说明什么程度的气候环境变化对哪些文化类型通过什么机制产生了何种程度的影响。     

Holocene Moisture Variation Recorded by Aeolian Sand-Palaeosol Sequences of the Gonghe Basin, Northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China

The northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau(QTP) of China is located at the triple junction of the Asian winter and summer monsoons and the westerlies, where paleoclimatic evolution has an important scientific significance for recognizing the spatial-temporal pattern of Asian monsoons in the past and predicting environmental change in the future. Nevertheless, the framework of the Holocene moisture variation and related mechanisms remain controversial, owing to complex hydroclimatic conditions triggered by the landform of the large mountain-arid basin. Here, we employed geochemical proxies from typical aeolian sand-palaeosol sequences in the Gonghe Basin, northeastern QTP, together with Optically Stimulated Luminescence(OSL) dating, to reconstruct the pattern of effective moisture variation and associated mechanisms in this region. Our results indicate that the regional effective moisture was at its lowest until 9–8 ka, and approached a maximum during 8–4/3 ka of the middle Holocene. Afterwards, the climate became relatively dry in general, but with a transient humid interval around 2–1 ka. Our geochemical evidence indicates that the dry early Holocene probably can be attributed to a strong winter monsoon forced by remnant ice sheet, combined with the high evaporation caused by solar insolation. Also, shifts of humid-dry are closely linked to the Asian summer monsoonal strength and therefore the balance of evaporation-precipitation in the middle and late Holocene. Thus, the pattern of the Holocene effective moisture variation is characterized as the ‘monsoon model' in a closed intermontane arid and semi-arid basin near the western Asian monsoonal limit.