改进的城市桥梁震害预测因子法研究及其应用1

本文根据对青岛市123座桥梁的考察结果,建立了与青岛市桥梁类型比例相当的国内243座桥梁的资料,并以此为对象阐述了城市桥梁震害预测因子法的研究过程,确定了桥梁易损性影响因素及其取值,给出了桥梁震害预测指标计算方法和各种破坏状态的划分依据等。最后将此方法运用到青岛市地震应急指挥系统中,对青岛市的123座桥梁进行了桥梁震害模拟。     

山西运城市城区主要桥梁的震害预测

采用经验统计法对山西省运城市的4座主要桥梁进行了震害预测计算,给出了4座桥梁的震害预测结果。认为,4座桥梁的破坏程度不同主要是由于桥主跨长度、桥墩高度、支座形式不同及在计算中采用的系数不同引起的,运城市桥梁的破坏程度较低,在遭遇Ⅷ度地震破坏时,中等以上破坏程度的桥梁占25%。     

辽西地震重点监视区桥梁震害预测

采用统计回归方法，对辽西地震重点监视防御区内４条国家级公路的桥梁１３３座、４次国有铁路的桥梁３３１座，以桥梁震害等级划分原则，求取其震害指数、判定震害等级。     

桥梁群体震害预测方法的研究

本文研究了桥梁群体震害预测方法的理论，并采用模糊数学、灰色系统理论和概率分析方法，建立了中、小型桥梁群体震害预测的数学模型，在对江南一带城市地震震害预测工作中桥梁抽样单体震害预测经验法的计算基础上，给出了公路桥梁在不同地震烈度影响耻的单因素评价矩阵，为区域性的地震震害预测工作提供了一个有力的实用工具。     

基于人工神经网络的城市桥梁震害评估方法

为了使已有的桥梁震害评估方法适用于城市立交桥和高架桥,将桥梁结构是否规则考虑为评估模型的一项输入参数,并剔除了以往桥梁震害评估方法中不合理的影响因素以提高所提方法的可操作性.基于BP神经网络算法,以唐山地震和汶川地震中收集的54座梁式桥的震害资料作为网络训练样本,建立了梁式桥震害评估神经网络模型;通过讨论神经网络模型的泛化能力,得到了较满意的结果,表明该方法具有一定的准确度,可以应用于城市桥梁震害评估工作.     

基于经验统计方法的桥梁震害预测辅助决策系统

选择场地、结构、地震动和抗震设防4大类18个因素作为考虑因素，以国内外桥梁震害预测经验统计方法为主体构成了知识库，开发了与GIS结合的桥梁震害预测辅助决策系统BSVAS。该系统可初步用于大中城市防震减灾桥梁震害预测工作，并为基于GIS的防震减灾管理系统的更新提供可能。     

遗传优化神经网络方法在桥梁震害预测中的应用

本文将遗传算法与神经网络相结合,从而建立了一种高效的、实用的桥梁震害预测方法。根据遗传算法具有局部寻优的特点,为避免BP神经网络陷入局部极小值,本文将二者结合起来形成GA-BP混合算法,以GA优化神经网络的初始权值和阈值,对网络进行训练。在大量收集梁式桥震害资料的基础上,将此算法引入桥梁的震害预测中,并与传统的单独BP神经网络相比较,结果表明该方法能够有效、准确地对桥梁结构进行震害预测。     

胜利黄河公路大桥震害预测研究

桥梁是生命线工程的重要组成部分,对桥梁作出符合实际的震害预测意义重大。以胜利黄河公路大桥为例,介绍了经验统计法、规范校核法、Push-over方法、大跨度桥梁定性和定量分析等桥梁震害预测方法。分别用Push-over(推倒分析)法和大跨度桥梁定性与定量相结合的震害预测方法对胜利黄河公路大桥进行了震害预测评价。     

云南地区地震的桥梁震害

收集了云南地区从１６２４～１９８８年遭受地震破坏的各类桥梁６７座的震害资料,并给出了桥梁的震害、建造年代、场地等情况及破坏程度的划分,根据云南地区地震对桥梁的破坏,石拱桥占的数量较多,钢筋混凝土桥较少。章主要对石拱桥及钢筋混凝土桥的构件震害表现进行分析探讨,认为在一般场地地质条件下,当受到不大于Ⅷ度地震的作用,桥梁受力构件基本不会产生明显破坏;而在场地不利情况下,Ⅵ、Ⅶ度地震都可能会遭受破坏。     

