海平面升高的速度

人们认为 ,海平面的升高是全球变暖的结果。近年来大多数政府间气候变化研究小组( IPCC)对海平面升高的评价表明 ,2 0世纪海平面升高的模拟平均估计值比观测到的数值要低 ,实际观测估算值的范围较大 ( 1～ 2 mm/ a)。促使海平面变化的因素很多。2 0世纪和 2 1世纪促使海平面升高的最重要的因素可能是大洋水体变暖引起的热膨胀。其它的因素是冰川融化、南极洲和格陵兰岛冰盖的质量变化及陆地储水量的变化 (不确定 )。海平面变化的观测值是基于海平面高度的短期 ( <1 0 a)卫星记录以及较长期的 ( >1 0 a)但地理分布不均、潮汐观测网稀疏的记…     

海平面上升与天津沿海风暴潮特征

一、海平面变动情势 由于人类活动的影响,大气中二氧化碳和其它微量气体含量不断增加,引起温室效应,导致全球性气温增高。根据专家们测算,在最近100年来,全球平均气温升高0.4℃～0.5℃。 全球气温升高,气候变暖的一个重要结果,就是导致世界性的海平面升高。专家们测算结     

基于Argo资料的吕宋岛以东海域水团特征分析

基于中国Argo实时资料中心发布的2004年1月至2017年12月Argo全球温盐资料,运用直线定位法和隶属关系,对吕宋岛以东海域(120°~140°E,10°~30°N)水团进行分析,划分出北太平洋次表层水团(NPSSW)和北太平洋中层水团(NPIW)的分布范围。次表层水团位于50~220 m深度,分布在10°~28°N范围内,温度16.61~27.60℃,盐度34.68~35.14,核心范围春夏季较大,秋冬季较小。中层水团位于280~900 m深度,分布在10~30°N范围内,温度3.67~16.55℃,盐度34.11~34.67,核心范围季节变化较弱,整体位于18°N以北。次表层与中层水团核心温盐具有一定的年际变化特征,次表层水团与气候变化相关性较好,核心温度和盐度均存在4 a的变化周期;而中层水团与气候变化相关性较差,核心温度和盐度则分别具有3.5 a和3 a的变化周期。     

海平面上升——悄然发生的海洋灾害

近日,格陵兰岛冰盖迅速融化引起了全球关注。美国宇航局的卫星数据显示,在2012年7月8日-12日的短短5天内,整个格陵兰岛冰盖表层融化面积已达97%,如此惊人的融化速度大大超出此前历史上的所有记录。科学家怀疑这是全球气候变暖所导致的。本期,我们来共同关注全球变暖与海平面上升。     

全球气候变化对红树林生态系统的影响、挑战与机遇

红树林是以红树植物为主体的常绿灌木或乔木组成的潮滩湿地木本植物群落, 具有“四高”特性(高生产力、高归还率、高分解率和高抗逆性)的典型海洋生态系统; 目前, 全球约有红树林1700万公顷, 主要分布在南北半球25℃等温线内。红树林生态系统的净初级生产力高达2000gC·m^-2·a^-1, 具有高强度的物质循环、能量流动以及丰富的生物多样性, 对热带、亚热带海洋生态系统的维持与发展起到关键作用, 并在全球变化过程中扮演着十分重要的角色。近30年来, 全球气候变化已引起了国内外学者的极大关注。红树林生态系统位于热带、亚热带海岸潮间带, 是一个脆弱的、敏感的生态系统, 也是首先受全球气候变化影响的典型海洋生态系统之一。作为全球海岸带地区应对全球气候变化最为重要的生态屏障之一, 气候变化将严重影响着全球红树林的生存和分布方式。本文将从全球变暖、海平面上升、大气中CO₂浓度的增加和极端天气4个主要方面, 揭示全球气候变化对红树林生态系统的影响与变化特征, 阐述红树林对全球变暖、海平面上升、大气中CO₂浓度增加和极端天气响应与适应的生态学机制, 并简要概述了红树林在减缓全球气候变化危害中的重要作用。全球气候变化也将为红树林的研究、保护和发展带来机遇与挑战。     

全球变暖对海洋的危害与对策

全球变暖导致海平面上升将使2亿人成为难民,危害极大,本文介绍全球变暖的原因、危害及其对策,并对我国防范海平面上升的对策提出建议。     

FOAM模拟的20世纪气候变化

在加入温室气体和太阳常数后,FOAM较好地模拟出20世纪气候变化的主要特征,与IPCC AR4模式和观测的结果基本保持一致,主要特征如下:(1)全球平均地表气温升高约0.6~0.7℃,海表面温度升高约0.4~0.5℃;地表温度升高不均匀,冰面大于陆地,陆地大于海洋,北半球大于南半球;对流层变暖,平流层变冷。(2)中纬度西风增强,西风带和信风带都有往极地移动的趋势,在南半球更明显;南北半球增暖的不对称可能影响信风的变化。(3)海表面温度经向梯度增大,和中纬度西风增强有互为因果的关系。(4)中低纬度蒸发加强,大气中的水汽增加,水汽的温室效应增强。(5)海洋上层增暖,副热带地区更明显;高纬度海洋变淡,太平洋变淡,印度洋和大西洋中低纬度变咸;北大西洋热盐环流减弱。     

