| 气温变化对天津大北乡农业生产的影响及对策 |
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| 引用本文： | 郭建平.气温变化对天津大北乡农业生产的影响及对策[J].应用气象学报,1990,1(4):400-407. |
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| 作者姓名： | 郭建平 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.国家气象局气象科学研究院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据系统科学的原理，采用模糊数学、统计学和运筹学等方法分析、预测了气温变化对天津大北乡农业生产的影响情况，并提出了1988年气温增减变化1℃情况下大北乡农、林、牧、渔业结构的最优方案。结果表明，当气温增加1℃时，一年二熟制歉年方案或二年三熟制歉年方案较好；当气温降低1℃时，一年一熟制歉年方案较其它方案为好。
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Impacts of Air Temperature Change on the Agricultural Production and the Countermeasures in Dabeixiang of Tianjin |
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| Affiliation: | (Academy of Meteorological Science, SMA) |
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| Abstract: | According to the principle of system science, using fuzzy mathematics, statistics and operation research, the impacts of air temperature change on the agriculture production in Dabeixiang of Tianjin were estimated, and the optimal countermeasures against arranging production were proposed. The results show that when the average temperature increases 1.0oC, the double cropping and/or triple cropping in two years lean year schemes would be better than the others, when the average temperature decreases 1.0 oC, the single cropping lean year scheme would be better than the others |
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