Driving forces of indirect carbon emissions from household consumption in China: an input–output decomposition analysis

Human activities have become a major source of Earth’s climate change, which brings the rise of surface air temperature and subsurface ocean temperature. Therefore, promoting sustainable consumption and production patterns is imperative to minimize the use of natural resources and reduce emissions of pollutants. This study uses Economic Input–Output Life-Cycle Assessment method and structural decomposition model to identify the driving forces that influence the changes in carbon emissions from China’s residential consumption in the context of sustainable consumption. The findings of the study are as follows: (1) indirect carbon emissions from Chinese household consumption increase rapidly over time; (2) the largest carbon dioxide emitting sector turns from agriculture sector in 1992 into service sector in 2007; (3) the consumption level and the emission intensity are the main drivers that influence the change in indirect carbon emissions; and (4) the factor of consumption level presents positive effect on the emissions, while the emission intensity effect plays a negative role. Besides, the factors of urbanization, production structure, population size and consumption structure also promote the rapid increase in carbon emissions.     

Driving forces of indirect carbon emissions from household consumption in China: an input–output decomposition analysis

Human activities have become a major source of Earth’s climate change, which brings the rise of surface air temperature and subsurface ocean temperature. Therefore, promoting sustainable consumption and production patterns is imperative to minimize the use of natural resources and reduce emissions of pollutants. This study uses Economic Input–Output Life-Cycle Assessment method and structural decomposition model to identify the driving forces that influence the changes in carbon emissions from China’s residential consumption in the context of sustainable consumption. The findings of the study are as follows: (1) indirect carbon emissions from Chinese household consumption increase rapidly over time; (2) the largest carbon dioxide emitting sector turns from agriculture sector in 1992 into service sector in 2007; (3) the consumption level and the emission intensity are the main drivers that influence the change in indirect carbon emissions; and (4) the factor of consumption level presents positive effect on the emissions, while the emission intensity effect plays a negative role. Besides, the factors of urbanization, production structure, population size and consumption structure also promote the rapid increase in carbon emissions.

     

Study on Dynamic Transformation,Application and Comparison of Aviation Carbon Emission Environmental Damage Assessment Methods

The contradiction between the rapid development of aviation market and supply of airspace resources has increased the environmental damages of aviation carbon emission. The conversion and application of environmental damage assessment method of aviation carbon emission were summarized, and the characteristics of the assessment methods for air and ground transportation were compared. We found out the followings: \mathrm{①} The evaluation method has been transformed from static assessment to dynamic evaluation, and focused on four key problems, average and total carbon emissions, airspace resource utilization, LTO stage emission, and reduction practice; \mathrm{②} Airport terminal area as well as LTO are becoming the focus in the study of aviation carbon emission assessment method, while the former is the main area and the latter is the main stage of aviation carbon emission. The practice of emission reduction is mainly reflected in the optimization of emission reduction measures in economic field; \mathrm{③} Based on the situation and total assessment methods, environmental damage assessment and comparative advantage of aviation carbon emission and ground transportation carbon emission are reflected in the distance by using distance factor and energy consumption; \mathrm{④} Improving the smoothness of airspace resource traffic network, optimizing flight schedule structure and airspace resource allocation are more conducive to promoting aviation emission reduction.     

河口沉积物—水界面重金属生物地球化学研究进展

河口区既是人类排污物的主要汇集地，又是单向流体和双向流体相互作用的场所，三者构成一个复杂而多变的地球化学物理场。在这里因一定的物理，化学和生物化学作用使来自陆地的重金属污染物从水体中沉降下来，进入底部沉积物即积累过程，又会因类似的作用使这些金属从沉积物中活化而再次进入水体即释放过程，产生所谓的“二次污染”，河口沉积物水界面过程调控着这一体系的方向与限度。     