气候变化中海洋和冰冻圈的变化、影响及风险

本文系统梳理了IPCC 《气候变化中的海洋和冰冻圈特别报告》(SROCC)的主要结论,并对主要观点进行了解读。报告主要关注全球变暖背景下高山、极地、海洋和沿海地区现在和未来的变化及其对人类和生态系统的影响,以及实现气候适应发展路径的方案。在全球变暖背景下,冰冻圈大面积萎缩,冰川冰盖质量损失,积雪减少,北极海冰范围和厚度减小,多年冻土升温,全球海洋持续增温,1993年以来,海洋变暖和吸热速度增加了一倍以上。同时,海洋表面酸化加剧,海洋含氧量减少。全球平均海平面呈加速上升趋势,2006—2015年全球海平面上升速率为3.6 mm/yr,是1901—1990年的2.5倍,但存在区域差异。高山、极地和海洋的生态系统的物种组成、分布和服务功能均发生变化,并对人类社会产生了显著负面影响。极端海洋气候事件发生频率增多,强度加大。1982年以来,全球范围内海洋热浪的发生频率增加了一倍,且范围更广,持续时间更长。海平面持续上升加剧了洪涝、海水入侵、海岸侵蚀等海岸带灾害,并影响沿海生态系统。海洋及冰冻圈的变化及其影响在未来一定时期仍将持续,应对这些影响而面临的挑战,应加强基于生态系统的适应和可再生能源管理,强化海岸带地区的海平面上升综合应对,打造积极有效、可持续和具有韧性的气候变化应对方案。     

13万年以来温暖期气候模拟

回顾了国内外第四纪气候温暖期:末次间冰期(130~115 kaBP)、末次间冰阶(40~30 kaBP)的古气候模拟研究,评述了气候模拟的模式及方案、模拟实验边界条件和主要模拟结果,进而讨论第四纪温暖期的气候变化动力机制,以期进一步加深对全球气候变暖机制的认识,从而为全球温室气候变化的研究提供有益的参考。     

近百余年来全球气温长期变化趋势分析

利用来自NCDC(美国国家气候数据中心)的温度数据,采用一元线性回归方法、功率谱分析方法、MK(Mann-Kendall)检验方法,分析了近百余年来(1891—2011年)全球温度偏差的长期变化趋势。结果表明:(1)1891—2011年期间,全球温度偏差整体上以0.0068℃/a的速度显著性逐年线性递增,该递增趋势在各个季节都有显著体现,其中逐1月(0.0072℃/a)、逐4月(0.0072℃/a)温度偏差的递增趋势稍强于逐年递增趋势,逐7月(0.0064℃/a)、逐10月(0.0061℃/a)温度偏差的递增趋势略弱于逐年递增趋势。(2)近百余年来,全球气温偏差主要存在两次较为显著的递增阶段:1910—1944年、1981—2011年。(3)近百余年期间,全球温度偏差存在显著的2a,2.4~2.5a,2.85~6.15a,8.9a的变化周期,以及80a左右的长周期震荡。(4)近百余年期间,全球温度偏差无显著突变,MK检验发现:1911—2011年,全球温度偏差表现出较为明显的递增趋势,也与全球变暖大背景相吻合。     

Size-fractionated uranium isotopes in surface waters in the Jiulong Estuary in China

Surface water was collected from the Jiulong Estuary for determination of activity concentrations of uranium isotopes in different size fractions, namely, greater than 53, 10 -53, 2 - 10, 0.4 -2 μm, 10 000 u -0.4 μm and less than 10 000 u fractions by microfihration and cross-flow uhrafiltration technologies. Results indicated that most of the dissolved uranium （ 〈 0.4 μm） exis- ted in the low molecular mass fraction （ 〈 10 000 u）, and the colloidal uranium-238 （10 000 u -0.4 μm） only contributed less than 1% of the dissolved uranium-238. The fractions of colloidal uranium in the dissolved phases decreased with the increasing sa- linity. A positive linear relationship between uranium-238 activities and salinities was observed for the dissolved, colloidal and low molecular mass fractions, indicating a conservative behavior of uranium in the Jiulong Estuary. In the particulate phases （ 〉 0.4 μm）, the partitioning of uranium isotopes among different size fractions was controlled by the partitioning of particle concentrations. In the regions with salinities below 20, the partitioning of uranium-238 among different size fractions was as follows： 10 - 53 μm 〉 2 - 10 μm 〉 0.4 - 2 μm greater than above 53 μm. However, the order at the offshore station with salinities above 30 changed as follows ： 0.4 - 2 μm 〉 10 - 53 μm 〉 2 - 10 μm greater than above 53 μm. The fraction of the 0.4 - 2 μm particles increased at the offshore station, suggesting the increased contribution of the authigenic uranium. The activity ratio of uranium-234 to uranium-238 in the dissolved phases, including the low molecular mass fraction and the colloidal fraction, was larger than unity, showing the occurrence of excess uranium-234. In contrast, the activity ratio of uranium-234 to uranium-238 in all size fractions of the particulate phase was close to the equilibrium value （1.0）. The observed different values of the activity ratio of uranium-234 to uranium-238 in the dissolved phase and the partic     

Recent advances in marine technology in Canada

Much of the recent Canadian activity in marine technology has focused on development of capabilities in Arctic waters, and on the update and replacement of naval vessels. This paper describes some of the significant projects and programs now under way, and suggests future research and development requirements.     