基于最小二乘支持向量机的城市桥梁震害预测模型研究

针对地震中城市桥梁震害状态具有较强的非线性、复杂性的特点,采用了具有RBF核函数的最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)算法。在大量收集我国地震中城市桥梁震害资料的基础上,将此算法引入桥梁的震害预测中,选取了地震烈度、上部结构、地基失效程度、支座类型、墩台高度、桥梁跨数和场地类别等因素作为模型的特征输入向量,建立了最小二乘支持向量机的桥梁震害预测模型。通过反复地样本训练及模型参数设置,仿真结果表明,该方法具有一定的准确度和可行性。基于最小二乘支持向量机的桥梁震害预测方法是一种可以用于地震中桥梁震害预测的良好方法。     

青岛市地震前兆观测系统发展的建议

概述了青岛市地震前兆观测系统，提出青岛市地震前兆系统发展建议，以期对青岛市地震监测、预测预报的发展提供参考。     

青岛地区及附近海域尾波Q值研究及青岛震群跟踪分析

利用山东数字地震台网和青岛数字地震台网的地震波形资料,基于单次散射模型的尾波小波包分析方法,计算了青岛地区4个台站附近的尾波Q值,拟合得到青岛地区及附近海域尾波Q值随频率的变化关系为：Q=123．5×f^0.9;并对2003年6月青岛市王哥庄的4级震群序列的Q值进行计算分析,结果表明,在震群期间Q值变化不大。     

电阻率层析成像法在辽阳活断层探测中的应用

电阻率层析成像法是近年来迅速发展起来的地球物理新技术,目前逐渐成为工程物探中的主要方法。在辽阳市地震活断层与地震危险性评价研究中运用该方法取得了良好的效果。通过在目标区布设探测剖面,辅以浅层地震,地质钻探,可以准确地探测断层的几何结构和物理特征,为辽阳市活断层探测与地震危险性评价研究提供准确可靠的物探依据。     

基于模糊理论的高铁连续梁桥地震风险评估

以某高速铁路线上一座连续梁桥为例,运用模糊综合评判法,结合基于位移的支座损伤分析和截面曲率的桥墩损伤分析,以全概率理论地震损失模型为基础,提出了基于模糊理论的桥梁系统地震经济风险评估方法。结果表明:综合考虑桥梁系统的模糊地震经济风险分析方法能更全面地计算出连续梁桥在地震作用下的经济损失,仅以桥墩构件代表全桥所得地震经济损失误差较大。基于模糊理论的年预期损失风险框架方法通过结构抗震性能的概率特征可对高速铁路连续梁桥的地震直接经济风险进行全面评估,为该类桥梁的抗震设计、维修加固和灾后重建等方案做出合理评价。     

Direct displacement‐based seismic assessment procedure for multi‐span reinforced concrete bridges with single‐column piers

In Italy, as in other high seismic risk countries, many bridges, nowadays deemed ‘strategic’ for civil protection interventions after an earthquake, were built without antiseismic criteria, and therefore their seismic assessment is mandatory. Accordingly, the development of a seismic assessment procedure that gives reliable results and, at the same time, is sufficiently simple to be applied on a large population of bridges in a short time is very useful. In this paper, a displacement‐based procedure for the assessment of multi‐span RC bridges, satisfying these requirements and called direct displacement‐based assessment (DDBA), is proposed. Based on the direct displacement‐based design previously developed by Priestley et al., DDBA idealizes the multi DOF bridge structure as an equivalent SDOF system and hence defines a safety factor in terms of displacement. DDBA was applied to hypothetical bridge configurations. The same structures were analyzed also using standard force‐based approach. The reliability of the two methods was checked performing IDA with response spectrum compatible accelerograms. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