Coastal Reclamation and Saltmarsh Carbon Budget: Advances and Prospects

As an important carbon pool and fragile eco-system of earth system, more and more coastal saltmarshes have been reclaimed for releasing population pressure and promoting food safety and economic development, especially in developing countries. During reclamation, original soil carbon cycling pattern and pathway in saltmarshs would be changed, which furthermore could change global carbon budget. In this study, a great amounts of literature and data were summerized to generalize the changes of soil organic carbon, carbon sequestration rate and carbon flux in three main kinds of saltmarshes (Mangrove saltmarsh, Estuary saltmarsh and coastal saltmarsh) during reclamation. The results are as shown: ①The conclusions collected from Europe and America are not suitable to eastern Asia’s coast and more attention should be paid to eastern Asia’s coastal reclamation; ②Mangrove saltmarshes have higher Soil Organic Carbon (SOC) and carbon sequestration rate, followed by estuary saltmarshes and coastal saltmarshes. Soil clay, aggregate, burial rate usually have positive effect on SOC sequestration in coastal areas. Flood frequency, salinity and underground water level generally have negative effect on it. After reclamation, coastal SOC first shows a decrease followed by an increase. Nearly 30 years of reclamation is the turning point where paddy fields can significantly promote SOC; ③CH₄ and CO₂ are the main ways of carbon emission in coastal areas of which CO₂ flux usually is the largest. Mangrove saltmarshes’ carbon emissions are the highest. In natural sites, the carbon emissions in Spartina alterniflora Loisel. and Phragmites australis are higher than those in bare flat areas. Carbon fluxes in flood tide usually are lower than those in other periods. Otherwise, carbon fluxes in natural saltmarshes are far lower than those in reclamation zones, especially upland tillage zones. The results acquired from field monitoring, saltmarshes are the carbon sinks and become the carbon sources when reclamation activities happen. Finally, three main aspects of coastal study were given as follows: much more attention should be paid to carbon budget inventory in saltmarshes; the effect of reclamation activity (i.e., anthropogenic activity, tillage practice, land use, etc.) on carbon cycling in ocean-inland system; the study of land use and reclamation process simulation and its impact on carbon cycling in coastal zone should be strengthened.     

矿床学的百年回顾与发展趋势

文章简要回顾了百年来矿床学取得的重要进取，包括：①矿床成因分类的建立；②层控矿床研究；③板块构造与区域成矿；④矿床模型研究；⑤区域成矿学研究；⑥超大型矿床研究；⑦海洋现代热液成矿作用的发现；⑧恩矿年代研究等。针对21世纪人类社会可持续发展的需要，矿床学研究出现了两个新趋势：①全球化；②矿业开发与环境保护一体化。面临着三个主要研究领域；①成矿理论的推陈出新；②研究开发新型矿产资源，建立广义的矿产资源地质学；③为加强矿山环保所做的矿床学基础研究。最后作者还提出发展成矿学研究的若干建议。     

湿地生态水文学研究综述

基于湿地生态水文研究文献计量分析,透视国内外有关湿地水文、生态水文和水资源等领域的重大研究计划和重要学术会议,系统总结了湿地生态水文学发展历程,可分为萌芽起步阶段（20世纪50年代至80年代）、研究探索阶段（20世纪90年代）和快速发展阶段（21世纪以后）3个阶段,列举了重要代表性研究成果,并重点阐述了湿地生态水文学研究进展;基于对国际湿地生态水文学发展历程、研究进展及热点的综合分析,未来湿地生态水文学研究主要向基于"多要素、多过程、多尺度"的湿地生态水文相互作用机理及耦合机制、气候变化对湿地生态水文的影响机理及适应性调控、湿地"水文-生态-社会"耦合系统互作机理及互馈机制和基于湿地生态需水与水文服务的流域水资源综合管理等方向发展。最后,以国家重大需求为导向,提出了未来中国湿地生态水文学优先发展方向及建议。     

走向21世纪的矿床学

文章简要回顾了百年来矿床学取得的重要进展，包括：（1）矿床成因分类的建立；（2）层控矿床研究与矿床多成因理论的兴起；（3）板块构造与区域成矿规律；（4）矿床模型；(5)型矿床研究；（6）海洋现代热液成矿作用的发现；（7）成矿演化的不可逆性与节律性等。针对21世纪中人类社会可持续发展的需要，矿床学研究出现了两个新趋势；（1）全球化；（2）矿业开发与环境保护一体化。面临着三个主要研究领域；（1）成矿理论的推陈出新；（2）研究开发新型矿产资源，建立广义的矿产资源地质学；（3）建立绿色矿业体制所需的矿床学基础研究。     

区域尺度生态系统水分利用效率的时空变异特征研究进展

水分利用效率(WUE)是深入理解生态系统水—碳循环耦合关系的重要指标,揭示区域尺度生态系统WUE的时空变异特征及其控制机制,有助于评价和预测全球变化对生态系统水、碳过程的影响。综述了目前区域尺度生态系统WUE的研究进展,结果表明:①目前关于生态系统WUE影响因素的研究多基于站点尺度,区域尺度的研究相对缺乏;②关于不同生态系统WUE的大小及时间变化特征已有较明确的结论,而基于生态模型方法获取的生态系统WUE的空间分布格局尚需进一步验证;③已有研究表明气候变化和土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)均会显著改变生态系统生产力或蒸散,然而,较少研究关注两者导致的生态系统WUE的改变。因此,区域尺度生态系统WUE时空变异的控制因子及其对气候变化和LUCC的响应可能是未来全球变化研究的热点问题之一。     