一氧化氮在浮游植物中的研究进展

对一氧化氮在浮游植物中的研究进展进行了归纳,总结了一氧化氮对浮游植物生长的影响,探讨了浮游植物中一氧化氮的产生机制,并对今后的研究重点提出展望。     

Challenges in cross-sectoral marine protection in Europe

Marine environment protection in Europe faces a number of challenges. One is the coordination of relevant sectoral policies — such as agricultural and fisheries policies — with regard to marine protection objectives. The question in the following is on how marine protection issues can be more closely integrated in sectoral policies under the conditions prevailing at present. In particular the strength and weaknesses of the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) as the key instrument for marine environment protection in Europe are analyzed in this context. In particular, the MSFD does not adequately address all sectors and policies which are relevant to marine environment protection. One possible means of giving the MSFD greater influences on other policies of relevance to marine waters is to integrate the objectives established under the MSFD in the European maritime policy. The aim should be to require the further development of sectoral policies to take unrestricted account of the objectives of the MSFD implementation process. But also other instruments of marine policy such as maritime spatial planning and marine protected areas are crucial to advance the protection of European seas.     

夏季珠江口沉积物中营养盐剖面分布和界面交换通量

通过对夏季珠江口区域沉积物间隙水营养盐剖面分析,调查了营养盐含量分布和特征,探讨了有机物的降解特性、营养盐的底部通量估算和作用.结果表明,珠江口沉积物间隙水中营养盐以高含量铵盐为主要的存在形式,沉积物中有机物的降解反应主要在厌氧状态下进行,底部水体铵盐的增加来源于底部沉积物有机质的降解释放,而且对水体的营养盐循环有较大的贡献.     

Recent progress in submarine geosciences in China

In China submarine geosciences represents a newly established discipline of oceanography, focusing on the oceanic lithosphere, and its interface with the hydrosphere and biosphere. Recently, supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program and other high-tech development projects, significant progress has been made in the development of advanced technologies and equipment. This en- ables the scientists in China to carry out explorations of the international seabed area in the Pacific Ocean and on the Southwest Indian Ridge. In addition, they have been active in the research activities associated the mid-ocean ridges and western Pacific marginal seas. It is anticipated that this research field will continue to be highly fruitful in the near future.     

湄洲湾夏季的初级生产力

湄洲湾１９９２年夏季的叶绿素ａ，三磷酸腺苷，碳比积累速率，初级生产力的变化范围和均值分别为０．４５－４．７２，１．４９ｍｇ／ｍ＾３；０．１２－１．０７，０．３１μｇ／ｄｍ＾３；０．０６－０．５８，０．３４ｄ＾－１；０．０７－０．３４，０．２１ｍ／（ｍ＾２．ｄ）。叶绿素ａ与三磷酸腺苷之间。初级生产力与碳比积累速率之间均呈正相关关系。叶绿素ａ三磷本能腺苷的比值为４．８，湄洲湾夏季浮游植物的生长受氮不足     

Seasonality in nutrient concentrations in Galveston Bay

In order to investigate factors controlling nutrient cycling in the shallow and turbid coastal ecosystem of Galveston Bay, data from: (1) the Texas Water Commission (TWC) database 1980–1989, and (2) salinity transects in 1989 and 1993 are presented and analyzed. Statistical regression and time-series analysis were carried out on data acquired by TWC between 1980 and 1989, in an attempt to establish seasonally of nutrient and chlorophyll-a (chl.-a.) concentrations in the bay and to determine factors which regulate these concentrations.A strong seasonality was found for phosphorus and chl.-a. in the upper and mid-bay stations. A recurring maximum for phosphate occurred in September and a chl.-a. maximum occurred regularly in March–April. It is hypothesized that benthic regeneration of phosphorus at the end of summer is responsible for the phosphate maximum. The inverse correlation of the partition coefficient (K_d) for phosphate with the concentration of suspended particulate matter (SPM), coupled to a strong enrichment of phosphate in suspended particles at low SPM concentrations, indicates additional control by geochemical and physical processes such as particle sorting and/or particle-colloid interactions. Nitrate is inversely correlated with salinity at the upper and mid-bay stations, indicating the Trinity River is a major source.Nutrient concentrations in the lower bay (East and West Bay stations) are considerably lower and less predictable, as they are not correlated with salinity or temperature. Data from the 1989 and 1993 transects confirm the yearly maximum in phosphate concentration in late summer months, with peak concentrations in the upper Trinity Bay. It is concluded that despite possible phosphate buffering by physical and geochemical mechanisms, relatively large concentration maxima recur regularly every year during the summer, possibly caused by a benthic source of phosphate.