河北南网架空导线载流量相关气象参数分析
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国网河北省电力有限公司科技项目(项目编号kj201718,项目编码5204DY160008),国家自然科学基金项目(41705075),河北省气象局科研开发项目(16ky04),干旱气象科学研究基金项目(IAM201601)资助


Analysis of Meteorological Parameters Related with CurrentCarrying Capacity of Power Grid over Southern Hebei Province
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    摘要:

    传统上架空线路允许最大载流量是依据固化的、苛刻的气象参数组合来确定的,其计算结果往往偏于保守。为使允许最大载流量设定更接近实际气象情况,本研究结合河北南部94个自动气象站点逐时观测数据驱动导线热平衡方程进行载流量分析,将传统恒定载流量转换为季节变动的载流量,以充分挖掘河北南网架空导线输电能力。在分析允许最大载流量对环境风速和气温变化的敏感程度基础上,确定了环境气温和风速两种气象参数的概率密度分布,并获取了区域允许最大载流量的概率分布,评估了不同安全运行概率下的输电能力。结果表明,在95%的安全运行保障下,河北南部LGJ400/35型架空导线最大载流量在春夏秋冬四季可分别设定为945、774、795和1012 A,显著高于传统载流量定值。在季节尺度上,基于实际气象参数调整的河北南部架空导线载流量设定有效地挖掘了电网输电能力。

    Abstract:

    The maximum allowable carryingcurrent capacity of overhead transmission lines highly depends on the meteorological parameters but traditionally the rigid and harsh setting of meteorological parameters makes the carryingcurrent capacity conservative. In order to make the carryingcurrent capacity setting satisfy the actual meteorological situation, this study utilizes the hourly data from 94 automatic meteorological stations over the southern Hebei to drive the wire energy balance equation for the analysis of carryingcurrent capacity. It helps to improve the transmission capacity of the transmission lines in the southern Hebei that the constant carryingcurrent capacity is changed into seasonally varied carryingcurrent capacity. Based on the analysis of the sensitivity of allowable maximum carryingcurrent capacity to the variation of ambient wind speed and air temperature, the study has determined the probability density distribution of ambient air temperature and wind speed, obtained the regional probability distribution of allowable maximum carryingcurrent capacity, and evaluated the transmission capacity at several safety operation levels. The results show that at the 95% safety operation level, the maximum carryingcurrent capacity of the LGJ400/35 transmission line in the southern Hebei can be set to 945, 774, 795 and 1012 A in spring, summer, autumn and winter, respectively, which is significantly higher than the traditional carryingcurrent capacity. Thus, currentcarrying capacity of the overhead transmission lines driven by actual meteorological data on the seasonal scales improves the transmission capacity of the lines.

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李宏宇,郑雄伟,贾伯岩,顾光芹.河北南网架空导线载流量相关气象参数分析[J].气象科技,2019,47(4):705~713

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历史
  • 收稿日期:2018-08-30
  • 定稿日期:2018-12-05
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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-08-27
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