中国北方土壤风蚀问题研究的进展与趋势

土壤风蚀是中国北方土地退化的主要原因之一。国内土壤风蚀的研究工作相对比较薄弱，所取得的进展主要包括区域性的土壤风蚀分布地带性规律和不同时间尺度的准周期性规律，描述性的风蚀强度分级与危害评价，单因子风蚀过程的风洞实验，农田风蚀防治等方面。今后的研究趋势主要表现在土壤风蚀的物理本质、影响因素及发展动态的综合研究，土壤理化性质与表面性质对抗蚀性的影响及其与风蚀的反馈关系，土壤风蚀的基本过程及防治原理，土壤风蚀预报方程与数字模拟，土壤风蚀影响评价模型，土壤风蚀与土地利用以及全球变化的关系，各种观测与实验设备的研究等方面。     

人类活动引起的营养物质输入对海湾生态环境的影响机理与调控原理

近几十年来,高强度人类活动导致海湾生态环境恶化、生态系统失衡,已严重威胁到海岸带地区经济和社会的可持续发展。营养物质输入是人类活动影响海湾生态环境的关键因素。海湾营养物质来源多样,形态转化多变,生态过程及其效应复杂,营养物质在海湾的迁移转化规律及其对海湾生态环境的影响过程与机理,是国际海洋生态环境研究的前沿。目前,国际海湾生态环境研究主要呈现出如下发展趋势:1从环境质量、生物群落结构等现象研究转向环境变化机理、生态系统结构与功能的响应机制研究;2从对海湾生态环境某个环节的研究转向对海湾生态系统的全过程、系统性研究;3从单纯研究海湾水体转向陆海相互作用的完整性研究,并从管理上提出海陆统筹的要求;4从对海湾生态环境某个时段变化的研究转向生态系统长期连续变化规律的研究。未来应重点开展的研究包括:营养物质在半封闭性海湾长期滞留聚集条件下的迁移转化规律;营养物质变化对海湾生态系统结构与功能的影响过程与机制;基于生态系统水平的海湾综合管理理论体系。     

中高温三轴应力下鲁灰花岗岩热破裂声发射特征的试验研究

在中高温三轴应力作用下岩石内部物理化学性质和结构特性将发生变化,随着岩石内部结构的变化会引发一系列的声发射现象。通过试验研究了大试件花岗岩在三轴压力状态下声发射随温度的变化规律。试验研究表明：①随着温度升高,岩石的声发射现象是间断发生的;②花岗岩存在一个开始发生热破裂的门槛值温度,其值为120 ℃左右;③试验温度范围内花岗岩热破裂的声发射现象可分为5个阶段,即岩石原生裂隙整合阶段、热破裂前声发射静默阶段、热破裂声发射阶段、大规模热破裂后声发射静默阶段、二次热破裂开始阶段。     

生物喀斯特及其微形态研究

生物喀斯特是由生物作用和岩石的可溶性共同作用形成的特殊形态及其过程，本文在回顾和讨论了生物喀斯特的产生、定义、概念及其研究内容后，着重讨论了生物喀斯特微形态研究的概念、意义和研究方法、指出了生物喀斯特微形态研究是具有独特研究对象和方法以及重要理论实践意义的研究体系，提出了生物喀斯特微形态学的概念。     

Research on the Global Warming Hiatus

A global warming “hiatus” has been observed since the beginning of the 21st century despite the increase in heat-trapping greenhouse gases, challenging the current global warming studies. Focusing on the phenomena and mechanisms of the global warming “hiatus”, the National Key Research Program of China launched a project in July, 2016. The main research themes of this project cover: ①Revealing the spatial and temporal variability of the global warming hiatus, and quantifying the contributions of external forcing and internal (natural) variability, respectively; ②Revealing the role of the atmosphere in the global heat and energy redistribution under global warming hiatus; ③Revealing the role of the ocean in the global heat and energy redistribution under global warming hiatus; ④Investigating the predictability of the global warming hiatus. The key scientific issues to be resolved include: ①Identifying characteristics of the global warming hiatus and discerning the roles of decadal, multi-decadal oscillations; ②Revealing the role of ocean-atmosphere dynamical processes in the global redistribution of heat and energy; ③Understanding the predictability of the global warming hiatus. The research aims to predict the future development of the global warming hiatus, and to point out the possible impacts on China and other important areas, including “The Belt and Road” core area and the Polar Regions.     

