| 中国大坝安全管理与风险管理的战略思考 |
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| 引用本文： | 李宗坤,葛巍,王娟,李巍.中国大坝安全管理与风险管理的战略思考[J].水科学进展,2015,26(4):589-595. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李宗坤 葛巍 王娟 李巍 |
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| 作者单位： | 郑州大学水利与环境学院, 河南郑州 450001 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(51379192) |
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| 摘 要： | 中国大坝安全管理水平不断提高的同时,更为科学与全面的风险管理理念也在不断发展。从法律法规、研究进展两个角度,对中国大坝安全管理与风险管理进行对比分析,指出当前采用的安全管理方法存在事故概率计算难度较大、对事故后果重视不足、评价准则不够全面及管理措施较为单一等问题。为促进管理方式和理念的转变,提高中国大坝的管理水平,提出在今后的研究与实际操作中,应重视事故概率与后果的定量分析,及时构建风险标准并综合运用风险控制方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 大坝管理 安全 风险 事故概率 后果 标准 |
| 收稿时间： | 2014-10-23 |
Strategic consideration of dam safety management and risk management in China |
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| LI Zongkun,GE Wei,WANG Juan,LI Wei.Strategic consideration of dam safety management and risk management in China[J].Advances in Water Science,2015,26(4):589-595. |
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| Authors: | LI Zongkun GE Wei WANG Juan LI Wei |
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| Affiliation: | School of Water Conservancy and Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China |
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| Abstract: | More scientific and comprehensive risk management concept is in constant development simultaneously with the rising level of Chinese dam safety management. From two aspects, which are the progress in the study along with the laws and regulations, a comparative analysis of Chinese dam safety management and risk management is carried out, and several problems concerning current safety management method are pointed out including the difficulty in calculating the accident probability, lack of attention to the consequences of the accident, and the evaluation criteria and the management measures are not comprehensive enough. In order to promote the transformation of management mode and to improve dam management level in China, a few thoughts and suggestions are put forward. These suggestions include that quantitative analysis of accident probability and consequences in future research and practical operation should be more valued, and risk criteria should be built in time along with more comprehensive risk control measures. |
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| Keywords: | dam management safety risk accident probability consequence criteria |
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