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鄱阳湖水体淹没模型研究
引用本文:黄淑娥,钟茂生.鄱阳湖水体淹没模型研究[J].应用气象学报,2004,15(4):494-499.
作者姓名:黄淑娥  钟茂生
作者单位:1.江西省气象科学研究所, 南昌 330046
基金项目:国家科技部 2 0 0 0年公益研究项目“鄱阳湖区洪涝灾害遥感监测系统的研究”的资助
摘    要:根据丰水季鄱阳湖流域降水对鄱阳湖水位的影响研究, 建立鄱阳湖水位变化降水预测模型;并利用近10年卫星遥感对鄱阳湖水域面积的监测及相应时相鄱阳湖水位资料的分析, 研究出丰水季鄱阳湖水体淹没模型, 解决了洪水季, 云天状况下, 气象卫星难以监测下垫面洪涝灾害的难题。通过对鄱阳湖水体淹没模型进行模拟验证, 结果表明, 鄱阳湖实施退田还湖以后, 湖体水面模拟结果与遥感测算值相对误差为0.9%~3.6%, 模拟效果好。

关 键 词:遥感    流域降水    水位预测模型    水体淹没模型    鄱阳湖
收稿时间:2003-03-24
修稿时间:2003年3月24日

Study of Water Flooding Model of Poyang Lake Based on Basin Precipitation
Huang Shue,Zhong Maosheng.Study of Water Flooding Model of Poyang Lake Based on Basin Precipitation[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2004,15(4):494-499.
Authors:Huang Shue  Zhong Maosheng
Affiliation:1.Meteorological Research Institute of Jiangxi Province , Nanchang 3300462.Computer College of Jiangxi Normal University , Nanchang 330046
Abstract:Based on the study of the precipitation of water systems impacting on water level of Poyang Lake in some water seasons, a forecast model of water level changing with precipitation is developped. Using the analysis results of water area of remote sensing monitoring and water level of Poyang Lake in the same time in lately ten years, the water flooding model of Poyang Lake in much water season is studied. And solved a trouble that meteorological satellites can not monitor the water area in water flooding time in cloudy weather. Through checking up the modeling results, it is proved that the modeling effects are good after quitting cultivation and resuming lake in Poyang Lake area, the relative difference between modeling value and remote sensing monitoring data are from 0.9 to 3.6 percent.
Keywords:Remote sensing  Basin precipitation  Forecast model of water level  Water flooding model  Poyang Lake
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