| 防震减灾:基于下一次强震地点预测并施以区域建筑抗震设防的对策思路 |
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| 引用本文： | 蔡作馨.防震减灾:基于下一次强震地点预测并施以区域建筑抗震设防的对策思路[J].地震地质,2011,33(1):203-207. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蔡作馨 |
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| 作者单位： | 福建省地震局宁德地震台,宁德,352101 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析认为,"针对下一次强震将要发生的地点实施区域建筑抗震设防"应为现阶段中国防震减灾寻求突破在基本对策上的一种合理选择.这一思路的关键是需要准确地知道下一次强震将要发生在哪里,而不必知道将发生在何时(文中姑且将回答这一问题的地震预测称为"第三类地震预测").按照"排除法"的思路,分析得到了"强应力、强介质、大规模、且呈...
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| 关 键 词： | 防震减灾基本对策 下一次强震地点 针对性设防 第三类地震预测 |
| 收稿时间： | 2010-04-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2011-01-20 |
QUAKEPROOF DISASTER REDUCTION: FORECAST NEXT MACROSEISM LOCATION AND IMPLEMENT CORRESPONDING EARTHQUAKE RESISTANCE FORTIFICATION OF REGIONAL CONSTRUCTIONS |
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| CAI Zuo-xin.QUAKEPROOF DISASTER REDUCTION: FORECAST NEXT MACROSEISM LOCATION AND IMPLEMENT CORRESPONDING EARTHQUAKE RESISTANCE FORTIFICATION OF REGIONAL CONSTRUCTIONS[J].Seismology and Geology,2011,33(1):203-207. |
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| Authors: | CAI Zuo-xin |
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| Affiliation: | CAI Zuo-xin (Ningde Seismic Station of Earthquake Administration of Fujian Province,Ningde 352101,China) |
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| Abstract: | At the present stage,the quakeproof-disaster-reduction strategy in China should focus on the macroseism resistance fortification of the regional constructions in the areas where the next strong earthquake is going to occur.The key to implementing this strategy is to precisely predict the location of the next macroseism,rather than the time it will occur (We define this kind of forecast as the third-type earthquake forecast).Our analysis shows that the next macroseism would most likely occur on those large-s... |
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| Keywords: | quakeproof disaster reduction strategy next macroseism location corresponding fortification the third-type earthquake forecast |
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