加强矿床地质研究，提高找矿工作成效

中国经济的持续快速增长,急需找矿工作的重大突破,以提供更多更好的矿产资源。矿床学正面临新的发展机遇。当前矿床研究工作的问题是理论联系实际不够,学科内部各部分发展不平衡。为此,笔者提出了矿床学研究中的几个重点:①由浅部向深部开拓——深浅结合;②矿床解剖与区域展开——点面结合;③矿床系列和异常系列组成的矿化网络;④研究与发现新型矿产资源。对如何加强矿床研究,提出:①理论与实践紧密结合;②宽厚基础与重点深入相结合;③国内矿床研究与国外矿床研究相结合;④继承与创新相结合。预计今后10～15年期间,中国的矿床研究将处在一个很有利的战略发展机遇期,我们要加倍努力,为实现从地质资源大国到地质资源强国的转变做出应有贡献。     

含油气盆地二氧化碳成因研究

CO2地质问题是当今地球科学的前沿和热点问题。含油气盆地CO2的成因至少包括:①未脱气地幔岩浆脱气作用;②地壳岩石熔融脱气作用;③海相碳酸盐岩热分解作用;④碳酸盐胶结物热分解作用;⑤有机成因的CO2。这些不同来源的CO2各有其地球化学特征。近年来大量地球科学研究发现,全球含油气盆地已发现的高含CO2气藏中CO2主要是由未脱气地幔的脱气作用贡献的。这种成因CO2具有典型-4‰(PDB)的碳同位素组成特征。未脱气地幔在地球演化过程中几乎没有进行过脱气或组分分异,它保持着原始地幔的富气特征,其含气丰度约是脱气地幔含气丰度的99倍。因此,未脱气的幔源岩浆脱气作用成为含油气盆地CO2的最主要来源。     

历史时期土地利用变化研究方法综述

历史时期土地利用/覆盖变化一直是国际关注的热点问题之一。研究历史时期土地利用/覆盖变化,不但可以认识和理解陆地表层景观环境在过去的变化过程,而且对当前的土地利用方式或预测未来土地利用/覆盖变化和发展都有重要的指导意义。依据使用的主要数据源、处理方法和研究思路,从历史文档资料、古地图、考察/调查报告、模型模拟与综合多源信息和多学科知识的方法等5个方面综述国内外历史时期土地利用变化研究方法的现状。根据不同数据源的特性,探讨分析利用不同方法开展历史时期土地利用变化研究的优缺点及其不确定性:①历史文档资料种类繁多,包含的信息量巨大,但存在很多噪音和遗漏,且缺乏直观的空间信息;②古地图可以提供比较直观的空间位置信息,但是历史时期的绘图技术落后,且土地利用类别划分较粗;③过去的野外考察/调查资料记录比较规范,但时空尺度较小,难以满足较早时期的研究需要;④利用模型进行模拟研究可选择的时空尺度范围较大,但模型的选择和建立比较复杂,对驱动数据和初始值要求较高。最后,提出只有综合多源信息和多学科的知识才能比较完整地理解历史时期土地利用变化过程,融合多源信息和多学科知识的方法将是今后进行历史时期土地利用变化研究的主要思路。     

减缓全球变暖与温室气体吸收汇研究进展

对减缓全球气候变化与温室气体“汇”的最新研究进展作了较为详尽的综述。针对目前温室气体汇研究中的主要前沿科学问题进行了深入分析：包括汇的定义、种类及方法学问题,土地利用变化和森林以及农业土壤汇的种类及计算中存在的一些问题,人类活动对自然生态系统源汇状况的影响等;对还估算各种温室气体源汇的不确定性作了分析总结;在列举了一些气候变化框架公约缔约国及发展中国家对《京都议定书》中引入温室气体“汇”的看法及态     

Soil CO2 Emissions on the Glacier Shrinking Area in Hailuogou Glacier

SOIL CO_2 EMISSIONS ON THE GLACIER SHRINKING AREA IN HAILUOGOU GLACIERtheNational(G19980 40 80 0 )andCAS'sKeyProjectforBasicResearchonTibetanPlateau(KZ95 1 A1 2 0 4;KZ95T 0 2 )     

It starts at home? Climate policies targeting household consumption and behavioral decisions are key to low-carbon futures

Through their consumption behavior, households are responsible for 72% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Thus, they are key actors in reaching the 1.5 °C goal under the Paris Agreement. However, the possible contribution and position of households in climate policies is neither well understood, nor do households receive sufficiently high priority in current climate policy strategies. This paper investigates how behavioral change can achieve a substantial reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in European high-income countries. It uses theoretical thinking and some core results from the HOPE research project, which investigated household preferences for reducing emissions in four European cities in France, Germany, Norway and Sweden. The paper makes five major points: First, car and plane mobility, meat and dairy consumption, as well as heating are the most dominant components of household footprints. Second, household living situations (demographics, size of home) greatly influence the household potential to reduce their footprint, even more than country or city location. Third, household decisions can be sequential and temporally dynamic, shifting through different phases such as childhood, adulthood, and illness. Fourth, short term voluntary efforts will not be sufficient by themselves to reach the drastic reductions needed to achieve the 1.5 °C goal; instead, households need a regulatory framework supporting their behavioral changes. Fifth, there is a mismatch between the roles and responsibilities conveyed by current climate policies and household perceptions of responsibility. We then conclude with further recommendations for research and policy.