2022年日本福岛7.4级地震震害分析与对比

2022年3月16日在日本福岛县东部海域发生7.4级地震,本文基于近实时震害评估系统RED-ACT对此次地震进行了快速评估,包括强震动记录分析、区域地震破坏力震害评估结果和典型桥梁破坏,并结合实际震害对比了该系统评估结果以及其他主要震害快速评估系统的分析结果,结果表明：(1)此次地震造成的地面运动强度较大,多数台站记录PGA较2021年福岛7.3级地震更强,反应谱在0.5～1.3s区间呈现远高于2021年福岛地震的趋势。(2)RED-ACT的震害评估结果相较于日本NIED-CRS系统和美国USGS-PAGER系统与实际震害更为接近,在强震动记录较为密集的地区,开展基于强震动时程和建筑非线性分析的震害评估能够得到更为准确的震害评估结果。(3)此次地震对白石市附近桥梁造成了一定的破坏,桥梁破坏附近处的强震动会对典型桥梁结构造成一定程度的破坏。     

Seismic vulnerability and risk assessment: case study of the historic city centre of Coimbra, Portugal

Seismic risk evaluation of built-up areas involves analysis of the level of earthquake hazard of the region, building vulnerability and exposure. Within this approach that defines seismic risk, building vulnerability assessment assumes great importance, not only because of the obvious physical consequences in the eventual occurrence of a seismic event, but also because it is the one of the few potential aspects in which engineering research can intervene. In fact, rigorous vulnerability assessment of existing buildings and the implementation of appropriate retrofitting solutions can help to reduce the levels of physical damage, loss of life and the economic impact of future seismic events. Vulnerability studies of urban centres should be developed with the aim of identifying building fragilities and reducing seismic risk. As part of the rehabilitation of the historic city centre of Coimbra, a complete identification and inspection survey of old masonry buildings has been carried out. The main purpose of this research is to discuss vulnerability assessment methodologies, particularly those of the first level, through the proposal and development of a method previously used to determine the level of vulnerability, in the assessment of physical damage and its relationship with seismic intensity. Also presented and discussed are the strategy and proposed methodology adopted for the vulnerability assessment, damage and loss scenarios for the city centre of Coimbra, Portugal, using a GIS mapping application.     

Seismic fragility curves of as-built single-span masonry arch bridges

Masonry arch bridges are crucial elements in the railway transportation network throughout Europe. Although significant advances in seismic risk assessment of various bridge types have been made by developing fragility curves of generalized classes of structures, there are no comparable tools for masonry arch structures. In this context, this paper presents the construction of seismic fragility curves of single-span masonry bridges according to the limit analysis method. An iterative procedure is implemented to define the capacity curve of the equivalent single degree of freedom system through non-linear kinematic analysis. The process involves determination of the collapse mechanism, calculation of the limit load multiplier, and definition of the thrust line. The intrinsic variability of the seismic action is incorporated with the use of different sets of elastic spectra compatible with EC 8 Type-1 spectrum for various types of soil, with peak ground acceleration varying over the range 0.05–1.5 g. The fragility curves of the generalized classes of single-span masonry bridges are finally obtained from the effective ranges of the main geometric and material parameters affecting arch bridge capacity.     

Probabilistic seismic loss assessment of aging bridges using a component‐level cost estimation approach

Deteriorating highway bridges in the United States and worldwide have demonstrated susceptibility to damage in earthquake events, with considerable economic consequences due to repair or replacement. Current seismic loss assessment approaches for these critical elements of the transportation network neglect the effects of aging and degradation on the loss estimate. However, the continued aging and deterioration of bridge infrastructure could not only increase susceptibility to seismic damage, but also have a significant impact on these economic losses. Furthermore, the contribution of individual aging components to system‐level losses, correlations between these components, and uncertainty modeling in the risk assessment and repair modeling are all crucial considerations to enhance the accuracy and confidence in bridge loss estimates. In this paper, a new methodology for seismic loss assessment of aging bridges is introduced based on the non‐homogeneous Poisson process. Statistical moments of seismic losses can be efficiently estimated, such as the expected value and variance. The approach is unique in its account for time‐varying seismic vulnerability, uncertainty in component repair, and the contribution of multiple correlated aging components. A representative case study is presented with two fundamentally distinct highway bridges to demonstrate the effects of corrosion deterioration of different bridge components on the seismic losses. Using the proposed model, a sensitivity study is also conducted to assess the effect of parameter variations on the expected seismic losses. The results reveal that the seismic losses estimated by explicitly considering the effects of deterioration of bridge components is significantly higher than that found by assuming time‐invariant structural reliability. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.