| 一种预测高温危害天气的统计模型 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 王春乙,潘亚茹.一种预测高温危害天气的统计模型[J].应用气象学报,1990,1(2):217-221. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 王春乙 潘亚茹 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 1.国家气象局气象科学研究院
(王春乙)，国家气象局气象科学研究院(潘亚茹) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文使用自然正交分解方法，分析了华北及渭河流域冬麦区冬小麦灌浆乳熟期高温危害天气的时空分布特征。在此基础上，利用主分量分析倒筛选和调整复相关系数相结合的方法建立了预测高温危害天气的最佳回归模型。
|
A Statistical Forecasting Model for the High Temperature Disastrous Weather |
| |
| Affiliation: | (Academy of Meteorological Science, SMA) |
| |
| Abstract: | In this paper, using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) expansion method, the temporal and spatial distribution features of high temperature weather causing disaster during the winter wheat milk-filling and milking maturity phases in North China and Weihe River reaches are analysed. Based on this analysis, the optimal regression model for high temperature weather forecasting have been developed by using the principal component reverse selecting method combined with multiple correlation coefficient criteria. |
| |
| Keywords: | |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《应用气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《应用气象学报》下载全文 |
