| 官厅水库跨区域水质改善政策的冲突分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 曾勇,杨志峰.官厅水库跨区域水质改善政策的冲突分析[J].水科学进展,2004,15(1):40-44. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曾勇 杨志峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.北京师范大学环境科学研究所, 环境模拟与污染控制国家重点联合实验室, 北京, 100875; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点科技攻关资助项目(96 920 40 04)，水利部科技创新资助项目(SCX2000 31)，博士点基金资助项目(20010027012)~~ |
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| 摘 要： | 对永定河流域官厅水库跨区域的水资源冲突问题进行了分析,并利用F H冲突分析方法建立了模型。模型中将中央政府、上游政府、下游政府作为三个局中人,通过对局中人的偏好向量和结局稳定性分析,从18种局中人可选策略中优化得到2种均衡结局——完全合作结局和部分合作结局。其中完全合作结局,即北京市采用激励策略和控制策略、上游完全削减污染物,下游负担部分费用,合作结局最有可能发生。
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| 关 键 词： | 冲突分析 跨区域 水环境 政策 官厅水库 水质 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-6791(2004)01-0040-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2002-10-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年10月2日 |
Policy conflict analysis of water quality improving for the transboundary regions of Guanting reservoir |
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| ZENG Yong,YANG Zhi-feng.Policy conflict analysis of water quality improving for the transboundary regions of Guanting reservoir[J].Advances in Water Science,2004,15(1):40-44. |
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| Authors: | ZENG Yong YANG Zhi-feng |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Institute of Environmental Sciences, State Joint Key Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;2.Institute of Water Sciences, Water and Sediment Sciences of Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China |
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| Abstract: | In the paper,the water conflict in transboundary regions of Guanting reservoir watershed is studied.The conflict model is obtained by using the conflict analysis techniques of Fraser and Hipel,in which thore are three sides concerned,the central,the upstream and the downsteam government Out of 18 possible out comes,the partly cooperative outcome and the fully cooperative one are optimized by analyzing the preferences of each side and the stability of their outcome.And the fully coop erative out come will be most likdy to occur,which shows that with coordination of the central government using the stimulus and strategy,the cooperation between the upstream and downstream government can improve the status of water resource,i.e,the upstream to reduce pollutant completely and the downstream to give financial support. |
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| Keywords: | conflict analysis transboundary regions water environment policy Guanting reservoir water quality |
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